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Rostock vs Hamburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 94-111
20-26 37-26 13-36 24-23
Position#15
Record6-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game92.4
vs
Hamburg 🏆
Germany
Position#10
Record9-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game88.6
GermanyBBLRound 16· Stadthalle Rostock
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Rostock v Hamburg
27 Mar 2027
ROS v HAM
upcoming
10 May 2026
ROS103
HAM71
26 Dec 2024
ROS92
HAM78
13 Jan 2024
ROS94
HAM111
18 Dec 2022
ROS82
HAM76
15 Apr 2019
ROS85
HAM91
09 Apr 2019
ROS94
HAM79
03 Feb 2019
ROS68
HAM74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hamburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Karhu Basket
#42
W
98-92
98
92
+6
93avg 78
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#3
L
75-85
75
85
-10
63avg 78
A17/11
BBL
Jonava
#33
W
86-81
86
81
+5
80avg 78
H21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#14
W
96-92
96
92
+4
90avg 78
H25/11
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
83-93
83
93
-10
81avg 78
A28/11
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
107-89
107
89
+18
109avg 78
A03/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
101-78
101
78
+23
97avg 78
H17/12
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
98-92
98
92
+6
101avg 78
H26/12
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
no box
A30/12
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
85-91
85
91
-6
79avg 78
H07/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
23-21
24-27
29-25
22-22
12-20
21-25
20-18
25-16
21-19
15-25
25-21
20-27
25-23
26-20
25-22
27-24
6-25
24-21
26-23
28-18
27-34
29-18
23-19
32-16
20-26
23-15
26-21
30-24
21-27
19-22
28-19
16-13
24-21
25-21
13-23
16-27
23-24
18-16
28-24
178.8Avg total
91.0Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)92.092.4184.4-0.443%
Season at home (7)99.395.1194.4+4.171%
Season away (7)84.789.6174.3-4.914%
Last 10 (10)91.087.8178.8+3.260%
Last 5 (5)94.487.0181.4+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)85.795.0180.7-9.325%
vs Similar (5)90.286.0176.2+4.260%
vs Weaker (12)92.382.5174.8+9.875%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
86-81
86
81
+5
88avg 75
A02/12
BBL
Prometey
#7
L
83-97
83
97
-14
69avg 75
H05/12
Eurocup
London Lions
#5
W
83-81
83
81
+2
79avg 75
A13/12
Eurocup
Tubingen
#18
W
94-86
94
86
+8
90avg 75
H15/12
BBL
Paris
#1
L
91-120
91
120
-29
86avg 75
A20/12
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
L
94-108
94
108
-14
90avg 75
A23/12
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
101-118
101
118
-17
106avg 75
A27/12
Eurocup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
89-84
89
84
+5
81avg 75
A30/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
81-72
81
72
+9
74avg 75
H06/01
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#8
L
90-96
90
96
-6
82avg 75
H10/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
30-15
16-17
19-26
19-26
16-26
19-22
29-23
24-14
24-26
19-25
16-16
20-20
21-28
29-25
24-13
27-35
21-24
19-29
24-32
19-31
28-21
17-25
30-31
23-35
29-30
31-19
18-34
29-16
16-26
14-19
30-23
22-25
23-20
20-11
16-16
28-23
24-30
16-20
22-23
183.5Avg total
89.2Scored
94.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)87.488.6175.9-1.264%
Season at home (6)81.785.2166.8-3.567%
Season away (8)91.691.1182.8+0.562%
Last 10 (10)89.294.3183.5-5.150%
Last 5 (5)91.095.6186.6-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)80.095.7175.6-15.715%
vs Similar (4)89.087.2176.2+1.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)96.088.4184.4+7.6100%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -0.9-0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -0.9-0.9
RostockHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karhu Basket
#42
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#3
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A17/11
BBL
Jonava
#33
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#14
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H25/11
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A28/11
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A03/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H17/12
BBL
Bonn
#7
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H26/12
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A30/12
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H07/01
BBL
88.6Avg total
44.0Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.643.486.9+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.142.188.2+4.164%-
Last 30 away (16)41.344.585.8-3.231%-
Last 10 (10)44.044.688.6-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)47.446.093.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)42.048.290.2-6.225%-
