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Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Ashdod Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 21 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#14
Record1-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.9/10
Around normal
1.8/10
🧊 Cold
Position#7
Record3-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game76.3
IsraelSuper LeagueRound 17· Conch Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Hapoel Beer Sheva v Maccabi Ashdod
21 Feb 2027
HAPO v MACC
upcoming
02 Jul 2020
HAPO85
MACC80
29 Feb 2020
HAPO101
MACC77
07 Apr 2019
HAPO88
MACC97
17 Dec 2018
HAPO87
MACC70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hapoel Beer Sheva win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Maccabi Ashdod win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hapoel Beer ShevaIsraelLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSheva
Date
Competition
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#9
W
101-95
101
95
+6
76avg 56
H15/05
Super League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
87-103
87
103
-16
69avg 56
A20/05
Super League
Elitzur Maccabi Netanya
#13
L
79-83
79
83
-4
45avg 56
H27/05
Super League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
L
90-106
90
106
-16
66avg 56
A01/06
Super League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
L
83-108
83
108
-25
61avg 56
H03/06
Super League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
L
82-95
82
95
-13
55avg 56
H11/10
Super League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
74-88
74
88
-14
49avg 56
A17/10
Super League
Hapoel Holon
#13
L
75-91
75
91
-16
48avg 56
H23/10
Super League
Maccabi Ashdod
#7
W
92-88
92
88
+4
no box
A02/11
Super League
Ironi Eilat
#5
L
86-88
86
88
-2
no box
A09/11
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
16-24
27-21
34-22
23-30
25-25
16-26
23-22
19-15
15-30
27-21
18-17
19-27
24-25
24-21
23-33
25-24
18-30
16-25
24-29
23-24
12-20
27-20
20-31
10-22
24-20
14-22
26-24
12-30
26-20
14-25
23-16
17-25
27-25
23-18
25-20
12-19
26-23
25-20
23-26
179.4Avg total
84.9Scored
94.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.890.0171.8-8.220%
Season at home (2)78.593.0171.5-14.50%
Season away (3)84.088.0172.0-4.033%
Last 10 (10)84.994.5179.4-9.620%
Last 5 (5)81.890.0171.8-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)85.593.8179.3-8.218%
vs Similar (13)84.587.2171.7-2.854%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Maccabi Ashdod) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi AshdodIsraelLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAshdod
Date
Competition
Ironi Nahariya
#3
L
108-114 OT
108
114
-6
no box
A31/05
Liga Leumit
Ironi Nahariya
#3
W
85-70
85
70
+15
no box
H04/06
Liga Leumit
Ironi Nahariya
#3
W
86-82
86
82
+4
no box
A08/06
Liga Leumit
Ironi Nahariya
#3
W
94-83
94
83
+11
no box
H11/06
Liga Leumit
Nes Ziona
#3
W
76-62
76
62
+14
48avg 43
H12/10
Super League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
L
67-81
67
81
-14
42avg 43
A18/10
Super League
Galil Elyon
#6
L
66-77
66
77
-11
39avg 43
H26/10
Super League
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#14
L
88-92
88
92
-4
no box
H02/11
Super League
Bnei Herzliya
#10
W
75-72
75
72
+3
no box
A09/11
Super League
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#11
W
89-74
89
74
+15
no box
A15/11
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
10-25
25-22
28-23
24-22
28-21
16-16
17-11
11-14
26-16
17-26
32-26
20-16
20-23
31-16
23-28
17-12
17-18
14-20
28-12
28-23
20-23
7-14
12-21
23-16
7-26
26-19
10-16
25-17
25-27
18-23
20-25
15-18
26-15
20-24
14-15
22-15
33-14
15-20
19-25
164.1Avg total
83.4Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.876.3153.2+0.550%
Season at home (3)76.777.0153.7-0.333%
Season away (3)77.075.7152.7+1.367%
Last 10 (10)83.480.7164.1+2.760%
Last 5 (5)77.079.2156.2-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.381.7157.0-6.333%
vs Similar (8)85.184.5169.6+0.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)93.680.9174.5+12.689%
This opponent (Hapoel Beer Sheva) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.1+0.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.1+0.1
Hapoel Beer ShevaMaccabi Ashdod
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hapoel Beer ShevaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#9
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H15/05
Super League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A20/05
Super League
Elitzur Maccabi Netanya
#13
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H27/05
Super League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A01/06
Super League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H03/06
Super League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H11/10
Super League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A17/10
Super League
Hapoel Holon
#13
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H23/10
Super League
Maccabi Ashdod
#7
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A02/11
Super League
Ironi Eilat
#5
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A09/11
Super League
88.3Avg total
39.7Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.445.586.8-4.133%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.947.187.1-7.221%-
Last 30 away (16)42.644.086.6-1.444%-
Last 10 (10)39.748.688.3-8.90%-
