McMaster vs Guelph Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Feb 2015

Tip-off: 20:00

Final 82-69

22-12 12-11 17-22 31-24

Position#5

Record13-3

FormWWWWW

Points / game84.1

Allowed / game74.0

McMaster 🏆

Guelph

Position#29

Record7-9

FormLWLLL

Points / game73.3

Allowed / game74.4

U Sports

Other2014-15

Meetings · McMaster v Guelph

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

McMaster winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Guelph winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

McMaster

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Western

#17

83-77

A27/11

U Sports

Windsor

#11

84-72

+12

A30/11

U Sports

Laurier

#34

85-75

+10

H08/01

U Sports

TMU

78-98

-20

A10/01

U Sports

Laurentian

#31

83-80

A17/01

U Sports

Nipissing

#47

83-53

+30

A18/01

U Sports

Waterloo

#38

81-64

+17

H25/01

U Sports

Guelph

#29

86-74

+12

A29/01

U Sports

Toronto

#36

85-63

+22

A31/01

U Sports

Queens

#39

71-49

+22

H07/02

U Sports

18-9

20-19

18-19

27-30

18-23

26-17

18-19

22-13

25-18

16-19

21-16

23-22

27-27

16-13

18-26

17-32

14-29

26-17

22-19

21-15

15-17

23-0

23-24

22-12

11-17

22-13

28-12

20-22

20-18

19-15

24-22

23-19

23-13

26-11

16-20

20-19

18-4

20-12

20-13

13-20

152.4Avg total

81.9Scored

70.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	84.1	74.0	158.1	+10.1	81%
Season at home (6)	83.3	64.8	148.2	+18.5	100%
Season away (10)	84.5	79.5	164.0	+5.0	70%
Last 10 (10)	81.9	70.5	152.4	+11.4	90%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	60.6	141.8	+20.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	78.7	98.7	177.3	-20.0	0%
vs Similar (1)	84.0	72.0	156.0	+12.0	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	85.4	68.0	153.4	+17.4	100%

This opponent (Guelph) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Guelph

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nipissing

#47

67-44

+23

A30/11

U Sports

Laurier

#34

74-56

+18

H10/01

U Sports

Carleton

59-101

101

-42

A17/01

U Sports

University of Ottawa

68-102

102

-34

A18/01

U Sports

Waterloo

#38

92-60

+32

H22/01

U Sports

McMaster

74-86

-12

H29/01

U Sports

Brock

#32

82-68

+14

H31/01

U Sports

TMU

63-82

-19

A05/02

U Sports

Toronto

#36

71-73

-2

A08/02

U Sports

Brock

#32

55-62

-7

A12/02

U Sports

14-11

23-4

18-10

12-19

22-17

19-18

19-6

14-15

15-21

4-28

18-31

22-21

13-27

17-25

20-27

18-23

28-12

23-16

26-22

15-10

18-20

15-19

22-24

19-23

21-9

17-18

17-21

27-20

18-22

27-19

10-25

8-16

14-20

23-21

21-21

13-11

10-22

13-7

17-17

15-16

143.9Avg total

70.5Scored

73.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	73.3	74.4	147.7	-1.1	44%
Season at home (7)	79.9	68.6	148.4	+11.3	71%
Season away (9)	68.2	78.9	147.1	-10.7	22%
Last 10 (10)	70.5	73.4	143.9	-2.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	69.0	74.2	143.2	-5.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	67.8	92.6	160.4	-24.8	0%
vs Similar (3)	76.7	78.0	154.7	-1.3	33%
vs Weaker (8)	75.5	61.6	137.1	+13.9	75%

This opponent (McMaster) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

McMasterGuelph

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	19.7	19.1	38.8	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	18.2	14.8	33.0	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (10)	20.6	21.6	42.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	17.5	36.4	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	13.8	31.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.7	29.7	52.3	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	18.0	23.0	41.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	19.1	16.1	35.2	+3.0	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	18.0	18.3	36.3	-0.3	44%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	22.0	15.3	37.3	+6.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (9)	14.9	20.7	35.6	-5.8	22%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	18.1	35.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	18.6	34.8	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	14.4	22.4	36.8	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	24.0	20.3	44.3	+3.7	100%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.0	15.0	33.0	+3.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	21.2	14.8	36.0	+6.4	81%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	21.7	14.8	36.5	+6.8	83%	-
Last 30 away (10)	20.9	14.8	35.7	+6.1	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	13.6	35.0	+7.8	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	10.2	32.2	+11.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.0	17.3	35.3	+0.7	67%	-
vs Similar (1)	26.0	17.0	43.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	21.6	14.0	35.6	+7.6	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	16.6	17.8	34.4	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	16.9	18.6	35.4	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 away (9)	16.3	17.2	33.6	-0.9	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	17.5	35.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	16.8	35.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	14.8	23.2	38.0	-8.4	20%	-
vs Similar (3)	15.0	18.3	33.3	-3.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.2	14.2	32.5	+4.0	75%	-

McMasterLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Western

#17

38-28

+10

A27/11

U Sports

Windsor

#11

44-40

A30/11

U Sports

Laurier

#34

41-37

H08/01

U Sports

TMU

43-40

A10/01

U Sports

Laurentian

#31

40-46

-6

A17/01

U Sports

Nipissing

#47

38-17

+21

A18/01

U Sports

Waterloo

#38

33-30

H25/01

U Sports

Guelph

#29

39-33

A29/01

U Sports

Toronto

#36

49-24

+25

A31/01

U Sports

Queens

#39

38-16

+22

H07/02

U Sports

71.4Avg total

40.3Scored

31.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	40.9	33.9	74.8	+7.0	81%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	39.8	29.7	69.5	+10.2	100%	-
Last 30 away (10)	41.5	36.4	77.9	+5.1	70%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	31.1	71.4	+9.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	24.0	63.4	+15.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	40.7	47.0	87.7	-6.3	33%	-
vs Similar (1)	44.0	40.0	84.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	40.7	30.1	70.8	+10.6	92%	-

This opponent (Guelph) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GuelphLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nipissing

#47

37-15

+22

A30/11

U Sports

Laurier

#34

41-35

H10/01

U Sports

Carleton

19-49

-30

A17/01

U Sports

University of Ottawa

30-52

-22

A18/01

U Sports

Waterloo

#38

51-28

+23

H22/01

U Sports

McMaster

33-39

-6

H29/01

U Sports

Brock

#32

38-27

+11

H31/01

U Sports

TMU

45-41

A05/02

U Sports

Toronto

#36

37-41

-4

A08/02

U Sports

Brock

#32

23-29

-6

A12/02

U Sports

71.0Avg total

35.4Scored

35.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	34.6	36.1	70.7	-1.6	44%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	38.9	33.9	72.7	+5.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (9)	31.2	37.9	69.1	-6.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.4	35.6	71.0	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	35.4	70.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	29.2	45.6	74.8	-16.4	20%	-
vs Similar (3)	39.0	38.7	77.7	+0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	36.2	29.2	65.5	+7.0	62%	-

This opponent (McMaster) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	20.8	19.9	40.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	22.8	16.8	39.7	+6.0	83%	-
Last 30 away (10)	19.6	21.7	41.3	-2.1	30%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.2	40.4	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.0	25.3	41.3	-9.3	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	22.2	18.6	40.8	+3.7	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	20.0	20.5	40.5	-0.5	38%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	20.6	17.6	38.1	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (9)	19.6	22.8	42.3	-3.2	22%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	20.4	39.2	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	21.6	39.0	-4.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	19.4	26.8	46.2	-7.4	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	17.3	19.7	37.0	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.4	16.9	38.2	+4.5	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	22.4	20.2	42.6	+2.1	69%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	20.7	18.3	39.0	+2.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (10)	23.4	21.4	44.8	+2.0	70%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.0	26.3	48.3	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar (1)	22.0	13.0	35.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	22.5	19.3	41.8	+3.2	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	18.8	17.8	36.5	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	20.4	17.1	37.6	+3.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (9)	17.4	18.2	35.7	-0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	17.4	33.7	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	17.2	33.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	19.2	20.2	39.4	-1.0	40%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.3	19.7	40.0	+0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	17.9	15.5	33.4	+2.4	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	43.2	40.1	83.3	+3.1	62%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	43.5	35.2	78.7	+8.3	83%	-
Last 30 away (10)	43.0	43.1	86.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	39.4	81.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	36.6	78.4	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	38.0	51.7	89.7	-13.7	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	40.0	32.0	72.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	44.8	37.9	82.7	+6.8	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	38.8	38.2	77.0	+0.5	56%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	41.0	34.7	75.7	+6.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (9)	37.0	41.0	78.0	-4.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.1	37.8	72.9	-2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.8	38.8	72.6	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	38.6	47.0	85.6	-8.4	20%	-
vs Similar (3)	37.7	39.3	77.0	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	39.2	32.4	71.6	+6.9	88%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

McMaster wins

Guelph wins

Date	Game	Score
29/01/15	Guelph v McMaster	74-86

McMasterlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/02/15	H	Queens	71-49
31/01/15	A	Toronto	85-63
29/01/15	A	Guelph	86-74
25/01/15	H	Waterloo	81-64
18/01/15	A	Nipissing	83-53
17/01/15	A	Laurentian	83-80
10/01/15	A	TMU	78-98
08/01/15	H	Laurier	85-75
30/11/14	A	Windsor	84-72
27/11/14	A	Western	83-77

Guelphlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/02/15	A	Brock	55-62
08/02/15	A	Toronto	71-73
05/02/15	A	TMU	63-82
31/01/15	H	Brock	82-68
29/01/15	H	McMaster	74-86
22/01/15	H	Waterloo	92-60
18/01/15	A	University of Ottawa	68-102
17/01/15	A	Carleton	59-101
10/01/15	H	Laurier	74-56
30/11/14	A	Nipissing	67-44

📊 11. Overall Statistics

McMaster

U Sports 2014-15

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	81%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LWWWW	70%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	6	10
Win %	81%	100%	70%
Points / game	84.1	83.3	84.5
Allowed / game	74.0	64.8	79.5
Point differential	+10.1	+18.5	+5.0
Avg total	158.1	148.2	164.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	62%	83%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Guelph

U Sports 2014-15

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	44%
Home	WWWLW	71%
Away	LLLLL	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	7	9
Win %	44%	71%	22%
Points / game	73.3	79.9	68.2
Allowed / game	74.4	68.6	78.9
Point differential	-1.1	+11.3	-10.7
Avg total	147.7	148.4	147.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	57%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	University of Ottawa	16	15	1	94%	92.2	69.1	+23.1
2	UFV	19	17	2	89%	81.9	69.4	+12.6
3	TMU	18	16	2	89%	89.1	65.8	+23.2
4	Carleton	16	14	2	88%	91.3	58.4	+32.9
5	McMaster	16	13	3	81%	84.1	74.0	+10.1
6	UNB	17	13	4	76%	88.2	78.2	+10.0
7	UPEI	17	13	4	76%	94.2	88.9	+5.3
8	Victoria	19	14	5	74%	77.8	71.3	+6.6
9	Saskatchewan	19	14	5	74%	82.7	76.6	+6.2
10	Windsor	17	12	5	71%	84.8	77.1	+7.6
11	Alberta	19	13	6	68%	76.5	68.8	+7.7
12	UBC	19	13	6	68%	88.3	80.6	+7.7
13	McGill	12	8	4	67%	65.5	59.2	+6.2
14	Saint Marys	17	11	6	65%	84.4	81.6	+2.8
15	Western	17	11	6	65%	75.2	73.8	+1.4
16	Calgary	19	12	7	63%	80.2	77.9	+2.3
17	UNBC	20	12	8	60%	76.5	72.8	+3.7
18	Winnipeg	19	11	8	58%	77.6	72.1	+5.6
19	Lakehead	16	9	7	56%	72.7	73.6	-0.9
20	Bishop's	13	7	6	54%	69.7	65.3	+4.4
21	Laval	13	7	6	54%	68.4	69.7	-1.3
22	Dalhousie	17	9	8	53%	77.9	76.5	+1.5
23	Cape Breton	17	9	8	53%	80.3	79.3	+1.0
24	York	17	9	8	53%	77.2	79.0	-1.8
25	Thompson Rivers	19	10	9	53%	78.4	74.8	+3.6
26	Manitoba	19	9	10	47%	79.8	80.6	-0.8
27	Mount Royal	19	9	10	47%	72.0	75.0	-3.0
28	Concordia	13	6	7	46%	67.2	68.8	-1.6
29	Guelph	16	7	9	44%	73.3	74.4	-1.1
30	Laurentian	16	7	9	44%	71.6	74.8	-3.2
31	Regina	19	8	11	42%	79.4	79.1	+0.3
32	Brock	17	7	10	41%	76.7	84.3	-7.6
33	Lethbridge	19	7	12	37%	75.3	79.5	-4.3
34	MacEwan	19	7	12	37%	73.8	79.9	-6.2
35	Laurier	17	6	11	35%	76.8	82.3	-5.5
36	Memorial	16	5	11	31%	76.8	82.6	-5.8
37	Queens	16	5	11	31%	70.1	78.6	-8.6
38	UQAM	13	4	9	31%	66.9	74.2	-7.2
39	Toronto	16	4	12	25%	71.8	81.5	-9.8
40	Acadia	17	4	13	24%	73.5	77.7	-4.2
41	Waterloo	17	4	13	24%	67.3	79.1	-11.8
42	StFX	18	4	14	22%	73.2	83.4	-10.3
43	UBC Okanagan	20	3	17	15%	67.3	77.8	-10.4
44	Algoma	18	2	16	11%	63.4	84.4	-20.9
45	Trinity Western	19	2	17	11%	76.3	92.6	-16.3
46	Brandon	20	2	18	10%	74.2	88.3	-14.1
47	Nipissing	16	0	16	0%	57.5	83.9	-26.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 47 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
McMaster	22	12	17	31	82
Guelph	12	11	22	24	69

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McMaster vs Guelph Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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