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Serbia vs Italy Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Sep 2022
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 86-94
28-20 23-25 17-21 18-28
Position#3
Record9-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game74.4
vs
Italy 🏆
Position#11
Record7-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game77.3
EuropeEuroBasket
Other2022
Meetings · Serbia v Italy
29 Nov 2026
SERB v ITAL
upcoming
01 Sep 2023
SERB76
ITAL78
11 Sep 2022
SERB86
ITAL94
04 Jul 2021
SERB95
ITAL102
23 Aug 2017
SERB73
ITAL65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Serbia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Italy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belgium
#35
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H04/07
World Cup
Italy
#2
W
90-86
90
86
+4
A19/08
DBB Supercup
Germany
#3
W
83-56
83
56
+27
H20/08
DBB Supercup
Greece
#25
W
100-94 OT
100
94
+6
H25/08
World Cup
Turkey
#50
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A28/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#35
W
100-76
100
76
+24
H02/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#32
W
81-68
81
68
+13
A03/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
W
100-70
100
70
+30
H05/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#10
W
89-78
89
78
+11
A06/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#18
W
96-69
96
69
+27
H08/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
17-15
22-15
13-21
24-23
20-30
21-19
25-14
24-13
14-18
27-10
18-15
31-25
20-19
19-19
17-24
26-11
21-17
18-27
14-17
31-21
20-17
24-23
25-15
20-15
23-10
17-24
21-19
33-22
29-12
14-14
24-22
24-18
26-20
15-20
24-20
28-14
24-19
20-17
24-19
163.4Avg total
89.1Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)89.274.4163.5+14.882%
Season at home (6)91.576.0167.5+15.583%
Season away (5)86.472.4158.8+14.080%
Last 10 (10)89.174.3163.4+14.890%
Last 5 (5)93.272.2165.4+21.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)85.591.2176.8-5.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)86.273.9160.1+12.381%
This opponent (Italy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Netherlands
#77
W
92-81
92
81
+11
A04/07
World Cup
Serbia
#1
L
86-90
86
90
-4
H19/08
DBB Supercup
Czech Republic
#4
W
96-80
96
80
+16
H20/08
DBB Supercup
Ukraine
#34
W
97-89
97
89
+8
A24/08
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
91-84
91
84
+7
H27/08
World Cup
Estonia
#34
W
83-62
83
62
+21
H02/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#2
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A03/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A05/09
EuroBasket
Croatia
#12
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H06/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
W
90-56
90
56
+34
A08/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
32-26
18-21
20-17
23-24
30-20
19-21
14-25
25-18
24-18
26-23
21-21
19-19
15-26
38-22
25-22
25-19
18-19
23-28
25-18
21-18
31-15
17-19
14-10
17-23
23-24
17-24
24-14
21-16
21-22
15-19
16-27
22-17
20-17
13-25
26-17
29-20
18-17
20-17
23-2
165.7Avg total
87.0Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.577.3160.8+6.364%
Season at home (5)88.078.2166.2+9.880%
Season away (6)79.876.5156.3+3.350%
Last 10 (10)87.078.7165.7+8.370%
Last 5 (5)81.672.6154.2+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)79.888.8168.6-9.00%
vs Similar (11)85.382.2167.5+3.164%
vs Weaker (14)87.878.1165.9+9.786%
This opponent (Serbia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.7+7.7Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +3.5+3.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.7+7.7Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +3.5+3.5
SerbiaItaly
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SerbiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belgium
#35
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H04/07
World Cup
Italy
#2
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A19/08
DBB Supercup
Germany
#3
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H20/08
DBB Supercup
Greece
#25
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H25/08
World Cup
Turkey
#50
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A28/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#35
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H02/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#32
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A03/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
W
62-34
62
34
+28
H05/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#10
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A06/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#18
