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Ottawa Blackjacks vs Guelph Nighthawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 90-100
31-24 30-23 18-25 11-28
Position#6
Record3-7
FormLWLLW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game94.1
vs
Position#5
Record5-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game85.8
CanadaCEBL· TD Place Arena
Other2024
Meetings · Ottawa Blackjacks v Guelph Nighthawks
02 Aug 2025
OTTA101
GUEL112
29 Jun 2024
OTTA90
GUEL100
16 Jun 2022
OTTA73
GUEL83
04 Aug 2021
OTTA71
GUEL96
28 Jun 2021
OTTA96
GUEL79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ottawa Blackjacks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guelph Nighthawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ottawa BlackjacksCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBlackjacks
Date
Competition
Brampton Honey Badgers
#9
L
82-99
82
99
-17
70avg 78
A26/05
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#3
L
84-92
84
92
-8
78avg 78
H29/05
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
L
80-93
80
93
-13
67avg 78
A02/06
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#10
W
87-86
87
86
+1
75avg 78
A05/06
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#10
L
89-104
89
104
-15
80avg 78
H11/06
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#4
L
91-105
91
105
-14
79avg 78
A14/06
CEBL
Niagara River
#1
W
90-86
90
86
+4
83avg 78
H15/06
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#3
L
91-92
91
92
-1
90avg 78
A21/06
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#2
L
67-104
67
104
-37
56avg 78
A23/06
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#4
W
102-80
102
80
+22
106avg 78
H27/06
CEBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-31
19-18
21-22
20-28
25-17
22-29
22-25
15-21
21-19
22-24
22-25
15-25
22-19
18-31
28-24
19-12
20-18
14-38
21-29
34-19
19-23
22-26
22-27
28-29
23-15
23-30
18-18
26-23
21-25
20-21
22-23
28-23
12-29
19-32
19-16
17-27
24-23
25-17
26-28
27-12
180.4Avg total
86.3Scored
94.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.394.1180.4-7.830%
Season at home (4)91.290.5181.8+0.850%
Season away (6)83.096.5179.5-13.517%
Last 10 (10)86.394.1180.4-7.830%
Last 5 (5)88.293.4181.6-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)87.593.2180.7-5.733%
vs Similar (14)86.687.8174.4-1.143%
vs Weaker (10)86.985.6172.5+1.360%
This opponent (Guelph Nighthawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Guelph NighthawksCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNighthawks
Date
Competition
Edmonton Stingers
#3
L
79-97
79
97
-18
74avg 83
H22/05
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#4
L
97-104
97
104
-7
86avg 83
H30/05
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#2
L
74-100
74
100
-26
57avg 83
A02/06
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#8
W
102-85
102
85
+17
97avg 83
H06/06
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#2
L
65-70
65
70
-5
58avg 83
H08/06
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
110-78
110
78
+32
108avg 83
H09/06
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#3
L
84-91
84
91
-7
70avg 83
H15/06
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#9
W
88-76
88
76
+12
82avg 83
H16/06
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#8
W
105-77
105
77
+28
108avg 83
A21/06
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#3
W
91-80
91
80
+11
90avg 83
A23/06
CEBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
18-28
22-28
21-20
27-21
24-29
20-22
26-32
25-28
17-26
14-24
18-22
30-13
23-20
26-29
23-23
17-18
15-15
10-20
23-17
25-25
21-21
35-16
29-16
17-20
19-26
19-23
29-22
26-22
18-13
17-23
27-18
16-24
24-15
35-16
30-22
29-25
30-22
14-24
18-9
175.3Avg total
89.5Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)89.585.8175.3+3.750%
Season at home (7)89.385.9175.1+3.443%
Season away (3)90.085.7175.7+4.367%
Last 10 (10)89.585.8175.3+3.750%
Last 5 (5)95.680.4176.0+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.089.7164.7-14.70%
vs Similar (17)83.782.9166.6+0.853%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)88.580.2168.7+8.370%
This opponent (Ottawa Blackjacks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +4.3+4.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +4.3+4.3
Ottawa BlackjacksGuelph Nighthawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ottawa BlackjacksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brampton Honey Badgers
#9
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A26/05
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#3
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H29/05
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A02/06
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#10
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A05/06
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#10
L
34-56
34
56
-22
H11/06
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A14/06
CEBL
Niagara River
#1
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H15/06
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A21/06
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#2
L
31-61
31
61
-30
A23/06
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#4
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H27/06
CEBL
89.8Avg total
41.3Scored
48.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.343.486.6-0.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.741.386.0+3.479%-
Last 30 away (16)42.045.287.2-3.238%-
