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Guaros de Lara vs Llaneros Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 May 2023
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 91-72
34-19 21-21 16-16 20-16
Position#3
Record20-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game77.3
vs
Position#14
Record9-17
FormWWLLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game84.8
VenezuelaSuperliga· Domo Bolivariano de Barquisimeto (Barquisimeto)
Other2023
Meetings · Guaros de Lara v Llaneros
25 May 2023
GUAR92
LLAN73
24 May 2023
GUAR91
LLAN72
25 Mar 2023
GUAR86
LLAN72
28 Aug 2022
GUAR v LLAN
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guaros de Lara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Llaneros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Guaros de LaraVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLara
Date
Competition
Broncos
#5
W
80-73
80
73
+7
73avg 77
H24/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
80-66
80
66
+14
74avg 77
H27/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
W
83-77
83
77
+6
81avg 77
H03/05
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
96-72
96
72
+24
97avg 77
A06/05
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
91-67
91
67
+24
86avg 77
H08/05
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
97-80
97
80
+17
95avg 77
H09/05
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
81-71
81
71
+10
85avg 77
H11/05
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
74-80
74
80
-6
64avg 77
A16/05
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
99-93 OT
99
93
+6
no box
A17/05
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
75-74
75
74
+1
69avg 77
A19/05
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-21
13-17
21-18
14-17
27-18
14-15
23-18
16-15
21-14
17-27
26-13
19-23
18-13
21-17
36-24
21-18
24-23
18-16
24-12
25-16
21-17
27-17
19-25
30-21
27-16
18-19
19-18
17-18
20-23
25-13
19-21
10-23
15-17
26-28
21-15
24-26
25-17
16-15
19-20
15-22
160.9Avg total
85.6Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)83.977.3161.2+6.577%
Season at home (13)83.372.5155.8+10.892%
Season away (13)84.582.2166.7+2.262%
Last 10 (10)85.675.3160.9+10.390%
Last 5 (5)85.279.6164.8+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.086.5154.5-18.550%
vs Similar (13)79.380.0159.3-0.754%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)89.175.9165.0+13.193%
This opponent (Llaneros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LlanerosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLlaneros
Date
Competition
Broncos
#5
L
78-82
78
82
-4
76avg 71
H27/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
85-80
85
80
+5
77avg 71
A01/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
87-96
87
96
-9
74avg 71
H04/05
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
72-96
72
96
-24
64avg 71
H06/05
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
78-94
78
94
-16
68avg 71
A09/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
96-68
96
68
+28
105avg 71
A11/05
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
92-88 OT
92
88
+4
no box
H14/05
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
70-92
70
92
-22
48avg 71
A18/05
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
70-77
70
77
-7
66avg 71
A19/05
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
83-88
83
88
-5
73avg 71
A21/05
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
21-23
15-19
19-26
22-22
20-17
16-16
27-25
17-27
20-29
27-21
23-19
13-18
17-21
24-36
18-21
20-27
23-13
10-28
25-26
27-17
21-18
26-22
22-11
16-15
16-23
25-22
21-18
18-22
22-27
17-29
13-14
22-13
17-22
16-16
15-26
10-27
29-26
23-20
21-15
167.2Avg total
81.1Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.384.8165.2-4.535%
Season at home (13)80.586.8167.4-6.323%
Season away (13)80.182.8162.9-2.846%
Last 10 (10)81.186.1167.2-5.030%
Last 5 (5)82.282.6164.8-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)77.988.7166.5-10.813%
vs Similar (7)77.979.9157.7-2.043%
vs Weaker (8)89.282.0171.2+7.275%
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
Guaros de LaraLlaneros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Guaros de LaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Broncos
#5
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H24/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H27/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H03/05
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A06/05
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H08/05
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H09/05
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H11/05
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A16/05
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A17/05
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A19/05
Superliga
78.8Avg total
42.5Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.138.981.0+3.270%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.737.380.1+5.480%-
Last 30 away (15)41.540.581.9+1.060%-
Last 10 (10)42.536.378.8+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)44.036.480.4+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.043.580.5-6.550%-
