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HBA W vs Jyvaskyla BA W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 79-81
21-20 16-20 24-18 18-23
Position#9
Record10-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game67.2
HBA W
Finland
vs
Jyvaskyla BA W 🏆
Finland
Position#10
Record8-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game63.4
Allowed / game66.2
FinlandI Divisioona Women· Mäkelänrinteen Uintikeskus (Helsinki)
Women2023-24
Meetings · HBA W v Jyvaskyla BA W
25 Feb 2024
HBA 79
JYVA81
20 Nov 2022
HBA 92
JYVA51
05 Dec 2021
HBA 63
JYVA71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

HBA W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jyvaskyla BA W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HBA WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Espoo Team II W
#12
W
69-58
69
58
+11
63avg 59
H01/12
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
58-74
58
74
-16
39avg 59
A08/12
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
no box
H15/12
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
L
62-81
62
81
-19
44avg 59
A07/01
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
77-81
77
81
-4
62avg 59
H12/01
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
W
88-74
88
74
+14
85avg 59
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
96-54
96
54
+42
94avg 59
H28/01
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
W
79-74
79
74
+5
65avg 59
H04/02
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
57-69
57
69
-12
43avg 59
A14/02
I Divisioona Women
Kataja W
#16
W
81-58
81
58
+23
76avg 59
A18/02
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-12
17-13
14-18
22-15
22-20
13-21
5-17
18-16
22-18
22-13
13-22
16-20
13-14
13-19
17-29
19-19
12-24
22-17
28-20
15-20
18-29
22-23
21-8
27-14
22-13
24-12
29-5
21-24
20-20
25-22
17-16
17-16
19-17
14-20
7-16
17-16
17-12
25-18
18-19
21-9
144.2Avg total
74.4Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)70.267.2137.3+3.056%
Season at home (9)75.164.0139.1+11.178%
Season away (9)65.270.3135.6-5.133%
Last 10 (10)74.469.8144.2+4.660%
Last 5 (5)80.265.8146.0+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)67.070.4137.4-3.450%
vs Similar (9)68.864.8133.6+4.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)70.461.9132.3+8.656%
This opponent (Jyvaskyla BA W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jyvaskyla BA WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
W
86-75
86
75
+11
79avg 53
H03/12
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
L
43-66
43
66
-23
26avg 53
A10/12
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
71-85
71
85
-14
63avg 53
H17/12
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
L
56-71
56
71
-15
43avg 53
A07/01
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
L
56-68
56
68
-12
31avg 53
H14/01
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
W
58-43
58
43
+15
59avg 53
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
W
77-74
77
74
+3
70avg 53
H28/01
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
W
59-54
59
54
+5
53avg 53
H04/02
I Divisioona Women
LePy W
#11
W
63-47
63
47
+16
58avg 53
A11/02
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
L
67-89
67
89
-22
56avg 53
H18/02
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-13
20-14
26-22
17-26
11-11
16-17
3-12
13-26
15-16
18-24
18-25
20-20
7-17
21-13
17-22
11-19
20-19
12-20
9-18
15-11
26-15
10-10
12-13
10-5
11-12
20-24
11-14
35-24
15-15
18-9
10-17
16-13
20-6
11-14
15-16
17-11
14-16
22-27
15-21
16-25
130.8Avg total
63.6Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)63.466.2129.7-2.844%
Season at home (10)65.669.0134.6-3.450%
Season away (8)60.862.8123.5-2.038%
Last 10 (10)63.667.2130.8-3.650%
Last 5 (5)64.861.4126.2+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)61.672.4134.0-10.825%
vs Similar (9)63.660.9124.4+2.767%
vs Weaker (5)69.268.2137.4+1.020%
This opponent (HBA W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -1.0-1.0
HBA WJyvaskyla BA W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HBA WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Espoo Team II W
#12
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H01/12
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A08/12
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H15/12
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A07/01
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H12/01
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H28/01
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H04/02
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A14/02
I Divisioona Women
Kataja W
#16
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A18/02
I Divisioona Women
73.5Avg total
37.8Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.334.568.8-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.533.769.2+1.857%-
Last 30 away (16)33.235.268.4-2.131%-
Last 10 (10)37.835.773.5+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.237.278.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.136.569.6-3.442%-
vs Similar (9)36.834.971.7+1.944%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)33.331.664.9+1.844%-
This opponent (Jyvaskyla BA W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jyvaskyla BA WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H03/12
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A10/12
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H17/12
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A07/01
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H14/01
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H28/01
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H04/02
I Divisioona Women
LePy W
#11
W
31-20
31
20
+11
A11/02
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H18/02
I Divisioona Women
64.2Avg total
33.0Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.133.064.1-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.934.266.1-2.238%-
Last 30 away (14)30.231.661.8-1.436%-
Last 10 (10)33.031.264.2+1.840%-
Last 5 (5)33.429.663.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)28.935.664.6-6.719%-
vs Similar (9)32.928.060.9+4.967%-
vs Weaker (5)35.033.468.4+1.640%-
This opponent (HBA W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
HBA Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