Last 10 (10)41.348.589.8-7.230%-
Last 5 (5)41.648.289.8-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)42.547.890.3-5.350%-
vs Similar (14)44.341.886.1+2.564%-
vs Weaker (10)42.342.985.2-0.650%-
This opponent (Guelph Nighthawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Guelph NighthawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Edmonton Stingers
#3
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H22/05
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#4
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H30/05
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#2
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A02/06
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#8
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H06/06
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#2
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H08/06
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H09/06
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H15/06
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H16/06
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#8
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A21/06
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#3
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A23/06
CEBL
87.1Avg total
43.9Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.839.279.0+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.638.077.6+1.644%-
Last 30 away (14)40.040.680.6-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)43.943.287.1+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)45.042.687.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.043.080.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (17)39.240.679.8-1.441%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.735.877.5+5.970%-
This opponent (Ottawa Blackjacks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ottawa Blackjackstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ottawa Blackjacks: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.9 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.922.2
49.4%
50.6%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.5
32.0%
35.2%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.215.8
74.5%
74.7%15.8
They take 71.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guelph Nighthawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guelph Nighthawks: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.9 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.221.4
51.9%
50.6%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.212.2
40.4%
35.2%36.6
🏀 Free throws14.39.7
67.8%
74.7%9.7
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jun 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ottawa Blackjacks
WLLWLLWLLL
Guelph Nighthawks
WWWLWLWLLL
#6
League position
#5
-9.5
Net rating
+5.2
101.6
Offensive rating
108.6
111.1
Defensive rating
103.4
48.9%
Effective FG%
55.6%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
17.2%
Turnover %
19.4%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.20
32.0%
3-point %
40.4%
65.5%
Assist %
58.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.6 · 108.6Defence111.1 · 103.4Shooting48.9% · 55.6%3-point %32.0% · 40.4%Ball care17.2% · 19.4%Off. rebounds25.9% · 29.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Ottawa Blackjacks   ■ Guelph Nighthawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
27/06/24HScarborough Shooting Stars102-80
23/06/24AFraser Valley Bandits67-104
21/06/24AEdmonton Stingers91-92
15/06/24HNiagara River90-86
14/06/24AScarborough Shooting Stars91-105
11/06/24HMontreal Alliance89-104
05/06/24AMontreal Alliance87-86
02/06/24AWinnipeg Sea Bears80-93
29/05/24HEdmonton Stingers84-92
26/05/24ABrampton Honey Badgers82-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/06/24AEdmonton Stingers91-80
21/06/24ASaskatchewan Rattlers105-77
16/06/24HBrampton Honey Badgers88-76
15/06/24HEdmonton Stingers84-91
09/06/24HWinnipeg Sea Bears110-78
08/06/24HFraser Valley Bandits65-70
06/06/24HSaskatchewan Rattlers102-85
02/06/24AFraser Valley Bandits74-100
30/05/24HScarborough Shooting Stars97-104
22/05/24HEdmonton Stingers79-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ottawa Blackjacks
CEBL 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW30%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %30%50%17%
Points / game86.391.283.0
Allowed / game94.190.596.5
Point differential-7.8+0.8-13.5
Avg total180.4181.8179.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guelph Nighthawks
CEBL 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW50%
HomeWLWLW43%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %50%43%67%
Points / game89.589.390.0
Allowed / game85.885.985.7
Point differential+3.7+3.4+4.3
Avg total175.3175.1175.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%43%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fraser Valley Bandits108280%93.081.6+11.4
2 Edmonton Stingers107370%89.286.3+2.9
3 Niagara River106460%89.883.9+5.9
4 Scarborough Shooting Stars116555%92.390.6+1.6
5 Winnipeg Sea Bears116555%92.396.1-3.8
6 Guelph Nighthawks105550%89.585.8+3.7
7 Saskatchewan Rattlers105550%89.392.5-3.2
8 Brampton Honey Badgers124833%81.588.2-6.8
9 Ottawa Blackjacks103730%86.394.1-7.8
10 Montreal Alliance123925%87.189.1-2.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ottawa Blackjacks3130181190
Guelph Nighthawks24232528100
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