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Heidelberg vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 81-90
17-21 22-23 19-26 23-20
Position#16
Record-
FormWWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#2
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
GermanyBBLRound 1· SNP Dome
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Heidelberg v Alba Berlin
06 Mar 2026
HEI54
ABE87
31 Mar 2025
HEI90
ABE86
28 Sep 2023
HEI81
ABE90
05 Feb 2023
HEI86
ABE94
19 Dec 2021
HEI81
ABE83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Heidelberg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HeidelbergGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeidelberg
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#5
W
99-75
99
75
+24
96avg 78
A02/04
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
109-100
109
100
+9
110avg 78
H09/04
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
78-75
78
75
+3
72avg 78
H14/04
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
86-90
86
90
-4
76avg 78
A19/04
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
74-91
74
91
-17
66avg 78
H22/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
102-96
102
96
+6
94avg 78
A26/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
109-91
109
91
+18
103avg 78
H30/04
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
89-78
89
78
+11
90avg 78
A04/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
74-81
74
81
-7
68avg 78
H07/05
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
89-82
89
82
+7
91avg 78
A22/09
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
25-20
29-14
18-23
24-22
27-34
26-19
32-25
17-29
16-14
27-10
18-22
23-24
27-26
13-17
23-23
18-23
22-18
19-19
15-31
24-24
25-15
30-31
23-26
32-30
22-19
32-19
23-23
21-17
23-25
22-22
23-14
22-20
18-16
14-18
20-27
26-22
24-30
19-13
20-17
176.8Avg total
90.9Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.985.9176.8+5.070%
Last 5 (5)92.685.6178.2+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)85.886.2172.0-0.333%
vs Similar (20)86.588.5174.9-2.040%
vs Weaker (3)101.093.0194.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#15
W
83-63
83
63
+20
81avg 82
A16/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
85-78
85
78
+7
93avg 82
H19/04
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
104-79
104
79
+25
108avg 82
H23/04
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
77-84
77
84
-7
no box
A25/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
91-79
91
79
+12
93avg 82
H30/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
83-72
83
72
+11
77avg 82
A04/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
64-88
64
88
-24
58avg 82
H14/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
91-77
91
77
+14
94avg 82
A17/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
81-93
81
93
-12
74avg 82
H19/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
81-83
81
83
-2
81avg 82
A24/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-11
20-21
28-15
15-16
27-21
18-24
16-17
24-16
22-25
29-21
28-15
25-18
12-17
26-29
15-19
24-19
20-12
28-21
22-25
21-21
20-17
27-17
22-19
14-19
17-19
27-23
10-16
10-30
21-20
18-27
29-14
23-16
27-20
19-33
23-22
12-18
22-26
29-24
16-18
14-15
163.6Avg total
84.0Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.079.6163.6+4.460%
Last 5 (5)80.082.6162.6-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.785.5163.2-7.817%
vs Similar (7)78.177.1155.3+1.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)84.775.3160.0+9.482%
This opponent (Heidelberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
HeidelbergAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HeidelbergLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#5
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A02/04
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H09/04
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H14/04
BBL
Hamburg
#15
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A19/04
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H22/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A26/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H30/04
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A04/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H07/05
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A22/09
German Cup
90.9Avg total
46.3Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.545.289.7-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.043.586.5-0.531%-
Last 30 away (17)45.646.592.1-0.847%-
Last 10 (10)46.344.690.9+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)47.443.691.0+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)44.342.586.8+1.867%-
vs Similar (20)44.046.890.8-2.825%-
vs Weaker (3)46.737.784.3+9.0100%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#15
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A16/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H19/04
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H23/04
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A25/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H30/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A04/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H14/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A17/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H19/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A24/05
BBL
87.7Avg total
44.9Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.140.382.4+1.863%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.140.582.6+1.657%-
Last 30 away (16)42.040.182.1+1.969%-
Last 10 (10)44.942.887.7+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)45.445.290.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.041.083.0+1.067%-
vs Similar (7)38.140.678.7-2.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.739.983.6+3.871%-
This opponent (Heidelberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Heidelbergtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Heidelberg: 90.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.418.0
59.2%
54.6%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.413.2
40.7%
35.4%39.6
🏀 Free throws17.514.9
85.1%
76.0%14.9
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.219.7
59.3%
54.6%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.8
34.1%
35.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.514.4
82.3%
76.0%14.4
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Heidelberg
WLWWWLLWWW
Alba Berlin
LLWLWWLWWW
#16
League position
#2
+6.5
Net rating
+5.4
122.4
Offensive rating
110.5
115.9
Defensive rating
105.1
60.2%
Effective FG%
55.6%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
17.5%
Turnover %
23.0%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
36.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
40.7%
3-point %
34.1%
60.3%
Assist %
69.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence122.4 · 110.5Defence115.9 · 105.1Shooting60.2% · 55.6%3-point %40.7% · 34.1%Ball care17.5% · 23.0%Off. rebounds30.4% · 36.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Heidelberg   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Heidelberg wins
4
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
05/02/23Heidelberg v Alba Berlin86-94
23/10/22Alba Berlin v Heidelberg78-70
01/05/22Alba Berlin v Heidelberg110-70
19/12/21Heidelberg v Alba Berlin81-83
Heidelberglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/09/23ABayreuth89-82
07/05/23HChemnitz74-81
04/05/23ABayern89-78
30/04/23HSyntainics MBC109-91
26/04/23ABayreuth102-96
22/04/23HBonn74-91
19/04/23AHamburg86-90
14/04/23HRostock78-75
09/04/23HBamberg109-100
02/04/23AOldenburg99-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/23AUlm81-83
19/05/23HUlm81-93
17/05/23AUlm91-77
14/05/23HUlm64-88
04/05/23ABayreuth83-72
30/04/23HUlm91-79
25/04/23ABonn77-84
23/04/23HRostock104-79
19/04/23HBasketball Braunschweig85-78
16/04/23AHamburg83-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Heidelberg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Alba Berlin
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vechta110100%101.079.0+22.0
2 Ulm110100%90.085.0+5.0
3 Chemnitz1010%85.090.0-5.0
4 Bamberg1010%79.0101.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Heidelberg1722192381
Alba Berlin2123262090
← all games of the day
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