PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Halcones de Obregon vs Venados de Mazatlan Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 03:15
Final 93-82
17-25 25-16 28-15 23-26
Position#3
Record1-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game99.9
vs
Position#9
Record2-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game88.9
MexicoCIBACOPA· Arena ITSON
Other2025
Meetings · Halcones de Obregon v Venados de Mazatlan
22 Mar 2025
HALC93
VENA82
21 Mar 2025
HALC91
VENA89
23 Mar 2024
HALC88
VENA103
22 Mar 2024
HALC100
VENA86
22 Mar 2023
HALC101
VENA80
21 Mar 2023
HALC103
VENA105
01 May 2022
HALC85
VENA80
30 Apr 2022
HALC109
VENA101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Halcones de Obregon winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Venados de Mazatlan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Halcones de ObregonMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormObregon
Date
Competition
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
W
101-87
101
87
+14
98avg 84
H31/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
83-87
83
87
-4
67avg 84
A05/06
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
72-84
72
84
-12
54avg 84
A06/06
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
85-88
85
88
-3
76avg 84
H11/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
86-94
86
94
-8
76avg 84
H12/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
81-108
81
108
-27
66avg 84
A16/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
84-92
84
92
-8
75avg 84
A16/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
99-113
99
113
-14
94avg 84
A19/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
98-115
98
115
-17
88avg 84
A20/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
91-89 OT
91
89
+2
82avg 84
H22/03
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
23-19
24-21
26-22
20-26
19-17
26-18
18-26
22-23
10-22
24-22
16-17
20-18
20-18
23-29
22-23
26-18
18-30
26-25
16-21
18-29
21-28
15-29
27-22
19-24
23-19
23-27
19-22
27-30
27-29
30-28
15-26
21-31
26-30
25-34
26-20
11-19
20-25
25-23
27-16
183.7Avg total
88.0Scored
95.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)89.199.9189.0-10.714%
Season at home (3)87.390.3177.7-3.033%
Season away (4)90.5107.0197.5-16.50%
Last 10 (10)88.095.7183.7-7.720%
Last 5 (5)90.6103.4194.0-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)87.5101.8189.2-14.20%
vs Similar (17)90.592.2182.7-1.835%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)95.390.3185.7+5.056%
This opponent (Venados de Mazatlan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Venados de MazatlanMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazatlan
Date
Competition
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
116-124
116
124
-8
104avg 81
A05/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
81-83
81
83
-2
70avg 81
H08/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
73-85
73
85
-12
46avg 81
H09/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
98-106
98
106
-8
83avg 81
H12/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
87-100
87
100
-13
82avg 81
H13/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
93-82
93
82
+11
92avg 81
A15/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
76-90
76
90
-14
71avg 81
A16/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
L
72-79
72
79
-7
53avg 81
H19/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
91-84
91
84
+7
76avg 81
H20/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
L
89-91 OT
89
91
-2
79avg 81
A22/03
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
23-38
32-31
35-28
8-15
24-15
29-24
20-29
21-26
13-23
22-25
17-11
20-22
27-36
24-30
27-18
19-20
30-21
15-25
23-34
25-10
27-21
24-16
17-35
15-16
23-28
16-23
22-23
21-18
16-13
17-24
18-24
25-27
22-18
27-18
17-21
19-11
25-20
23-25
16-27
180.0Avg total
87.6Scored
92.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.488.9173.3-4.422%
Season at home (6)83.789.5173.2-5.817%
Season away (3)86.087.7173.7-1.733%
Last 10 (10)87.692.4180.0-4.820%
Last 5 (5)84.285.2169.4-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)83.590.5173.9-7.018%
vs Similar (15)90.191.2181.3-1.153%
vs Weaker (4)105.897.8203.5+8.050%
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -3.8-3.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -3.8-3.8
Halcones de ObregonVenados de Mazatlan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Halcones de ObregonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H31/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A05/06
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A06/06
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H11/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H12/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A16/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A16/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A19/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A20/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H22/03
