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Greece vs Serbia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 97-92 (OT)
8-15 22-24 25-23 25-18 17-12
Position#25
Record6-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game74.7
Greece 🏆
vs
Position#13
Record7-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game74.9
EuropeWorld CupRound 11
Other2023
Meetings · Greece v Serbia
24 Feb 2023
GREE97
SERB92
13 Sep 2018
GREE70
SERB63
25 Aug 2017
GREE67
SERB69
19 Aug 2010
GREE74
SERB73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Greece winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Serbia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belgium
#35
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H28/08
World Cup
Croatia
#12
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A02/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#11
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H03/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
W
93-77
93
77
+16
A05/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
W
99-79
99
79
+20
H06/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
W
90-69
90
69
+21
A08/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#32
W
94-88
94
88
+6
H11/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#17
L
96-107
96
107
-11
A13/09
EuroBasket
Latvia
#3
L
60-80
60
80
-20
H11/11
World Cup
Belgium
#35
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A14/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-15
19-18
15-11
21-24
24-16
22-14
24-32
19-23
23-17
24-23
24-17
14-24
24-17
22-26
25-17
22-17
23-20
16-26
32-11
28-22
27-21
24-15
26-13
13-20
20-20
21-25
22-22
31-21
27-31
34-26
10-26
25-24
13-16
15-20
17-27
15-17
19-19
12-15
27-21
14-15
166.7Avg total
86.3Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.674.7152.2+2.967%
Season at home (5)77.471.4148.8+6.080%
Season away (4)77.878.8156.5-1.050%
Last 10 (10)86.380.4166.7+5.980%
Last 5 (5)82.482.8165.2-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)85.088.2173.2-3.240%
vs Similar (13)80.378.2158.5+2.269%
vs Weaker (12)86.176.0162.1+10.183%
This opponent (Serbia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece
#25
W
100-94 OT
100
94
+6
H25/08
World Cup
Turkey
#50
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A28/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#35
W
100-76
100
76
+24
H02/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#32
W
81-68
81
68
+13
A03/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
W
100-70
100
70
+30
H05/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#10
W
89-78
89
78
+11
A06/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#18
W
96-69
96
69
+27
H08/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#11
L
86-94
86
94
-8
H11/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#75
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A11/11
World Cup
Turkey
#50
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H14/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-25
20-19
19-19
17-24
26-11
21-17
18-27
14-17
31-21
20-17
24-23
25-15
20-15
23-10
17-24
21-19
33-22
29-12
14-14
24-22
24-18
26-20
15-20
24-20
28-14
24-19
20-17
24-19
28-20
23-25
17-21
18-28
21-20
17-14
19-17
17-17
24-21
13-13
17-20
23-22
164.7Avg total
88.2Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.874.9152.7+2.970%
Season at home (5)85.281.4166.6+3.880%
Season away (5)70.468.4138.8+2.060%
Last 10 (10)88.276.5164.7+11.790%
Last 5 (5)84.477.0161.4+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)85.591.2176.8-5.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)85.775.2160.8+10.581%
This opponent (Greece) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +7.9+7.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +7.9+7.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
GreeceSerbia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GreeceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belgium
#35
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H28/08
World Cup
Croatia
#12
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A02/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#11
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H03/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A05/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H06/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A08/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#32
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H11/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#17
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A13/09
EuroBasket
Latvia
#3
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H11/11
World Cup
Belgium
#35
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A14/11
World Cup
83.9Avg total
43.9Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.479.5+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.837.978.7+2.964%-
Last 30 away (16)41.238.980.1+2.456%-
Last 10 (10)43.940.083.9+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.684.0+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)42.241.483.6+0.860%-
vs Similar (13)41.238.679.8+2.662%-
vs Weaker (12)40.337.077.3+3.358%-
This opponent (Serbia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SerbiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece
#25
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H25/08
World Cup
Turkey
#50
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A28/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#35