vs Similar (5)49.045.294.2+3.860%-
vs Weaker (12)43.237.881.1+5.467%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A02/12
BBL
Prometey
#7
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H05/12
Eurocup
London Lions
#5
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A13/12
Eurocup
Tubingen
#18
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H15/12
BBL
Paris
#1
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A20/12
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A23/12
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
52-65
52
65
-13
A27/12
Eurocup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A30/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H06/01
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#8
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H10/01
Eurocup
95.8Avg total
46.4Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.547.690.1-5.030%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.747.186.8-7.423%-
Last 30 away (17)44.747.992.6-3.235%-
Last 10 (10)46.449.495.8-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)48.251.499.6-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)41.249.891.0-8.620%-
vs Similar (4)43.244.287.5-1.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)45.243.088.2+2.260%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 91.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.8
54.6%
54.6%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.011.0
42.3%
35.4%33.0
🏀 Free throws20.716.6
80.2%
76.0%16.6
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.9
55.7%
54.6%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.5
38.2%
35.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.517.7
78.7%
76.0%17.7
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
LLWWWLWWLW
Hamburg
LWWLLLWWLW
#15
League position
#10
+3.1
Net rating
-7.3
119.1
Offensive rating
112.9
116.0
Defensive rating
120.2
58.2%
Effective FG%
56.3%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
15.6%
Turnover %
20.2%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
42.3%
3-point %
38.2%
65.7%
Assist %
64.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence119.1 · 112.9Defence116.0 · 120.2Shooting58.2% · 56.3%3-point %42.3% · 38.2%Ball care15.6% · 20.2%Off. rebounds28.6% · 31.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Rostock   ■ Hamburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Rostock wins
5
Hamburg wins
DateGameScore
03/02/23Hamburg v Rostock81-91
18/12/22Rostock v Hamburg82-76
15/04/19Rostock v Hamburg85-91
12/04/19Hamburg v Rostock84-74
09/04/19Rostock v Hamburg94-79
06/04/19Hamburg v Rostock79-64
03/02/19Rostock v Hamburg68-74
14/12/18Hamburg v Rostock83-69
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24HBayern85-91
30/12/23AVechta81-85 OT
26/12/23HBonn98-92
17/12/23HBasketball Braunschweig101-78
03/12/23AUlm107-89
28/11/23ABamberg83-93
25/11/23HGottingen96-92
21/11/23HJonava86-81
17/11/23AChemnitz75-85
15/11/23AKarhu Basket98-92
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/24HJoventut Badalona90-96
06/01/24HBasketball Braunschweig81-72
30/12/23ACrailsheim Merlins89-84
27/12/23AHapoel Tel-Aviv101-118
23/12/23ABonn94-108
20/12/23AParis91-120
15/12/23HTubingen94-86
13/12/23ALondon Lions83-81
05/12/23HPrometey83-97
02/12/23ASyntainics MBC86-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL43%
HomeLWWWL71%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%71%14%
Points / game92.099.384.7
Allowed / game92.495.189.6
Point differential-0.4+4.1-4.9
Avg total184.4194.4174.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %21%29%14%
Hamburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWLWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %64%67%62%
Points / game87.481.791.6
Allowed / game88.685.291.1
Point differential-1.2-3.5+0.5
Avg total175.9166.8182.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %7%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz1614288%87.274.6+12.6
2 Ulm1512380%93.587.6+5.9
3 Bayern1310377%87.977.0+10.9
4 Wurzburg1410471%84.177.8+6.3
5 Vechta1510567%90.179.9+10.2
6 Alba Berlin128467%92.685.4+7.2
7 Hamburg149564%87.488.6-1.2
8 Ludwigsburg159660%88.381.1+7.1
9 Bonn1710759%90.284.6+5.6
10 Rostock146843%92.092.4-0.4
11 Bamberg156940%88.890.7-1.9
12 Oldenburg156940%83.985.8-1.9
13 Basketball Braunschweig1661038%82.887.6-4.8
14 Syntainics MBC1541127%81.388.9-7.5
15 Tubingen1541127%86.995.6-8.7
16 Gottingen1331023%89.6100.8-11.2
17 Crailsheim Merlins1531220%79.793.9-14.2
18 Heidelberg1521313%81.595.0-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock2037132494
Hamburg26263623111
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