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Gunma vs Shiga Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 16 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 10:05
Projected 90-76
Projected total 166.8
Scheduled
Position#6
Record12-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game73.8
Gunma
Japan
Vs
89%
■ GUNM 89%■ SHIG 11%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
4.1/10
Below normal
Shiga
Japan
Position#16
Record7-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game88.8
JapanB League· Open House Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Gunma v Shiga
28 Apr 2027
GUNM v SHIG
upcoming
16 Nov 2026
GUNM v SHIG
upcoming
25 Jan 2026
GUNM92
SHIG76
24 Jan 2026
GUNM92
SHIG76
03 Nov 2024
GUNM102
SHIG65
02 Nov 2024
GUNM82
SHIG81
02 Oct 2022
GUNM92
SHIG71
01 Oct 2022
GUNM88
SHIG80
30 Mar 2022
GUNM84
SHIG83
16 Feb 2022
GUNM v SHIG
upcoming
12 Oct 2014
GUNM72
SHIG83
11 Oct 2014
GUNM85
SHIG96
29 Dec 2013
GUNM70
SHIG84
28 Dec 2013
GUNM85
SHIG84
Sections
Game preview & prediction

On 16 November 2026 the B League will feature Gunma against Shiga, with Gunma the clear favourite as the Pythia model rates them at 89% to win, a reflection of their 12-4 record, 82.8 points scored and 73.8 allowed per game, and sixth place in the standings, while Shiga sits 16th with a 7-9 record, 86.4 points scored and 88.8 allowed. Gunma has dominated at home, going 7-1 with 86.6 points per game and 72.1 allowed, and has won every one of its last five games, including a 90-83 victory over SeaHorses Mikawa away on 6 November and a 87-76 win at home on 9 November; Shiga, meanwhile, has struggled on the road, 2-6 with 83.6 points scored and 94.6 allowed, and has only two wins in its last five, one of which was a 98-88 win over Yokohama away on 14 November. Historically Gunma has led the head-to-head series 7-3 and last met Shiga on 25 January 2026 when Gunma won 92-76. The Pythia model projects a 90-76 score for Gunma, a total of 166.8 points, and an 89% chance that Gunma will win, with a 2% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gunma win
88.8%fair 1.13
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Shiga win
11.2%fair 8.96
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 15:19 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GunmaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGunma
Date
Competition
Saga
#25
W
72-61
72
61
+11
67avg 78
A12/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
86-100
86
100
-14
73avg 78
H17/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
L
80-83
80
83
-3
72avg 78
A19/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
L
85-93
85
93
-8
80avg 78
A23/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
W
85-74
85
74
+11
73avg 78
A26/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
93-60
93
60
+33
94avg 78
H31/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
102-60
102
60
+42
106avg 78
H01/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
W
90-83
90
83
+7
no box
A06/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H09/11
B League
Shinshu
#20
W
85-74
85
74
+11
no box
A13/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
16-12
17-17
23-17
32-33
23-19
16-25
15-23
27-16
14-21
19-19
20-27
22-11
18-33
25-23
20-26
15-21
26-15
11-21
33-17
21-7
20-19
34-10
18-24
24-15
29-20
21-13
28-12
22-14
27-15
19-23
22-31
23-18
21-16
20-25
23-17
21-16
32-20
14-21
18-17
162.9Avg total
86.5Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.873.8156.6+9.175%
Season at home (8)86.672.1158.8+14.588%
Season away (8)79.075.4154.4+3.662%
Last 10 (10)86.576.4162.9+10.170%
Last 5 (5)91.470.6162.0+20.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)82.880.7163.5+2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)83.971.5155.4+12.479%
This opponent (Shiga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShigaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShiga
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#20
W
95-76
95
76
+19
98avg 74
H12/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
L
67-99
67
99
-32
52avg 74
A19/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
92-80
92
80
+12
82avg 74
H21/10
B League
Nagasaki
#21
W
89-85
89
85
+4
83avg 74
H23/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
69-104
69
104
-35
60avg 74
A30/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
64-87
64
87
-23
57avg 74
A01/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
W
81-75
81
75
+6
no box
H06/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
91-96
91
96
-5
no box
A08/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
87-90
87
90
-3
no box
H12/11
B League
Yokohama
#18
W
98-88
98
88
+10
no box
A14/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
28-20
19-17
20-24
22-28
17-31
21-19
7-21
18-26
22-17
23-14
29-23
21-14
16-29
27-9
25-33
20-31
18-29
13-24
18-20
10-28
21-23
19-17
14-19
25-17
13-20
15-16
28-22
30-23
21-20
19-30
21-23
23-11
20-30
26-21
18-28
23-21
21-27
31-19
23-21
171.3Avg total
83.3Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.488.8175.2-2.444%
Season at home (8)89.283.0172.2+6.262%
Season away (8)83.694.6178.2-11.025%
Last 10 (10)83.388.0171.3-4.750%
Last 5 (5)84.287.2171.4-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)82.091.5173.5-9.521%
vs Similar (10)84.678.6163.2+6.080%
vs Weaker (1)92.080.0172.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Gunma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 165.5
Over 165.5
52.7%
Under 165.5
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170.5
Over 170.5
40.5%
Under 170.5
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 175.5
Over 175.5
29.2%
Under 175.5
70.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Gunma total 82
Over 82
80.9%
Under 82
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gunma total 86
Over 86
67.7%
Under 86
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gunma total 90
Over 90
51.6%
Under 90
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shiga total 80.5
Over 80.5
33.7%
Under 80.5
66.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shiga total 84.5
Over 84.5
21.0%
Under 84.5
79.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shiga total 88.5
Over 88.5
11.8%
Under 88.5
88.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Gunma -3
GUNM -3
84.8%
SHIG +3
15.2%
Best 5 market prices
GUNM
No market prices yet.
