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Guelph vs Western Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 81-68
11-18 22-12 28-20 20-18
Position#29
Record2-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Position#21
Record3-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game75.3
CanadaU Sports
Other2015-16
Meetings · Guelph v Western
24 Oct 2018
GUEL77
WEST87
09 Jan 2016
GUEL81
WEST68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guelph winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuelphCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McMaster
#5
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A14/02
U Sports
Lakehead
#19
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H21/02
U Sports
Lakehead
#19
L
74-89
74
89
-15
H22/02
U Sports
Lakehead
#22
L
64-65
64
65
-1
A07/11
U Sports
Lakehead
#22
W
61-50
61
50
+11
A08/11
U Sports
Carleton
#1
L
59-85
59
85
-26
H14/11
U Sports
University of Ottawa
#4
L
70-77
70
77
-7
H15/11
U Sports
Laurentian
#39
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H21/11
U Sports
Nipissing
#44
W
77-59
77
59
+18
H22/11
U Sports
McMaster
#7
L
77-99
77
99
-22
A28/11
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
11-12
22-17
24-31
9-20
19-15
20-19
21-12
9-19
17-22
24-22
24-26
14-16
19-18
17-20
14-11
22-9
16-17
13-13
10-11
14-22
16-19
17-19
12-25
14-24
22-15
16-26
18-12
18-16
19-14
23-33
19-20
20-8
19-14
11-14
27-23
24-24
11-25
17-24
25-26
145.4Avg total
69.9Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)69.674.0143.6-4.429%
Season at home (4)71.276.0147.2-4.825%
Season away (3)67.371.3138.7-4.033%
Last 10 (10)69.975.5145.4-5.630%
Last 5 (5)72.480.6153.0-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)68.289.6157.8-21.30%
vs Similar ◀ (7)71.172.0143.1-0.943%
vs Weaker (10)76.063.5139.5+12.570%
This opponent (Western) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WesternCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lakehead
#19
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A15/02
U Sports
Laurier
#34
W
76-48
76
48
+28
H19/02
U Sports
Waterloo
#38
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A21/02
U Sports
Waterloo
#46
W
90-69
90
69
+21
H05/11
U Sports
Laurier
#35
L
71-76 OT
71
76
-5
A07/11
U Sports
Windsor
#9
W
83-63
83
63
+20
A14/11
U Sports
TMU
#2
L
64-92
64
92
-28
H21/11
U Sports
Toronto
#37
W
81-56
81
56
+25
H22/11
U Sports
Carleton
#1
L
47-83
47
83
-36
A28/11
U Sports
University of Ottawa
#4
L
57-88
57
88
-31
A29/11
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-10
12-18
16-18
13-21
22-4
19-14
16-16
19-14
18-10
15-28
16-21
22-23
19-5
25-21
23-23
23-20
19-20
19-11
16-23
12-12
13-8
26-23
22-14
22-18
15-19
16-27
22-26
11-20
25-16
15-8
18-18
23-14
5-18
11-23
17-18
14-24
16-14
4-26
20-18
17-30
142.2Avg total
69.8Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)70.475.3145.7-4.943%
Season at home (3)78.372.3150.7+6.067%
Season away (4)64.577.5142.0-13.025%
Last 10 (10)69.872.4142.2-2.640%
Last 5 (5)66.476.4142.8-10.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)63.987.0150.9-23.111%
vs Similar ◀ (3)75.367.0142.3+8.367%
vs Weaker (15)78.366.3144.6+12.180%
This opponent (Guelph) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -2.0-2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -2.0-2.0
GuelphWestern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuelphLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McMaster
#5
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A14/02
U Sports
Lakehead
#19
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H21/02
U Sports
Lakehead
#19
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H22/02
U Sports
Lakehead
#22
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A07/11
U Sports
Lakehead
#22
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A08/11
U Sports
Carleton
#1
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H14/11
U Sports
University of Ottawa
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H15/11
U Sports
Laurentian
#39
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H21/11
U Sports
Nipissing
#44
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H22/11
U Sports
McMaster
#7
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A28/11
U Sports
67.6Avg total
32.5Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)33.835.769.5-2.038%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.034.270.2+1.846%-
Last 30 away (13)31.537.268.8-5.731%-
