Guelph vs TMU Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Feb 2020

Tip-off: 01:00

Final 85-91

18-25 30-20 25-18 12-28

Position#30

Record7-11

FormLLWLL

Points / game79.5

Allowed / game82.7

Guelph

TMU 🏆

Position#10

Record12-6

FormWWLWW

Points / game85.4

Allowed / game74.0

U Sports

Other2019-20

Meetings · Guelph v TMU

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guelph winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

TMU winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Guelph

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Windsor

#27

77-98

-21

A28/11

U Sports

West. Ontario Univ.

#13

78-89

-11

H30/11

U Sports

Ontario Univ.

#48

94-72

+22

A09/01

U Sports

Waterloo

#39

79-69

+10

A11/01

U Sports

Laurier

#24

83-75

H16/01

U Sports

Lakehead

66-80

-14

H19/01

U Sports

West. Ontario Univ.

#13

73-94

-21

A23/01

U Sports

Windsor

#27

94-93

H25/01

U Sports

Nipissing

#34

80-82

-2

A01/02

U Sports

Laurentian

#11

65-87

-22

A02/02

U Sports

14-29

23-30

22-21

18-18

24-19

17-23

17-25

20-22

19-15

22-22

28-15

25-20

21-16

18-19

15-16

25-18

19-12

15-15

17-24

32-24

14-19

19-18

11-17

22-26

28-28

18-19

12-31

15-16

20-26

21-21

30-11

23-35

18-33

16-9

25-17

21-23

20-18

14-18

15-27

16-24

162.8Avg total

78.9Scored

83.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	79.5	82.7	162.2	-3.2	39%
Season at home (8)	83.6	82.4	166.0	+1.2	50%
Season away (10)	76.2	82.9	159.1	-6.7	30%
Last 10 (10)	78.9	83.9	162.8	-5.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	75.6	87.2	162.8	-11.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	75.0	85.7	160.7	-10.7	14%
vs Similar (6)	78.3	86.2	164.5	-7.8	33%
vs Weaker (10)	85.6	75.5	161.1	+10.1	80%

This opponent (TMU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TMU

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Toronto

#38

73-80

-7

H28/11

U Sports

Laurier

#24

77-62

+15

A30/11

U Sports

McMaster

#21

98-90

A09/01

U Sports

West. Ontario Univ.

#13

87-82

H11/01

U Sports

Waterloo

#39

95-74

+21

A16/01

U Sports

Toronto

#38

94-73

+21

A19/01

U Sports

University of Ottawa

91-67

+24

H25/01

U Sports

Carleton

82-88

-6

H26/01

U Sports

McMaster

#21

116-95

116

+21

H30/01

U Sports

Brock

#23

87-55

+32

H02/02

U Sports

15-18

21-20

18-18

19-24

16-10

21-18

22-14

18-20

23-26

22-20

30-19

23-25

20-16

34-15

17-31

16-20

29-14

18-17

33-22

15-21

20-16

28-22

24-24

22-11

23-26

16-6

27-15

25-20

16-19

27-27

14-21

25-21

38-26

28-14

27-21

23-34

29-14

24-14

22-16

12-11

166.6Avg total

90.0Scored

76.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	85.4	74.0	159.4	+11.4	67%
Season at home (10)	84.6	76.7	161.3	+7.9	60%
Season away (8)	86.4	70.6	157.0	+15.8	75%
Last 10 (10)	90.0	76.6	166.6	+13.4	80%
Last 5 (5)	94.0	75.6	169.6	+18.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	73.7	81.0	154.7	-7.3	33%
vs Similar (1)	65.0	67.0	132.0	-2.0	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	86.1	71.5	157.6	+14.6	77%

This opponent (Guelph) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

GuelphTMU

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.0	20.6	40.6	-0.6	48%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	21.5	19.0	40.5	+2.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	21.7	40.6	-2.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	21.5	41.2	-1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	24.8	44.8	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.8	20.8	40.5	-1.0	46%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.0	22.8	41.8	-3.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.0	18.6	39.6	+2.4	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	21.2	16.9	38.1	+4.3	54%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	17.1	39.2	+5.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	16.8	37.1	+3.5	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	18.5	41.4	+4.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	20.2	45.4	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.0	21.0	38.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	14.0	18.0	32.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	22.0	16.4	38.4	+5.7	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	18.6	19.4	38.0	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	18.7	20.4	39.1	-1.6	27%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	18.8	37.2	-0.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	19.4	37.7	-1.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	17.0	34.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	17.0	19.9	36.9	-2.9	23%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.2	21.5	39.7	-3.3	17%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.4	17.1	38.5	+4.2	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	21.2	17.6	38.8	+3.6	61%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.0	17.2	39.2	+4.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	18.0	38.4	+2.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	17.3	41.2	+6.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	16.6	41.2	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.7	21.0	40.7	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (1)	10.0	18.0	28.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	21.9	17.2	39.0	+4.7	67%	-

GuelphLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Windsor

#27

37-59

-22

A28/11

U Sports

West. Ontario Univ.

