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Shiga vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 89-85
21-14 16-29 27-9 25-33
Position#16
Record4-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game88.4
Shiga 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#21
Record4-6
FormWLLLW
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game79.0
JapanB League· Shiga Daihatsu Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Shiga v Nagasaki
23 Oct 2026
SHIG89
NAGA85
14 Dec 2025
SHIG84
NAGA106
13 Dec 2025
SHIG82
NAGA107
29 Jan 2025
SHIG89
NAGA101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shiga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShigaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShiga
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
65-73
65
73
-8
56avg 75
H03/05
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
94-95
94
95
-1
89avg 75
A25/09
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
81-77
81
77
+4
76avg 75
A27/09
B League
Ryukyu
#13
L
87-94
87
94
-7
80avg 75
H03/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
98-72
98
72
+26
101avg 75
H04/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
85-92
85
92
-7
84avg 75
H07/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
105-111
105
111
-6
94avg 75
A10/10
B League
Shinshu
#20
W
95-76
95
76
+19
98avg 75
H12/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
L
67-99
67
99
-32
52avg 75
A19/10
B League
Kobe
#23
W
92-80
92
80
+12
82avg 75
H21/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
13-29
17-18
14-11
28-26
26-18
26-22
14-29
21-18
24-18
19-25
17-16
17-24
26-25
20-20
24-25
16-14
32-14
29-25
21-19
24-34
19-26
23-17
19-15
16-21
20-18
19-26
23-13
28-15
28-20
19-17
20-24
22-28
17-31
21-19
7-21
18-26
22-17
23-14
29-23
173.8Avg total
86.9Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)89.388.4177.8+0.944%
Season at home (5)91.482.8174.2+8.660%
Season away (4)86.895.5182.2-8.825%
Last 10 (10)86.986.9173.8+0.040%
Last 5 (5)88.891.6180.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)83.489.9173.4-6.526%
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.072.3153.3+8.780%
vs Weaker (1)92.080.0172.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Shimane
#18
L
78-85
78
85
-7
72avg 83
H25/09
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
76-84 OT
76
84
-8
62avg 83
A03/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
65-90
65
90
-25
58avg 83
A04/10
B League
Shinshu
#20
W
74-71
74
71
+3
63avg 83
H08/10
B League
Gunma
#6
W
70-59
70
59
+11
66avg 83
H10/10
B League
Kobe
#23
W
85-69
85
69
+16
88avg 83
H12/10
B League
KCC Egis
#1
L
83-98
83
98
-15
no box
H14/10
EASL
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
63-95
63
95
-32
44avg 83
A17/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
L
65-82
65
82
-17
53avg 83
H19/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
84-66
84
66
+18
79avg 83
A21/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
19-17
16-27
21-18
21-10
11-16
12-25
30-23
2-21
22-20
21-31
20-18
19-22
16-24
15-10
24-15
15-16
27-19
9-10
19-14
19-13
20-13
23-26
23-17
16-26
27-17
27-28
13-27
20-30
15-22
17-18
11-25
17-15
16-27
21-18
11-22
24-20
24-15
17-17
19-14
154.2Avg total
74.3Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)72.479.0151.4-6.640%
Season at home (6)72.775.8148.5-3.250%
Season away (4)72.083.8155.8-11.825%
Last 10 (10)74.379.9154.2-5.640%
Last 5 (5)76.082.0158.0-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.385.7157.0-14.414%
vs Similar ◀ (3)74.774.0148.7+0.767%
vs Weaker (20)88.078.7166.6+9.375%
This opponent (Shiga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.2-0.2
ShigaNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H03/05
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A25/09
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A27/09
B League
Ryukyu
#13
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H03/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H04/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
43-60
43
60
-17
H07/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A10/10
B League
Shinshu
#20
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H12/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A19/10
B League
Kobe
#23
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H21/10
B League
87.5Avg total
43.8Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.342.682.9-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.742.585.2+0.333%-
Last 30 away (15)37.942.880.7-4.933%-
Last 10 (10)43.843.787.5+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)42.847.290.0-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)40.945.486.3-4.516%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.237.476.6+1.870%-
vs Weaker (1)40.043.083.0-3.00%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shimane
