Herlev Wolfpack vs Svendborg Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Feb 2018

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 50-83

18-17 8-22 12-24 12-20

Position#7

Record3-13

FormLWLLL

Points / game72.9

Allowed / game91.8

Herlev Wolfpack

Svendborg 🏆

Position#6

Record5-11

FormLLLLL

Points / game80.8

Allowed / game87.3

BasketligaenRound 22

Other2017-18

Meetings · Herlev Wolfpack v Svendborg

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Herlev Wolfpack winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Svendborg winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Herlev Wolfpack Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsholm

55-82

-27

H16/11

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

87-83 OT

A19/11

Basketligaen

Randers

81-98

-17

A14/12

Basketligaen

EBAA Aarhus

75-69

A16/12

Denmark Cup

Bakken Bears

81-111

111

-30

A03/01

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

74-112

112

-38

H06/01

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

94-91

H24/01

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

67-100

100

-33

H27/01

Denmark Cup

Stevnsgade

70-76

-6

A06/02

Basketligaen

Horsholm

62-110

110

-48

H09/02

Basketligaen

21-20

9-15

8-31

17-16

14-14

22-22

18-15

17-20

17-26

26-26

13-28

25-18

14-17

25-20

11-20

25-12

17-31

22-33

24-21

18-26

14-28

21-29

17-28

22-27

25-23

23-20

27-21

19-27

13-25

22-26

21-28

11-21

18-20

17-23

20-11

15-22

10-32

15-29

21-19

16-30

167.8Avg total

74.6Scored

93.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	72.9	91.8	164.7	-18.8	19%
Season at home (7)	70.9	93.1	164.0	-22.3	29%
Season away (9)	74.6	90.7	165.2	-16.1	11%
Last 10 (10)	74.6	93.2	167.8	-18.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	73.4	97.8	171.2	-24.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	72.5	93.5	166.0	-21.1	6%
vs Similar (4)	84.2	85.2	169.5	-1.0	50%
vs Weaker (8)	83.5	76.9	160.4	+6.6	62%

This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Svendborg

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsens

67-71

-4

A15/11

Denmark Cup

Bakken Bears

74-86

-12

H30/11

Basketligaen

Horsholm

82-94

-12

A09/12

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

83-81 OT

H13/12

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

96-87

H27/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

69-96

-27

A30/12

Basketligaen

Randers

76-109

109

-33

A04/01

Basketligaen

Randers

74-81

-7

H17/01

Basketligaen

Horsens

81-90

-9

A01/02

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

73-75

-2

H08/02

Basketligaen

–

18-15

12-30

15-24

29-17

19-24

20-26

20-25

23-19

16-23

29-14

15-13

12-22

31-15

19-26

18-25

28-21

17-17

19-35

16-20

17-24

17-22

21-30

10-30

28-27

14-16

15-20

28-17

17-28

17-24

25-20

21-24

18-22

15-25

10-16

29-18

19-16

164.5Avg total

77.5Scored

87.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	80.8	87.3	168.1	-6.5	31%
Season at home (9)	81.8	81.1	162.9	+0.7	44%
Season away (7)	79.6	95.3	174.9	-15.7	14%
Last 10 (10)	77.5	87.0	164.5	-9.5	20%
Last 5 (5)	74.6	90.2	164.8	-15.6	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	77.6	90.6	168.2	-12.9	18%
vs Similar (5)	79.8	75.4	155.2	+4.4	80%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	83.1	75.6	158.7	+7.6	57%

This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Herlev WolfpackSvendborg

