PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Hamburg vs Heidelberg Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 86-83
25-21 26-18 20-21 15-23
Position#14
Record7-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game88.7
Hamburg 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#18
Record6-17
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game85.4
GermanyBBLRound 24
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Hamburg v Heidelberg
13 Mar 2026
HAM86
HEI83
05 Apr 2025
HAM88
HEI81
08 Apr 2024
HAM79
HEI83
19 Apr 2023
HAM90
HEI86
29 Oct 2021
HAM81
HEI75
27 Jan 2019
HAM66
HEI72
31 Mar 2018
HAM82
HEI81
04 Mar 2017
HAM81
HEI72
04 Oct 2015
HAM75
HEI77
18 Jan 2015
HAM92
HEI95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Heidelberg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#15
W
82-78
82
78
+4
71avg 73
A24/01
BBL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
99-96
99
96
+3
96avg 73
H28/01
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#11
W
86-69
86
69
+17
81avg 73
H31/01
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
74-88
74
88
-14
64avg 73
H05/02
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
95-85
95
85
+10
88avg 73
H08/02
BBL
Manresa
#10
L
94-116
94
116
-22
80avg 73
H11/02
Eurocup
Bonn
#4
L
85-92
85
92
-7
80avg 73
A14/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
93-87
93
87
+6
96avg 73
A17/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
67-75
67
75
-8
52avg 73
A08/03
BBL
Jena
#16
L
82-84
82
84
-2
74avg 73
H10/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
17-12
21-28
26-22
31-22
24-28
21-19
23-27
14-18
26-19
26-13
20-19
16-25
16-25
19-18
23-20
17-23
35-28
26-26
17-8
33-31
21-30
23-32
17-23
14-24
26-19
22-28
23-21
23-14
22-17
32-22
16-34
12-24
21-23
18-12
16-16
22-34
22-16
24-13
14-21
172.7Avg total
85.7Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)83.788.7172.4-5.035%
Season at home (10)82.386.2168.5-3.940%
Season away (10)85.191.1176.2-6.030%
Last 10 (10)85.787.0172.7-1.350%
Last 5 (5)84.290.8175.0-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)83.593.8177.3-10.324%
vs Similar (7)79.482.0161.4-2.643%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)96.596.0192.5+0.550%
This opponent (Heidelberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HeidelbergGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeidelberg
Date
Competition
Nymburk
#30
L
71-78
71
78
-7
65avg 70
A08/01
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#3
L
62-87
62
87
-25
53avg 70
A11/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
W
80-78
80
78
+2
no box
H16/01
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
79-77
79
77
+2
73avg 70
A24/01
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
99-94
99
94
+5
88avg 70
A01/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
63-106
63
106
-43
45avg 70
H08/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
54-70
54
70
-16
42avg 70
A13/02
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
L
96-99 OT
96
99
-3
89avg 70
A18/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
54-87
54
87
-33
36avg 70
H06/03
BBL
Trier
#12
W
71-69
71
69
+2
55avg 70
A09/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
16-22
18-15
15-25
16-18
10-27
24-17
12-25
32-21
19-23
16-17
13-17
10-24
14-15
28-25
27-13
25-20
28-26
17-27
29-21
17-31
16-23
18-27
12-25
17-14
6-11
23-22
8-23
18-16
16-18
21-19
19-21
12-18
16-25
11-25
15-19
23-14
22-22
16-13
10-20
157.4Avg total
72.9Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.285.4162.6-8.226%
Season at home (11)79.085.9164.9-6.927%
Season away (12)75.584.9160.4-9.425%
Last 10 (10)72.984.5157.4-11.640%
Last 5 (5)67.686.2153.8-18.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)75.887.4163.3-11.622%
vs Similar (12)79.377.4156.8+1.950%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hamburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -4.9-4.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -4.9-4.9
HamburgHeidelberg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#15
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A24/01
BBL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H28/01
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#11
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H31/01
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H05/02
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H08/02
BBL
Manresa
#10
L
54-61
54
61
-7
H11/02
Eurocup
Bonn
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A14/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A17/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A08/03
BBL
Jena
#16
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H10/03
BBL
87.8Avg total
43.0Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.345.185.4-4.833%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.345.688.9-2.347%-
Last 30 away (15)37.344.581.8-7.320%-
Last 10 (10)43.044.887.8-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.246.489.6-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)40.546.186.7-5.629%-
