Grand Canyon hosts Louisiana Monroe on 14 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model rating Grand Canyon as the clear favourite at 99% versus 1% for the visitors, a reflection of Grand Canyon's undefeated 3-0 season record, 100.3 points scored per game and 77.0 allowed, while Louisiana Monroe struggles at 1-4, 79.6 points scored and 87.6 allowed. Grand Canyon remains unbeaten across all games, with a 3-0 home record and a recent 4-1 run over the last five games, highlighted by victories over Cal Poly 99-71, Bethune-Cookman 99-81 and Texas Southern 103-79, all at home. Louisiana Monroe, meanwhile, has lost all three road contests, averaging 73.7 points scored and 100.0 allowed on the road, and its last five games include defeats to Arizona State 62-92, TCU 92-100 and Texas A&M 67-108. The projected score is 93-66 in favour of Grand Canyon, with a projected total of 159.2 points, well below the 164.5 over line that the model gives a 37% chance of exceeding.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Grand Canyon winWon
98.6%fair 1.01
Best odds1.01
Implied94.5%
Edge+4.0pp
Louisiana Monroe winLost
1.4%fair 70.50
Best odds65.00
Implied5.5%
Edge-4.0pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 15:19 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Grand Canyon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 158Actual: Under 158
Over 158
57.2%
@ 1.45-7.0pp
Under 158
42.8%
@ 2.60+7.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.45
Under
Bet365
2.60
Over/Under 163 · main lineActual: Under 163
Over 163
44.5%
@ 1.89-5.7pp
Under 163
55.5%
@ 1.92+5.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathon Be
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Under
Bet365
1.92
Pinnacle
1.91
Marathon Be
1.89
Over/Under 168Actual: Under 168
Over 168
32.4%
@ 2.50-5.1pp
Under 168
67.6%
@ 1.69+5.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Under
Marathon Be
1.69
Bet365
1.50
📊 3. Team Totals
Grand Canyon total 94Actual: Grand Canyon under 94
Over 94
49.5%
Under 94
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grand Canyon total 98 · main lineActual: Grand Canyon under 98
Over 98
33.2%
@ 1.87-16.5pp
Under 98
66.8%
@ 1.85+16.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Grand Canyon total 101.5Actual: Grand Canyon under 101.5
Over 101.5
22.0%
@ 2.40-17.1pp
Under 101.5
78.0%
@ 1.53+17.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.40
1xBet
2.38
Betano
2.25
Under
1xBet
1.53
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.52
Louisiana Monroe total 63Actual: Louisiana Monroe under 63
Over 63
66.1%
Under 63
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Louisiana Monroe total 67 · main lineActual: Louisiana Monroe under 67
Over 67
49.8%
@ 1.87+0.1pp
Under 67
50.2%
@ 1.85-0.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Louisiana Monroe total 71Actual: Louisiana Monroe under 71
Over 71
33.6%
Under 71
66.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Grand Canyon -34.5Actual: Grand Canyon -34.5
GRAN -34.5
25.0%
@ 2.20-17.2pp
LOUI +34.5
75.0%
@ 1.60+17.2pp
Best 5 market prices
GRAN
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.18
LOUI
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.60
Spread Grand Canyon -31.5 · main lineActual: Grand Canyon -31.5
GRAN -31.5
34.0%
@ 1.90-17.2pp
LOUI +31.5
66.0%
@ 1.97+17.2pp
Best 5 market prices
GRAN
Bet365
1.90
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Be
1.86
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.83
LOUI
Pinnacle
1.97
Betano
1.91
Bet365
1.91
BetVictor
1.88
SBO
1.88
Spread Grand Canyon -28.5Actual: Grand Canyon -28.5
GRAN -28.5
44.2%
@ 1.58-14.7pp
LOUI +28.5
55.8%
@ 2.27+14.7pp
Best 5 market prices
GRAN
Bet365
1.58
Betano
1.55
LOUI
Betano
2.27
Bet365
2.22
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
Grand CanyonLouisiana Monroe
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Grand CanyonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#70
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A18/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H22/02
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H26/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A01/03
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
43-24
43
24
+19
A04/03
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H08/03
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H12/03
NCAA
Texas Southern
#328
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H03/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#364
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H08/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#239
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H12/11
NCAA
71.6Avg total
39.4Scored
32.2Allowed
1st half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 78.5
Last 30 (30)
37.2
31.8
69.0
+5.3
63%
17%
Last 30 at home (20)
38.9
32.0
70.9
+6.9
70%
25%
Last 30 away (10)
33.7
31.4
65.1
+2.3
50%
0%
Last 10 (10)
39.4
32.2
71.6
+7.2
70%
20%
Last 5 (5)
45.0
34.4
79.4
+10.6
100%
40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)
34.5
38.5
73.0
-4.0
50%
0%
vs Similar (12)
32.8
32.9
65.7
-0.2
33%
8%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)
40.8
30.2
71.0
+10.6
88%
25%
This opponent (Louisiana Monroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
This opponent (Grand Canyon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winnerActual: Grand Canyon win
GRAN win
no forecast
@ 1.05
LOUI win
no forecast
@ 10.50
2nd half Spread Grand Canyon -14.5 · main lineActual: Grand Canyon -14.5
GRAN -14.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
LOUI +14.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
2nd half Over/Under 85.5 · main lineActual: Under 85.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.90
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Grand Canyon (regulation)
GRAN
no forecast
@ 1.06
Draw
no forecast
@ 30.00
LOUI
no forecast
@ 10.00
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Louisiana Monroe +35.5
77.7%
1.54
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.53
-
-
-
+17.4pp
Lost
Louisiana Monroe +34.5
75.0%
1.60
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.60
