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Hapoel Jerusalem vs Maccabi Ashdod Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 20 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 11:00
Projected 90-72
Projected total 162.4
Scheduled
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game69.5
Hapoel Jerusalem
Israel
Vs
94%
■ HJE 94%■ MACC 6%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
1.7/10
🧊 Cold
Maccabi Ashdod
Israel
Position#9
Record2-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game76.8
IsraelSuper LeagueRound 7· Pais Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Hapoel Jerusalem v Maccabi Ashdod
20 Nov 2026
HJE v MACC
upcoming
19 Jan 2020
HJE72
MACC51
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Hapoel Jerusalem will host Maccabi Ashdod in the Super League on 20 November 2026, and the Pythia model designates Hapoel Jerusalem as the clear favourite, giving them a 94% chance of winning because of their perfect 6-0 record, 80.8 points scored per game and 69.5 points allowed per game, the best league position at 1. Hapoel Jerusalem has won all three of its home games, averaging 80.3 points and allowing 70.3, and has won every one of its last five games, including a 91-77 win over Tortona and a 65-59 home win over Hapoel HaEmek. Maccabi Ashdod, by contrast, has a 2-3 record, 74.4 points scored and 76.8 points allowed, with only one road win from two road games and a 71.0 points per game average on the road. Their last five games include a 75-72 win over Bnei Herzliya but also losses to Hapoel Beer Sheva and Galil Elyon. The teams have met twice before, both times Hapoel Jerusalem winning, most recently 72-51 on 19 January 2020. Pythia projects a 90-72 score, a total of 162.4 points, and a 1% chance of overtime, with Hapoel Jerusalem covering the spread. The game will end with Hapoel Jerusalem's dominant performance.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hapoel Jerusalem win
93.7%fair 1.07
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Maccabi Ashdod win
6.3%fair 15.99
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:36 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hapoel JerusalemIsraelLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJerusalem
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
85-84
85
84
+1
81avg 75
A14/10
Eurocup
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#14
W
88-74
88
74
+14
73avg 75
H17/10
Super League
Rigas Zelli
#20
W
100-64
100
64
+36
108avg 75
H21/10
Eurocup
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
W
70-60
70
60
+10
45avg 75
A25/10
Super League
Le Mans
#12
W
90-83
90
83
+7
89avg 75
A28/10
Eurocup
Ironi Eilat
#5
W
88-78
88
78
+10
67avg 75
H01/11
Super League
Aris
#4
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
H04/11
Eurocup
Hapoel HaEmek
#12
W
65-59
65
59
+6
no box
H08/11
Super League
Tortona
#17
W
91-77
91
77
+14
no box
A11/11
Eurocup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#8
W
82-77
82
77
+5
no box
A14/11
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
22-21
24-20
15-25
22-10
20-24
22-14
24-26
29-20
21-16
27-19
23-9
16-14
18-13
17-20
19-13
21-19
27-21
17-27
25-16
27-16
16-21
17-16
28-25
18-19
17-21
22-16
27-17
16-20
16-11
19-17
14-11
25-25
23-25
21-18
22-9
21-25
16-16
18-21
27-15
157.2Avg total
84.3Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.869.5150.3+11.3100%
Season at home (3)80.370.3150.7+10.0100%
Season away (3)81.368.7150.0+12.7100%
Last 10 (10)84.372.9157.2+11.4100%
Last 5 (5)82.072.8154.8+9.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.877.2145.0-9.50%
vs Similar (7)86.177.4163.6+8.786%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)89.379.3168.6+10.084%
This opponent (Maccabi Ashdod) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi AshdodIsraelLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAshdod
Date
Competition
Otef Darom
#10
W
82-79
82
79
+3
no box
A27/05
Liga Leumit
Ironi Nahariya
#3
L
108-114 OT
108
114
-6
no box
A31/05
Liga Leumit
Ironi Nahariya
#3
W
85-70
85
70
+15
no box
H04/06
Liga Leumit
Ironi Nahariya
#3
W
86-82
86
82
+4
no box
A08/06
Liga Leumit
Ironi Nahariya
#3
W
94-83
94
83
+11
no box
H11/06
Liga Leumit
Nes Ziona
#3
W
76-62
76
62
+14
48avg 43
H12/10
Super League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
L
67-81
67
81
-14
42avg 43
A18/10
Super League
Galil Elyon
#6
L
66-77
66
77
-11
39avg 43
H26/10
Super League
