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Guelph Nighthawks vs Brampton Honey Badgers Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 May 2025
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 90-85
21-18 20-23 18-28 31-16
Position#2
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#10
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game95.5
CanadaCEBL· WinSport Arena
Other2025
Meetings · Guelph Nighthawks v Brampton Honey Badgers
29 May 2025
GUEL90
BRAM85
16 Jun 2024
GUEL88
BRAM76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guelph Nighthawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brampton Honey Badgers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Guelph NighthawksCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNighthawks
Date
Competition
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
L
104-111
104
111
-7
102avg 85
A24/07
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
87-83
87
83
+4
78avg 85
H26/07
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#4
L
82-93
82
93
-11
65avg 85
A28/07
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
84-82
84
82
+2
74avg 85
H03/08
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#3
W
78-69
78
69
+9
77avg 85
A05/08
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#2
L
87-89
87
89
-2
71avg 85
A09/08
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
W
86-84
86
84
+2
no box
A11/05
CEBL
Niagara River
#3
L
94-98
94
98
-4
92avg 85
A16/05
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
98-86
98
86
+12
93avg 85
A24/05
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
93-61
93
61
+32
92avg 85
H25/05
CEBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-29
31-22
23-31
17-29
23-20
30-27
17-24
17-12
15-31
16-15
24-19
27-28
28-12
18-24
20-22
18-24
22-21
17-18
24-15
15-15
23-20
18-27
26-23
20-19
23-23
22-21
13-22
28-18
24-28
26-29
24-23
20-18
27-14
21-33
33-14
17-25
23-17
26-14
22-17
22-13
174.9Avg total
89.3Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)92.882.2175.0+10.575%
Season at home (1)93.061.0154.0+32.0100%
Season away (3)92.789.3182.0+3.367%
Last 10 (10)89.385.6174.9+3.760%
Last 5 (5)91.683.6175.2+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.888.2169.0-7.525%
vs Similar (10)84.185.1169.2-1.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)94.985.1179.9+9.881%
This opponent (Brampton Honey Badgers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brampton Honey BadgersCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBadgers
Date
Competition
Edmonton Stingers
#3
L
79-99
79
99
-20
62avg 73
A08/07
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
L
79-94
79
94
-15
73avg 73
H10/07
CEBL
Niagara River
#1
L
71-80
71
80
-9
64avg 73
A17/07
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#4
L
90-106
90
106
-16
77avg 73
A20/07
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#2
L
83-108
83
108
-25
66avg 73
H25/07
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
L
104-116
104
116
-12
95avg 73
A29/07
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
L
66-88
66
88
-22
59avg 73
A18/05
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
L
83-105
83
105
-22
82avg 73
A21/05
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
76-90
76
90
-14
64avg 73
H25/05
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
L
81-99
81
99
-18
70avg 73
A29/05
CEBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
18-27
15-21
22-26
20-28
18-20
20-19
21-27
10-19
21-22
16-23
24-16
20-22
18-33
14-25
38-26
19-32
26-21
26-22
12-33
26-33
33-27
29-27
16-29
14-25
20-23
15-15
17-25
25-21
25-26
18-29
15-29
13-29
21-15
21-20
21-26
24-28
18-25
19-25
20-21
179.7Avg total
81.2Scored
98.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.595.5172.0-19.00%
Season at home (1)76.090.0166.0-14.00%
Season away (3)76.797.3174.0-20.70%
Last 10 (10)81.298.5179.7-17.30%
Last 5 (5)82.099.6181.6-17.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)83.693.4177.0-9.827%
vs Similar (4)83.883.8167.5+0.025%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guelph Nighthawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -6.7-6.7Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -5.2-5.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -6.7-6.7Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -5.2-5.2
Guelph NighthawksBrampton Honey Badgers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Guelph NighthawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
64-51
64
51
+13
A24/07
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H26/07
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#4
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A28/07
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H03/08
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A05/08
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#2
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A09/08
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A11/05
CEBL
Niagara River
#3
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A16/05
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A24/05
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H25/05
CEBL
91.1Avg total
