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Herlev Wolfpack vs Team FOG Naestved Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 30 Mar 2015
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-78
23-19 20-19 19-24 19-16
Position#4
Record16-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#5
Record15-14
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game78.3
DenmarkBasketligaenBasketligaen - Quarter-finals
Other2014-15
Meetings · Herlev Wolfpack v Team FOG Naestved
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Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Herlev Wolfpack winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Team FOG Naestved winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#5
W
95-84
95
84
+11
H09/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A16/02
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
83-84
83
84
-1
H21/02
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H27/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
86-91
86
91
-5
H05/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
W
105-77
105
77
+28
A09/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
83-95
83
95
-12
A12/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#1
L
83-93
83
93
-10
H16/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
L
76-90
76
90
-14
H23/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
L
83-94
83
94
-11
A26/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-9
14-29
21-22
28-24
27-22
20-29
18-15
20-23
14-26
21-25
24-18
24-15
13-22
31-17
15-19
17-15
27-22
24-22
23-21
12-26
32-24
25-21
21-19
27-13
28-25
16-25
18-20
21-25
18-21
21-19
15-26
29-27
20-26
20-30
17-16
19-18
24-21
20-31
17-15
22-27
172.5Avg total
85.5Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)88.683.0171.6+5.655%
Season at home (15)89.282.5171.7+6.760%
Season away (14)87.983.6171.4+4.350%
Last 10 (10)85.587.0172.5-1.530%
Last 5 (5)86.089.8175.8-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.089.5170.5-8.50%
vs Similar (3)91.384.7176.0+6.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)89.880.6170.3+9.276%
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Team FOG NaestvedDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sisu
#7
W
89-70
89
70
+19
H04/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#4
L
84-95
84
95
-11
A09/02
Basketligaen
Horsens
#1
L
79-95
79
95
-16
H16/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A23/02
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#9
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H26/02
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
83-63
83
63
+20
H05/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A09/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
56-65
56
65
-9
H16/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#4
W
90-76
90
76
+14
A23/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#4
W
94-83
94
83
+11
H26/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
21-15
25-19
18-20
9-32
29-14
22-21
24-28
15-27
20-21
16-23
28-24
16-16
16-14
19-29
23-20
25-12
8-27
26-16
11-19
20-14
22-20
19-16
22-13
25-18
15-17
14-13
22-19
13-15
11-20
12-12
20-18
26-20
30-20
16-17
18-19
21-24
31-20
15-17
27-22
156.2Avg total
79.5Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.978.3158.2+1.652%
Season at home (14)78.480.8159.2-2.436%
Season away (15)81.376.1157.3+5.267%
Last 10 (10)79.576.7156.2+2.850%
Last 5 (5)79.870.8150.6+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)76.584.0160.5-7.525%
vs Similar (3)78.381.0159.3-2.733%
vs Weaker (14)82.975.2158.1+7.771%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.1+1.1
Herlev WolfpackTeam FOG Naestved
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#5
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H09/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A16/02
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H21/02
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H27/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H05/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A09/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A12/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#1
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H16/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
L
40-56
40
56
-16
H23/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A26/03
Basketligaen
91.3Avg total
44.7Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.842.988.8+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.243.489.6+2.862%-
Last 30 away (14)45.442.487.9+3.057%-
Last 10 (10)44.746.691.3-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)44.848.693.4-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.747.286.8-7.517%-
vs Similar (3)48.341.389.7+7.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)47.242.089.2+5.371%-
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Team FOG NaestvedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sisu
#7
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H04/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#4
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A09/02
Basketligaen
Horsens
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H16/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A23/02
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#9
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H26/02
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H05/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A09/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H16/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#4
W
56-40
56
40
+16
A23/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#4
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H26/03
Basketligaen
78.0Avg total
39.8Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)40.439.079.4+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.440.279.5-0.838%-
Last 30 away (15)41.338.079.3+3.373%-
Last 10 (10)39.838.278.0+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.837.680.4+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.641.781.4-2.145%-
vs Similar (3)38.037.375.3+0.767%-
vs Weaker (14)41.637.278.8+4.464%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/15ATeam FOG Naestved83-94
23/03/15HTeam FOG Naestved76-90
16/03/15HHorsens83-93
12/03/15ABakken Bears83-95
09/03/15AVaerlose105-77
05/03/15HSvendborg86-91
27/02/15HSisu76-73
21/02/15HBakken Bears83-84
16/02/15ARanders85-89
09/02/15HTeam FOG Naestved95-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/15HHerlev Wolfpack94-83
23/03/15AHerlev Wolfpack90-76
16/03/15HBakken Bears56-65
09/03/15ARanders76-67
05/03/15HAalborg83-63
26/02/15HHorsholm70-74
23/02/15ASvendborg74-79
16/02/15HHorsens79-95
09/02/15AHerlev Wolfpack84-95
04/02/15HSisu89-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2014-15
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL55%
HomeLWLLL60%
AwayLLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game88.689.287.9
Allowed / game83.082.583.6
Point differential+5.6+6.7+4.3
Avg total171.6171.7171.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%47%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Team FOG Naestved
Basketligaen 2014-15
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW52%
HomeLLWLW36%
AwayLLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %52%36%67%
Points / game79.978.481.3
Allowed / game78.380.876.1
Point differential+1.6-2.4+5.2
Avg total158.2159.2157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%29%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears2926390%92.877.9+14.9
2 Horsens2925486%89.175.1+14.0
3 Svendborg2920969%86.379.9+6.4
4 Herlev Wolfpack29161355%88.683.0+5.6
5 Team FOG Naestved29151452%79.978.3+1.6
6 Randers29121741%85.189.8-4.6
7 Sisu29101934%83.788.0-4.3
8 Horsholm2992031%79.586.1-6.7
9 Vaerlose2992031%74.782.2-7.5
10 Aalborg2932610%74.593.8-19.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Herlev Wolfpack2320191981
Team FOG Naestved1919241678
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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