#13

41-42

-1

H30/11

U Sports

Ontario Univ.

#48

41-37

A09/01

U Sports

Waterloo

#39

39-35

A11/01

U Sports

Laurier

#24

34-27

H16/01

U Sports

Lakehead

33-37

-4

H19/01

U Sports

West. Ontario Univ.

#13

46-47

-1

A23/01

U Sports

Windsor

#27

41-47

-6

H25/01

U Sports

Nipissing

#34

34-42

-8

A01/02

U Sports

Laurentian

#11

34-36

-2

A02/02

U Sports

78.9Avg total

38.0Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	38.5	40.0	78.6	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	40.2	39.4	79.5	+0.8	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.4	40.5	77.9	-3.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	40.9	78.9	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	41.8	79.4	-4.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	36.8	40.7	77.5	-3.9	23%	-
vs Similar (6)	37.2	44.3	81.5	-7.2	17%	-
vs Weaker (8)	42.4	35.8	78.1	+6.6	62%	-

This opponent (TMU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TMULast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Toronto

#38

36-38

-2

H28/11

U Sports

Laurier

#24

37-28

A30/11

U Sports

McMaster

#21

45-46

-1

A09/01

U Sports

West. Ontario Univ.

#13

54-31

+23

H11/01

U Sports

Waterloo

#39

47-31

+16

A16/01

U Sports

Toronto

#38

48-38

+10

A19/01

U Sports

University of Ottawa

39-32

H25/01

U Sports

Carleton

43-46

-3

H26/01

U Sports

McMaster

#21

66-40

+26

H30/01

U Sports

Brock

#23

53-28

+25

H02/02

U Sports

82.6Avg total

46.8Scored

35.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	42.4	34.5	77.0	+7.9	68%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.1	34.3	78.4	+9.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.7	34.8	75.5	+5.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.8	35.8	82.6	+11.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.8	36.8	86.6	+13.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.7	42.0	78.7	-5.3	33%	-
vs Similar (1)	24.0	36.0	60.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	43.9	33.5	77.5	+10.4	75%	-

This opponent (Guelph) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.4	20.4	39.9	-1.0	41%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.7	20.2	40.9	+0.5	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	20.6	39.1	-2.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	20.4	39.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.6	39.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	17.5	23.5	41.1	-6.0	23%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.2	17.5	37.7	+2.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	22.0	17.5	39.5	+4.5	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	21.8	19.8	41.6	+2.0	54%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	18.7	39.2	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.1	20.9	44.0	+2.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	20.1	43.5	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.4	42.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.3	19.0	35.3	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar (1)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	22.5	19.9	42.5	+2.6	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	21.4	22.1	43.5	-0.7	41%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	24.0	25.5	49.5	-1.5	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	19.7	39.3	-0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	22.6	44.3	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	24.8	44.2	-5.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	20.7	21.8	42.5	-1.2	31%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.0	24.3	45.3	-3.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	22.9	20.8	43.6	+2.1	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.6	18.2	37.8	+1.4	54%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	18.7	38.6	+1.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	17.7	37.1	+1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.7	40.5	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.7	20.0	40.7	+0.7	33%	-
vs Similar (1)	21.0	11.0	32.0	+10.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	19.4	18.3	37.7	+1.1	54%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	40.9	42.5	83.3	-1.6	44%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	44.7	45.7	90.5	-1.0	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.2	40.2	78.4	-2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	43.0	83.9	-2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	45.4	83.4	-7.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	38.2	45.4	83.6	-7.2	15%	-
vs Similar (6)	41.2	41.8	83.0	-0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	44.9	38.2	83.1	+6.6	88%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	41.4	38.0	79.4	+3.4	61%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.4	37.4	77.8	+2.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.4	38.6	81.1	+3.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	40.8	84.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	38.8	83.0	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	37.0	39.0	76.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	41.0	31.0	72.0	+10.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	42.0	38.2	80.2	+3.8	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Guelph wins

TMU wins

Date	Game	Score
01/11/18	TMU v Guelph	96-59
16/11/17	Guelph v TMU	57-82
08/01/17	TMU v Guelph	98-76
18/02/16	Guelph v TMU	96-92
05/02/15	TMU v Guelph	82-63

Guelphlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/02/20	A	Laurentian	65-87
01/02/20	A	Nipissing	80-82
25/01/20	H	Windsor	94-93
23/01/20	A	West. Ontario Univ.	73-94
19/01/20	H	Lakehead	66-80
16/01/20	H	Laurier	83-75
11/01/20	A	Waterloo	79-69
09/01/20	A	Ontario Univ.	94-72
30/11/19	H	West. Ontario Univ.	78-89
28/11/19	A	Windsor	77-98

TMUlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/02/20	H	Brock	87-55
30/01/20	H	McMaster	116-95
26/01/20	H	Carleton	82-88
25/01/20	H	University of Ottawa	91-67
19/01/20	A	Toronto	94-73
16/01/20	A	Waterloo	95-74
11/01/20	H	West. Ontario Univ.	87-82
09/01/20	A	McMaster	98-90
30/11/19	A	Laurier	77-62
28/11/19	H	Toronto	73-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guelph

U Sports 2019-20

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	39%
Home	WLWLW	50%
Away	WWLLL	30%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	8	10
Win %	39%	50%	30%
Points / game	79.5	83.6	76.2
Allowed / game	82.7	82.4	82.9
Point differential	-3.2	+1.2	-6.7
Avg total	162.2	166.0	159.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	25%	30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

TMU

U Sports 2019-20

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	67%
Home	WWLWW	60%
Away	LWWWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	10	8
Win %	67%	60%	75%
Points / game	85.4	84.6	86.4
Allowed / game	74.0	76.7	70.6
Point differential	+11.4	+7.9	+15.8
Avg total	159.4	161.3	157.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	40%	62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	50% (4)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Carleton	19	19	0	100%	97.9	64.4	+33.5
2	Alberta	18	17	1	94%	91.6	71.9	+19.7
3	Dalhousie	16	15	1	94%	87.9	64.2	+23.6
4	Calgary	18	16	2	89%	88.7	70.5	+18.2
5	Manitoba	18	16	2	89%	86.3	79.0	+7.3
6	Lakehead	18	15	3	83%	82.9	75.6	+7.3
7	University of Ottawa	19	15	4	79%	85.8	70.1	+15.7
8	UBC	18	14	4	78%	93.4	77.2	+16.2
9	Victoria	18	14	4	78%	81.1	70.1	+11.1
10	Laurentian	18	13	5	72%	82.0	74.6	+7.4
11	Saskatchewan	18	13	5	72%	84.4	79.6	+4.8
12	West. Ontario Univ.	19	13	6	68%	86.2	78.7	+7.5
13	TMU	18	12	6	67%	85.4	74.0	+11.4
14	UFV	18	12	6	67%	86.3	79.9	+6.4
15	McGill	12	8	4	67%	83.1	77.2	+5.8
16	Queens	18	12	6	67%	83.3	77.6	+5.7
17	UNB	15	10	5	67%	82.0	76.4	+5.6
18	Concordia	11	7	4	64%	77.2	75.6	+1.5
19	McMaster	18	11	7	61%	88.3	82.6	+5.8
20	StFX	16	9	7	56%	82.6	85.9	-3.4
21	Brock	18	10	8	56%	77.8	73.5	+4.3
22	Winnipeg	18	10	8	56%	78.4	76.8	+1.7
23	UQAM	13	7	6	54%	77.7	77.2	+0.5
24	Regina	18	9	9	50%	84.9	80.8	+4.2
25	Thompson Rivers	18	9	9	50%	80.3	77.1	+3.2
26	Saint Marys	16	8	8	50%	76.9	80.2	-3.3
27	Laurier	19	9	10	47%	78.8	74.4	+4.4
28	Bishop's	11	5	6	45%	80.4	82.0	-1.6
29	Windsor	18	8	10	44%	81.0	85.0	-4.0
30	Cape Breton	15	6	9	40%	78.0	82.7	-4.7
31	Lethbridge	18	7	11	39%	89.8	91.4	-1.6
32	Guelph	18	7	11	39%	79.5	82.7	-3.2
33	Memorial	16	6	10	38%	78.8	81.2	-2.5
34	Nipissing	18	6	12	33%	70.1	83.4	-13.3
35	Acadia	16	5	11	31%	77.7	85.3	-7.6
36	Brandon	18	5	13	28%	78.7	84.0	-5.3
37	Waterloo	18	5	13	28%	73.9	84.7	-10.7
38	Toronto	18	4	14	22%	76.4	84.3	-7.9
39	UPEI	14	3	11	21%	72.8	81.6	-8.8
40	Laval	11	2	9	18%	78.6	85.5	-6.9
41	UNBC	18	3	15	17%	73.2	85.7	-12.6
42	Mount Royal	18	3	15	17%	81.4	94.8	-13.4
43	UBC Okanagan	20	3	17	15%	67.2	91.5	-24.2
44	Trinity Western	18	2	16	11%	86.4	102.4	-16.0
45	York	18	2	16	11%	73.3	89.3	-16.0
46	Algoma	18	2	16	11%	67.1	88.0	-20.9
47	MacEwan	18	1	17	6%	73.1	90.0	-16.9
48	Ontario Univ.	18	1	17	6%	64.9	95.3	-30.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 48 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Guelph	18	30	25	12	85
TMU	25	20	18	28	91

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Guelph vs TMU Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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