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Hercegovac vs KK Metalac Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 15 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record4-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#12
Record3-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game79.6
SerbiaFirst LeagueRound 11· Sports Center
Other2026-27
Meetings · Hercegovac v KK Metalac
15 Dec 2026
HERC v MET
upcoming
29 Nov 2025
HERC103
MET102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hercegovac win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
KK Metalac win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HercegovacSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHercegovac
Date
Competition
Zlatibor
#1
L
92-97
92
97
-5
91avg 84
A24/04
First League
KK Nis
#7
W
75-65
75
65
+10
no box
A03/10
First League
Sloboda Uzice
#1
L
70-77
70
77
-7
66avg 84
H10/10
First League
Tamis
#14
L
91-92 OT
91
92
-1
no box
A18/10
First League
Podgorica
#15
W
76-64
76
64
+12
70avg 84
H22/10
ABA League 2
Borac Zemun
#11
L
71-85
71
85
-14
63avg 84
H25/10
First League
Sloga
#13
W
82-73
82
73
+9
no box
A31/10
First League
TFT Skopje
#16
W
107-82
107
82
+25
no box
H04/11
ABA League 2
Cacak 94
#8
W
95-89
95
89
+6
no box
A08/11
First League
Zlatibor
#10
W
86-84
86
84
+2
no box
H15/11
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
24-19
23-27
28-28
18-8
16-26
25-9
16-22
20-12
15-23
18-20
17-22
25-29
20-19
21-20
14-12
18-21
19-16
14-15
25-12
23-19
18-27
15-18
15-21
27-26
15-14
17-12
23-21
32-17
26-20
23-25
26-20
28-27
22-17
23-24
22-21
29-24
20-18
15-18
22-24
165.3Avg total
84.5Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.480.7162.1+0.757%
Season at home (3)75.782.0157.7-6.333%
Season away (4)85.879.8165.5+6.075%
Last 10 (10)84.580.8165.3+3.760%
Last 5 (5)88.282.6170.8+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)81.289.8171.0-8.525%
vs Similar ◀ (6)79.577.7157.2+1.867%
vs Weaker (20)93.784.5178.1+9.275%
This opponent (KK Metalac) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KK MetalacSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMetalac
Date
Competition
Sombor BC
#16
W
112-93
112
93
+19
102avg 82
H11/04
First League
Mladost Zemun
#14
W
101-95
101
95
+6
90avg 82
H18/04
First League
BKK Radnicki
#6
L
75-87
75
87
-12
67avg 82
A25/04
First League
Cacak 94
#8
L
78-82
78
82
-4
72avg 82
H06/10
First League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
73-81
73
81
-8
no box
H11/10
First League
BKK Radnicki
#16
W
86-70
86
70
+16
80avg 82
A18/10
First League
Dynamic
#4
W
79-77
79
77
+2
no box
H26/10
First League
Radnicki
#9
W
85-80
85
80
+5
no box
A31/10
First League
KK Nis
#7
L
64-78
64
78
-14
no box
H07/11
First League
Sloboda Uzice
#1
L
83-89
83
89
-6
no box
A14/11
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-27
24-22
27-23
29-21
31-25
28-20
20-24
22-26
17-26
17-21
28-12
13-28
18-12
23-20
21-22
16-28
13-25
18-19
24-19
18-18
29-12
18-24
18-19
21-15
21-23
19-21
19-17
20-16
19-17
30-26
18-19
18-18
14-18
22-20
15-20
13-20
24-20
23-32
17-22
19-15
166.8Avg total
83.6Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.379.6157.9-1.343%
Season at home (4)73.579.5153.0-6.025%
Season away (3)84.779.7164.3+5.067%
Last 10 (10)83.683.2166.8+0.450%
Last 5 (5)79.478.8158.2+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)82.390.3172.7-8.011%
vs Similar ◀ (18)89.288.8178.1+0.456%
vs Weaker (3)93.077.0170.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Hercegovac) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.6-1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.6-1.6
HercegovacKK Metalac
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HercegovacLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zlatibor
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A24/04
First League
KK Nis
#7
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A03/10
First League
Sloboda Uzice
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H10/10
First League
Tamis
#14
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A18/10
First League
Podgorica
#15
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H22/10
ABA League 2
Borac Zemun
#11
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H25/10
First League
Sloga
#13
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A31/10
First League
TFT Skopje
#16
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H04/11
ABA League 2
Cacak 94
#8
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A08/11
First League
Zlatibor
#10
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H15/11
First League
83.7Avg total
43.2Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.743.087.7+1.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.240.484.6+3.950%-
Last 30 away (14)45.245.991.1-0.743%-
Last 10 (10)43.240.583.7+2.740%-
Last 5 (5)48.041.889.8+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.541.582.0-1.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)42.341.583.8+0.850%-