CIBACOPA
89.9Avg total
41.9Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.746.788.4-5.027%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.746.689.4-3.929%-
Last 30 away (16)40.946.887.6-5.925%-
Last 10 (10)41.948.089.9-6.120%-
Last 5 (5)42.652.895.4-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.849.593.2-5.825%-
vs Similar (17)41.447.188.5-5.629%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.444.886.2-3.322%-
This opponent (Venados de Mazatlan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Venados de MazatlanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
49-65
49
65
-16
A05/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H08/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H09/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
47-58
47
58
-11
H12/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H13/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
52-31
52
31
+21
A15/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A16/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H19/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H20/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A22/03
CIBACOPA
85.4Avg total
42.9Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.043.886.9-0.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.542.685.1-0.160%-
Last 30 away (15)43.645.188.7-1.547%-
Last 10 (10)42.942.585.4+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.636.480.0+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.541.981.4-2.545%-
vs Similar (15)43.545.388.8-1.947%-
vs Weaker (4)51.243.594.8+7.8100%-
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Halcones de Obregontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Halcones de Obregon: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.721.2
47.4%
53.3%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.6
36.5%
35.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.116.7
79.1%
73.3%16.7
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Venados de Mazatlantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venados de Mazatlan: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.623.5
53.9%
53.3%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.9
31.8%
35.5%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.714.2
72.1%
73.3%14.2
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Halcones de Obregon
WLLLLLLLLW
Venados de Mazatlan
LWLLWLLLLL
#3
League position
#9
-8.8
Net rating
-6.1
107.3
Offensive rating
108.1
116.1
Defensive rating
114.2
50.1%
Effective FG%
51.5%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
16.4%
Turnover %
15.6%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.5%
3-point %
31.8%
45.8%
Assist %
47.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 108.1Defence116.1 · 114.2Shooting50.1% · 51.5%3-point %36.5% · 31.8%Ball care16.4% · 15.6%Off. rebounds28.9% · 27.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Halcones de Obregon   ■ Venados de Mazatlan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25HVenados de Mazatlan91-89 OT
20/03/25AAngeles CDMX98-115
19/03/25AAngeles CDMX99-113
16/03/25AAstros84-92
16/03/25AAstros81-108
12/03/25HPioneros de Los Mochis86-94
11/03/25HPioneros de Los Mochis85-88
06/06/24ARayos de Hermosillo72-84
05/06/24ARayos de Hermosillo83-87
31/05/24HRayos de Hermosillo101-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25AHalcones de Obregon89-91 OT
20/03/25HOstioneros de Guaymas91-84
19/03/25HOstioneros de Guaymas72-79
16/03/25AZonkeys de Tijuana76-90
15/03/25AZonkeys de Tijuana93-82
13/03/25HAngeles CDMX87-100
12/03/25HAngeles CDMX98-106
09/03/25HAstros73-85
08/03/25HAstros81-83
05/06/24AAngeles CDMX116-124

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Halcones de Obregon
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW14%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game89.187.390.5
Allowed / game99.990.3107.0
Point differential-10.7-3.0-16.5
Avg total189.0177.7197.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %14%33%0%
Venados de Mazatlan
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL22%
HomeLLLLW17%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %22%17%33%
Points / game84.483.786.0
Allowed / game88.989.587.7
Point differential-4.4-5.8-1.7
Avg total173.3173.2173.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %11%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros990100%95.482.0+13.4
2 Angeles CDMX98189%108.095.7+12.3
3 Pioneros de Los Mochis75271%90.987.9+3.0
4 Caballeros de Culiacan74357%89.087.7+1.3
5 Zonkeys de Tijuana94544%88.785.3+3.3
6 Frayles de Guasave94544%86.297.7-11.4
7 Ostioneros de Guaymas93633%87.987.1+0.8
8 Venados de Mazatlan92722%84.488.9-4.4
9 Halcones de Obregon71614%89.199.9-10.7
10 Rayos de Hermosillo71614%80.492.0-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Halcones de Obregon1725282393
Venados de Mazatlan2516152682
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.