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Guelph vs TMU Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 76-80
23-20 18-18 16-22 19-20
Position#41
Record5-10
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game84.1
vs
TMU 🏆
Canada
Position#18
Record8-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game78.1
CanadaU Sports
Other2023-24
Meetings · Guelph v TMU
20 Jan 2024
GUEL76
TMU80
05 Feb 2020
GUEL85
TMU91
15 Nov 2017
GUEL57
TMU82
17 Feb 2016
GUEL96
TMU92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guelph winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
TMU winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuelphCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Algoma
#47
W
83-58
83
58
+25
H18/11
U Sports
Laurier
#13
L
79-91
79
91
-12
H23/11
U Sports
Laurier
#13
W
96-87
96
87
+9
A25/11
U Sports
Queens
#1
L
87-88
87
88
-1
A02/12
U Sports
Ontario Univ.
#6
L
63-87
63
87
-24
A03/12
U Sports
Toronto
#12
L
85-95
85
95
-10
A05/01
U Sports
Windsor
#42
W
104-83
104
83
+21
H07/01
U Sports
Lakehead
#32
L
84-87
84
87
-3
H13/01
U Sports
Brock
#25
L
91-92
91
92
-1
H14/01
U Sports
McMaster
#22
W
90-84
90
84
+6
A18/01
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
19-16
21-11
22-18
11-25
31-23
22-21
15-22
26-17
25-25
28-21
17-24
21-28
25-20
20-16
21-24
14-21
15-22
13-27
21-17
19-29
16-16
22-22
28-28
27-18
20-10
23-32
34-23
21-18
19-21
19-32
25-16
25-23
30-21
17-18
19-30
22-15
19-21
25-22
24-26
171.4Avg total
86.2Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.584.1166.6-1.533%
Season at home (9)83.282.9166.1+0.333%
Season away (6)81.585.8167.3-4.333%
Last 10 (10)86.285.2171.4+1.040%
Last 5 (5)90.888.2179.0+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)78.886.5165.3-7.629%
vs Similar (6)83.385.3168.7-2.033%
vs Weaker (7)88.669.7158.3+18.9100%
This opponent (TMU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TMUCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto
#12
W
96-91
96
91
+5
A16/11
U Sports
Toronto
#12
W
100-93
100
93
+7
H18/11
U Sports
McMaster
#22
W
81-68
81
68
+13
A23/11
U Sports
Ontario Univ.
#6
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H25/11
U Sports
Laurier
#13
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H30/11
U Sports
Waterloo
#37
W
73-56
73
56
+17
A02/12
U Sports
Brock
#25
L
89-90 OT
89
90
-1
A06/01
U Sports
Windsor
#42
W
92-51
92
51
+41
A13/01
U Sports
West. Ontario Univ.
#5
W
100-92
100
92
+8
A14/01
U Sports
Queens
#1
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H20/01
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
25-23
28-27
17-24
24-21
31-25
16-28
29-19
23-18
24-26
16-11
18-13
23-25
15-15
16-21
18-13
23-27
19-11
22-23
17-27
16-21
17-12
23-11
17-12
21-18
23-23
15-17
19-20
29-5
14-19
27-11
22-16
26-15
31-21
20-25
23-31
22-21
27-22
8-26
16-13
164.2Avg total
85.7Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)84.078.1162.1+5.957%
Season at home (8)80.680.8161.4-0.138%
Season away (6)88.574.7163.2+13.883%
Last 10 (10)85.778.5164.2+7.260%
Last 5 (5)85.474.2159.6+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.380.3152.7-8.00%
vs Similar (11)85.583.1168.5+2.455%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)83.173.9157.0+9.281%
This opponent (Guelph) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
GuelphTMU
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuelphLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Algoma
#47
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H18/11
U Sports
Laurier
#13
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H23/11
U Sports
Laurier
#13
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A25/11
U Sports
Queens
#1
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A02/12
U Sports
Ontario Univ.
#6
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A03/12
U Sports
Toronto
#12
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A05/01
U Sports
Windsor
#42
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H07/01
U Sports
Lakehead
#32
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H13/01
U Sports
Brock
#25
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H14/01
U Sports
McMaster
#22
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A18/01
U Sports
82.8Avg total
42.6Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.540.280.8+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.541.483.9+1.159%-
Last 30 away (13)38.038.776.7-0.738%-
Last 10 (10)42.640.282.8+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.638.482.0+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)40.343.583.8-3.229%-
vs Similar (6)38.738.577.2+0.267%-
vs Weaker (7)42.733.776.4+9.086%-
This opponent (TMU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TMULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto
#12
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A16/11
U Sports
Toronto
#12
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H18/11
U Sports
McMaster
#22
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A23/11
U Sports
Ontario Univ.