46.6Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.443.988.3+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.839.984.7+4.862%-
Last 30 away (17)44.147.091.1-2.941%-
Last 10 (10)46.644.591.1+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)46.645.291.8+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.246.087.2-4.80%-
vs Similar (10)41.143.684.7-2.540%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)47.243.690.9+3.669%-
This opponent (Brampton Honey Badgers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brampton Honey BadgersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Edmonton Stingers
#3
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A08/07
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H10/07
CEBL
Niagara River
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A17/07
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#4
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A20/07
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#2
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H25/07
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
L
59-60
59
60
-1
A29/07
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A18/05
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A21/05
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H25/05
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A29/05
CEBL
91.4Avg total
41.3Scored
50.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.446.087.4-4.623%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.342.283.5-0.838%-
Last 30 away (17)41.549.090.5-7.512%-
Last 10 (10)41.350.191.4-8.810%-
Last 5 (5)43.850.494.2-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)40.946.687.5-5.719%-
vs Similar (4)44.842.587.2+2.250%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guelph Nighthawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guelph Nighthawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guelph Nighthawks: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.822.3
47.6%
50.7%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.49.2
31.3%
34.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.415.9
71.0%
72.4%15.9
They take 76.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brampton Honey Badgerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brampton Honey Badgers: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.521.7
45.7%
50.7%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.26.7
28.9%
34.3%20.1
🏀 Free throws20.716.3
78.7%
72.4%16.3
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guelph Nighthawks
WWLWLWWLWL
Brampton Honey Badgers
LLLLLLLLLL
#2
League position
#10
+3.4
Net rating
-22.4
102.1
Offensive rating
96.5
98.7
Defensive rating
118.9
47.4%
Effective FG%
44.9%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
19.1%
Turnover %
20.8%
35.4%
Off. rebound %
35.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.3%
3-point %
28.9%
62.2%
Assist %
54.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence102.1 · 96.5Defence98.7 · 118.9Shooting47.4% · 44.9%3-point %31.3% · 28.9%Ball care19.1% · 20.8%Off. rebounds35.4% · 35.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 0%
■ Guelph Nighthawks   ■ Brampton Honey Badgers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Guelph Nighthawks wins
2
Brampton Honey Badgers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/05/25HWinnipeg Sea Bears93-61
24/05/25AWinnipeg Sea Bears98-86
16/05/25ANiagara River94-98
11/05/25AEdmonton Stingers86-84
09/08/24AFraser Valley Bandits87-89
05/08/24AEdmonton Stingers78-69
03/08/24HWinnipeg Sea Bears84-82
28/07/24AScarborough Shooting Stars82-93
26/07/24HWinnipeg Sea Bears87-83
24/07/24AWinnipeg Sea Bears104-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/05/25AEdmonton Stingers81-99
25/05/25HScarborough Shooting Stars76-90
21/05/25AOttawa Blackjacks83-105
18/05/25AMontreal Alliance66-88
29/07/24AOttawa Blackjacks104-116
25/07/24HFraser Valley Bandits83-108
20/07/24AScarborough Shooting Stars90-106
17/07/24ANiagara River71-80
10/07/24HOttawa Blackjacks79-94
08/07/24AEdmonton Stingers79-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guelph Nighthawks
CEBL 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game92.893.092.7
Allowed / game82.261.089.3
Point differential+10.5+32.0+3.3
Avg total175.0154.0182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brampton Honey Badgers
CEBL 2025
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.576.076.7
Allowed / game95.590.097.3
Point differential-19.0-14.0-20.7
Avg total172.0166.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fraser Valley Bandits440100%105.876.2+29.5
2 Montreal Alliance110100%88.066.0+22.0
3 Scarborough Shooting Stars330100%89.382.0+7.3
4 Guelph Nighthawks43175%92.882.2+10.5
5 Niagara River43175%86.293.5-7.2
6 Edmonton Stingers52340%88.691.4-2.8
7 Ottawa Blackjacks31233%92.085.7+6.3
8 Winnipeg Sea Bears41325%82.095.0-13.0
9 Saskatchewan Rattlers4040%81.094.0-13.0
10 Brampton Honey Badgers4040%76.595.5-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guelph Nighthawks2120183190
Brampton Honey Badgers1823281685
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