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HBA W vs Korihait W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 96-54
22-13 24-12 29-5 21-24
Position#9
Record7-7
FormLWLLW
Points / game67.9
Allowed / game68.1
HBA W 🏆
Finland
vs
Korihait W
Finland
Position#15
Record5-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game65.3
Allowed / game69.1
FinlandI Divisioona Women· Mäkelänrinteen Uintikeskus (Helsinki)
Women2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

HBA W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Korihait W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HBA WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
61-65
61
65
-4
51avg 56
H05/11
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
L
54-69
54
69
-15
35avg 56
A12/11
I Divisioona Women
LePy W
#11
W
78-73
78
73
+5
67avg 56
H17/11
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
W
58-56
58
56
+2
55avg 56
A26/11
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
W
69-58
69
58
+11
63avg 56
H01/12
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
58-74
58
74
-16
39avg 56
A08/12
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
no box
H15/12
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
L
62-81
62
81
-19
44avg 56
A07/01
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
77-81
77
81
-4
62avg 56
H12/01
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
W
88-74
88
74
+14
85avg 56
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-32
19-8
14-10
11-15
20-12
12-21
5-24
17-12
23-17
13-27
19-14
23-15
13-18
10-15
22-11
13-12
16-12
17-13
14-18
22-15
22-20
13-21
5-17
18-16
22-18
22-13
13-22
16-20
13-14
13-19
17-29
19-19
12-24
22-17
28-20
15-20
18-29
22-23
21-8
27-14
138.8Avg total
68.2Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)67.968.1136.0-0.350%
Season at home (7)71.664.0135.6+7.671%
Season away (7)64.172.3136.4-8.129%
Last 10 (10)68.270.6138.8-2.450%
Last 5 (5)72.477.0149.4-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)65.970.1136.0-4.245%
vs Similar (9)69.164.3133.4+4.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)65.657.9123.5+7.760%
This opponent (Korihait W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Korihait WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Turun NMKY W
#4
L
75-82 OT
75
82
-7
no box
A29/10
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
L
57-85
57
85
-28
39avg 53
A05/11
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
L
60-66
60
66
-6
41avg 53
H12/11
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
W
76-49
76
49
+27
71avg 53
H26/11
I Divisioona Women
Kataja W
#16
W
70-55
70
55
+15
55avg 53
A03/12
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
50-62
50
62
-12
36avg 53
H10/12
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
L
52-84
52
84
-32
37avg 53
A17/12
I Divisioona Women
LePy W
#11
L
72-83
72
83
-11
62avg 53
H07/01
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
W
68-56
68
56
+12
63avg 53
A14/01
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
L
56-64
56
64
-8
48avg 53
H21/01
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
14-18
12-16
18-10
13-22
18-25
13-17
13-21
15-20
12-21
17-12
16-13
16-15
13-14
22-12
25-8
22-8
20-18
14-15
14-14
11-13
17-18
9-11
13-20
18-22
17-25
7-21
10-16
27-18
19-25
16-21
10-19
19-20
20-12
18-9
11-15
9-15
12-18
19-15
16-16
132.2Avg total
63.6Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)65.369.1134.4-3.838%
Season at home (7)66.168.4134.6-2.329%
Season away (6)64.369.8134.2-5.550%
Last 10 (10)63.668.6132.2-5.030%
Last 5 (5)59.669.8129.4-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)64.970.2135.2-5.333%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)70.055.0125.0+15.0100%
This opponent (HBA W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
HBA WKorihait W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HBA WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H05/11
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A12/11
I Divisioona Women
LePy W
#11
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H17/11
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A26/11
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H01/12
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A08/12
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H15/12
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A07/01
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H12/01
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
71.2Avg total
33.9Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.633.366.9+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.531.365.8+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)32.735.468.1-2.727%-
Last 10 (10)33.937.371.2-3.420%-
Last 5 (5)35.839.675.4-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.036.068.0-4.036%-
vs Similar (9)36.934.671.4+2.344%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)32.429.361.7+3.150%-
This opponent (Korihait W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Korihait WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turun NMKY W
#4
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A29/10
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A05/11
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H12/11
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H26/11
I Divisioona Women
Kataja W
#16
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A03/12
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H10/12
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A17/12
I Divisioona Women
LePy W
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H07/01
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A14/01
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
L
21-33
21
33
-12
H21/01
I Divisioona Women
69.9Avg total
33.2Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)33.836.169.8-2.331%-
Last 30 at home (7)33.135.969.0-2.729%-
Last 30 away (6)34.536.370.8-1.833%-
Last 10 (10)33.236.769.9-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)33.837.271.0-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)33.136.970.0-3.825%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)42.026.068.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (HBA W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
HBA Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

