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Greece W vs Germany W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 64-67
16-20 10-17 13-11 25-19
Position#22
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game69.4
vs
Position#11
Record3-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game66.6
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 6· Municipal Athletic Center
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Greece W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Germany W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Greece WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Estonia W
#28
W
67-65
67
65
+2
no box
A12/02
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#16
L
69-74
69
74
-5
no box
A15/06
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#7
W
73-65
73
65
+8
no box
H16/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
L
60-76
60
76
-16
no box
A18/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
L
76-79
76
79
-3
no box
A19/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
67-76
67
76
-9
no box
A09/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
75-66
75
66
+9
no box
H12/11
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
L
76-79
76
79
-3
64avg 60
A07/11
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
W
56-45
56
45
+11
52avg 60
H10/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
L
66-81
66
81
-15
63avg 60
A06/02
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
14-18
15-19
20-12
23-18
11-23
15-19
20-14
13-17
19-17
24-13
17-18
18-20
9-15
22-20
11-21
22-22
20-19
19-20
15-18
10-24
21-15
17-14
19-23
18-11
19-23
24-18
14-14
19-19
16-20
18-19
23-21
23-20
10-8
9-7
14-10
21-15
16-19
14-20
15-27
139.1Avg total
68.5Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)68.069.4137.4-1.440%
Season at home (2)65.555.5121.0+10.0100%
Season away (3)69.778.7148.3-9.00%
Last 10 (10)68.570.6139.1-2.140%
Last 5 (5)68.069.4137.4-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)64.573.5138.1-9.027%
vs Similar (10)68.967.2136.1+1.750%
vs Weaker (9)74.761.9136.6+12.878%
This opponent (Germany W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Germany WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Serbia W
#9
W
73-66
73
66
+7
no box
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Australia W
#3
L
52-85
52
85
-33
38avg 63
A10/02
Olympic Games Women
Brazil W
#15
W
73-71
73
71
+2
66avg 63
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#7
W
83-69
83
69
+14
84avg 63
H29/07
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
W
75-64
75
64
+11
76avg 63
A01/08
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
68-87
68
87
-19
59avg 63
H04/08
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
L
71-84
71
84
-13
65avg 63
H07/08
Olympic Games Women
Greece W
#22
W
79-76
79
76
+3
80avg 63
H07/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
74-67
74
67
+7
73avg 63
H10/11
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
60-79
60
79
-19
54avg 63
A06/02
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
17-9
17-25
20-20
10-24
14-30
21-21
7-10
19-14
20-21
18-18
16-18
25-11
21-14
14-17
23-27
21-16
21-20
17-13
16-15
19-16
10-25
17-28
22-18
19-23
14-22
16-21
22-18
19-19
20-16
19-18
21-23
20-20
17-17
20-10
17-20
21-23
17-15
6-22
16-19
145.6Avg total
70.8Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.266.6136.8+3.660%
Season at home (3)68.771.0139.7-2.367%
Season away (2)72.560.0132.5+12.550%
Last 10 (10)70.874.8145.6-4.060%
Last 5 (5)70.478.6149.0-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)59.774.1133.8-14.421%
vs Similar (5)71.667.2138.8+4.4100%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)79.362.5141.7+16.882%
This opponent (Greece W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.8-0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.8-0.8
Greece WGermany W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Greece WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estonia W
#28
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A12/02
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#16
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A15/06
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#7
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H16/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A18/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A19/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A09/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H12/11
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A07/11
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H10/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A06/02
European Championship Women
69.9Avg total
34.0Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.233.766.8-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.632.165.7+1.450%-
Last 30 away (16)32.835.067.8-2.244%-
Last 10 (10)34.035.969.9-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)34.634.869.4-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)29.238.567.6-9.318%-
vs Similar (10)33.831.965.7+1.960%-
vs Weaker (9)37.329.867.1+7.667%-
