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HBA W vs Lappeenranta W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 60-57
12-21 14-5 11-18 23-13
Position#9
Record10-10
FormWLWLL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game68.4
HBA W 🏆
Finland
vs
Lappeenranta W
Finland
Position#6
Record13-7
FormLLWWL
Points / game58.7
Allowed / game55.0
FinlandI Divisioona Women· Mäkelänrinteen Uintikeskus (Helsinki)
Women2023-24
Meetings · HBA W v Lappeenranta W
10 Mar 2024
HBA 60
LAPP57
28 Jan 2021
HBA 60
LAPP67
08 Oct 2020
HBA 107
LAPP35
30 Nov 2019
HBA 51
LAPP73
17 Jan 2019
HBA 68
LAPP83
25 Jan 2018
HBA 94
LAPP104
28 Sep 2017
HBA 69
LAPP94
11 Mar 2017
HBA 69
LAPP85
04 Nov 2016
HBA 78
LAPP76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

HBA W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lappeenranta W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HBA WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
no box
H15/12
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
L
62-81
62
81
-19
44avg 60
A07/01
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
77-81
77
81
-4
62avg 60
H12/01
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
W
88-74
88
74
+14
85avg 60
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
96-54
96
54
+42
94avg 60
H28/01
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
W
79-74
79
74
+5
65avg 60
H04/02
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
57-69
57
69
-12
43avg 60
A14/02
I Divisioona Women
Kataja W
#16
W
81-58
81
58
+23
76avg 60
A18/02
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
L
79-81
79
81
-2
72avg 60
H25/02
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
73-78
73
78
-5
64avg 60
A03/03
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
22-13
13-22
16-20
13-14
13-19
17-29
19-19
12-24
22-17
28-20
15-20
18-29
22-23
21-8
27-14
22-13
24-12
29-5
21-24
20-20
25-22
17-16
17-16
19-17
14-20
7-16
17-16
17-12
25-18
18-19
21-9
21-20
16-20
24-18
18-23
18-18
16-18
17-16
22-26
149.4Avg total
76.9Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)70.868.4139.2+2.350%
Season at home (10)75.565.7141.2+9.870%
Season away (10)66.071.1137.1-5.130%
Last 10 (10)76.972.5149.4+4.450%
Last 5 (5)73.872.0145.8+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)67.070.4137.4-3.450%
vs Similar ◀ (10)69.266.1135.3+3.160%
vs Weaker (8)70.562.9133.4+7.650%
This opponent (Lappeenranta W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lappeenranta WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Espoo Team II W
#12
L
62-69
62
69
-7
56avg 49
A21/12
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
W
71-40
71
40
+31
65avg 49
A05/01
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
W
50-37
50
37
+13
48avg 49
H14/01
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
64-56
64
56
+8
51avg 49
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
W
65-50
65
50
+15
58avg 49
H26/01
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
L
54-59
54
59
-5
39avg 49
A04/02
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
62-71 OT
62
71
-9
no box
A11/02
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
W
62-46
62
46
+16
49avg 49
H18/02
I Divisioona Women
LePy W
#11
W
42-33
42
33
+9
35avg 49
A25/02
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
L
49-71
49
71
-22
36avg 49
H03/03
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
18-16
16-9
15-26
24-17
19-8
11-10
17-5
17-6
18-9
13-12
2-10
15-9
18-12
15-19
16-16
20-12
16-21
10-8
19-9
15-15
9-18
17-10
13-16
13-15
11-12
15-10
20-22
14-16
16-12
11-2
21-16
18-7
2-11
9-11
13-4
14-23
14-12
12-15
9-21
111.3Avg total
58.1Scored
53.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)58.755.0113.7+3.865%
Season at home (10)58.354.7113.0+3.680%
Season away (10)59.155.2114.3+3.950%
Last 10 (10)58.153.2111.3+4.960%
Last 5 (5)53.856.0109.8-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)58.089.9147.9-31.90%
vs Similar ◀ (11)58.552.6111.1+5.873%
vs Weaker (6)60.851.0111.8+9.883%
This opponent (HBA W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.0+0.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.0+0.0
HBA WLappeenranta W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HBA WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H15/12
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A07/01
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H12/01
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H28/01
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H04/02
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A14/02
I Divisioona Women
Kataja W
#16
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A18/02
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H25/02
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A03/03
I Divisioona Women
74.8Avg total
38.1Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.334.869.2-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.834.169.9+1.757%-
Last 30 away (16)33.135.568.6-2.425%-
Last 10 (10)38.136.774.8+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.237.075.2+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.136.569.6-3.442%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.535.071.5+1.540%-
vs Weaker (8)33.532.165.6+1.438%-
This opponent (Lappeenranta W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lappeenranta WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Espoo Team II W
#12
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A21/12
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A05/01
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
W
35-15
35
15
+20
H14/01
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
33-21
33
21
+12
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H26/01
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A04/02
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
24-27
24
27
-3
A11/02
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H18/02
I Divisioona Women
LePy W
#11
W
20-18
20
18
+2
A25/02
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H03/03
I Divisioona Women
57.3Avg total
30.4Scored
26.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.834.363.1-5.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)28.432.460.8-4.047%-
Last 30 away (15)29.236.365.5-7.133%-
Last 10 (10)30.426.957.3+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)25.228.253.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)27.244.271.4-16.98%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)30.327.758.0+2.564%-
vs Weaker (6)29.525.254.7+4.367%-
This opponent (HBA W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
HBA Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

