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Hamburg vs Besiktas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 83-94 (OT)
19-19 12-25 27-21 22-15 3-14
Position#19
Record2-12
FormLWWLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game98.9
vs
Position#10
Record8-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game77.4
EuropeEurocupRound 15· Edel-optics.de Arena
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Besiktas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Prometey
#7
L
83-97
83
97
-14
69avg 76
H05/12
Eurocup
London Lions
#5
W
83-81
83
81
+2
79avg 76
A13/12
Eurocup
Tubingen
#18
W
94-86
94
86
+8
90avg 76
H15/12
BBL
Paris
#1
L
91-120
91
120
-29
86avg 76
A20/12
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
L
94-108
94
108
-14
90avg 76
A23/12
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
101-118
101
118
-17
106avg 76
A27/12
Eurocup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
89-84
89
84
+5
81avg 76
A30/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
81-72
81
72
+9
74avg 76
H06/01
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#8
L
90-96
90
96
-6
82avg 76
H10/01
Eurocup
Rostock
#15
W
111-94
111
94
+17
111avg 76
A13/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
16-26
19-22
29-23
24-14
24-26
19-25
16-16
20-20
21-28
29-25
24-13
27-35
21-24
19-29
24-32
19-31
28-21
17-25
30-31
23-35
29-30
31-19
18-34
29-16
16-26
14-19
30-23
22-25
23-20
20-11
16-16
28-23
24-30
16-20
22-23
26-20
26-37
36-13
23-24
187.3Avg total
91.7Scored
95.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.098.9180.9-16.914%
Season at home (6)79.898.8178.7-19.00%
Season away (8)83.698.9182.5-15.225%
Last 10 (10)91.795.6187.3-3.950%
Last 5 (5)94.492.8187.2+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)80.095.7175.6-15.715%
vs Similar (4)89.087.2176.2+1.875%
vs Weaker (6)98.589.3187.8+9.2100%
This opponent (Besiktas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BesiktasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBesiktas
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
95-94
95
94
+1
80avg 69
H09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Prometey
#7
L
70-89
70
89
-19
60avg 69
A13/12
Eurocup
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
85-77
85
77
+8
77avg 69
H16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cedevita Olimpija
#20
W
88-83
88
83
+5
74avg 69
A19/12
Eurocup
Galatasaray
#5
L
83-89
83
89
-6
74avg 69
A24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
BC Wolves
#14
W
72-59
72
59
+13
61avg 69
H27/12
Eurocup
Turk Telekom
#9
W
77-66
77
66
+11
69avg 69
H30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Samsunspor
#16
W
76-70
76
70
+6
70avg 69
A06/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Venezia
#12
L
96-106 OT
96
106
-10
82avg 69
A10/01
Eurocup
Darussafaka
#13
W
88-72
88
72
+16
89avg 69
H13/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
18-28
35-20
16-19
14-26
26-19
10-27
20-17
21-14
28-22
13-18
23-23
29-22
14-20
24-19
21-22
23-29
31-21
14-14
15-25
18-9
25-14
15-15
14-21
19-15
20-14
23-18
15-19
23-23
18-17
13-17
22-13
18-20
20-32
21-15
30-22
19-17
24-15
19-15
26-25
163.5Avg total
83.0Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.377.4156.6+1.957%
Season at home (7)80.372.7153.0+7.671%
Season away (7)78.382.0160.3-3.743%
Last 10 (10)83.080.5163.5+2.570%
Last 5 (5)81.874.6156.4+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.872.8145.5+0.050%
vs Similar (10)80.680.0160.6+0.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)79.672.7152.2+6.981%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.4-0.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.4-0.4
HamburgBesiktas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prometey
#7
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H05/12
Eurocup
London Lions
#5
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A13/12
Eurocup
Tubingen
#18
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H15/12
BBL
Paris
#1
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A20/12
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A23/12
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
52-65
52
65
-13
A27/12
Eurocup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A30/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H06/01
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#8
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H10/01
Eurocup
Rostock
#15
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A13/01
BBL
97.8Avg total
46.5Scored
51.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.548.290.7-5.727%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.747.186.8-7.423%-
Last 30 away (17)44.649.093.6-4.429%-
Last 10 (10)46.551.397.8-4.820%-
Last 5 (5)49.252.4101.6-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)41.249.891.0-8.620%-
