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Japan W vs Germany W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 Aug 2024
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 64-75
16-21 20-21 13-17 15-16
Position#13
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game85.0
Japan W
vs
Germany W 🏆
Position#5
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game72.8
EuropeOlympic Games Women· Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Japan W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Germany W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Japan WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Hong Kong W
#7
W
118-46
118
46
+72
no box
H27/09
Asian Games Women
Kazakhstan W
#12
W
92-30
92
30
+62
no box
A29/09
Asian Games Women
Philippines W
#5
W
96-59
96
59
+37
no box
H01/10
Asian Games Women
Indonesia W
#9
W
89-47
89
47
+42
no box
A02/10
Asian Games Women
South Korea W
#3
W
81-58
81
58
+23
no box
H03/10
Asian Games Women
China W
#1
L
72-74
72
74
-2
no box
A05/10
Asian Games Women
Spain W
#4
W
86-75
86
75
+11
86avg 66
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Hungary W
#11
L
75-81
75
81
-6
65avg 66
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Canada W
#8
W
86-82
86
82
+4
76avg 66
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
76-102
76
102
-26
50avg 66
A29/07
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-12
39-16
29-8
18-10
25-12
26-9
25-3
16-6
35-14
15-12
16-13
30-20
25-15
20-12
22-9
22-11
20-15
20-18
16-11
25-14
16-26
24-19
11-12
21-17
26-18
20-18
23-21
17-18
22-13
10-19
16-21
27-28
20-20
30-26
20-21
16-15
15-22
24-28
18-29
19-23
152.5Avg total
87.1Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.885.0165.8-4.250%
Season at home (1)75.081.0156.0-6.00%
Season away (3)82.786.3169.0-3.767%
Last 10 (10)87.165.4152.5+21.770%
Last 5 (5)79.082.8161.8-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)76.479.4155.8-3.050%
vs Similar (2)58.568.0126.5-9.50%
vs Weaker (16)88.656.7145.3+31.988%
This opponent (Germany W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Germany WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Slovakia W
#17
W
79-69
79
69
+10
no box
H20/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
L
42-67
42
67
-25
no box
A22/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
W
71-69 OT
71
69
+2
no box
H24/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
62-78
62
78
-16
no box
H25/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
85-41
85
41
+44
96avg 63
A09/11
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
53-70
53
70
-17
39avg 63
H12/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#9
W
73-66
73
66
+7
74avg 63
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Australia W
#3
L
52-85
52
85
-33
38avg 63
A10/02
Olympic Games Women
Brazil W
#15
W
73-71
73
71
+2
66avg 63
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#7
W
83-69
83
69
+14
84avg 63
H29/07
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
23-17
17-12
18-21
7-20
9-13
13-20
13-14
18-15
11-18
13-16
21-14
15-25
19-22
9-15
19-16
19-9
22-10
21-8
23-14
8-21
19-15
12-12
14-22
19-12
17-9
17-25
20-20
10-24
14-30
21-21
7-10
19-14
20-21
18-18
16-18
25-11
21-14
14-17
23-27
135.8Avg total
67.3Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)70.272.8143.0-2.575%
Season at home (2)78.067.5145.5+10.5100%
Season away (2)62.578.0140.5-15.550%
Last 10 (10)67.368.5135.8-1.260%
Last 5 (5)66.872.2139.0-5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)57.971.5129.5-13.627%
vs Similar (5)71.667.2138.8+4.4100%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)83.257.8141.0+25.478%
This opponent (Japan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.9+6.9Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.9+6.9Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
Japan WGermany W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Japan WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hong Kong W
#7
W
71-28
71
28
+43
H27/09
Asian Games Women
Kazakhstan W
#12
W
51-21
51
21
+30
A29/09
Asian Games Women
Philippines W
#5
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H01/10
Asian Games Women
Indonesia W
#9
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A02/10
Asian Games Women
South Korea W
#3
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H03/10
Asian Games Women
China W
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A05/10
Asian Games Women
Spain W
#4
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Hungary W
#11
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Canada W
#8
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A29/07
Olympic Games Women
80.8Avg total
46.4Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.234.475.7+6.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.833.174.9+8.760%-
Last 30 away (15)40.735.776.4+4.960%-
Last 10 (10)46.434.480.8+12.070%-
