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Heidelberg vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 54-87
12-18 16-25 11-25 15-19
Position#18
Record5-16
FormWWLLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game86.1
vs
Position#3
Record15-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game79.2
GermanyBBLRound 22· SNP Dome
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Heidelberg v Alba Berlin
06 Mar 2026
HEI54
ABE87
31 Mar 2025
HEI90
ABE86
28 Sep 2023
HEI81
ABE90
05 Feb 2023
HEI86
ABE94
19 Dec 2021
HEI81
ABE83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Heidelberg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HeidelbergGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeidelberg
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
73-89
73
89
-16
65avg 72
A03/01
BBL
Nymburk
#30
L
63-72
63
72
-9
43avg 72
H06/01
Champions League
Nymburk
#30
L
71-78
71
78
-7
65avg 72
A08/01
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#3
L
62-87
62
87
-25
53avg 72
A11/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
W
80-78
80
78
+2
no box
H16/01
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
79-77
79
77
+2
73avg 72
A24/01
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
99-94
99
94
+5
88avg 72
A01/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
63-106
63
106
-43
45avg 72
H08/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
54-70
54
70
-16
42avg 72
A13/02
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
L
96-99 OT
96
99
-3
89avg 72
A18/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-20
27-29
16-20
20-20
12-17
17-20
14-16
20-19
22-16
16-22
18-15
15-25
16-18
10-27
24-17
12-25
32-21
19-23
16-17
13-17
10-24
14-15
28-25
27-13
25-20
28-26
17-27
29-21
17-31
16-23
18-27
12-25
17-14
6-11
23-22
8-23
18-16
16-18
21-19
19-21
159.0Avg total
74.0Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.686.1164.7-7.524%
Season at home (10)81.585.8167.3-4.330%
Season away (11)75.986.4162.3-10.518%
Last 10 (10)74.085.0159.0-11.030%
Last 5 (5)78.289.2167.4-11.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)77.487.6165.1-10.222%
vs Similar (12)80.378.9159.2+1.442%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#2
W
87-82 OT
87
82
+5
74avg 82
H25/01
BBL
AEK Athens
#1
L
80-88
80
88
-8
73avg 82
A28/01
Champions League
Trier
#12
W
99-92
99
92
+7
87avg 82
A02/02
BBL
AS Karditsas
#32
W
84-80
84
80
+4
80avg 82
H04/02
Champions League
Vechta
#7
W
84-82
84
82
+2
76avg 82
H08/02
BBL
Tofas
#27
W
69-60
69
60
+9
69avg 82
H10/02
Champions League
Bamberg
#2
W
98-92
98
92
+6
97avg 82
A15/02
BBL
Hamburg
#14
L
87-93
87
93
-6
72avg 82
H17/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
98-78
98
78
+20
105avg 82
H21/02
German Cup
Bamberg
#1
L
72-74
72
74
-2
66avg 82
A22/02
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
18-16
21-16
17-23
26-22
20-20
24-22
10-24
26-32
21-22
26-19
26-19
15-24
25-19
17-21
27-16
21-20
25-26
16-16
22-20
11-18
22-15
18-14
18-13
32-26
25-26
17-25
24-15
14-23
17-22
22-32
34-16
29-18
17-20
25-23
27-17
22-15
15-21
21-16
14-22
167.9Avg total
85.8Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)86.679.2165.8+7.371%
Season at home (11)84.675.2159.8+9.573%
Season away (10)88.783.7172.4+5.070%
Last 10 (10)85.882.1167.9+3.770%
Last 5 (5)84.879.4164.2+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)67.061.0128.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (5)86.284.0170.2+2.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)87.677.7165.3+10.083%
This opponent (Heidelberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +3.4+3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +3.4+3.4
HeidelbergAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HeidelbergLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A03/01
BBL
Nymburk
#30
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H06/01
Champions League
Nymburk
#30
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A08/01
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#3
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A11/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H16/01
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A24/01
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A01/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
33-54
33
54
-21
H08/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
23-25
23
25
-2
A13/02
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A18/02
BBL
75.9Avg total
34.8Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.242.478.6-6.227%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.841.279.0-3.440%-
Last 30 away (15)34.643.778.3-9.113%-
Last 10 (10)34.841.175.9-6.320%-
Last 5 (5)33.439.673.0-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)35.043.778.7-8.722%-
