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Gran Canaria W vs Estepona W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 78-106
19-27 16-31 23-29 20-19
Position#16
Record3-23
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game88.2
Gran Canaria W
Spain
vs
Estepona W 🏆
Spain
Position#9
Record11-15
FormWLLWW
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game74.5
SpainLiga Femenina WRound 27· Centro Insular de Deportes
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gran Canaria W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estepona W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gran Canaria WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cadi La Seu W
#14
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H18/01
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
L
66-103
66
103
-37
A25/01
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#5
L
62-120
62
120
-58
A01/02
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#15
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H07/02
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#8
L
82-109
82
109
-27
A14/02
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#10
L
84-102
84
102
-18
H21/02
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#6
L
66-102
66
102
-36
A28/02
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#11
L
63-76
63
76
-13
H06/03
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
56-101
56
101
-45
A22/03
Liga Femenina W
Valencia W
#3
L
66-111
66
111
-45
H04/04
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
16-23
15-15
20-21
18-30
15-28
13-27
20-18
13-30
22-26
8-33
19-31
21-21
20-16
13-21
19-19
15-30
18-25
19-29
30-25
25-25
21-22
22-32
16-23
10-23
17-27
14-25
25-27
21-16
10-24
19-17
13-19
12-22
12-28
17-32
15-19
20-30
9-22
20-28
17-31
167.1Avg total
69.1Scored
98.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)70.088.2158.2-18.212%
Season at home (13)72.886.3159.2-13.515%
Season away (13)67.290.2157.3-23.08%
Last 10 (10)69.198.0167.1-28.90%
Last 5 (5)67.098.4165.4-31.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)69.687.3156.9-17.711%
vs Similar (2)70.056.5126.5+13.5100%
vs Weaker (1)50.051.0101.0-1.00%
This opponent (Estepona W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Estepona WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leganes W
#7
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A17/01
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#8
W
65-49
65
49
+16
H24/01
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
L
62-88
62
88
-26
A01/02
Liga Femenina W
Valencia W
#3
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H07/02
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#6
W
92-84
92
84
+8
H14/02
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#5
W
79-76 OT
79
76
+3
A22/02
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#4
L
65-91
65
91
-26
H28/02
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#10
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H06/03
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
W
81-76
81
76
+5
A22/03
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#11
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H04/04
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
11-14
17-26
16-10
13-18
15-13
31-5
6-13
12-30
16-26
14-22
20-10
20-9
18-18
12-22
17-17
29-19
22-29
21-15
20-21
22-16
8-24
22-15
13-10
17-22
9-21
22-21
17-27
16-20
23-17
16-20
17-23
30-13
17-20
15-18
19-25
19-8
11-24
11-18
21-3
144.6Avg total
71.2Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)70.474.5144.9-4.042%
Season at home (13)69.571.4140.9-1.854%
Season away (13)71.377.5148.8-6.231%
Last 10 (10)71.273.4144.6-2.260%
Last 5 (5)71.875.2147.0-3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)65.576.0141.5-10.520%
vs Similar (13)71.973.2145.2-1.354%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)80.374.7155.0+5.767%
This opponent (Gran Canaria W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -7.0-7.0Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -8.1-8.1Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -9.9-9.9Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
Gran Canaria WEstepona W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Gran Canaria WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cadi La Seu W
#14
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H18/01
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A25/01
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#5
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A01/02
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#15
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H07/02
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#8
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A14/02
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#10
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H21/02
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#6
L
27-50
27
50
-23
A28/02
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#11
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H06/03
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
24-50
24
50
-26
A22/03
Liga Femenina W
Valencia W
#3
L
29-52
29
52
-23
H04/04
Liga Femenina W
82.5Avg total
33.7Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.941.676.5-6.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.741.277.9-4.533%-
Last 30 away (15)33.142.175.1-9.027%-
Last 10 (10)33.748.882.5-15.110%-
Last 5 (5)31.447.879.2-16.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)35.543.178.6-7.626%-