HBA W: 65.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.116.9
38.3%
40.2%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.27.3
25.0%
24.5%21.9
🏀 Free throws15.89.8
62.0%
63.2%9.8
They take 73.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Korihait Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Korihait W: 64.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.912.9
39.2%
40.2%25.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.68.4
27.5%
24.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.213.0
75.6%
63.2%13.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
HBA W
WLLWLWWWLL
Korihait W
LWLLLWWLLL
#9
League position
#15
-5.1
Net rating
-2.4
81.2
Offensive rating
79.7
86.3
Defensive rating
82.1
38.0%
Effective FG%
40.2%
41.6%
Opp. effective FG%
38.0%
24.4%
Turnover %
26.6%
39.0%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.27
25.0%
3-point %
27.5%
62.0%
Assist %
50.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence81.2 · 79.7Defence86.3 · 82.1Shooting38.0% · 40.2%3-point %25.0% · 27.5%Ball care24.4% · 26.6%Off. rebounds39.0% · 29.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ HBA W   ■ Korihait W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
HBA W wins
0
Korihait W wins
No previous meetings.
HBA Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24ATurun NMKY W88-74
12/01/24HPuhuttaret W77-81
07/01/24AHyPo W62-81
15/12/23HTapiolan Honka II W77-75 OT
08/12/23ATorpan Pojat Helsinki II W58-74
01/12/23HEspoo Team II W69-58
26/11/23APantterit W58-56
17/11/23HLePy W78-73
12/11/23ALappeenranta W54-69
05/11/23HPyrinto II W61-65
Korihait Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HLappeenranta W56-64
14/01/24AJyvaskyla BA W68-56
07/01/24HLePy W72-83
17/12/23ABC Nokia W52-84
10/12/23HLahti Basketball W50-62
03/12/23AKataja W70-55
26/11/23HPyrinto II W76-49
12/11/23HHyPo W60-66
05/11/23AEspoo Team II W57-85
29/10/23ATurun NMKY W75-82 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

HBA W
I Divisioona Women 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeLWWWL71%
AwayLWLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%71%29%
Points / game67.971.664.1
Allowed / game68.164.072.3
Point differential-0.3+7.6-8.1
Avg total136.0135.6136.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Korihait W
I Divisioona Women 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL38%
HomeLWLLL29%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %38%29%50%
Points / game65.366.164.3
Allowed / game69.168.469.8
Point differential-3.8-2.3-5.5
Avg total134.4134.6134.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%29%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Nokia W1514193%75.960.7+15.2
2 Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W1511473%70.563.3+7.2
3 Lappeenranta W1511473%60.354.6+5.7
4 Lahti Basketball W1410471%67.458.9+8.6
5 Pyrinto II W148657%67.962.9+4.9
6 Turun NMKY W148657%61.163.3-2.2
7 HBA W147750%67.968.1-0.3
8 Espoo Team II W157847%65.867.9-2.1
9 HyPo W146843%62.462.2+0.2
10 Tapiolan Honka II W156940%68.365.8+2.5
11 Jyvaskyla BA W156940%63.566.8-3.3
12 LePy W156940%59.165.1-6.1
13 Puhuttaret W135838%66.268.2-2.0
14 Korihait W135838%65.369.1-3.8
15 Pantterit W1541127%62.169.2-7.1
16 Kataja W141137%48.467.1-18.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
HBA W2224292196
Korihait W131252454
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