vs Similar (7)39.341.680.9-2.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)41.546.087.5-4.50%-
This opponent (Heidelberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HeidelbergLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nymburk
#30
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A08/01
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#3
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A11/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H16/01
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A24/01
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A01/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
33-54
33
54
-21
H08/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
23-25
23
25
-2
A13/02
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A18/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H06/03
BBL
Trier
#12
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A09/03
BBL
75.9Avg total
35.5Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.842.177.9-6.230%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.540.877.3-4.343%-
Last 30 away (16)35.243.278.4-7.919%-
Last 10 (10)35.540.475.9-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)32.638.471.0-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)34.643.878.4-9.222%-
vs Similar (12)37.739.577.2-1.842%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hamburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.421.5
54.6%
53.8%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.3
32.4%
34.0%24.9
🏀 Free throws23.817.8
74.8%
73.5%17.8
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Heidelbergtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Heidelberg: 70.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.618.4
48.9%
53.8%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.07.7
28.5%
34.0%23.1
🏀 Free throws15.210.9
71.7%
73.5%10.9
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
LLWLLWLWWW
Heidelberg
WLLLLWWWLL
#14
League position
#18
-1.5
Net rating
-14.9
96.0
Offensive rating
81.9
97.4
Defensive rating
96.8
52.2%
Effective FG%
46.4%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
15.0%
Turnover %
16.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.4%
3-point %
28.5%
58.7%
Assist %
57.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.0 · 81.9Defence97.4 · 96.8Shooting52.2% · 46.4%3-point %32.4% · 28.5%Ball care15.0% · 16.6%Off. rebounds- · 15.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Hamburg   ■ Heidelberg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Hamburg wins
3
Heidelberg wins
DateGameScore
21/12/25Heidelberg v Hamburg108-111 OT
05/04/25Hamburg v Heidelberg88-81
15/11/24Heidelberg v Hamburg73-68
15/09/24Heidelberg v Hamburg96-89
08/04/24Hamburg v Heidelberg79-83
28/10/23Heidelberg v Hamburg73-88
19/04/23Hamburg v Heidelberg90-86
04/01/23Heidelberg v Hamburg83-87
26/03/22Heidelberg v Hamburg76-100
29/10/21Hamburg v Heidelberg81-75
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/26HJena82-84
08/03/26ALudwigsburg67-75
17/02/26AAlba Berlin93-87
14/02/26ABonn85-92
11/02/26HManresa94-116
08/02/26HBasketball Braunschweig95-85
05/02/26HCedevita Olimpija74-88
31/01/26HChemnitz86-69
28/01/26HSlask Wroclaw99-96
24/01/26AFrankfurt82-78
Heidelberglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/26ATrier71-69
06/03/26HAlba Berlin54-87
18/02/26AChemnitz96-99 OT
13/02/26AWurzburg54-70
08/02/26HBayern63-106
01/02/26ABasketball Braunschweig99-94
24/01/26AUlm79-77
16/01/26HOldenburg80-78
11/01/26AAlba Berlin62-87
08/01/26ANymburk71-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL35%
HomeLWWWL40%
AwayLWLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %35%40%30%
Points / game83.782.385.1
Allowed / game88.786.291.1
Point differential-5.0-3.9-6.0
Avg total172.3168.5176.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Heidelberg
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW26%
HomeLLWLL27%
AwayWWLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %26%27%25%
Points / game77.279.075.5
Allowed / game85.485.984.9
Point differential-8.2-6.9-9.4
Avg total162.6164.9160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)20% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %9%9%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2220291%87.571.5+16.0
2 Alba Berlin2317674%85.977.7+8.3
3 Bonn2415962%82.579.2+3.3
4 Bamberg2314961%88.783.3+5.3
5 Wurzburg2314961%81.579.7+1.8
6 Ulm2213959%82.776.7+6.0
7 Rostock2112957%84.783.2+1.4
8 Ludwigsburg22121055%83.282.9+0.3
9 Trier22121055%90.691.9-1.3
10 Oldenburg22101245%84.484.0+0.3
11 Chemnitz22101245%85.587.5-2.0
12 Frankfurt23101343%84.085.7-1.7
13 Vechta2391439%86.087.5-1.5
14 Jena2181338%80.789.5-8.8
15 Hamburg2071335%83.788.7-5.0
16 Syntainics MBC2371630%82.488.1-5.7
17 Heidelberg2361726%77.285.4-8.2
18 Basketball Braunschweig2351822%79.288.4-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hamburg2526201586
Heidelberg2118212383
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.