This opponent (Germany W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Germany WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia W
#9
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Australia W
#3
L
24-54
24
54
-30
A10/02
Olympic Games Women
Brazil W
#15
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#7
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H29/07
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A01/08
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H04/08
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H07/08
Olympic Games Women
Greece W
#22
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H07/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H10/11
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A06/02
European Championship Women
73.0Avg total
36.3Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.235.368.5-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.935.168.1-2.229%-
Last 30 away (13)33.635.569.1-1.846%-
Last 10 (10)36.336.773.0-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.239.274.4-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)28.436.464.8-7.914%-
vs Similar (5)35.432.668.0+2.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)38.435.173.5+3.355%-
This opponent (Greece W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Greece Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Greece W: 66.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.018.0
42.9%
45.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.46.6
37.9%
30.0%19.8
🏀 Free throws16.211.0
67.9%
72.4%11.0
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Germany Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Germany W: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.717.2
43.3%
45.4%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.06.7
33.5%
30.0%20.1
🏀 Free throws20.415.5
76.0%
72.4%15.5
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/10 games with a box score before 09 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Greece W
LWLWLLLWLW
Germany W
LWWLLWWWLW
#22
League position
#11
-2.4
Net rating
-4.6
90.3
Offensive rating
89.9
92.8
Defensive rating
94.5
47.0%
Effective FG%
45.6%
43.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
20.1%
Turnover %
25.0%
22.2%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.9%
3-point %
33.5%
72.4%
Assist %
69.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence90.3 · 89.9Defence92.8 · 94.5Shooting47.0% · 45.6%3-point %37.9% · 33.5%Ball care20.1% · 25.0%Off. rebounds22.2% · 29.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Greece W   ■ Germany W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Greece W wins
1
Germany W wins
DateGameScore
07/11/24Germany W v Greece W79-76
Greece Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/25ACzech Republic W66-81
10/11/24HItaly W56-45
07/11/24AGermany W76-79
12/11/23HCzech Republic W75-66
09/11/23AItaly W67-76
19/06/23ACzech Republic W76-79
18/06/23ASpain W60-76
16/06/23HLatvia W73-65
15/06/23AMontenegro W69-74
12/02/23AEstonia W67-65
Germany Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/25AItaly W60-79
10/11/24HCzech Republic W74-67
07/11/24HGreece W79-76
07/08/24HFrance W71-84
04/08/24HUSA W68-87
01/08/24AJapan W75-64
29/07/24HBelgium W83-69
11/02/24ABrazil W73-71
10/02/24AAustralia W52-85
08/02/24HSerbia W73-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Greece W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%100%0%
Points / game68.065.569.7
Allowed / game69.455.578.7
Point differential-1.4+10.0-9.0
Avg total137.4121.0148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Germany W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game70.268.772.5
Allowed / game66.671.060.0
Point differential+3.6-2.3+12.5
Avg total136.8139.7132.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W660100%95.343.8+51.5
2 Serbia W550100%88.050.0+38.0
3 Turkey W550100%79.257.0+22.2
4 Spain W660100%74.354.8+19.5
5 Sweden W660100%75.561.0+14.5
6 Belgium W65183%87.755.8+31.8
7 Luxembourg W54180%65.251.4+13.8
8 Italy W54180%67.656.6+11.0
9 Slovenia W54180%76.269.0+7.2
10 Portugal W54180%63.257.2+6.0
11 Great Britain W64267%74.755.7+19.0
12 Lithuania W64267%82.267.0+15.2
13 Montenegro W53260%71.461.8+9.6
14 Croatia W53260%78.270.0+8.2
15 Hungary W53260%70.462.8+7.6
16 Germany W53260%70.266.6+3.6
17 Slovakia W53260%70.267.8+2.4
18 Switzerland W53260%60.858.8+2.0
19 Latvia W53260%70.873.8-3.0
20 Poland W63350%79.862.3+17.5
21 Greece W52340%68.069.4-1.4
22 Finland W52340%65.673.6-8.0
23 Netherlands W62433%63.770.3-6.7
24 Israel W62433%71.880.2-8.3
25 Iceland W51420%71.677.6-6.0
26 Bulgaria W51420%73.280.0-6.8
27 Ukraine W51420%62.269.6-7.4
28 Czech Republic W51420%60.473.6-13.2
29 Romania W51420%67.686.2-18.6
30 Denmark W61517%66.773.8-7.2
31 Estonia W61517%51.577.8-26.3
32 Austria W5050%52.275.8-23.6
33 Bosnia & Herzegovina W5050%57.082.4-25.4
34 North Macedonia W5050%52.889.4-36.6
35 Ireland W5050%48.697.4-48.8
36 Azerbaijan W6060%41.0105.5-64.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 36 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Greece W1610132564
Germany W2017111967
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