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#14
L
88-92
88
92
-4
no box
H02/11
Super League
Bnei Herzliya
#11
W
75-72
75
72
+3
no box
A09/11
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
25-17
17-16
22-17
29-22
10-25
25-22
28-23
24-22
28-21
16-16
17-11
11-14
26-16
17-26
32-26
20-16
20-23
31-16
23-28
17-12
17-18
14-20
28-12
28-23
20-23
7-14
12-21
23-16
7-26
26-19
10-16
25-17
25-27
18-23
20-25
15-18
26-15
20-24
14-15
163.9Avg total
82.7Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.476.8151.2-2.440%
Season at home (3)76.777.0153.7-0.333%
Season away (2)71.076.5147.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)82.781.2163.9+1.560%
Last 5 (5)74.476.8151.2-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)75.381.7157.0-6.333%
vs Similar (8)85.184.5169.6+0.650%
vs Weaker (19)93.381.8175.1+11.484%
This opponent (Hapoel Jerusalem) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 164
Over 164
45.6%
Under 164
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 169
Over 169
33.5%
Under 169
66.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 174
Over 174
22.9%
Under 174
77.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Hapoel Jerusalem total 81
Over 81
83.0%
Under 81
17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Jerusalem total 85
Over 85
70.5%
Under 85
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Jerusalem total 89
Over 89
54.7%
Under 89
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Ashdod total 80
Over 80
21.0%
Under 80
79.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Ashdod total 84
Over 84
11.5%
Under 84
88.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Ashdod total 88
Over 88
5.7%
Under 88
94.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Hapoel Jerusalem -3
HJE -3
91.2%
MACC +3
8.8%
Best 5 market prices
HJE
No market prices yet.
MACC
No market prices yet.
Spread Hapoel Jerusalem 0
HJE 0
93.7%
MACC 0
6.3%
Best 5 market prices
HJE
No market prices yet.
MACC
No market prices yet.
Spread Hapoel Jerusalem +3
HJE +3
96.0%
MACC -3
4.0%
Best 5 market prices
HJE
No market prices yet.
MACC
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +5.8+5.8Q4: +1.2+1.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +5.8+5.8Q4: +1.2+1.2
Hapoel JerusalemMaccabi Ashdod
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hapoel JerusalemLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A14/10
Eurocup
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#14
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H17/10
Super League
Rigas Zelli
#20
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H21/10
Eurocup
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A25/10
Super League
Le Mans
#12
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A28/10
Eurocup
Ironi Eilat
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H01/11
Super League
Aris
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H04/11
Eurocup
Hapoel HaEmek
#12
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H08/11
Super League
Tortona
#17
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A11/11
Eurocup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#8
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A14/11
Super League
79.0Avg total
41.5Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.941.785.6+2.262%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.941.286.1+3.664%-
Last 30 away (15)43.142.185.2+0.960%-
Last 10 (10)41.537.579.0+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.878.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.745.788.3-3.00%-
vs Similar (7)41.140.982.0+0.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)45.241.486.5+3.874%-
This opponent (Maccabi Ashdod) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi AshdodLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Otef Darom
#10
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A27/05
Liga Leumit
Ironi Nahariya
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A31/05
Liga Leumit
Ironi Nahariya
#3
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H04/06
Liga Leumit
Ironi Nahariya
#3
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A08/06
Liga Leumit
Ironi Nahariya
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H11/06
Liga Leumit
Nes Ziona
#3
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H12/10
Super League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A18/10
Super League
Galil Elyon
#6