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.1	23.3	41.4	-5.2	29%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.2	23.3	40.5	-6.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	23.3	42.2	-4.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	23.6	39.9	-7.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	25.6	41.6	-9.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	16.5	24.5	41.1	-8.0	18%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.0	19.8	40.8	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.1	22.3	42.4	-2.1	43%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.9	20.8	39.7	-1.8	32%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	18.8	37.6	+0.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	22.7	41.7	-3.7	29%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.2	20.1	38.3	-1.9	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	20.8	36.8	-4.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	17.5	21.0	38.5	-3.5	18%	-
vs Similar (5)	15.8	21.8	37.6	-6.0	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	25.7	19.2	44.8	+6.5	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.6	23.6	43.2	-4.0	29%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	22.9	42.6	-3.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	24.3	43.8	-4.8	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	24.3	44.5	-4.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	25.4	45.0	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.6	24.5	42.1	-6.8	6%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.5	21.8	43.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.3	22.4	45.7	+0.9	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.5	21.1	40.6	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.6	19.5	37.1	-1.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.3	22.7	44.0	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.9	24.1	43.0	-5.2	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	24.2	42.2	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	20.2	22.8	43.0	-2.5	41%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	18.5	19.0	37.5	-0.5	50%	-

Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsholm

30-35

-5

H16/11

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

36-36

A19/11

Basketligaen

Randers

43-52

-9

A14/12

Basketligaen

EBAA Aarhus

39-37

A16/12

Denmark Cup

Bakken Bears

39-64

-25

A03/01

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

35-57

-22

H06/01

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

48-43

H24/01

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

35-51

-16

H27/01

Denmark Cup

Stevnsgade

35-43

-8

A06/02

Basketligaen

Horsholm

25-61

-36

H09/02

Basketligaen

84.4Avg total

36.5Scored

47.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	37.7	46.9	84.5	-9.2	21%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.9	46.1	83.1	-9.2	29%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.4	47.6	86.0	-9.1	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.5	47.9	84.4	-11.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	51.0	86.6	-15.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	34.2	49.0	83.2	-14.8	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	42.5	41.5	84.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	43.4	44.7	88.1	-1.3	57%	-

This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bakken Bears

30-45

-15

H30/11

Basketligaen

Horsholm

39-50

-11

A09/12

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

45-37

H13/12

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

50-41

H27/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

36-52

-16

A30/12

Basketligaen

Randers

38-52

-14

A04/01

Basketligaen

Randers

29-36

-7

H17/01

Basketligaen

Horsens

42-44

-2

A01/02

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

25-41

-16

H08/02

Basketligaen

81.3Avg total

37.1Scored

44.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	38.4	41.9	80.2	-3.5	39%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.5	38.3	74.8	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.3	45.4	85.7	-5.1	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	37.1	44.2	81.3	-7.1	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	45.0	79.0	-11.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	37.7	43.8	81.5	-6.1	29%	-
vs Similar (5)	33.8	39.8	73.6	-6.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	44.2	38.2	82.3	+6.0	67%	-

This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.2	20.9	39.1	-2.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	21.8	40.5	-3.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	20.0	37.8	-2.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	22.2	40.2	-4.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.4	42.6	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.1	23.1	41.2	-5.1	35%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.0	17.0	39.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (7)	16.6	17.7	34.3	-1.1	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.4	20.1	40.4	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	18.8	40.0	+2.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	21.4	40.9	-1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.1	21.8	40.9	-2.7	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.8	42.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	18.6	20.3	38.9	-1.7	47%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.6	17.6	40.2	+5.0	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	23.5	21.5	45.0	+2.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.9	20.8	40.6	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	22.1	41.4	-2.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	19.4	39.9	+1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	21.9	40.4	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	25.4	42.0	-8.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	20.2	21.4	41.6	-1.2	41%	-
vs Similar (4)	15.8	23.8	39.5	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.3	17.6	38.9	+3.7	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.4	21.1	40.6	-1.7	36%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	21.9	41.1	-2.7	29%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.2	21.8	43.0	-0.6	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	23.4	43.2	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	18.7	23.6	42.4	-4.9	24%	-
vs Similar (5)	23.4	18.0	41.4	+5.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	18.2	16.7	34.8	+1.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	38.1	41.7	79.8	-3.6	32%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.9	43.9	81.9	-6.0	29%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.3	39.4	77.7	-1.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.5	44.1	80.6	-7.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	46.8	84.6	-9.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	38.3	44.5	82.8	-6.2	24%	-
vs Similar (4)	37.8	40.8	78.5	-3.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (7)	37.9	35.3	73.1	+2.6	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	39.8	41.2	81.0	-1.4	36%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.9	39.1	80.0	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.7	43.3	82.0	-4.6	21%	-
Last 10 (9)	40.3	43.6	83.9	-3.2	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	45.2	85.8	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	37.3	43.9	81.2	-6.6	18%	-
vs Similar (5)	46.0	35.6	81.6	+10.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	41.7	38.2	79.8	+3.5	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Herlev Wolfpack wins

