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LePy W vs Lappeenranta W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 33-42
7-18 11-2 11-9 4-13
Position#11
Record7-11
FormWLWLL
Points / game58.4
Allowed / game65.1
LePy W
Finland
vs
Lappeenranta W 🏆
Finland
Position#6
Record12-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game60.2
Allowed / game55.3
FinlandI Divisioona Women· Leppavaara Sports hall
Women2023-24
Meetings · LePy W v Lappeenranta W
02 Feb 2025
LEPY56
LAPP55
25 Feb 2024
LEPY33
LAPP42
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LePy W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lappeenranta W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LePy WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
HyPo W
#13
L
47-74
47
74
-27
28avg 48
H03/12
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
45-62
45
62
-17
30avg 48
A06/12
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
L
55-64
55
64
-9
43avg 48
H17/12
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
83-72
83
72
+11
78avg 48
A07/01
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
L
71-73
71
73
-2
72avg 48
H14/01
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
W
63-53
63
53
+10
60avg 48
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
57-70
57
70
-13
52avg 48
H28/01
I Divisioona Women
Kataja W
#16
W
64-62
64
62
+2
53avg 48
A04/02
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
L
47-63
47
63
-16
28avg 48
H11/02
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
54-69
54
69
-15
45avg 48
A18/02
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
10-21
16-21
8-13
5-21
19-26
14-5
7-10
15-24
16-10
12-13
12-17
18-27
25-19
21-16
19-10
9-24
25-15
24-10
13-24
20-17
17-15
16-10
10-11
12-13
15-27
17-10
13-20
19-17
19-20
16-10
10-15
6-20
14-11
16-15
11-17
12-21
17-20
14-17
11-11
124.8Avg total
58.6Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)58.465.1123.4-6.739%
Season at home (8)56.168.2124.4-12.125%
Season away (10)60.262.5122.7-2.350%
Last 10 (10)58.666.2124.8-7.630%
Last 5 (5)57.063.4120.4-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)55.068.0123.0-13.029%
vs Similar ◀ (8)57.263.2120.5-6.025%
vs Weaker (3)69.363.0132.3+6.3100%
This opponent (Lappeenranta W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lappeenranta WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
W
51-49
51
49
+2
50avg 51
A10/12
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
W
58-50
58
50
+8
46avg 51
H16/12
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
L
62-69
62
69
-7
56avg 51
A21/12
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
W
71-40
71
40
+31
65avg 51
A05/01
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
W
50-37
50
37
+13
48avg 51
H14/01
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
64-56
64
56
+8
51avg 51
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
W
65-50
65
50
+15
58avg 51
H26/01
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
L
54-59
54
59
-5
39avg 51
A04/02
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
62-71 OT
62
71
-9
no box
A11/02
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
W
62-46
62
46
+16
49avg 51
H18/02
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-17
23-17
11-8
9-7
18-15
10-13
18-14
12-8
13-18
18-16
16-9
15-26
24-17
19-8
11-10
17-5
17-6
18-9
13-12
2-10
15-9
18-12
15-19
16-16
20-12
16-21
10-8
19-9
15-15
9-18
17-10
13-16
13-15
11-12
15-10
20-22
14-16
16-12
11-2
21-16
112.6Avg total
59.9Scored
52.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)60.255.3115.4+4.967%
Season at home (9)59.352.9112.2+6.489%
Season away (9)61.057.7118.7+3.344%
Last 10 (10)59.952.7112.6+7.270%
Last 5 (5)61.456.4117.8+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)59.790.4150.1-30.60%
vs Similar ◀ (10)60.154.6114.7+5.570%
vs Weaker (6)60.851.0111.8+9.883%
This opponent (LePy W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.4-7.4Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.4-7.4Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
LePy WLappeenranta W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LePy WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
HyPo W
#13
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H03/12
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A06/12
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H17/12
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A07/01
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H14/01
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H28/01
I Divisioona Women
Kataja W
#16
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A04/02
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
L
20-31
20
31
-11
H11/02
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A18/02
I Divisioona Women
69.3Avg total
30.6Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)30.536.266.7-5.728%-
Last 30 at home (8)29.036.565.5-7.525%-
Last 30 away (10)31.735.967.6-4.230%-
Last 10 (10)30.638.769.3-8.120%-
Last 5 (5)30.236.266.4-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)28.939.168.0-10.314%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)29.133.162.2-4.025%-