HBA W: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.917.4
39.6%
40.2%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.48.4
27.6%
24.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.111.6
67.8%
63.2%11.6
They take 74.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jyvaskyla BA Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jyvaskyla BA W: 63.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.514.1
42.1%
40.2%28.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.17.0
24.9%
24.5%21.0
🏀 Free throws21.713.9
64.1%
63.2%13.9
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
HBA W
WLWWWLLWLW
Jyvaskyla BA W
LWWWWLLLLW
#9
League position
#10
+5.0
Net rating
-4.3
88.1
Offensive rating
76.1
83.0
Defensive rating
80.4
40.4%
Effective FG%
39.9%
40.8%
Opp. effective FG%
38.9%
20.7%
Turnover %
31.1%
36.0%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.35
27.6%
3-point %
24.9%
68.6%
Assist %
66.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence88.1 · 76.1Defence83.0 · 80.4Shooting40.4% · 39.9%3-point %27.6% · 24.9%Ball care20.7% · 31.1%Off. rebounds36.0% · 32.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ HBA W   ■ Jyvaskyla BA W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
HBA W wins
2
Jyvaskyla BA W wins
DateGameScore
29/10/23Jyvaskyla BA W v HBA W69-59
20/11/22HBA W v Jyvaskyla BA W92-51
13/03/22Jyvaskyla BA W v HBA W58-66
05/12/21HBA W v Jyvaskyla BA W63-71
HBA Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/24AKataja W81-58
14/02/24ALahti Basketball W57-69
04/02/24HBC Nokia W79-74
28/01/24HKorihait W96-54
21/01/24ATurun NMKY W88-74
12/01/24HPuhuttaret W77-81
07/01/24AHyPo W62-81
15/12/23HTapiolan Honka II W77-75 OT
08/12/23ATorpan Pojat Helsinki II W58-74
01/12/23HEspoo Team II W69-58
Jyvaskyla BA Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/24HBC Nokia W67-89
11/02/24ALePy W63-47
04/02/24HLappeenranta W59-54
28/01/24HEspoo Team II W77-74
21/01/24APantterit W58-43
14/01/24HKorihait W56-68
07/01/24ATurun NMKY W56-71
17/12/23HPuhuttaret W71-85
10/12/23AHyPo W43-66
03/12/23HTapiolan Honka II W86-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

HBA W
I Divisioona Women 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW56%
HomeWWLWW78%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%78%33%
Points / game70.275.165.2
Allowed / game67.264.070.3
Point differential+3.0+11.1-5.1
Avg total137.3139.1135.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%33%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)60% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Jyvaskyla BA W
I Divisioona Women 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL44%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayLLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %44%50%38%
Points / game63.465.660.8
Allowed / game66.269.062.8
Point differential-2.8-3.4-2.0
Avg total129.7134.6123.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%30%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Nokia W1917289%77.760.8+16.8
2 Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W1813572%72.364.4+7.9
3 Lappeenranta W1913668%59.254.1+5.1
4 Lahti Basketball W1912763%65.358.9+6.4
5 Turun NMKY W1811761%61.562.6-1.1
6 Pyrinto II W1911858%66.462.5+3.9
7 Puhuttaret W1911858%70.867.3+3.6
8 HBA W1810856%70.267.2+3.0
9 Tapiolan Honka II W189950%71.265.2+5.9
10 Jyvaskyla BA W1881044%63.466.2-2.8
11 Espoo Team II W1871139%65.468.7-3.3
12 HyPo W1871139%61.865.5-3.7
13 LePy W1971237%57.163.8-6.8
14 Pantterit W1961332%64.268.7-4.6
15 Korihait W1851328%64.275.1-10.9
16 Kataja W191185%49.769.5-19.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
HBA W2116241879
Jyvaskyla BA W2020182381
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