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H02/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#32
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A03/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
W
62-34
62
34
+28
H05/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#10
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A06/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#18
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H08/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#11
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H11/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#75
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A11/11
World Cup
Turkey
#50
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H14/11
World Cup
83.5Avg total
48.2Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.438.282.6+6.270%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.939.885.7+6.171%-
Last 30 away (13)42.536.078.5+6.569%-
Last 10 (10)48.235.383.5+12.9100%-
Last 5 (5)45.636.882.4+8.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)44.248.092.2-3.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)44.436.781.1+7.877%-
This opponent (Greece) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Greece wins
4
Serbia wins
DateGameScore
25/08/22Serbia v Greece100-94 OT
03/12/18Serbia v Greece84-61
13/09/18Greece v Serbia70-63
25/08/17Greece v Serbia67-69
07/09/14Serbia v Greece90-72
19/08/10Greece v Serbia74-73
Greecelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/22ABelgium72-70
11/11/22HLatvia60-80
13/09/22AGermany96-107
11/09/22HCzech Republic94-88
08/09/22AEstonia90-69
06/09/22HUkraine99-79
05/09/22AGreat Britain93-77
03/09/22HItaly85-81
02/09/22ACroatia89-85
28/08/22HBelgium85-68
Serbialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/22HTurkey77-76
11/11/22AGreat Britain74-68
11/09/22HItaly86-94
08/09/22HPoland96-69
06/09/22AIsrael89-78
05/09/22HFinland100-70
03/09/22ACzech Republic81-68
02/09/22HNetherlands100-76
28/08/22ATurkey79-72
25/08/22HGreece100-94 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Greece
World Cup 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%80%50%
Points / game77.677.477.8
Allowed / game74.771.478.8
Point differential+2.9+6.0-1.0
Avg total152.2148.8156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %11%0%25%
Serbia
World Cup 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW70%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game77.885.270.4
Allowed / game74.981.468.4
Point differential+2.9+3.8+2.0
Avg total152.7166.6138.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Russia330100%87.070.7+16.3
2 Latvia1413193%85.371.0+14.3
3 Canada1110191%99.869.5+30.4
4 Australia1110191%81.454.9+26.5
5 Spain1110191%84.567.3+17.2
6 South Sudan109190%76.463.5+12.9
7 Ivory Coast109190%75.166.8+8.3
8 France119282%82.161.7+20.4
9 Lebanon119282%89.569.5+20.1
10 China119282%79.465.3+14.1
11 Lithuania119282%78.171.1+7.0
12 Finland119282%81.577.0+4.5
13 Germany108280%80.070.7+9.3
14 New Zealand97278%91.166.4+24.7
15 Egypt97278%74.459.0+15.4
16 Angola97278%73.661.2+12.3
17 Puerto Rico97278%80.176.2+3.9
18 Venezuela118373%79.166.5+12.5
19 Dominican Republic118373%82.471.5+10.8
20 Argentina118373%79.071.5+7.5
21 Serbia107370%77.874.9+2.9
22 Italy107370%88.786.0+2.7
23 Belarus128467%80.267.2+13.0
24 Mexico96367%83.878.0+5.8
25 Montenegro1510567%75.771.1+4.6
26 Philippines96367%79.175.2+3.9
27 Greece96367%77.674.7+2.9
28 Jordan117464%77.770.6+7.1
29 Slovenia117464%83.279.2+4.0
30 Georgia117464%80.779.0+1.7
31 Brazil106460%86.971.6+15.3
32 Senegal106460%72.865.9+6.9
33 Nigeria106460%71.365.0+6.3
34 Sweden148657%82.976.2+6.7
35 Cape Verde95456%71.968.9+3.0
36 Tunisia95456%63.061.6+1.4
37 Uruguay95456%72.273.3-1.1
38 Iceland2011955%80.880.8+0.0
39 Iran116555%71.167.1+4.0
40 Japan116555%74.773.3+1.5
41 Bosnia & Herzegovina116555%77.381.8-4.5
42 Belgium105550%72.269.2+3.0
43 Portugal168850%70.971.6-0.7
44 Switzerland42250%62.263.2-1.0
45 Ukraine115645%80.979.1+1.8
46 Kazakhstan115645%66.070.4-4.4
47 Hungary115645%71.379.7-8.5
48 Mali52340%42.047.2-5.2
49 D.R. Congo104640%55.162.9-7.8
50 Saudi Arabia114736%67.976.4-8.5
51 Turkey93633%77.376.6+0.8
52 Poland62433%74.077.0-3.0
53 Kosovo62433%75.885.2-9.3
54 Colombia93633%76.792.3-15.7
55 Slovakia1651131%68.976.7-7.8
56 Cameroon103730%63.966.6-2.7
57 Israel113827%77.979.0-1.1
58 Czech Republic113827%73.580.0-6.5
59 Estonia113827%72.582.4-9.8
60 Bahamas113827%78.692.3-13.6
61 Uganda92722%65.974.9-9.0
62 Guinea102820%64.573.8-9.3
63 North Macedonia102820%64.375.8-11.5
64 Luxembourg102820%76.388.1-11.8
65 Panama112918%66.779.8-13.1
66 Bahrain112918%62.682.6-20.0
67 Bulgaria61517%74.379.2-4.8
68 Croatia61517%77.083.2-6.2
69 Rwanda61517%56.765.2-8.5
70 Chile61517%66.075.7-9.7
71 Syria61517%69.379.3-10.0
72 Central African Republic61517%61.275.2-14.0
73 Albania61517%65.282.2-17.0
74 Cyprus61517%59.080.2-21.2
75 Great Britain81712%69.480.4-11.0
76 Cuba4040%65.072.8-7.8
77 Netherlands100100%72.582.4-9.9
78 Denmark4040%69.584.5-15.0
79 Romania4040%69.889.5-19.8
80 Chinese Taipei6060%61.090.7-29.7
81 India9090%61.291.6-30.3
82 United States Virgin Islands6060%64.796.2-31.5
83 Indonesia6060%58.590.2-31.7
84 Paraguay6060%55.086.8-31.8
85 Kenya6060%42.574.8-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 85 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Greece82225251797
Serbia152423181292
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