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Astros vs Halcones de Obregon Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 108-81
29-18 28-21 29-15 22-27
Position#1
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game79.8
Astros 🏆
Mexico
vs
Halcones de Obregon
Mexico
Position#3
Record0-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game91.0
MexicoCIBACOPA· Arena Astros
Other2025
Meetings · Astros v Halcones de Obregon
16 Jun 2025
ASTR87
HALC78
07 Jun 2025
ASTR84
HALC86
06 Jun 2025
ASTR83
HALC73
16 Mar 2025
ASTR92
HALC84
15 Mar 2025
ASTR108
HALC81
18 May 2024
ASTR104
HALC100
17 May 2024
ASTR103
HALC85
18 Mar 2023
ASTR100
HALC74
17 Mar 2023
ASTR90
HALC96
07 May 2022
ASTR81
HALC76
06 May 2022
ASTR92
HALC97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Halcones de Obregon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Abejas
#14
L
87-91
87
91
-4
no box
A10/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#1
W
107-102 OT
107
102
+5
no box
A16/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#1
L
70-104
70
104
-34
no box
A17/10
LNBP
Soles
#5
L
80-101
80
101
-21
no box
H27/10
LNBP
Soles
#5
L
82-86 OT
82
86
-4
no box
H27/10
LNBP
Soles
#5
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
A31/10
LNBP
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
83-81
83
81
+2
46avg 90
A08/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
85-73
85
73
+12
83avg 90
A09/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
90-84
90
84
+6
73avg 90
A12/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
91-81
91
81
+10
88avg 90
A13/03
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
20-24
20-23
23-20
33-22
23-26
16-25
18-17
11-32
21-24
20-19
18-29
20-25
20-26
16-31
24-19
26-25
19-26
20-13
14-15
23-28
23-25
18-14
11-14
15-8
15-24
24-29
29-20
26-21
23-13
25-22
11-17
18-29
25-18
28-7
19-30
21-29
27-15
21-10
22-27
173.4Avg total
85.0Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.279.8167.0+7.5100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (4)87.279.8167.0+7.5100%
Last 10 (10)85.088.4173.4-3.450%
Last 5 (5)84.880.0164.8+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)81.388.7170.0-7.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)89.581.8171.3+7.783%
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Halcones de ObregonMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormObregon
Date
Competition
Astros
#2
L
100-104
100
104
-4
91avg 83
A19/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
84-99
84
99
-15
72avg 83
A24/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
W
82-73
82
73
+9
77avg 83
A25/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
75-82
75
82
-7
64avg 83
H28/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
W
105-95
105
95
+10
98avg 83
H29/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
W
101-87
101
87
+14
98avg 83
H31/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
83-87
83
87
-4
67avg 83
A05/06
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
72-84
72
84
-12
54avg 83
A06/06
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
85-88
85
88
-3
76avg 83
H11/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
86-94
86
94
-8
76avg 83
H12/03
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
33-19
21-31
25-31
18-22
16-25
32-31
18-21
20-15
12-19
23-21
27-18
15-32
16-17
26-17
18-16
27-29
25-17
30-22
23-27
28-25
23-19
24-21
26-22
20-26
19-17
26-18
18-26
22-23
10-22
24-22
16-17
20-18
20-18
23-29
22-23
26-18
18-30
26-25
16-21
176.6Avg total
87.3Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.591.0176.5-5.50%
Season at home (2)85.591.0176.5-5.50%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.389.3176.6-2.030%
Last 5 (5)85.488.0173.4-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)88.895.2184.0-6.525%
vs Similar (15)89.489.3178.7+0.140%
vs Weaker (11)98.992.5191.4+6.555%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.3-1.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.3-1.3
AstrosHalcones de Obregon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abejas
#14
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A10/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#1
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A16/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#1
L
32-56
32
56
-24
A17/10
LNBP
Soles
#5
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H27/10
LNBP
Soles
#5
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H27/10
LNBP
Soles
#5
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A31/10
LNBP
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A08/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A09/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A12/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A13/03
CIBACOPA
89.7Avg total
43.3Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.242.487.7+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.240.984.1+2.254%-
Last 30 away (17)46.843.690.4+3.259%-