Last 5 (5)41.441.883.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.240.978.1-3.825%-
vs Similar (2)30.033.563.5-3.50%-
vs Weaker (16)45.729.775.4+16.094%-
This opponent (Germany W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Germany WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovakia W
#17
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H20/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
L
16-33
16
33
-17
A22/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H24/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H25/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
41-19
41
19
+22
A09/11
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H12/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#9
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Australia W
#3
L
24-54
24
54
-30
A10/02
Olympic Games Women
Brazil W
#15
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#7
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H29/07
Olympic Games Women
67.5Avg total
33.6Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)33.333.867.1-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.932.866.7+1.136%-
Last 30 away (11)32.535.267.6-2.745%-
Last 10 (10)33.633.967.5-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)34.434.268.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)27.135.062.1-7.918%-
vs Similar (5)35.432.668.0+2.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)39.733.172.8+6.656%-
This opponent (Japan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Japan Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Japan W: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.3 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.917.7
52.1%
45.1%35.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.912.8
38.9%
30.1%38.3
🏀 Free throws11.69.9
85.6%
74.5%9.9
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Germany Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Germany W: 68.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.3 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.015.7
42.3%
45.1%31.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.5
31.5%
30.1%19.5
🏀 Free throws25.018.0
72.0%
74.5%18.0
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/6 games with a box score before 01 Aug 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Japan W
LWLWLWWWWW
Germany W
WWLWLWLWLW
#13
League position
#5
+17.1
Net rating
+3.7
115.0
Offensive rating
89.7
97.9
Defensive rating
86.0
55.2%
Effective FG%
44.1%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
40.7%
13.9%
Turnover %
24.9%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.43
38.9%
3-point %
31.5%
68.6%
Assist %
70.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.0 · 89.7Defence97.9 · 86.0Shooting55.2% · 44.1%3-point %38.9% · 31.5%Ball care13.9% · 24.9%Off. rebounds25.9% · 31.1%Free throws0.17 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Japan W   ■ Germany W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Japan W wins
0
Germany W wins
No previous meetings.
Japan Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/07/24AUSA W76-102
11/02/24ACanada W86-82
09/02/24HHungary W75-81
08/02/24ASpain W86-75
05/10/23AChina W72-74
03/10/23HSouth Korea W81-58
02/10/23AIndonesia W89-47
01/10/23HPhilippines W96-59
29/09/23AKazakhstan W92-30
27/09/23HHong Kong W118-46
Germany Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/07/24HBelgium W83-69
11/02/24ABrazil W73-71
10/02/24AAustralia W52-85
08/02/24HSerbia W73-66
12/11/23HItaly W53-70
09/11/23ACzech Republic W85-41
25/06/23HSerbia W62-78
24/06/23HCzech Republic W71-69 OT
22/06/23ASpain W42-67
20/06/23HSlovakia W79-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Japan W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%0%67%
Points / game80.875.082.7
Allowed / game85.081.086.3
Point differential-4.2-6.0-3.7
Avg total165.8156.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Germany W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game70.278.062.5
Allowed / game72.867.578.0
Point differential-2.5+10.5-15.5
Avg total143.0145.5140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W440100%84.845.8+39.0
2 USA W440100%96.060.0+36.0
3 Spain W54180%72.272.8-0.6
4 Australia W43175%70.563.8+6.8
5 Germany W43175%70.272.8-2.5
6 Serbia W53260%70.065.4+4.6
7 Canada W74357%69.462.3+7.1
8 Belgium W42250%80.872.8+8.0
9 Japan W42250%80.885.0-4.2
10 Nigeria W42250%63.576.2-12.8
11 China W52340%79.473.8+5.6
12 Puerto Rico W83538%63.574.2-10.8
13 Hungary W31233%69.371.7-2.3
14 Colombia W31233%69.774.0-4.3
15 Brazil W3030%63.768.3-4.7
16 Venezuela W3030%56.074.3-18.3
17 Senegal W3030%56.790.0-33.3
18 New Zealand W3030%51.085.7-34.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Japan W1620131564
Germany W2121171675
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