vs Weaker (20)46.243.790.0+2.550%-
This opponent (KK Metalac) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KK MetalacLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sombor BC
#16
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H11/04
First League
Mladost Zemun
#14
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H18/04
First League
BKK Radnicki
#6
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A25/04
First League
Cacak 94
#8
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H06/10
First League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H11/10
First League
BKK Radnicki
#16
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A18/10
First League
Dynamic
#4
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H26/10
First League
Radnicki
#9
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A31/10
First League
KK Nis
#7
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H07/11
First League
Sloboda Uzice
#1
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A14/11
First League
87.0Avg total
44.0Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.845.088.8-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.944.188.0-0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)43.646.189.7-2.443%-
Last 10 (10)44.043.087.0+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)43.842.686.4+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.845.485.2-5.722%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)45.645.991.5-0.450%-
vs Weaker (3)45.038.383.3+6.7100%-
This opponent (Hercegovac) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hercegovactheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hercegovac: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.521.9
60.0%
55.7%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.7
31.8%
31.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws23.016.9
73.5%
70.0%16.9
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KK Metalactheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KK Metalac: 92.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.423.5
56.8%
55.7%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.9
35.2%
31.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.215.8
74.5%
70.0%15.8
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hercegovac
WWWWLWLLWL
KK Metalac
LLWWWLLLWW
#6
League position
#12
+2.2
Net rating
-2.6
99.8
Offensive rating
101.2
97.6
Defensive rating
103.8
54.7%
Effective FG%
55.2%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
14.6%
Turnover %
13.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.8%
3-point %
35.2%
57.2%
Assist %
55.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.8 · 101.2Defence97.6 · 103.8Shooting54.7% · 55.2%3-point %31.8% · 35.2%Ball care14.6% · 13.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Hercegovac   ■ KK Metalac
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hercegovac wins
0
KK Metalac wins
DateGameScore
13/03/26KK Metalac v Hercegovac94-100
29/11/25Hercegovac v KK Metalac103-102 OT
Hercegovaclast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HZlatibor86-84
08/11/26ACacak 9495-89
04/11/26HTFT Skopje107-82
31/10/26ASloga82-73
25/10/26HBorac Zemun71-85
22/10/26HPodgorica76-64
18/10/26ATamis91-92 OT
10/10/26HSloboda Uzice70-77
03/10/26AKK Nis75-65
24/04/26AZlatibor92-97
KK Metalaclast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASloboda Uzice83-89
07/11/26HKK Nis64-78
31/10/26ARadnicki85-80
26/10/26HDynamic79-77
18/10/26ABKK Radnicki86-70
11/10/26HVojvodina Novi Sad73-81
06/10/26HCacak 9478-82
25/04/26ABKK Radnicki75-87
18/04/26HMladost Zemun101-95
11/04/26HSombor BC112-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hercegovac
First League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%33%75%
Points / game81.475.785.8
Allowed / game80.782.079.8
Point differential+0.7-6.3+6.0
Avg total162.1157.7165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
KK Metalac
First League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL43%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%25%67%
Points / game78.373.584.7
Allowed / game79.679.579.7
Point differential-1.3-6.0+5.0
Avg total157.9153.0164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sloboda Uzice770100%88.177.9+10.3
2 Vojvodina Novi Sad76186%80.771.1+9.6
3 Mladost Zemun74357%82.977.4+5.4
4 Dynamic74357%80.175.1+5.0
5 Kolubara74357%81.480.4+1.0
6 Hercegovac74357%81.480.7+0.7
7 KK Nis74357%76.977.1-0.3
8 Cacak 9474357%87.688.3-0.7
9 Radnicki74357%86.189.4-3.3
10 Zlatibor73443%92.186.3+5.9
11 Borac Zemun73443%85.983.7+2.1
12 KK Metalac73443%78.379.6-1.3
13 Sloga73443%90.192.6-2.4
14 Tamis73443%90.495.4-5.0
15 OKK Beograd7070%87.499.3-11.9
16 BKK Radnicki7070%69.184.3-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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