Last 10 (10)43.346.489.7-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)43.242.085.2+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)43.245.989.1-2.842%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)46.640.186.7+6.567%-
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Halcones de ObregonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astros
#2
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A19/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A24/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A25/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H28/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H29/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H31/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A05/06
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A06/06
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H11/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H12/03
CIBACOPA
84.3Avg total
40.9Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.544.787.2-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.645.289.8-0.641%-
Last 30 away (13)39.844.083.8-4.238%-
Last 10 (10)40.943.484.3-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)41.243.284.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)46.845.091.8+1.875%-
vs Similar (15)40.245.385.5-5.133%-
vs Weaker (11)44.243.787.9+0.536%-
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.924.0
53.5%
53.3%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.7
34.4%
35.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.314.1
69.5%
73.3%14.1
They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Halcones de Obregontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Halcones de Obregon: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.322.2
47.9%
53.3%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.1
34.3%
35.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws23.718.7
78.9%
73.3%18.7
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Astros
WWWWLLLLWL
Halcones de Obregon
LLLLWWLWLL
#1
League position
#3
-2.6
Net rating
-2.2
105.9
Offensive rating
107.4
108.5
Defensive rating
109.6
52.8%
Effective FG%
49.1%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
18.8%
Turnover %
13.7%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.4%
3-point %
34.3%
54.1%
Assist %
48.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 107.4Defence108.5 · 109.6Shooting52.8% · 49.1%3-point %34.4% · 34.3%Ball care18.8% · 13.7%Off. rebounds29.8% · 25.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Astros   ■ Halcones de Obregon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Astros wins
6
Halcones de Obregon wins
DateGameScore
19/05/24Astros v Halcones de Obregon104-100
18/05/24Astros v Halcones de Obregon103-85
14/03/24Halcones de Obregon v Astros99-91
13/03/24Halcones de Obregon v Astros93-91
04/05/23Halcones de Obregon v Astros92-89
03/05/23Halcones de Obregon v Astros122-121 OT
19/03/23Astros v Halcones de Obregon100-74
18/03/23Astros v Halcones de Obregon90-96
07/05/22Astros v Halcones de Obregon81-76
07/05/22Astros v Halcones de Obregon92-97
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/25ACaballeros de Culiacan91-81
12/03/25ACaballeros de Culiacan90-84
09/03/25AVenados de Mazatlan85-73
08/03/25AVenados de Mazatlan83-81
31/10/24ASoles75-81
27/10/24HSoles82-86 OT
27/10/24HSoles80-101
17/10/24ADiablos Rojos70-104
16/10/24ADiablos Rojos107-102 OT
10/10/24AAbejas87-91
Halcones de Obregonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/25HPioneros de Los Mochis86-94
11/03/25HPioneros de Los Mochis85-88
06/06/24ARayos de Hermosillo72-84
05/06/24ARayos de Hermosillo83-87
31/05/24HRayos de Hermosillo101-87
29/05/24HRayos de Hermosillo105-95
28/05/24HRayos de Hermosillo75-82
25/05/24ARayos de Hermosillo82-73
24/05/24ARayos de Hermosillo84-99
19/05/24AAstros100-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astros
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
Home--
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games4-4
Win %100%-100%
Points / game87.2-87.2
Allowed / game79.8-79.8
Point differential+7.5-+7.5
Avg total167.0-167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Halcones de Obregon
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeLL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game85.585.5-
Allowed / game91.091.0-
Point differential-5.5-5.5-
Avg total176.5176.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros440100%87.279.8+7.5
2 Angeles CDMX54180%102.295.8+6.4
3 Pioneros de Los Mochis54180%91.289.0+2.2
4 Frayles de Guasave53260%88.291.0-2.8
5 Ostioneros de Guaymas52340%90.684.8+5.8
6 Zonkeys de Tijuana52340%91.289.8+1.4
7 Caballeros de Culiacan52340%89.090.2-1.2
8 Venados de Mazatlan51420%86.491.2-4.8
9 Halcones de Obregon2020%85.591.0-5.5
10 Rayos de Hermosillo3030%73.791.7-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astros29282922108
Halcones de Obregon1821152781
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