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Guaros de Lara vs Llaneros Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 86-72
26-11 21-23 18-14 21-24
Position#3
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game85.3
vs
Position#14
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game76.7
VenezuelaSuperliga· Domo Bolivariano de Barquisimeto (Barquisimeto)
Other2023
Meetings · Guaros de Lara v Llaneros
25 May 2023
GUAR92
LLAN73
24 May 2023
GUAR91
LLAN72
25 Mar 2023
GUAR86
LLAN72
28 Aug 2022
GUAR v LLAN
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guaros de Lara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Llaneros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Guaros de LaraVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLara
Date
Competition
Piratas de La Guaira
#9
W
83-76
83
76
+7
no box
H24/08
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#19
W
75-61
75
61
+14
no box
H26/08
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
L
79-106
79
106
-27
no box
A01/09
Superliga
Brillantes
#7
L
60-89
60
89
-29
no box
A03/09
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#15
W
92-79
92
79
+13
no box
A04/09
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
W
81-77
81
77
+4
no box
H10/09
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
L
89-96
89
96
-7
no box
H11/09
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
56-100
56
100
-44
47avg 75
A19/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
99-81
99
81
+18
96avg 75
A21/03
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
87-75
87
75
+12
81avg 75
A22/03
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
24-16
17-13
24-21
24-10
17-18
21-17
13-16
22-20
17-40
23-23
17-23
14-20
17-17
11-29
18-23
21-23
27-21
21-23
23-12
18-22
17-9
23-20
23-26
16-24
33-22
24-23
16-27
15-22
14-27
19-21
8-30
28-20
18-16
25-18
28-27
19-24
28-20
26-16
14-15
164.1Avg total
80.1Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.785.3166.0-4.767%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)80.785.3166.0-4.767%
Last 10 (10)80.184.0164.1-3.960%
Last 5 (5)82.485.8168.2-3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.682.7155.2-10.122%
vs Similar (11)77.585.8163.3-8.427%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)88.772.7161.4+16.0100%
This opponent (Llaneros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LlanerosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLlaneros
Date
Competition
Brillantes
#7
L
81-91
81
91
-10
no box
A30/08
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#15
W
59-58
59
58
+1
no box
A31/08
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
W
89-86
89
86
+3
no box
A02/09
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
W
85-73
85
73
+12
no box
H06/09
Superliga
Piratas de La Guaira
#9
W
89-88
89
88
+1
no box
H10/09
Superliga
Piratas de La Guaira
#9
L
82-88
82
88
-6
no box
H11/09
Superliga
Broncos
#8
L
83-90
83
90
-7
no box
H13/09
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
82-87
82
87
-5
73avg 67
H19/03
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
74-79
74
79
-5
64avg 67
H21/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
68-64
68
64
+4
64avg 67
A24/03
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-16
19-26
20-19
29-30
12-13
13-8
13-20
21-17
15-24
23-18
25-18
26-26
18-14
24-16
17-22
26-21
23-21
22-17
23-26
21-24
18-23
23-23
18-22
23-20
20-15
25-22
21-24
17-29
27-26
17-21
18-20
20-20
26-18
11-25
22-18
15-18
28-19
10-19
9-12
21-14
159.6Avg total
79.2Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.776.7151.3-2.033%
Season at home (2)78.083.0161.0-5.00%
Season away (1)68.064.0132.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.280.4159.6-1.250%
Last 5 (5)77.881.6159.4-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)71.580.2151.6-8.79%
vs Similar (12)82.679.6162.2+3.058%
vs Weaker (7)71.661.6133.1+10.086%
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +0.0+0.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +0.0+0.0
Guaros de LaraLlaneros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Guaros de LaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Piratas de La Guaira
#9
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H24/08
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#19
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H26/08
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A01/09
Superliga
Brillantes
#7
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A03/09
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#15
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A04/09
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H10/09
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H11/09
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A19/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A21/03
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A22/03
Superliga
82.4Avg total
40.7Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.079.4+3.467%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.436.880.1+6.664%-
Last 30 away (16)39.639.178.7+0.669%-