SHIG
No market prices yet.
Spread Gunma 0
GUNM 0
88.8%
SHIG 0
11.2%
Best 5 market prices
GUNM
No market prices yet.
SHIG
No market prices yet.
Spread Gunma +3
GUNM +3
92.5%
SHIG -3
7.5%
Best 5 market prices
GUNM
No market prices yet.
SHIG
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -3.1-3.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -3.1-3.1
GunmaShiga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GunmaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#25
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A12/10
B League
Alvark
#4
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H17/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A19/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A23/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A26/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H31/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H01/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A06/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H09/11
B League
Shinshu
#20
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A13/11
B League
80.5Avg total
44.9Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.836.679.5+6.280%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.737.080.7+6.793%-
Last 30 away (15)42.036.378.3+5.767%-
Last 10 (10)44.935.680.5+9.390%-
Last 5 (5)48.032.080.0+16.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)46.739.285.8+7.583%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)41.936.077.9+5.979%-
This opponent (Shiga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#20
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H12/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A19/10
B League
Kobe
#24
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H21/10
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H23/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
38-60
38
60
-22
A30/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A01/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H06/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A08/11
B League
Chiba
#14
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H12/11
B League
Yokohama
#18
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A14/11
B League
87.7Avg total
41.7Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.844.084.8-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.342.084.3+0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)39.345.985.3-6.627%-
Last 10 (10)41.746.087.7-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.444.085.4-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)40.746.787.4-6.121%-
vs Similar (10)41.238.880.0+2.470%-
vs Weaker (1)40.043.083.0-3.00%-
This opponent (Gunma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gunmatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gunma: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.0
53.3%
53.6%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.7
32.7%
32.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.717.3
79.7%
73.8%17.3
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shiga: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.020.5
52.6%
53.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.59.0
28.6%
32.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws23.817.3
72.7%
73.8%17.3
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gunma
WWWWWWLLLW
Shiga
WLLWLLWWLW
#6
League position
#16
+9.6
Net rating
-4.6
100.4
Offensive rating
87.7
90.8
Defensive rating
92.3
51.3%
Effective FG%
48.2%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
12.0%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.7%
3-point %
28.6%
64.6%
Assist %
79.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 87.7Defence90.8 · 92.3Shooting51.3% · 48.2%3-point %32.7% · 28.6%Ball care12.0% · 15.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Gunma   ■ Shiga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Gunma wins
3
Shiga wins
DateGameScore
25/01/26Gunma v Shiga92-76
24/01/26Gunma v Shiga92-76
03/11/24Gunma v Shiga102-65
02/11/24Gunma v Shiga82-81
02/10/22Gunma v Shiga92-71
01/10/22Gunma v Shiga88-80
30/03/22Gunma v Shiga84-83
12/10/14Gunma v Shiga72-83
11/10/14Gunma v Shiga85-96
29/12/13Gunma v Shiga70-84
Gunmalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AShinshu85-74
09/11/26HDiamond Dolphins87-76
06/11/26ASeaHorses Mikawa90-83
01/11/26HOsaka102-60
31/10/26HOsaka93-60
26/10/26AAltiri Chiba85-74
23/10/26ARyukyu85-93
19/10/26AUtsunomiya Brex80-83
17/10/26HAlvark86-100
12/10/26ASaga72-61
Shigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AYokohama98-88
12/11/26HChiba87-90
08/11/26ASeaHorses Mikawa91-96
06/11/26HBrave Thunders81-75
01/11/26ADiamond Dolphins64-87
30/10/26ADiamond Dolphins69-104
23/10/26HNagasaki89-85
21/10/26HKobe92-80
19/10/26ARyukyu67-99
12/10/26HShinshu95-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gunma
B League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayLLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %75%88%62%
Points / game82.886.679.0
Allowed / game73.872.175.4
Point differential+9.1+14.5+3.6
Avg total156.6158.8154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shiga
B League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW44%
HomeWWWWL62%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %44%62%25%
Points / game86.489.283.6
Allowed / game88.883.094.6
Point differential-2.4+6.2-11.0
Avg total175.2172.2178.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1412286%91.278.7+12.5
2 Hiroshima D.1613381%89.982.1+7.9
3 SeaHorses Mikawa1411379%91.979.9+11.9
4 Alvark1814478%92.982.3+10.6
5 Sendai1814478%88.680.2+8.4
6 Gunma1612475%82.873.8+9.1
7 NeoPhoenix129375%87.481.6+5.8
8 Tokyo Sunrockers1812667%90.879.9+10.9
9 Levanga Hokkaido1711665%97.393.2+4.1
10 Kyoto169756%84.379.2+5.1
11 Toyama179853%82.688.4-5.8
12 Ibaraki Robots189950%83.779.8+3.9
13 Ryukyu168850%83.481.6+1.8
14 Chiba189950%92.295.1-2.9
15 Shimane167944%83.581.1+2.4
16 Shiga167944%86.488.8-2.4
17 Utsunomiya Brex167944%81.183.6-2.4
18 Yokohama1771041%78.383.8-5.5
19 Altiri Chiba1871139%79.884.7-4.8
20 Shinshu1761135%83.986.8-2.9
21 Nagasaki1861233%77.382.2-4.9
22 Brave Thunders1751229%79.283.9-4.8
23 Akita1851328%83.390.7-7.4
24 Kobe1641225%79.987.3-7.4
25 Saga161156%77.395.6-18.3
26 Osaka171166%70.490.4-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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