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Greece W vs Italy W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 12:45
Final 56-45
23-20 10-8 9-7 14-10
Position#22
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game73.7
Greece W 🏆
vs
Italy W
Position#6
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game55.7
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 4· Tasos Kampouris Kanithou Indoor Hall
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Greece W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Italy W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Greece WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Great Britain W
#21
W
72-65
72
65
+7
no box
H27/11
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#18
L
60-66
60
66
-6
no box
A09/02
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#28
W
67-65
67
65
+2
no box
A12/02
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#16
L
69-74
69
74
-5
no box
A15/06
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#7
W
73-65
73
65
+8
no box
H16/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
L
60-76
60
76
-16
no box
A18/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
L
76-79
76
79
-3
no box
A19/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
67-76
67
76
-9
no box
A09/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
75-66
75
66
+9
73avg 69
H12/11
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
L
76-79
76
79
-3
64avg 69
A07/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
13-26
18-12
23-15
9-13
13-17
18-16
20-20
18-16
14-18
15-19
20-12
23-18
11-23
15-19
20-14
13-17
19-17
24-13
17-18
18-20
9-15
22-20
11-21
22-22
20-19
19-20
15-18
10-24
21-15
17-14
19-23
18-11
19-23
24-18
14-14
19-19
16-20
18-19
23-21
140.6Avg total
69.5Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)72.773.7146.3-1.033%
Season at home (1)75.066.0141.0+9.0100%
Season away (2)71.577.5149.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)69.571.1140.6-1.640%
Last 5 (5)70.875.2146.0-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)65.277.7142.8-12.517%
vs Similar (9)69.265.7134.9+3.656%
vs Weaker (9)74.761.9136.6+12.878%
This opponent (Italy W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Italy WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Slovakia W
#17
W
81-60
81
60
+21
no box
H27/11
European Championship Women
Luxembourg W
#29
W
109-51
109
51
+58
no box
A09/02
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#30
W
79-63
79
63
+16
no box
A12/02
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
L
58-61
58
61
-3
no box
H15/06
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
W
88-68
88
68
+20
no box
A16/06
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#3
L
64-72
64
72
-8
no box
A18/06
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#16
L
49-63
49
63
-14
no box
A19/06
European Championship Women
Greece W
#22
W
76-67
76
67
+9
no box
H09/11
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
W
70-53
70
53
+17
62avg 60
A12/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
68-47
68
47
+21
59avg 60
H07/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-9
23-15
24-18
15-18
24-13
25-12
25-18
35-8
19-21
17-12
20-18
23-12
17-17
16-15
17-11
8-18
30-18
17-13
20-14
21-23
22-26
17-17
15-11
10-18
8-22
14-13
9-13
18-15
24-10
15-21
14-17
23-19
21-8
15-19
12-12
22-14
25-17
8-9
17-6
18-15
134.7Avg total
74.2Scored
60.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)71.355.7127.0+15.7100%
Season at home (2)72.057.0129.0+15.0100%
Season away (1)70.053.0123.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)74.260.5134.7+13.770%
Last 5 (5)65.460.4125.8+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.579.0151.5-6.50%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (21)75.359.7135.0+15.681%
This opponent (Greece W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +3.3+3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +3.3+3.3
Greece WItaly W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Greece WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Great Britain W
#21
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H27/11
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#18
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A09/02
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#28
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A12/02
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#16
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A15/06
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#7
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H16/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A18/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A19/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A09/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H12/11
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A07/11
European Championship Women
68.8Avg total
32.3Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.834.767.4-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.733.967.6-0.143%-
Last 30 away (16)31.935.467.3-3.438%-
Last 10 (10)32.336.568.8-4.220%-
Last 5 (5)34.437.672.0-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)28.840.669.4-11.88%-
vs Similar (9)33.431.765.1+1.856%-
vs Weaker (9)37.329.867.1+7.667%-