-
-
-
+17.2pp
Lost
Louisiana Monroe +36.5
80.2%
1.47
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
+17.1pp
Won
Grand Canyon under 101.5
78.0%
1.52
1xBet
1.53
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.52
-
-
+17.1pp
Won
Grand Canyon under 99.5
71.5%
1.77
Marathon Bet
1.84
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.72
-
-
+16.8pp
Won
Louisiana Monroe +37.5
82.4%
1.40
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
+16.5pp
Won
Grand Canyon under 103.5
83.4%
1.35
Bet365
1.38
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.30
-
-
+16.5pp
Won
Louisiana Monroe +33.5
72.2%
1.70
SBO
1.75
Pinnacle
1.71
Marathon Bet
1.69
Bet365
1.68
Betano
1.67
+16.1pp
Lost
Louisiana Monroe +38.5
84.5%
1.35
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
+15.9pp
Won
Grand Canyon under 102.5
80.8%
1.40
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.36
-
-
-
+15.4pp
Won
Grand Canyon under 100.5
74.9%
1.54
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
+12.4pp
Won
Under 173
78.0%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+8.6pp
Won
Under 172.5
76.6%
1.35
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
+8.0pp
Won
Under 169.5
70.5%
1.46
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
+7.3pp
Won
Grand Canyon (regulation)
98.3%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+7.2pp
Won
Under 170.5
72.6%
1.41
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
+6.9pp
Won
Under 171.5
74.6%
1.36
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
+6.8pp
Won
Under 172
76.1%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+6.7pp
Won
Under 175.5
81.9%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+6.6pp
Won
Under 170
72.0%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
-
+4.5pp
Won
Under 171
74.1%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+4.1pp
Won
Grand Canyon win
98.6%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.0pp
Won
Under 173.5
78.5%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+3.2pp
Won
Louisiana Monroe over 52.5
92.7%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+2.5pp
Lost
Louisiana Monroe over 60.5
74.3%
1.29
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
-
+2.4pp
Lost
Grand Canyon over 76.5
96.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.3pp
Won
Under 178.5
86.4%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+2.0pp
Won
Grand Canyon over 78.5
93.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.7pp
Won
Louisiana Monroe over 54.5
89.5%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+1.5pp
Lost
Louisiana Monroe under 81.5
92.6%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+1.5pp
Won
Louisiana Monroe over 58.5
80.3%
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-
-
-
-
+1.5pp
Lost
Grand Canyon over 77.5
95.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.4pp
Won
Louisiana Monroe over 56.5
85.4%
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
+1.3pp
Lost
Grand Canyon over 79.5
92.7%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+1.1pp
Won
Louisiana Monroe over 53.5
91.2%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+1.0pp
Lost
Louisiana Monroe under 79.5
89.5%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+0.5pp
Won
Grand Canyon over 80.5
91.2%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+0.4pp
Won
Louisiana Monroe over 61.5
70.9%
1.30
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.28
-
-
-
+0.4pp
Lost
Louisiana Monroe over 59.5
77.4%
1.20
1xBet
1.22
Bet365
1.18
-
-
-
+0.3pp
Lost
Louisiana Monroe under 80.5
91.2%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-0.3pp
Won
Over 138.5
91.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.4pp
Won
Louisiana Monroe over 55.5
87.6%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-0.4pp
Lost
Louisiana Monroe under 75.5
80.5%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
-1.0pp
Won
Grand Canyon over 81.5
89.4%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-1.0pp
Won
Louisiana Monroe under 77.5
85.5%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
-1.2pp
Won
Louisiana Monroe over 57.5
83.0%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-1.4pp
Lost
Grand Canyon -11.5
90.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.5pp
Won
Grand Canyon over 82.5
87.5%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-1.5pp
Won
Louisiana Monroe under 73.5
74.5%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
-1.7pp
Won
Louisiana Monroe under 78.5
87.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-2.0pp
Won
Over 140.5
89.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-2.4pp
Lost
Grand Canyon -12.5
89.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-2.9pp
Won
Over 143.5
86.1%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-2.9pp
Lost
Grand Canyon over 83.5
85.3%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-3.7pp
Won
Grand Canyon over 84.5
82.9%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
-3.8pp
Won
Louisiana Monroe under 76.5
83.1%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-4.0pp
Won
Louisiana Monroe under 74.5
77.6%
1.13
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-4.7pp
Won
Grand Canyon over 86.5
77.2%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
-5.8pp
Won
Over 148.5
78.0%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-5.9pp
Lost
Over 145.5
83.1%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-5.9pp
Lost
Grand Canyon over 85.5
80.2%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
-6.5pp
Won
Louisiana Monroe under 72.5
71.2%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
-6.6pp
Won
Grand Canyon -16.5
81.9%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-7.1pp
Won
Grand Canyon over 88.5
70.7%
1.19
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.17
-
-
-
-7.9pp
Lost
Grand Canyon over 87.5
74.1%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
-9.0pp
Won
Grand Canyon -17.5
79.5%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-9.2pp
Won
Over 150.5
74.1%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-9.7pp
Lost
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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