#18
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H25/09
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A03/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A04/10
B League
Shinshu
#20
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H08/10
B League
Gunma
#6
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H10/10
B League
Kobe
#23
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H12/10
B League
KCC Egis
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H14/10
EASL
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A17/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H19/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A21/10
B League
75.8Avg total
37.2Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.580.7+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (20)41.439.580.9+1.955%-
Last 30 away (10)40.839.480.2+1.460%-
Last 10 (10)37.238.675.8-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.639.679.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.440.376.7-3.943%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)35.738.073.7-2.333%-
vs Weaker (20)43.739.583.2+4.265%-
This opponent (Shiga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shiga: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.7
54.2%
53.6%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.99.6
30.1%
32.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws22.516.7
74.2%
73.8%16.7
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.917.2
50.7%
53.6%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.2
31.8%
32.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws14.310.2
71.3%
73.8%10.2
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shiga
WLWLLWLWLL
Nagasaki
WLLLWWWLLL
#16
League position
#21
+0.2
Net rating
-7.9
90.8
Offensive rating
84.3
90.6
Defensive rating
92.2
50.1%
Effective FG%
49.4%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
13.3%
Turnover %
16.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.23
30.1%
3-point %
31.8%
79.5%
Assist %
62.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence90.8 · 84.3Defence90.6 · 92.2Shooting50.1% · 49.4%3-point %30.1% · 31.8%Ball care13.3% · 16.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Shiga   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Shiga wins
6
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
14/12/25Shiga v Nagasaki84-106
13/12/25Shiga v Nagasaki82-107
16/04/25Nagasaki v Shiga69-67 OT
29/01/25Shiga v Nagasaki89-101
15/12/24Nagasaki v Shiga83-73
14/12/24Nagasaki v Shiga84-79
Shigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/26HKobe92-80
19/10/26ARyukyu67-99
12/10/26HShinshu95-76
10/10/26AHiroshima D.105-111
07/10/26HTokyo Sunrockers85-92
04/10/26HRyukyu98-72
03/10/26HRyukyu87-94
27/09/26AKyoto81-77
25/09/26AKyoto94-95
03/05/26HSun Rockers Shibuya65-73
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/26ASaga84-66
19/10/26HAltiri Chiba65-82
17/10/26ATokyo Sunrockers63-95
14/10/26HKCC Egis83-98
12/10/26HKobe85-69
10/10/26HGunma70-59
08/10/26HShinshu74-71
04/10/26AKyoto65-90
03/10/26AKyoto76-84 OT
25/09/26HShimane78-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shiga
B League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW44%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%60%25%
Points / game89.391.486.8
Allowed / game88.482.895.5
Point differential+0.9+8.6-8.8
Avg total177.8174.2182.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nagasaki
B League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW40%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %40%50%25%
Points / game72.472.772.0
Allowed / game79.075.883.8
Point differential-6.6-3.2-11.8
Avg total151.4148.5155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %10%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins770100%91.174.0+17.1
2 Hiroshima D.990100%92.679.3+13.2
3 NeoPhoenix65183%86.577.5+9.0
4 Alvark108280%93.582.3+11.2
5 Kyoto97278%88.878.2+10.6
6 SeaHorses Mikawa75271%90.077.0+13.0
7 Tokyo Sunrockers107370%91.278.3+12.9
8 Sendai107370%86.079.4+6.6
9 Gunma96367%77.673.3+4.2
10 Ryukyu95456%84.178.6+5.6
11 Levanga Hokkaido95456%98.094.0+4.0
12 Toyama95456%84.786.8-2.1
13 Shimane84450%81.182.0-0.9
14 Yokohama105550%80.584.8-4.3
15 Shiga94544%89.388.4+0.9
16 Utsunomiya Brex94544%79.981.1-1.2
17 Nagasaki104640%72.479.0-6.6
18 Brave Thunders93633%80.784.4-3.8
19 Akita93633%76.985.7-8.8
20 Ibaraki Robots103730%79.780.2-0.5
21 Altiri Chiba103730%76.985.2-8.3
22 Chiba103730%91.9101.3-9.4
23 Kobe92722%76.684.8-8.2
24 Shinshu102820%84.189.2-5.1
25 Osaka91811%69.688.3-18.8
26 Saga101910%74.392.6-18.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shiga2116272589
Nagasaki142993385
← all games of the day
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