Last 10 (10)40.741.782.4-1.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.241.282.4+0.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.937.976.8+1.056%-
vs Similar (11)39.140.779.8-1.655%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)46.135.181.2+11.090%-
This opponent (Llaneros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LlanerosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brillantes
#7
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A30/08
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#15
W
25-21
25
21
+4
A31/08
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A02/09
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H06/09
Superliga
Piratas de La Guaira
#9
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H10/09
Superliga
Piratas de La Guaira
#9
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H11/09
Superliga
Broncos
#8
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H13/09
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H19/03
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H21/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A24/03
Superliga
77.1Avg total
38.7Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.934.769.6+0.134%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.235.072.2+2.247%-
Last 30 away (14)32.434.466.8-2.121%-
Last 10 (10)38.738.477.1+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.283.2-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)32.234.666.8-2.527%-
vs Similar (11)39.238.978.1+0.327%-
vs Weaker (7)32.328.360.6+4.057%-
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guaros de Laratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guaros de Lara: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.7 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.021.3
59.3%
50.8%42.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.7
31.1%
31.3%23.0
🏀 Free throws18.713.7
73.2%
65.6%13.7
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Llanerostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Llaneros: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.0
50.5%
50.8%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.3
30.1%
31.3%22.0
🏀 Free throws21.316.7
78.1%
65.6%16.7
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guaros de Lara
WWLLWWLLWW
Llaneros
WLLLLWWWWL
#3
League position
#14
-7.6
Net rating
-1.7
100.3
Offensive rating
94.4
107.9
Defensive rating
96.1
54.1%
Effective FG%
48.3%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
44.4%
19.2%
Turnover %
25.6%
17.2%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
31.1%
3-point %
30.1%
62.1%
Assist %
53.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 94.4Defence107.9 · 96.1Shooting54.1% · 48.3%3-point %31.1% · 30.1%Ball care19.2% · 25.6%Off. rebounds17.2% · 27.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Guaros de Lara   ■ Llaneros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Guaros de Lara wins
1
Llaneros wins
DateGameScore
25/07/22Llaneros v Guaros de Lara73-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/23AToros de Aragua87-75
21/03/23AFrontinos99-81
19/03/23ABroncos56-100
11/09/22HHeroes de Falcon89-96
10/09/22HHeroes de Falcon81-77
04/09/22AGaiteros del Zulia92-79
03/09/22ABrillantes60-89
01/09/22AHeroes de Falcon79-106
26/08/22HToros de Aragua75-61
24/08/22HPiratas de La Guaira83-76
Llaneroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/23ACentauros68-64
21/03/23HTrotamundos74-79
19/03/23HCentauros82-87
13/09/22HBroncos83-90
11/09/22HPiratas de La Guaira82-88
10/09/22HPiratas de La Guaira89-88
06/09/22HHeroes de Falcon85-73
02/09/22AHeroes de Falcon89-86
31/08/22AGaiteros del Zulia59-58
30/08/22ABrillantes81-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guaros de Lara
Superliga 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
Home--
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %67%-67%
Points / game80.7-80.7
Allowed / game85.3-85.3
Point differential-4.7--4.7
Avg total166.0-166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%-67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Llaneros
Superliga 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%0%100%
Points / game74.778.068.0
Allowed / game76.783.064.0
Point differential-2.0-5.0+4.0
Avg total151.3161.0132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Broncos330100%97.369.3+28.0
2 Guaiqueries330100%97.776.7+21.0
3 Cocodrilos440100%76.861.0+15.8
4 Piratas de La Guaira330100%84.374.0+10.3
5 Trotamundos43175%79.077.8+1.2
6 Brillantes32167%88.778.0+10.7
7 Heroes de Falcon32167%92.084.7+7.3
8 Gladiadores32167%83.777.0+6.7
9 Guaros de Lara32167%80.785.3-4.7
10 Centauros31233%73.774.7-1.0
11 Llaneros31233%74.776.7-2.0
12 Toros de Aragua31233%76.383.3-7.0
13 Gaiteros del Zulia31233%77.787.0-9.3
14 Gigantes31233%77.387.3-10.0
15 Panteras41325%68.272.0-3.8
16 Cangrejeros41325%80.087.0-7.0
17 Diablos41325%68.084.0-16.0
18 Spartans2020%68.073.5-5.5
19 Marinos2020%74.088.5-14.5
20 Frontinos4040%74.592.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guaros de Lara2621182186
Llaneros1123142472
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