This opponent (Italy W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Italy WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovakia W
#17
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H27/11
European Championship Women
Luxembourg W
#29
W
49-25
49
25
+24
A09/02
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#30
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A12/02
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H15/06
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A16/06
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A18/06
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#16
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A19/06
European Championship Women
Greece W
#22
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H09/11
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A12/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H07/11
European Championship Women
68.3Avg total
37.6Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)38.530.468.9+8.178%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.627.865.4+9.883%-
Last 30 away (11)39.533.272.6+6.373%-
Last 10 (10)37.630.768.3+6.980%-
Last 5 (5)33.832.466.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.040.079.0-1.050%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (21)38.429.567.9+9.081%-
This opponent (Greece W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Greece Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Greece W: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.3 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.016.7
42.7%
45.4%33.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.08.7
43.3%
30.0%26.0
🏀 Free throws18.712.0
64.3%
72.4%12.0
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Italy Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Italy W: 70.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.7 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.720.0
46.9%
45.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.0
33.3%
30.0%24.0
🏀 Free throws10.36.7
64.5%
72.4%6.7
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Greece W
LWLLLWLWLW
Italy W
WWWLLWLWWW
#22
League position
#6
-2.2
Net rating
+22.5
93.5
Offensive rating
101.3
95.7
Defensive rating
78.8
50.3%
Effective FG%
48.0%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
40.5%
18.5%
Turnover %
16.1%
16.3%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.15
43.3%
3-point %
33.3%
73.7%
Assist %
60.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence93.5 · 101.3Defence95.7 · 78.8Shooting50.3% · 48.0%3-point %43.3% · 33.3%Ball care18.5% · 16.1%Off. rebounds16.3% · 31.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.15Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Greece W   ■ Italy W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Greece W wins
2
Italy W wins
DateGameScore
09/11/23Italy W v Greece W76-67
20/06/21Italy W v Greece W77-67
Greece Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/24AGermany W76-79
12/11/23HCzech Republic W75-66
09/11/23AItaly W67-76
19/06/23ACzech Republic W76-79
18/06/23ASpain W60-76
16/06/23HLatvia W73-65
15/06/23AMontenegro W69-74
12/02/23AEstonia W67-65
09/02/23APortugal W60-66
27/11/22HGreat Britain W72-65
Italy Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/24HCzech Republic W68-47
12/11/23AGermany W70-53
09/11/23HGreece W76-67
19/06/23AMontenegro W49-63
18/06/23ABelgium W64-72
16/06/23AIsrael W88-68
15/06/23HCzech Republic W58-61
12/02/23ASwitzerland W79-63
09/02/23ALuxembourg W109-51
27/11/22HSlovakia W81-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Greece W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game72.775.071.5
Allowed / game73.766.077.5
Point differential-1.0+9.0-6.0
Avg total146.3141.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Italy W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game71.372.070.0
Allowed / game55.757.053.0
Point differential+15.7+15.0+17.0
Avg total127.0129.0123.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia W330100%85.345.7+39.7
2 France W330100%88.349.7+38.7
3 Turkey W330100%82.753.0+29.7
4 Spain W330100%70.352.7+17.7
5 Italy W330100%71.355.7+15.7
6 Luxembourg W330100%68.053.7+14.3
7 Sweden W330100%74.061.0+13.0
8 Belgium W32167%93.055.0+38.0
9 Poland W32167%81.762.7+19.0
10 Great Britain W32167%73.357.0+16.3
11 Croatia W32167%79.069.0+10.0
12 Germany W32167%72.362.3+10.0
13 Lithuania W32167%81.372.0+9.3
14 Montenegro W32167%75.067.3+7.7
15 Slovenia W32167%71.065.0+6.0
16 Hungary W32167%68.363.3+5.0
17 Latvia W32167%73.369.0+4.3
18 Portugal W32167%60.062.0-2.0
19 Slovakia W32167%70.374.0-3.7
20 Israel W42250%78.074.5+3.5
21 Denmark W31233%70.768.0+2.7
22 Greece W31233%72.773.7-1.0
23 Ukraine W31233%67.069.7-2.7
24 Bulgaria W31233%70.373.7-3.3
25 Netherlands W31233%60.064.0-4.0
26 Switzerland W31233%63.367.7-4.3
27 Finland W31233%64.372.0-7.7
28 Romania W31233%71.088.0-17.0
29 Iceland W3030%68.377.3-9.0
30 Bosnia & Herzegovina W3030%65.383.0-17.7
31 Austria W3030%53.076.7-23.7
32 Czech Republic W3030%51.376.0-24.7
33 Estonia W3030%50.082.0-32.0
34 North Macedonia W3030%53.788.7-35.0
35 Ireland W4040%54.890.5-35.8
36 Azerbaijan W3030%47.0113.3-66.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 36 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Greece W231091456
Italy W20871045
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