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H08/09
EuroBasket
83.8Avg total
47.6Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.738.282.9+6.667%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.339.085.3+7.369%-
Last 30 away (14)42.937.280.1+5.764%-
Last 10 (10)47.636.283.8+11.480%-
Last 5 (5)51.633.685.2+18.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)44.248.092.2-3.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)44.836.781.5+8.273%-
This opponent (Italy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ItalyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Netherlands
#77
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A04/07
World Cup
Serbia
#1
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H19/08
DBB Supercup
Czech Republic
#4
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H20/08
DBB Supercup
Ukraine
#34
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A24/08
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H27/08
World Cup
Estonia
#34
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H02/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A03/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A05/09
EuroBasket
Croatia
#12
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H06/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A08/09
EuroBasket
85.1Avg total
45.6Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.983.7+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.640.685.1+4.069%-
Last 30 away (14)40.941.282.1-0.350%-
Last 10 (10)45.639.585.1+6.180%-
Last 5 (5)44.637.882.4+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)43.843.687.4+0.240%-
vs Similar (11)41.139.180.2+2.073%-
vs Weaker (14)43.941.385.2+2.657%-
This opponent (Serbia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Serbia wins
1
Italy wins
DateGameScore
19/08/22Italy v Serbia86-90
04/07/21Serbia v Italy95-102
04/09/19Italy v Serbia77-92
23/08/17Serbia v Italy73-65
Serbialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/09/22HPoland96-69
06/09/22AIsrael89-78
05/09/22HFinland100-70
03/09/22ACzech Republic81-68
02/09/22HNetherlands100-76
28/08/22ATurkey79-72
25/08/22HGreece100-94 OT
20/08/22HGermany83-56
19/08/22AItaly90-86
04/07/22HBelgium73-74
Italylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/09/22AGreat Britain90-56
06/09/22HCroatia81-76
05/09/22AUkraine73-84
03/09/22AGreece81-85
02/09/22HEstonia83-62
27/08/22HGeorgia91-84
24/08/22AUkraine97-89
20/08/22HCzech Republic96-80
19/08/22HSerbia86-90
04/07/22ANetherlands92-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Serbia
EuroBasket 2022
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%83%80%
Points / game89.291.586.4
Allowed / game74.476.072.4
Point differential+14.8+15.5+14.0
Avg total163.5167.5158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%50%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Italy
EuroBasket 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW64%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%80%50%
Points / game83.588.079.8
Allowed / game77.378.276.5
Point differential+6.3+9.8+3.3
Avg total160.8166.2156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %9%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia119282%89.274.4+14.8
2 Greece119282%83.277.5+5.7
3 Spain129375%86.275.8+10.3
4 Slovenia129375%85.278.2+7.0
5 Belgium1611569%79.472.7+6.7
6 Russia64267%76.767.5+9.2
7 Denmark1812667%79.576.6+2.9
8 France128467%77.875.8+2.0
9 Italy117464%83.577.3+6.3
10 Bosnia & Herzegovina117464%79.174.6+4.5
11 Israel117464%80.178.0+2.1
12 Croatia127558%78.273.5+4.7
13 Ukraine127558%79.775.3+4.3
14 Finland127558%81.279.4+1.8
15 Poland127558%80.979.4+1.5
16 Great Britain1911858%75.775.7-0.1
17 North Macedonia148657%78.177.2+0.9
18 Belarus84450%78.073.9+4.1
19 Germany126650%84.080.9+3.1
20 Lithuania126650%85.582.5+3.0
21 Armenia42250%74.874.0+0.8
22 Turkey126650%78.477.7+0.8
23 Portugal126650%74.275.0-0.8
24 Montenegro126650%74.976.5-1.6
25 Romania147750%73.778.5-4.8
26 Georgia115645%80.885.6-4.8
27 Sweden104640%74.374.6-0.3
28 Iceland83538%79.981.9-2.0
29 Slovakia83538%75.078.5-3.5
30 Czech Republic114736%81.587.6-6.1
31 Hungary114736%74.584.0-9.5
32 Switzerland145936%82.084.3-2.3
33 Austria103730%74.578.4-3.9
34 Estonia113827%75.280.6-5.5
35 Netherlands113827%69.476.3-6.9
36 Bulgaria113827%77.688.1-10.5
37 Luxembourg82625%72.583.4-10.9
38 Latvia61517%79.080.0-1.0
39 Cyprus1221017%66.376.8-10.4
40 Kosovo81712%78.883.6-4.9
41 Albania8080%65.283.1-17.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 41 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Serbia2823171886
Italy2025212894
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