vs Similar (12)38.040.678.6-2.633%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#2
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H25/01
BBL
AEK Athens
#1
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A28/01
Champions League
Trier
#12
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A02/02
BBL
AS Karditsas
#32
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H04/02
Champions League
Vechta
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H08/02
BBL
Tofas
#27
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H10/02
Champions League
Bamberg
#2
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A15/02
BBL
Hamburg
#14
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H17/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H21/02
German Cup
Bamberg
#1
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A22/02
German Cup
84.7Avg total
42.1Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.740.081.7+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.938.679.5+2.247%-
Last 30 away (13)42.841.784.5+1.154%-
Last 10 (10)42.142.684.7-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.840.881.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.038.073.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (5)46.843.490.2+3.480%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)41.039.280.2+1.848%-
This opponent (Heidelberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Heidelbergtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Heidelberg: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.5
52.4%
53.8%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.27.5
27.6%
34.0%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.813.6
72.3%
73.5%13.6
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.3
52.2%
53.8%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.3
30.4%
34.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws23.519.2
81.7%
73.5%19.2
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Heidelberg
LLLWWWLLLL
Alba Berlin
LWLWWWWWLW
#18
League position
#3
-14.0
Net rating
+4.0
87.5
Offensive rating
95.6
101.5
Defensive rating
91.6
47.6%
Effective FG%
49.2%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
16.6%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.35
27.6%
3-point %
30.4%
60.4%
Assist %
65.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence87.5 · 95.6Defence101.5 · 91.6Shooting47.6% · 49.2%3-point %27.6% · 30.4%Ball care16.6% · 16.4%Off. rebounds22.2% · -Free throws0.30 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Heidelberg   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Heidelberg wins
8
Alba Berlin wins
Heidelberglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26AChemnitz96-99 OT
13/02/26AWurzburg54-70
08/02/26HBayern63-106
01/02/26ABasketball Braunschweig99-94
24/01/26AUlm79-77
16/01/26HOldenburg80-78
11/01/26AAlba Berlin62-87
08/01/26ANymburk71-78
06/01/26HNymburk63-72
03/01/26ALudwigsburg73-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26ABamberg72-74
21/02/26HOldenburg98-78
17/02/26HHamburg87-93
15/02/26ABamberg98-92
10/02/26HTofas69-60
08/02/26HVechta84-82
04/02/26HAS Karditsas84-80
02/02/26ATrier99-92
28/01/26AAEK Athens80-88
25/01/26HBamberg87-82 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Heidelberg
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL24%
HomeLLLWL30%
AwayLWWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %24%30%18%
Points / game78.681.575.9
Allowed / game86.185.886.4
Point differential-7.5-4.3-10.5
Avg total164.7167.3162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)20% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %10%10%9%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayWLWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %71%73%70%
Points / game86.684.688.7
Allowed / game79.275.283.7
Point differential+7.3+9.5+5.0
Avg total165.8159.8172.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%27%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2119290%87.071.1+15.9
2 Alba Berlin2115671%86.679.2+7.3
3 Bonn2214864%81.778.7+3.0
4 Wurzburg2113862%82.280.6+1.6
5 Trier2012860%91.091.6-0.6
6 Ulm2112957%82.276.8+5.5
7 Bamberg2112957%89.084.5+4.4
8 Ludwigsburg2011955%84.083.2+0.8
9 Rostock2011955%83.082.2+0.8
10 Chemnitz21101148%86.287.8-1.6
11 Oldenburg2091145%84.483.2+1.2
12 Frankfurt2191243%84.585.9-1.3
13 Hamburg1871139%84.789.7-4.9
14 Jena1971237%81.489.3-7.9
15 Vechta2171433%85.089.5-4.4
16 Syntainics MBC2171433%82.987.7-4.9
17 Heidelberg2151624%78.686.1-7.5
18 Basketball Braunschweig2151624%79.188.0-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Heidelberg1216111554
Alba Berlin1825251987
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