HBA W: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.119.5
42.3%
40.2%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.97.4
25.6%
24.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws18.812.8
68.1%
63.2%12.8
They take 75.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lappeenranta Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lappeenranta W: 56.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.713.3
37.3%
40.2%26.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.47.4
26.1%
24.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws12.47.9
63.7%
63.2%7.9
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
HBA W
LLWLWWWLLW
Lappeenranta W
LWWLLWWWWL
#9
League position
#6
+2.8
Net rating
+9.0
90.7
Offensive rating
77.4
87.9
Defensive rating
68.4
40.8%
Effective FG%
38.1%
42.8%
Opp. effective FG%
30.4%
19.6%
Turnover %
28.3%
36.5%
Off. rebound %
37.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.19
25.6%
3-point %
26.1%
63.9%
Assist %
58.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence90.7 · 77.4Defence87.9 · 68.4Shooting40.8% · 38.1%3-point %25.6% · 26.1%Ball care19.6% · 28.3%Off. rebounds36.5% · 37.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ HBA W   ■ Lappeenranta W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
HBA W wins
7
Lappeenranta W wins
DateGameScore
12/11/23Lappeenranta W v HBA W69-54
28/01/21HBA W v Lappeenranta W60-67
05/12/20Lappeenranta W v HBA W66-71
08/10/20HBA W v Lappeenranta W107-35
08/02/20Lappeenranta W v HBA W75-58
30/11/19HBA W v Lappeenranta W51-73
05/10/19Lappeenranta W v HBA W67-61
16/03/19Lappeenranta W v HBA W61-75
17/01/19HBA W v Lappeenranta W68-83
28/11/18Lappeenranta W v HBA W76-66
HBA Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24APyrinto II W73-78
25/02/24HJyvaskyla BA W79-81
18/02/24AKataja W81-58
14/02/24ALahti Basketball W57-69
04/02/24HBC Nokia W79-74
28/01/24HKorihait W96-54
21/01/24ATurun NMKY W88-74
12/01/24HPuhuttaret W77-81
07/01/24AHyPo W62-81
15/12/23HTapiolan Honka II W77-75 OT
Lappeenranta Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HBC Nokia W49-71
25/02/24ALePy W42-33
18/02/24HLahti Basketball W62-46
11/02/24APyrinto II W62-71 OT
04/02/24AJyvaskyla BA W54-59
26/01/24HPantterit W65-50
21/01/24AKorihait W64-56
14/01/24HTurun NMKY W50-37
05/01/24APuhuttaret W71-40
21/12/23AEspoo Team II W62-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

HBA W
I Divisioona Women 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWLWWL70%
AwayLWLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%70%30%
Points / game70.875.566.0
Allowed / game68.465.771.1
Point differential+2.4+9.8-5.1
Avg total139.2141.2137.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%30%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Lappeenranta W
I Divisioona Women 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL65%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %65%80%50%
Points / game58.758.359.1
Allowed / game55.054.755.2
Point differential+3.8+3.6+3.9
Avg total113.7113.0114.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Nokia W2119290%77.760.3+17.4
2 Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W2115671%72.763.8+9.0
3 Lappeenranta W2013765%58.755.0+3.8
4 Lahti Basketball W2113862%64.458.1+6.3
5 Pyrinto II W2012860%67.063.0+4.0
6 Puhuttaret W2012860%71.067.5+3.5
7 Turun NMKY W2012860%62.063.1-1.1
8 Tapiolan Honka II W21111052%72.165.8+6.4
9 HBA W20101050%70.868.4+2.4
10 Jyvaskyla BA W21101148%64.366.6-2.3
11 HyPo W2081240%62.866.5-3.6
12 LePy W2181338%56.763.6-6.9
13 Espoo Team II W2071335%64.368.4-4.0
14 Pantterit W2061430%63.469.5-6.2
15 Korihait W2061430%63.573.9-10.3
16 Kataja W201195%49.969.7-19.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
HBA W1214112360
Lappeenranta W215181357
← all games of the day
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