Last 10 (10)32.535.167.6-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)35.436.271.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)30.043.473.4-13.411%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)34.636.070.6-1.429%-
vs Weaker (10)36.628.665.2+8.070%-
This opponent (Western) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lakehead
#19
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A15/02
U Sports
Laurier
#34
W
41-18
41
18
+23
H19/02
U Sports
Waterloo
#38
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A21/02
U Sports
Waterloo
#46
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H05/11
U Sports
Laurier
#35
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A07/11
U Sports
Windsor
#9
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A14/11
U Sports
TMU
#2
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H21/11
U Sports
Toronto
#37
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H22/11
U Sports
Carleton
#1
L
16-41
16
41
-25
A28/11
U Sports
University of Ottawa
#4
L
20-40
20
40
-20
A29/11
U Sports
65.4Avg total
33.1Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)33.934.568.4-0.554%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.734.971.6+1.854%-
Last 30 away (13)31.234.065.2-2.854%-
Last 10 (10)33.132.365.4+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)29.236.465.6-7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)27.442.369.8-14.911%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)36.033.069.0+3.067%-
vs Weaker (14)37.629.767.4+7.979%-
This opponent (Guelph) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Guelph wins
1
Western wins
DateGameScore
08/11/14Western v Guelph85-71
Guelphlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/15AMcMaster77-99
22/11/15HNipissing77-59
21/11/15HLaurentian79-83
15/11/15HUniversity of Ottawa70-77
14/11/15HCarleton59-85
08/11/15ALakehead61-50
07/11/15ALakehead64-65
22/02/15HLakehead74-89
21/02/15HLakehead69-66
14/02/15AMcMaster69-82
Westernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/15AUniversity of Ottawa57-88
28/11/15ACarleton47-83
22/11/15HToronto81-56
21/11/15HTMU64-92
14/11/15AWindsor83-63
07/11/15ALaurier71-76 OT
05/11/15HWaterloo90-69
21/02/15AWaterloo71-82
19/02/15HLaurier76-48
15/02/15ALakehead58-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guelph
U Sports 2015-16
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL29%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game69.671.267.3
Allowed / game74.076.071.3
Point differential-4.4-4.8-4.0
Avg total143.6147.2138.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Western
U Sports 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL43%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game70.478.364.5
Allowed / game75.372.377.5
Point differential-4.9+6.0-13.0
Avg total145.7150.7142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Carleton770100%90.055.1+34.9
2 University of Ottawa770100%87.757.9+29.9
3 McGill440100%81.264.8+16.5
4 Thompson Rivers98189%85.872.7+13.1
5 Brock76186%80.771.4+9.3
6 Queens76186%76.173.0+3.1
7 TMU54180%84.876.8+8.0
8 UBC97278%86.377.4+8.9
9 UPEI86275%97.986.5+11.4
10 McMaster75271%84.372.7+11.6
11 Lethbridge75271%81.677.4+4.1
12 Calgary107370%82.174.2+7.9
13 Manitoba96367%84.478.4+6.0
14 UFV96367%79.174.3+4.8
15 Victoria96367%77.473.7+3.8
16 Dalhousie96367%73.170.3+2.8
17 Regina85362%81.172.6+8.5
18 Acadia85362%88.187.2+0.9
19 UQAM53260%69.868.8+1.0
20 Laurier74357%80.076.6+3.4
21 UNB95456%88.784.2+4.4
22 Laval63350%74.372.0+2.3
23 Winnipeg105550%73.272.5+0.7
24 Windsor84450%74.583.5-9.0
25 Memorial94544%81.181.1+0.0
26 Cape Breton94544%83.485.2-1.8
27 UBC Okanagan94544%68.071.4-3.4
28 MacEwan94544%71.375.3-4.0
29 Alberta94544%67.672.4-4.9
30 Western73443%70.475.3-4.9
31 York83538%78.479.9-1.5
32 Saint Marys83538%81.286.6-5.4
33 Lakehead83538%65.175.5-10.4
34 Saskatchewan93633%79.183.1-4.0
35 Toronto62433%75.879.8-4.0
36 UNBC93633%72.376.4-4.1
37 Concordia62433%61.766.3-4.7
38 Guelph72529%69.674.0-4.4
39 Laurentian72529%72.684.6-12.0
40 Mount Royal92722%74.781.0-6.3
41 Bishop's51420%65.877.2-11.4
42 Waterloo71614%78.490.3-11.9
43 Nipissing71614%61.178.7-17.6
44 StFX81712%77.590.5-13.0
45 Trinity Western8080%69.486.1-16.8
46 Brandon8080%71.488.5-17.1
47 Algoma8080%59.977.2-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 47 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guelph1122282081
Western1812201868
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