Last 5 (5)37.845.683.4-7.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)41.846.488.2-4.629%-
vs Similar (13)40.844.285.1-3.438%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Maccabi Ashdod) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi AshdodLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ironi Nahariya
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A31/05
Liga Leumit
Ironi Nahariya
#3
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H04/06
Liga Leumit
Ironi Nahariya
#3
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A08/06
Liga Leumit
Ironi Nahariya
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H11/06
Liga Leumit
Nes Ziona
#3
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H12/10
Super League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A18/10
Super League
Galil Elyon
#6
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H26/10
Super League
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#14
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H02/11
Super League
Bnei Herzliya
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A09/11
Super League
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#11
W
55-29
55
29
+26
A15/11
Super League
80.9Avg total
42.6Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.040.485.4+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.340.486.7+5.967%-
Last 30 away (15)43.640.484.0+3.260%-
Last 10 (10)42.638.380.9+4.380%-
Last 5 (5)44.838.883.6+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.344.083.3-4.767%-
vs Similar (8)40.040.080.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)47.940.087.9+7.968%-
This opponent (Hapoel Beer Sheva) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hapoel Beer Shevatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hapoel Beer Sheva: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.320.1
47.5%
53.3%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.2
32.3%
34.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.311.4
65.9%
73.7%11.4
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maccabi Ashdodtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maccabi Ashdod: 69.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.7 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.0 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.716.3
43.4%
53.3%32.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.3
36.9%
34.3%31.0
🏀 Free throws9.36.0
64.3%
73.7%6.0
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/3 games with a box score before 21 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hapoel Beer Sheva
LWLLLLLLLW
Maccabi Ashdod
WWLLLWWWWL
#14
League position
#7
-17.6
Net rating
+4.6
86.1
Offensive rating
87.2
103.7
Defensive rating
82.6
47.9%
Effective FG%
48.5%
57.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
16.6%
Turnover %
15.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.14
32.3%
3-point %
36.9%
61.1%
Assist %
55.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence86.1 · 87.2Defence103.7 · 82.6Shooting47.9% · 48.5%3-point %32.3% · 36.9%Ball care16.6% · 15.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.14Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Hapoel Beer Sheva   ■ Maccabi Ashdod
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Hapoel Beer Sheva wins
1
Maccabi Ashdod wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26AIroni Eilat86-88
02/11/26AMaccabi Ashdod92-88
23/10/26HHapoel Holon75-91
17/10/26AHapoel Jerusalem74-88
11/10/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv82-95
03/06/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv83-108
01/06/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv90-106
27/05/26HElitzur Maccabi Netanya79-83
20/05/26AHapoel Jerusalem87-103
15/05/26HMaccabi Ironi Ramat Gan101-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AIroni Kiryat Ata89-74
09/11/26ABnei Herzliya75-72
02/11/26HHapoel Beer Sheva88-92
26/10/26HGalil Elyon66-77
18/10/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv67-81
12/10/26HNes Ziona76-62
11/06/26HIroni Nahariya94-83
08/06/26AIroni Nahariya86-82
04/06/26HIroni Nahariya85-70
31/05/26AIroni Nahariya108-114 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hapoel Beer Sheva
Super League 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLL0%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game81.878.584.0
Allowed / game90.093.088.0
Point differential-8.2-14.5-4.0
Avg total171.8171.5172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Maccabi Ashdod
Super League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game76.876.777.0
Allowed / game76.377.075.7
Point differential+0.5-0.3+1.3
Avg total153.2153.7152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Jerusalem660100%80.869.5+11.3
2 Hapoel Tel-Aviv54180%83.875.4+8.4
3 Nes Ziona64267%86.579.0+7.5
4 Maccabi Rishon53260%81.678.0+3.6
5 Ironi Eilat53260%85.283.8+1.4
6 Galil Elyon53260%91.694.0-2.4
7 Maccabi Ashdod63350%76.876.3+0.5
8 Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan63350%83.589.2-5.7
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv52340%98.092.4+5.6
10 Bnei Herzliya62433%84.788.0-3.3
11 Ironi Kiryat Ata62433%85.896.3-10.5
12 Hapoel HaEmek51420%73.475.0-1.6
13 Hapoel Holon51420%80.086.6-6.6
14 Hapoel Beer Sheva51420%81.890.0-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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