vs Similar (4)43.244.287.5-1.025%-
vs Weaker (6)46.345.391.7+1.050%-
This opponent (Besiktas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BesiktasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Prometey
#7
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A13/12
Eurocup
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cedevita Olimpija
#20
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A19/12
Eurocup
Galatasaray
#5
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
BC Wolves
#14
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H27/12
Eurocup
Turk Telekom
#9
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Samsunspor
#16
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A06/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Venezia
#12
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A10/01
Eurocup
Darussafaka
#13
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H13/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
83.8Avg total
43.4Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.438.278.6+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.635.776.2+4.962%-
Last 30 away (14)40.241.081.2-0.843%-
Last 10 (10)43.440.483.8+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.835.276.0+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.237.874.0-1.525%-
vs Similar (10)39.438.577.9+0.930%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.138.180.1+4.075%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 90.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.9
56.3%
54.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.310.2
38.8%
35.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws23.018.1
78.7%
74.5%18.1
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Besiktastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Besiktas: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.9
52.6%
54.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.28.0
36.0%
35.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws26.016.2
62.3%
74.5%16.2
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
WLWWLLLWWL
Besiktas
WLWWWLWWLW
#19
League position
#10
-5.8
Net rating
+3.3
116.0
Offensive rating
109.4
121.7
Defensive rating
106.1
57.1%
Effective FG%
53.2%
58.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
19.0%
Turnover %
17.1%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.42
38.8%
3-point %
36.0%
65.3%
Assist %
57.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.0 · 109.4Defence121.7 · 106.1Shooting57.1% · 53.2%3-point %38.8% · 36.0%Ball care19.0% · 17.1%Off. rebounds31.4% · 30.4%Free throws0.36 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Hamburg   ■ Besiktas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hamburg wins
1
Besiktas wins
DateGameScore
08/11/23Besiktas v Hamburg90-78
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24ARostock111-94
10/01/24HJoventut Badalona90-96
06/01/24HBasketball Braunschweig81-72
30/12/23ACrailsheim Merlins89-84
27/12/23AHapoel Tel-Aviv101-118
23/12/23ABonn94-108
20/12/23AParis91-120
15/12/23HTubingen94-86
13/12/23ALondon Lions83-81
05/12/23HPrometey83-97
Besiktaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24HDarussafaka88-72
10/01/24AVenezia96-106 OT
06/01/24ASamsunspor76-70
30/12/23HTurk Telekom77-66
27/12/23HBC Wolves72-59
24/12/23AGalatasaray83-89
19/12/23ACedevita Olimpija88-83
16/12/23HAnadolu Efes85-77
13/12/23APrometey70-89
09/12/23HBahcesehir Kol.95-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL14%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %14%0%25%
Points / game82.079.883.6
Allowed / game98.998.898.9
Point differential-16.9-19.0-15.2
Avg total180.9178.7182.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Besiktas
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL57%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%71%43%
Points / game79.380.378.3
Allowed / game77.472.782.0
Point differential+1.9+7.6-3.7
Avg total156.6153.0160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris1514193%99.080.3+18.7
2 Gran Canaria1411379%89.178.7+10.4
3 JL Bourg1411379%83.877.7+6.1
4 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1511473%95.988.6+7.3
5 Cluj-Napoca1410471%84.680.1+4.5
6 London Lions1410471%91.588.9+2.6
7 Joventut Badalona149564%87.484.4+3.0
8 Besiktas148657%79.377.4+1.9
9 Ulm148657%89.187.6+1.4
10 Prometey158753%86.685.4+1.2
11 Aris157847%73.675.5-1.9
12 Trento157847%79.882.6-2.8
13 Venezia156940%84.686.3-1.7
14 Buducnost156940%77.881.8-4.0
15 Turk Telekom145936%80.182.8-2.6
16 Lietkabelis145936%82.986.6-3.8
17 BC Wolves1551033%81.289.9-8.7
18 Hamburg1421214%82.098.9-16.9
19 Slask Wroclaw1521313%77.884.0-6.2
20 Cedevita Olimpija150150%83.791.9-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Hamburg19122722383
Besiktas192521151494
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