Svendborg wins

Date	Game	Score
26/10/17	Svendborg v Herlev Wolfpack	95-69
04/10/17	Svendborg v Herlev Wolfpack	108-85
05/03/15	Herlev Wolfpack v Svendborg	86-91
03/01/15	Svendborg v Herlev Wolfpack	81-78
08/11/14	Herlev Wolfpack v Svendborg	110-82
13/03/14	Herlev Wolfpack v Svendborg	90-102
11/01/14	Svendborg v Herlev Wolfpack	92-65
25/09/13	Svendborg v Herlev Wolfpack	83-79
16/02/12	Herlev Wolfpack v Svendborg	94-109
19/01/12	Herlev Wolfpack v Svendborg	82-95

Herlev Wolfpacklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/02/18	H	Horsholm	62-110
06/02/18	A	Stevnsgade	70-76
27/01/18	H	Bakken Bears	67-100
24/01/18	H	Stevnsgade	94-91
06/01/18	H	Bakken Bears	74-112
03/01/18	A	Bakken Bears	81-111
16/12/17	A	EBAA Aarhus	75-69
14/12/17	A	Randers	81-98
19/11/17	A	Stevnsgade	87-83 OT
16/11/17	H	Horsholm	55-82

Svendborglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/02/18	H	Stevnsgade	73-75
01/02/18	A	Horsens	81-90
17/01/18	H	Randers	74-81
04/01/18	A	Randers	76-109
30/12/17	A	Bakken Bears	69-96
27/12/17	H	Stevnsgade	96-87
13/12/17	H	Team FOG Naestved	83-81 OT
09/12/17	A	Horsholm	82-94
30/11/17	H	Bakken Bears	74-86
15/11/17	A	Horsens	67-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Herlev Wolfpack

Basketligaen 2017-18

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	19%
Home	WLLWL	29%
Away	LWLLL	11%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	7	9
Win %	19%	29%	11%
Points / game	72.9	70.9	74.6
Allowed / game	91.8	93.1	90.7
Point differential	-18.8	-22.3	-16.1
Avg total	164.7	164.0	165.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	6%	0%	11%

Svendborg

Basketligaen 2017-18

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	31%
Home	LWWLL	44%
Away	WLLLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	9	7
Win %	31%	44%	14%
Points / game	80.8	81.8	79.6
Allowed / game	87.3	81.1	95.3
Point differential	-6.5	+0.7	-15.7
Avg total	168.1	162.9	174.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	22%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	19%	11%	29%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Horsens	18	16	2	89%	88.4	75.2	+13.3
2	Bakken Bears	14	11	3	79%	93.2	81.1	+12.1
3	Horsholm	18	11	7	61%	89.7	82.6	+7.2
4	Team FOG Naestved	17	10	7	59%	84.1	81.5	+2.6
5	Randers	17	8	9	47%	90.5	86.5	+4.1
6	Svendborg	16	5	11	31%	80.8	87.3	-6.5
7	Herlev Wolfpack	16	3	13	19%	72.9	91.8	-18.8
8	Stevnsgade	16	2	14	12%	77.9	93.2	-15.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Herlev Wolfpack	18	8	12	12	50
Svendborg	17	22	24	20	83

← all games of the day

Herlev Wolfpack vs Svendborg Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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