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Herlev Wolfpack vs Svendborg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 73-88
17-27 20-20 20-24 16-17
Position#9
Record2-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game66.7
Allowed / game83.4
Herlev Wolfpack
Denmark
vs
Svendborg 🏆
Denmark
Position#5
Record8-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game79.1
DenmarkBasketligaen· Herlevhallen (Herlev)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Herlev Wolfpack v Svendborg
21 Sep 2024
HERL64
SVEN93
29 Nov 2023
HERL73
SVEN88
02 Mar 2023
HERL77
SVEN81
26 Nov 2022
HERL87
SVEN79
18 Dec 2021
HERL79
SVEN100
31 Oct 2020
HERL70
SVEN82
05 Oct 2019
HERL79
SVEN71
29 Sep 2018
HERL66
SVEN88
15 Feb 2018
HERL50
SVEN83
05 Mar 2015
HERL86
SVEN91
08 Nov 2014
HERL110
SVEN82
13 Mar 2014
HERL90
SVEN102
16 Feb 2012
HERL94
SVEN109
19 Jan 2012
HERL82
SVEN95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Herlev Wolfpack winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Svendborg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolfpack
Date
Competition
Amager
#11
W
75-68
75
68
+7
65avg 55
H21/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
48-84
48
84
-36
34avg 55
A23/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
51-108
51
108
-57
29avg 55
H30/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
70-84
70
84
-14
64avg 55
H07/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
70-79
70
79
-9
52avg 55
H14/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
51-82
51
82
-31
42avg 55
H22/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
86-99
86
99
-13
76avg 55
A27/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
73-61
73
61
+12
64avg 55
A02/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#8
L
84-86
84
86
-2
no box
A11/11
Denmark Cup
Randers
#6
L
76-86
76
86
-10
65avg 55
A19/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
20-12
23-17
15-20
8-19
15-28
16-10
9-27
10-23
11-23
10-29
20-33
23-30
20-19
17-17
10-18
21-13
12-20
18-22
19-24
8-23
19-22
14-20
10-17
17-19
24-24
24-35
21-21
13-24
20-13
18-11
22-13
14-19
28-21
19-31
23-15
24-14
21-29
14-21
17-22
152.1Avg total
68.4Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)66.783.4150.1-16.822%
Season at home (5)63.484.2147.6-20.820%
Season away (4)70.882.5153.2-11.825%
Last 10 (10)68.483.7152.1-15.320%
Last 5 (5)74.082.8156.8-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)68.691.7160.3-23.14%
vs Similar (3)74.075.3149.3-1.367%
vs Weaker (2)82.064.5146.5+17.5100%
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSvendborg
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
87-66
87
66
+21
80avg 77
A01/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
85-110
85
110
-25
62avg 77
H13/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
83-79
83
79
+4
75avg 77
A22/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
98-105
98
105
-7
90avg 77
H26/10
Basketligaen
Zwolle
#6
L
62-77
62
77
-15
50avg 77
A31/10
ENBL
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
91-89
91
89
+2
80avg 77
H05/11
Basketligaen
Lublin
#11
L
62-102
62
102
-40
44avg 77
H08/11
ENBL
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
86-84
86
84
+2
no box
H11/11
Denmark Cup
Bears Academy
#8
W
86-60
86
60
+26
90avg 77
A16/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
125-73
125
73
+52
128avg 77
H18/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
20-13
29-15
21-15
11-31
23-28
20-26
31-25
27-21
11-28
18-13
27-17
22-21
28-29
22-25
26-30
13-21
20-17
9-19
20-20
25-21
22-21
18-30
26-17
20-28
10-23
11-21
21-30
19-14
21-28
31-19
15-23
26-14
14-14
24-14
22-18
18-16
34-17
32-19
41-21
171.0Avg total
86.5Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)90.179.1169.2+11.080%
Season at home (6)95.386.5181.8+8.867%
Season away (4)82.268.0150.2+14.2100%
Last 10 (10)86.584.5171.0+2.060%
Last 5 (5)90.081.6171.6+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)81.794.0175.7-12.323%
vs Similar (5)92.492.8185.2-0.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)94.273.5167.6+20.7100%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +3.4+3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +3.4+3.4
Herlev WolfpackSvendborg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager
#11
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H21/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
23-47
23
47
-24
A23/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
21-46
21
46
-25
H30/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H07/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H14/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H22/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A27/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A02/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#8
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A11/11
Denmark Cup
Randers
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A19/11
Basketligaen
75.9Avg total