vs Similar (2)33.529.563.0+4.0100%-
vs Weaker (1)22.026.048.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Estepona W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Estepona WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leganes W
#7
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A17/01
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#8
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H24/01
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
L
28-56
28
56
-28
A01/02
Liga Femenina W
Valencia W
#3
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H07/02
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#6
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H14/02
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#5
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A22/02
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#4
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H28/02
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#10
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H06/03
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A22/03
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#11
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H04/04
Liga Femenina W
73.3Avg total
35.1Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)36.038.774.7-2.738%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.038.872.8-4.831%-
Last 30 away (13)38.038.676.6-0.646%-
Last 10 (10)35.138.273.3-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)34.437.071.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)31.141.172.2-10.030%-
vs Similar (13)38.536.675.2+1.946%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)41.339.781.0+1.733%-
This opponent (Gran Canaria W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gran Canaria Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gran Canaria W: 63.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀67%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 67% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.5 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.221.4
45.3%
46.8%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.34.0
21.9%
32.1%12.0
🏀 Free throws14.99.0
60.4%
74.2%9.0
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estepona Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estepona W: 69.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.5 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.518.1
45.8%
46.8%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.46.6
32.4%
32.1%19.8
🏀 Free throws18.913.5
71.4%
74.2%13.5
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gran Canaria W
LLLLLLLLLL
Estepona W
WWLLWWWLWL
#16
League position
#9
-43.4
Net rating
-4.7
83.5
Offensive rating
98.6
126.9
Defensive rating
103.3
41.8%
Effective FG%
46.7%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.32
21.9%
3-point %
32.4%
46.9%
Assist %
61.1%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence83.5 · 98.6Defence126.9 · 103.3Shooting41.8% · 46.7%3-point %21.9% · 32.4%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)0% · 60%
■ Gran Canaria W   ■ Estepona W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gran Canaria W wins
1
Estepona W wins
DateGameScore
07/01/26Estepona W v Gran Canaria W80-64
Gran Canaria Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/26HValencia W66-111
22/03/26AZaragoza W56-101
06/03/26HIDK Gipuzkoa W63-76
28/02/26AEnsino W66-102
21/02/26HEstudiantes W84-102
14/02/26AFerrol W82-109
07/02/26HAraski W73-77
01/02/26AJairis W62-120
25/01/26AUni Girona W66-103
18/01/26HCadi La Seu W73-79
Estepona Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/26HIDK Gipuzkoa W62-53
22/03/26AGernika Bizkaia W81-76
06/03/26HEstudiantes W72-80
28/02/26HPerfumerias Avenida W65-91
22/02/26AJairis W79-76 OT
14/02/26HEnsino W92-84
07/02/26HValencia W67-66
01/02/26AUni Girona W62-88
24/01/26HFerrol W65-49
17/01/26ALeganes W67-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gran Canaria W
Liga Femenina W 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeLLLLL15%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %12%15%8%
Points / game70.072.867.2
Allowed / game88.286.390.2
Point differential-18.2-13.5-23.0
Avg total158.2159.2157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Estepona W
Liga Femenina W 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW42%
HomeWWLLW54%
AwayLLLWW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %42%54%31%
Points / game70.469.571.3
Allowed / game74.571.477.5
Point differential-4.0-1.8-6.2
Avg total144.9140.9148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%15%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)60% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zaragoza W2623388%79.166.3+12.8
2 Uni Girona W2621581%81.767.4+14.2
3 Valencia W2620677%77.865.0+12.8
4 Jairis W26161062%74.566.6+7.9
5 Perfumerias Avenida W26161062%68.867.6+1.2
6 Ensino W26141254%72.871.7+1.2
7 Leganes W26131350%68.968.2+0.7
8 Ferrol W26131350%71.173.2-2.0
9 Estudiantes W26121446%77.276.2+1.0
10 Estepona W26111542%70.474.5-4.0
11 IDK Gipuzkoa W27111641%65.767.1-1.4
12 Gernika Bizkaia W27101737%73.177.4-4.3
13 Joventut Badalona W2691735%70.475.0-4.6
14 Cadi La Seu W2691735%67.775.1-7.4
15 Araski W2681831%64.774.3-9.7
16 Gran Canaria W2632312%70.088.2-18.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gran Canaria W1916232078
Estepona W27312919106
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