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H25/11
U Sports
Laurier
#13
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H30/11
U Sports
Waterloo
#37
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A02/12
U Sports
Brock
#25
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A06/01
U Sports
Windsor
#42
W
43-24
43
24
+19
A13/01
U Sports
West. Ontario Univ.
#5
W
57-36
57
36
+21
A14/01
U Sports
Queens
#1
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H20/01
U Sports
84.4Avg total
45.9Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.837.980.8+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.939.582.4+3.465%-
Last 30 away (13)42.835.978.7+6.869%-
Last 10 (10)45.938.584.4+7.480%-
Last 5 (5)45.235.480.6+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.745.791.3+0.033%-
vs Similar (11)45.639.284.8+6.573%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.435.676.0+4.869%-
This opponent (Guelph) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Guelph wins
7
TMU wins
DateGameScore
05/01/23TMU v Guelph81-69
19/02/20TMU v Guelph109-63
06/02/20Guelph v TMU85-91
01/11/18TMU v Guelph96-59
16/11/17Guelph v TMU57-82
08/01/17TMU v Guelph98-76
18/02/16Guelph v TMU96-92
05/02/15TMU v Guelph82-63
Guelphlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/24AMcMaster90-84
14/01/24HBrock91-92
13/01/24HLakehead84-87
07/01/24HWindsor104-83
05/01/24AToronto85-95
03/12/23AOntario Univ.63-87
02/12/23AQueens87-88
25/11/23ALaurier96-87
23/11/23HLaurier79-91
18/11/23HAlgoma83-58
TMUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24HQueens73-82
14/01/24AWest. Ontario Univ.100-92
13/01/24AWindsor92-51
06/01/24ABrock89-90 OT
02/12/23AWaterloo73-56
30/11/23HLaurier81-88
25/11/23HOntario Univ.72-74
23/11/23AMcMaster81-68
18/11/23HToronto100-93
16/11/23AToronto96-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guelph
U Sports 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW33%
HomeWLWLL33%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game82.583.281.5
Allowed / game84.182.985.8
Point differential-1.5+0.3-4.3
Avg total166.6166.1167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %7%0%17%
TMU
U Sports 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeLWLLL38%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %57%38%83%
Points / game84.080.688.5
Allowed / game78.180.874.7
Point differential+5.9-0.1+13.8
Avg total162.1161.4163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 University of Ottawa1514193%82.967.9+15.1
2 UQAM87188%75.669.1+6.5
3 Laurier1311285%80.771.9+8.8
4 Regina1311285%72.467.6+4.8
5 Concordia108280%74.169.9+4.2
6 Queens1411379%84.568.4+16.1
7 West. Ontario Univ.1511473%93.382.3+10.9
8 Manitoba1511473%82.775.5+7.2
9 Calgary1511473%88.983.3+5.7
10 Brandon1511473%83.177.5+5.5
11 Victoria118373%93.280.0+13.2
12 Ontario Univ.1410471%75.073.4+1.6
13 UBC1510567%82.176.9+5.2
14 StFX128467%81.779.3+2.3
15 Winnipeg149564%79.473.4+6.0
16 Alberta138562%81.273.0+8.2
17 Saskatchewan138562%74.873.0+1.8
18 TMU148657%84.078.1+5.9
19 Toronto148657%88.886.0+2.8
20 Carleton148657%79.277.1+2.1
21 Dalhousie148657%78.876.7+2.1
22 Memorial148657%80.981.6-0.7
23 UNBC137654%79.075.7+3.3
24 Saint Marys137654%81.183.3-2.2
25 Bishop's105550%82.076.6+5.4
26 Brock147750%76.676.4+0.2
27 McMaster147750%76.677.6-1.0
28 Lakehead157847%83.182.9+0.2
29 UPEI136746%78.577.3+1.2
30 Acadia146843%84.983.1+1.8
31 Cape Breton146843%86.388.2-1.9
32 Waterloo146843%66.870.2-3.4
33 York146843%79.884.9-5.1
34 Mount Royal135838%79.387.2-7.8
35 UNB145936%79.181.4-2.2
36 Guelph1551033%82.584.1-1.5
37 UFV134931%76.881.6-4.8
38 UBC Okanagan1441029%74.486.7-12.3
39 Thompson Rivers123925%72.974.0-1.1
40 Lethbridge1641225%78.783.2-4.6
41 Laval92722%70.672.2-1.7
42 Nipissing1431121%69.682.1-12.5
43 Windsor1321115%71.580.6-9.1
44 Trinity Western1321115%75.585.8-10.4
45 Laurentian1521313%62.877.3-14.5
46 McGill91811%63.378.1-14.8
47 Algoma131128%66.985.5-18.6
48 MacEwan140140%67.085.5-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 48 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guelph2318161976
TMU2018222080
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