vs Similar (13)41.537.278.7+4.269%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.339.783.1+3.673%-
This opponent (Llaneros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LlanerosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Broncos
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H27/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A01/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
37-56
37
56
-19
H04/05
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H06/05
Superliga
Broncos
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A09/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A11/05
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H14/05
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A18/05
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A19/05
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A21/05
Superliga
81.5Avg total
39.4Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.282.8+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.840.881.6+0.147%-
Last 30 away (13)42.541.884.4+0.754%-
Last 10 (10)39.442.181.5-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.642.081.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)40.743.083.7-2.340%-
vs Similar (7)40.440.080.4+0.443%-
vs Weaker (8)44.239.083.2+5.275%-
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guaros de Laratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guaros de Lara: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.423.6
54.4%
50.8%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.4
32.6%
31.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws16.511.5
69.7%
65.6%11.5
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Llanerostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Llaneros: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.321.1
46.6%
50.8%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.6
33.1%
31.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.011.3
66.5%
65.6%11.3
They take 71.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guaros de Lara
WWLWWWWWWW
Llaneros
LLLWWLLLWL
#3
League position
#14
+14.6
Net rating
-7.1
107.4
Offensive rating
99.3
92.8
Defensive rating
106.4
52.3%
Effective FG%
47.7%
42.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
18.1%
Turnover %
18.0%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.6%
3-point %
33.1%
61.9%
Assist %
62.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 99.3Defence92.8 · 106.4Shooting52.3% · 47.7%3-point %32.6% · 33.1%Ball care18.1% · 18.0%Off. rebounds30.0% · 30.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Guaros de Lara   ■ Llaneros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Guaros de Lara wins
1
Llaneros wins
DateGameScore
06/05/23Llaneros v Guaros de Lara72-96
25/03/23Guaros de Lara v Llaneros86-72
25/07/22Llaneros v Guaros de Lara73-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/23AHeroes de Falcon75-74
17/05/23AGaiteros del Zulia99-93 OT
16/05/23ABrillantes74-80
11/05/23HHeroes de Falcon81-71
09/05/23HGaiteros del Zulia97-80
08/05/23HToros de Aragua91-67
06/05/23ALlaneros96-72
03/05/23HBrillantes83-77
27/04/23HGaiteros del Zulia80-66
24/04/23HBroncos80-73
Llaneroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/23AHeroes de Falcon83-88
19/05/23AGaiteros del Zulia70-77
18/05/23ABrillantes70-92
14/05/23HToros de Aragua92-88 OT
11/05/23AFrontinos96-68
09/05/23ABroncos78-94
06/05/23HGuaros de Lara72-96
04/05/23HTrotamundos87-96
01/05/23AFrontinos85-80
27/04/23HBroncos78-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guaros de Lara
Superliga 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW77%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %77%92%62%
Points / game83.983.384.5
Allowed / game77.372.582.2
Point differential+6.5+10.8+2.2
Avg total161.2155.8166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%62%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Llaneros
Superliga 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL35%
HomeWLLLW23%
AwayLWLLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %35%23%46%
Points / game80.380.580.1
Allowed / game84.886.882.8
Point differential-4.5-6.3-2.8
Avg total165.2167.4162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)25% (8)75% (4)
Overtime %12%15%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gladiadores2622485%83.073.6+9.3
2 Trotamundos2620677%84.877.8+7.0
3 Guaros de Lara2620677%83.977.3+6.5
4 Broncos2619773%90.678.3+12.3
5 Cocodrilos2619773%77.570.3+7.1
6 Brillantes2618869%84.176.7+7.5
7 Guaiqueries2617965%80.776.6+4.0
8 Piratas de La Guaira2617965%81.778.6+3.2
9 Spartans26151158%79.577.7+1.9
10 Heroes de Falcon26131350%80.778.9+1.8
11 Panteras26131350%78.076.9+1.1
12 Centauros26111542%76.277.9-1.7
13 Gaiteros del Zulia26111542%79.082.9-3.9
14 Llaneros2691735%80.384.8-4.5
15 Gigantes2681831%77.383.5-6.2
16 Marinos2671927%80.286.0-5.8
17 Diablos2671927%76.783.7-7.0
18 Cangrejeros2652119%76.784.2-7.5
19 Frontinos2652119%77.592.0-14.5
20 Toros de Aragua2642215%75.085.4-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guaros de Lara3421162091
Llaneros1921161672
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