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Guaros de Lara vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 77-74
21-21 17-17 17-16 22-20
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game72.8
South-America
vs
South-America
Position#9
Record4-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game71.2
South-AmericaSouth American LeagueSouth American League - Final
Other2017-18
Meetings · Guaros de Lara v Estudiantes
09 Mar 2018
GUAR73
EST78
07 Dec 2017
GUAR88
EST83
06 Dec 2017
GUAR77
EST74
17 Oct 2017
GUAR75
EST73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guaros de Lara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estudiantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Guaros de LaraLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marinos
#5
W
89-74
89
74
+15
A01/07
LPB
Marinos
#5
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A02/07
LPB
Marinos
#5
W
100-72
100
72
+28
H05/07
LPB
Tenerife
#1
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A24/09
Intercontinental Cup
Estudiantes
#9
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H17/10
South American League
Malvin
#13
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A18/10
South American League
Universo/Vitoria
#12
W
89-62
89
62
+27
A19/10
South American League
Cimarrones del Choco
#8
W
83-81
83
81
+2
H14/11
South American League
Aguada
#7
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A15/11
South American League
Quilmes
#6
W
88-85 OT
88
85
+3
H16/11
South American League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
18-16
17-28
28-16
24-26
17-18
18-26
21-21
21-23
33-18
21-16
25-15
17-14
22-22
16-20
16-20
24-13
19-23
17-19
15-18
22-21
19-15
18-17
22-16
21-13
17-14
24-13
27-22
16-14
30-22
16-18
21-27
18-11
20-24
17-15
25-17
20-21
17-26
26-13
14-17
158.6Avg total
83.6Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.772.8155.5+9.8100%
Season at home (3)82.079.7161.7+2.3100%
Season away (3)83.366.0149.3+17.3100%
Last 10 (10)83.675.0158.6+8.680%
Last 5 (5)84.272.8157.0+11.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)88.085.0173.0+3.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)92.481.8174.2+10.686%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H07/11
South American League
Olimpia Kings
#4
W
72-66
72
66
+6
A08/11
South American League
Flamengo
#3
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A09/11
South American League
Fuenlabrada
#11
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H12/11
ACB
Banvit
#7
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A14/11
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#5
L
95-99
95
99
-4
A19/11
ACB
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
86-95 OT
86
95
-9
H30/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#1
L
82-83
82
83
-1
H03/12
Liga A
Murcia
#9
L
79-91
79
91
-12
H03/12
ACB
Venezia
#13
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H06/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
12-16
21-17
18-16
11-19
20-20
22-14
19-13
17-26
19-15
23-20
16-28
21-17
15-12
7-21
26-21
27-14
14-32
19-23
20-13
30-26
28-25
18-21
19-27
12-25
14-10
27-19
20-19
15-18
18-22
22-22
27-21
19-23
24-14
16-23
20-31
20-18
13-22
23-16
25-24
161.4Avg total
79.0Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)72.771.2143.8+1.567%
Season at home (2)75.070.5145.5+4.5100%
Season away (4)71.571.5143.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)79.082.4161.4-3.430%
Last 5 (5)84.689.6174.2-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)77.082.0159.0-5.033%
vs Similar (15)76.379.4155.7-3.133%
vs Weaker (6)79.271.8151.0+7.383%
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.3-0.3
Guaros de LaraEstudiantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Guaros de LaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marinos
#5
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A01/07
LPB
Marinos
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A02/07
LPB
Marinos
#5
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H05/07
LPB
Tenerife
#1
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A24/09
Intercontinental Cup
Estudiantes
#9
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H17/10
South American League
Malvin
#13
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A18/10
South American League
Universo/Vitoria
#12
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A19/10
South American League
Cimarrones del Choco
#8
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H14/11
South American League
Aguada
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A15/11
South American League
Quilmes
#6
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H16/11
South American League
78.9Avg total
42.1Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.938.984.8+7.080%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.838.986.7+8.988%-
Last 30 away (14)43.738.982.6+4.971%-
Last 10 (10)42.136.878.9+5.380%-
Last 5 (5)40.036.276.2+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)37.047.084.0-10.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)46.538.785.1+7.882%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H07/11
South American League
Olimpia Kings
#4
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A08/11
South American League
Flamengo
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A09/11
South American League
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H12/11
ACB
Banvit
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A14/11
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#5
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A19/11
ACB
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H30/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#1
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H03/12
Liga A
Murcia
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H03/12
ACB
Venezia
#13
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H06/12
Champions League
76.2Avg total
36.9Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.039.575.5-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.438.072.4-3.629%-
Last 30 away (16)37.440.878.1-3.444%-
Last 10 (10)36.939.376.2-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.679.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)32.942.775.6-9.80%-
vs Similar (15)36.738.975.6-2.347%-
vs Weaker (6)39.036.075.0+3.067%-
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guaros de Laratheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.2
50.3%
-38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.78.7
29.2%
-26.0
🏀 Free throws19.814.6
73.6%
-14.6
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Guaros de Lara wins
0
Estudiantes wins
DateGameScore
17/10/17Guaros de Lara v Estudiantes75-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/17HQuilmes88-85 OT
15/11/17AAguada80-67
14/11/17HCimarrones del Choco83-81
19/10/17AUniverso/Vitoria89-62
18/10/17AMalvin81-69
17/10/17HEstudiantes75-73
24/09/17ATenerife71-76
05/07/17HMarinos100-72
02/07/17AMarinos80-91
01/07/17AMarinos89-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/17HVenezia81-80
03/12/17HMurcia79-91
03/12/17HSan Lorenzo82-83
30/11/17HInstituto de Cordoba86-95 OT
19/11/17AGran Canaria95-99
14/11/17ABanvit80-82
12/11/17HFuenlabrada69-71
09/11/17AFlamengo75-89
08/11/17AOlimpia Kings72-66
07/11/17HPinheiros71-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guaros de Lara
South American League 2017-18
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.782.083.3
Allowed / game72.879.766.0
Point differential+9.8+2.3+17.3
Avg total155.5161.7149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
Estudiantes
South American League 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game72.775.071.5
Allowed / game71.270.571.5
Point differential+1.5+4.5+0.0
Avg total143.8145.5143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Guaros de Lara660100%82.772.8+9.8
2 Pinheiros64267%86.073.7+12.3
3 Flamengo64267%81.072.5+8.5
4 Olimpia Kings64267%80.076.5+3.5
5 Estudiantes64267%72.771.2+1.5
6 Regatas Lima32167%73.773.0+0.7
7 Quilmes63350%85.278.8+6.3
8 Aguada63350%82.080.5+1.5
9 Cimarrones del Choco63350%84.383.8+0.5
10 San Martin31233%75.073.3+1.7
11 Deportivo Calero31233%81.783.7-2.0
12 Universo/Vitoria31233%68.379.0-10.7
13 Malvin3030%64.772.3-7.7
14 Hebraica y Macabi3030%64.081.0-17.0
15 Hr Portoviejo3030%75.794.7-19.0
16 CDSC Osorno3030%71.0105.0-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guaros de Lara2117172277
Estudiantes2117162074
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