34.5Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.744.079.7-8.323%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.343.077.3-8.723%-
Last 30 away (17)36.744.881.5-8.124%-
Last 10 (10)34.541.475.9-6.930%-
Last 5 (5)37.641.679.2-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)34.746.481.1-11.813%-
vs Similar (3)33.740.774.3-7.00%-
vs Weaker (2)42.530.072.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A01/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
34-59
34
59
-25
H13/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A22/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H26/10
Basketligaen
Zwolle
#6
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A31/10
ENBL
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H05/11
Basketligaen
Lublin
#11
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H08/11
ENBL
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H11/11
Denmark Cup
Bears Academy
#8
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A16/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H18/11
Basketligaen
82.9Avg total
40.1Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.743.586.1-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.342.187.4+3.261%-
Last 30 away (12)38.745.584.2-6.825%-
Last 10 (10)40.142.882.9-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)41.839.281.0+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.548.187.5-8.623%-
vs Similar (5)44.846.090.8-1.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.737.082.7+8.782%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Herlev Wolfpacktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Herlev Wolfpack: 66.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.616.8
47.2%
51.8%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.76.4
24.2%
31.7%19.3
🏀 Free throws19.213.1
68.2%
67.0%13.1
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Svendborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svendborg: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.5
50.8%
51.8%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.911.0
35.6%
31.7%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.714.6
74.1%
67.0%14.6
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 29 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Herlev Wolfpack
LLWLLLLLLW
Svendborg
WWWLWLLWLW
#9
League position
#5
-21.1
Net rating
+6.2
85.2
Offensive rating
107.3
106.3
Defensive rating
101.1
42.5%
Effective FG%
51.9%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
24.1%
Turnover %
19.2%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
24.2%
3-point %
35.6%
56.5%
Assist %
51.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence85.2 · 107.3Defence106.3 · 101.1Shooting42.5% · 51.9%3-point %24.2% · 35.6%Ball care24.1% · 19.2%Off. rebounds29.6% · 31.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Herlev Wolfpack   ■ Svendborg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Herlev Wolfpack wins
9
Svendborg wins
DateGameScore
11/11/23Svendborg v Herlev Wolfpack86-84
08/04/23Svendborg v Herlev Wolfpack106-83
02/03/23Herlev Wolfpack v Svendborg77-81
15/02/23Svendborg v Herlev Wolfpack100-71
26/11/22Herlev Wolfpack v Svendborg87-79
19/02/22Svendborg v Herlev Wolfpack102-72
18/12/21Herlev Wolfpack v Svendborg79-100
17/03/21Svendborg v Herlev Wolfpack111-68
31/10/20Herlev Wolfpack v Svendborg70-82
09/12/19Svendborg v Herlev Wolfpack87-70
Herlev Wolfpacklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23ARanders76-86
11/11/23ASvendborg84-86
02/11/23AHolbaek-Stenhus73-61
27/10/23ACopenhagen86-99
22/10/23HBears Academy51-82
14/10/23HVaerlose70-79
07/10/23HBakken Bears70-84
30/09/23HTeam FOG Naestved51-108
23/09/23AHorsens48-84
21/09/23HAmager75-68
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23HAmager125-73
16/11/23ABears Academy86-60
11/11/23HHerlev Wolfpack86-84
08/11/23HLublin62-102
05/11/23HTeam FOG Naestved91-89
31/10/23AZwolle62-77
26/10/23HRanders98-105
22/10/23AVaerlose83-79
13/10/23HBakken Bears85-110
01/10/23AHolbaek-Stenhus87-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL22%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%20%25%
Points / game66.763.470.8
Allowed / game83.484.282.5
Point differential-16.8-20.8-11.8
Avg total150.1147.6153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Svendborg
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game90.195.382.2
Allowed / game79.186.568.0
Point differential+11.0+8.8+14.2
Avg total169.2181.8150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears880100%97.978.5+19.4
2 Horsens108280%91.269.5+21.7
3 Svendborg108280%90.179.1+11.0
4 Team FOG Naestved96367%93.980.2+13.7
5 Randers106460%95.384.6+10.7
6 Copenhagen105550%83.977.6+6.3
7 Vaerlose105550%79.485.4-6.0
8 Herlev Wolfpack92722%66.783.4-16.8
9 Holbaek-Stenhus92722%67.487.6-20.1
10 Bears Academy102820%72.182.3-10.2
11 Amager9090%68.299.4-31.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Herlev Wolfpack1720201673
Svendborg2720241788
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