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H26/10
Super League
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#14
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H02/11
Super League
Bnei Herzliya
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A09/11
Super League
81.4Avg total
41.4Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.441.285.6+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.340.486.7+5.967%-
Last 30 away (15)42.542.084.5+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)41.440.081.4+1.470%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.079.6+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)39.344.083.3-4.767%-
vs Similar (8)40.040.080.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker (19)47.141.388.3+5.863%-
This opponent (Hapoel Jerusalem) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hapoel Jerusalemtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hapoel Jerusalem: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.421.9
54.2%
53.3%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.08.9
40.5%
34.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.615.8
76.7%
73.7%15.8
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maccabi Ashdodtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maccabi Ashdod: 69.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.7 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.0 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.716.3
43.4%
53.3%32.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.3
36.9%
34.3%31.0
🏀 Free throws9.36.0
64.3%
73.7%6.0
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/3 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hapoel Jerusalem
WWWWWWWWWW
Maccabi Ashdod
WLLLWWWWLW
#1
League position
#9
+15.0
Net rating
+4.6
102.0
Offensive rating
87.2
87.0
Defensive rating
82.6
56.5%
Effective FG%
48.5%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
16.4%
Turnover %
15.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.14
40.5%
3-point %
36.9%
67.9%
Assist %
55.0%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.0 · 87.2Defence87.0 · 82.6Shooting56.5% · 48.5%3-point %40.5% · 36.9%Ball care16.4% · 15.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.14Form (last 10/10)100% · 60%
■ Hapoel Jerusalem   ■ Maccabi Ashdod
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hapoel Jerusalem wins
0
Maccabi Ashdod wins
DateGameScore
19/01/20Hapoel Jerusalem v Maccabi Ashdod72-51
01/12/19Maccabi Ashdod v Hapoel Jerusalem69-84
Hapoel Jerusalemlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv82-77
11/11/26ATortona91-77
08/11/26HHapoel HaEmek65-59
04/11/26HAris84-73
01/11/26HIroni Eilat88-78
28/10/26ALe Mans90-83
25/10/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv70-60
21/10/26HRigas Zelli100-64
17/10/26HHapoel Beer Sheva88-74
14/10/26ASan Pablo Burgos85-84
Maccabi Ashdodlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26ABnei Herzliya75-72
02/11/26HHapoel Beer Sheva88-92
26/10/26HGalil Elyon66-77
18/10/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv67-81
12/10/26HNes Ziona76-62
11/06/26HIroni Nahariya94-83
08/06/26AIroni Nahariya86-82
04/06/26HIroni Nahariya85-70
31/05/26AIroni Nahariya108-114 OT
27/05/26AOtef Darom82-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hapoel Jerusalem
Super League 2026-27
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game80.880.381.3
Allowed / game69.570.368.7
Point differential+11.3+10.0+12.7
Avg total150.3150.7150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Maccabi Ashdod
Super League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game74.476.771.0
Allowed / game76.877.076.5
Point differential-2.4-0.3-5.5
Avg total151.2153.7147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Jerusalem660100%80.869.5+11.3
2 Hapoel Tel-Aviv54180%83.875.4+8.4
3 Nes Ziona53260%85.880.0+5.8
4 Maccabi Rishon53260%81.678.0+3.6
5 Ironi Eilat53260%85.283.8+1.4
6 Galil Elyon53260%91.694.0-2.4
7 Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan53260%85.489.0-3.6
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv52340%98.092.4+5.6
9 Maccabi Ashdod52340%74.476.8-2.4
10 Ironi Kiryat Ata52340%88.297.8-9.6
11 Bnei Herzliya62433%84.788.0-3.3
12 Hapoel HaEmek51420%73.475.0-1.6
13 Hapoel Holon51420%80.086.6-6.6
14 Hapoel Beer Sheva51420%81.890.0-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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