vs Weaker (3)38.037.375.3+0.767%-
This opponent (Lappeenranta W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lappeenranta WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A10/12
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H16/12
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A21/12
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A05/01
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
W
35-15
35
15
+20
H14/01
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
33-21
33
21
+12
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H26/01
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A04/02
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
24-27
24
27
-3
A11/02
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H18/02
I Divisioona Women
59.3Avg total
31.5Scored
27.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.235.564.7-6.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)28.632.561.1-3.947%-
Last 30 away (15)29.938.568.4-8.727%-
Last 10 (10)31.527.859.3+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)29.428.457.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)27.644.872.4-17.17%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)31.328.760.0+2.660%-
vs Weaker (6)29.525.254.7+4.367%-
This opponent (LePy W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
LePy Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LePy W: 59.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.515.1
38.2%
40.2%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.65.5
23.3%
24.5%16.5
🏀 Free throws19.512.7
65.1%
63.2%12.7
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lappeenranta Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lappeenranta W: 58.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.7 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.414.4
38.5%
40.2%28.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.97.6
26.3%
24.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws10.86.7
62.0%
63.2%6.7
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
LePy W
LLWLWLWLLL
Lappeenranta W
WLLWWWWLWW
#11
League position
#6
-7.9
Net rating
+8.2
75.7
Offensive rating
79.4
83.6
Defensive rating
71.2
37.0%
Effective FG%
38.9%
41.7%
Opp. effective FG%
31.8%
27.9%
Turnover %
27.2%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
38.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.16
23.3%
3-point %
26.3%
70.4%
Assist %
57.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence75.7 · 79.4Defence83.6 · 71.2Shooting37.0% · 38.9%3-point %23.3% · 26.3%Ball care27.9% · 27.2%Off. rebounds33.7% · 38.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.16Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ LePy W   ■ Lappeenranta W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
LePy W wins
1
Lappeenranta W wins
DateGameScore
29/10/23Lappeenranta W v LePy W46-45
LePy Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/24APyrinto II W54-69
11/02/24HJyvaskyla BA W47-63
04/02/24AKataja W64-62
28/01/24HTorpan Pojat Helsinki II W57-70
21/01/24AEspoo Team II W63-53
14/01/24HPantterit W71-73
07/01/24AKorihait W83-72
17/12/23HTurun NMKY W55-64
06/12/23APuhuttaret W45-62
03/12/23HHyPo W47-74
Lappeenranta Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/24HLahti Basketball W62-46
11/02/24APyrinto II W62-71 OT
04/02/24AJyvaskyla BA W54-59
26/01/24HPantterit W65-50
21/01/24AKorihait W64-56
14/01/24HTurun NMKY W50-37
05/01/24APuhuttaret W71-40
21/12/23AEspoo Team II W62-69
16/12/23HHyPo W58-50
10/12/23ATapiolan Honka II W51-49

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LePy W
I Divisioona Women 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL39%
HomeLLLLL25%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %39%25%50%
Points / game58.456.160.2
Allowed / game65.168.262.5
Point differential-6.7-12.1-2.3
Avg total123.4124.4122.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %6%0%10%
Lappeenranta W
I Divisioona Women 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeLWWWW89%
AwayLWWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %67%89%44%
Points / game60.259.361.0
Allowed / game55.352.957.7
Point differential+4.9+6.4+3.3
Avg total115.4112.2118.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%44%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Nokia W1816289%77.961.0+16.9
2 Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W1813572%72.364.4+7.9
3 Lappeenranta W1812667%60.255.3+4.9
4 Lahti Basketball W1811761%65.759.6+6.1
5 Pyrinto II W1811761%66.961.8+5.1
6 Turun NMKY W1811761%61.562.6-1.1
7 Puhuttaret W1911858%70.867.3+3.6
8 HBA W1810856%70.267.2+3.0
9 Tapiolan Honka II W189950%71.265.2+5.9
10 Jyvaskyla BA W1881044%63.466.2-2.8
11 Espoo Team II W1871139%65.468.7-3.3
12 HyPo W1871139%61.865.5-3.7
13 LePy W1871139%58.465.1-6.7
14 Pantterit W1961332%64.268.7-4.6
15 Korihait W1851328%64.275.1-10.9
16 Kataja W181176%49.970.1-20.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
LePy W71111433
Lappeenranta W18291342
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