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Herlev Wolfpack vs Team FOG Naestved Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 51-108
10-23 11-23 10-29 20-33
Position#9
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game61.5
Allowed / game76.0
Herlev Wolfpack
Denmark
vs
Team FOG Naestved 🏆
Denmark
Position#3
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game82.0
DenmarkBasketligaen· Herlevhallen (Herlev)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Herlev Wolfpack v Team FOG Naestved
12 Dec 2024
HERL85
TEAM89
30 Nov 2024
HERL73
TEAM102
30 Sep 2023
HERL51
TEAM108
02 Apr 2023
HERL59
TEAM103
10 Dec 2022
HERL71
TEAM73
29 Sep 2021
HERL74
TEAM89
11 Oct 2020
HERL74
TEAM91
25 Jan 2020
HERL68
TEAM87
20 Oct 2018
HERL83
TEAM100
10 Mar 2018
HERL95
TEAM79
30 Mar 2015
HERL81
TEAM78
23 Mar 2015
HERL76
TEAM90
09 Feb 2015
HERL95
TEAM84
12 Dec 2014
HERL71
TEAM81
03 Oct 2013
HERL85
TEAM66
01 Oct 2011
HERL78
TEAM80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Herlev Wolfpack winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Team FOG Naestved winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolfpack
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
79-101
79
101
-22
no box
A08/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
83-90
83
90
-7
no box
H15/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
58-92
58
92
-34
no box
H19/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
59-86
59
86
-27
no box
A29/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
59-103
59
103
-44
no box
H02/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
L
83-106
83
106
-23
no box
A08/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
54-85
54
85
-31
no box
H15/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
71-111
71
111
-40
no box
A20/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
75-68
75
68
+7
65avg 50
H21/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
48-84
48
84
-36
34avg 50
A23/09
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
15-29
21-32
18-18
19-23
22-23
23-32
19-12
13-22
14-26
13-32
18-12
17-23
20-20
12-19
10-24
17-35
18-19
13-27
11-22
29-25
10-34
21-24
23-23
8-22
12-21
18-24
16-18
23-34
16-19
18-30
14-28
17-19
20-12
23-17
15-20
8-19
15-28
16-10
9-27
159.5Avg total
66.9Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)61.576.0137.5-14.550%
Season at home (1)75.068.0143.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)48.084.0132.0-36.00%
Last 10 (10)66.992.6159.5-25.710%
Last 5 (5)66.290.8157.0-24.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)72.686.7159.4-14.128%
vs Similar (2)74.582.5157.0-8.050%
vs Weaker (2)82.064.5146.5+17.5100%
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Team FOG NaestvedDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNaestved
Date
Competition
Randers
#2
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
H24/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
W
97-94
97
94
+3
no box
A27/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
63-97
63
97
-34
no box
H01/05
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
W
83-81
83
81
+2
no box
A04/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
72-90
72
90
-18
no box
A11/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
69-83
69
83
-14
no box
H15/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
74-86
74
86
-12
no box
A18/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
66-87
66
87
-21
no box
H22/05
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
100-82
100
82
+18
101avg 93
H14/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
96-82
96
82
+14
85avg 93
A20/09
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
19-18
17-23
31-21
23-21
24-22
18-22
32-29
13-24
17-17
22-30
11-26
25-20
24-24
12-22
22-15
14-25
24-22
20-21
14-22
17-24
19-21
19-26
14-12
20-19
19-14
24-26
11-27
30-24
9-15
6-21
21-27
19-23
33-17
29-19
19-23
32-21
33-17
8-21
23-23
167.2Avg total
80.9Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)98.082.0180.0+16.0100%
Season at home (1)100.082.0182.0+18.0100%
Season away (1)96.082.0178.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.986.3167.2-5.450%
Last 5 (5)81.084.0165.0-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.688.3163.9-12.714%
vs Similar (8)84.884.9169.6-0.162%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)99.581.1180.5+18.493%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -6.8-6.8Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -6.9-6.9Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -6.9-6.9Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: -2.7-2.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -6.8-6.8Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -6.9-6.9Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -6.9-6.9Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: -2.7-2.7
Herlev WolfpackTeam FOG Naestved
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A08/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H15/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H19/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A29/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H02/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A08/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
20-43
20
43
-23
H15/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A20/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H21/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
23-47
23
47
-24
A23/09
Basketligaen
81.3Avg total
33.8Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.642.879.4-6.230%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.841.478.2-4.636%-
Last 30 away (16)36.444.080.4-7.625%-
Last 10 (10)33.847.581.3-13.710%-
Last 5 (5)31.646.678.2-15.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)36.044.480.4-8.424%-
vs Similar (2)34.042.576.5-8.50%-
vs Weaker (2)42.530.072.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Team FOG NaestvedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#2
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H24/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A27/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H01/05
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A04/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A11/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H15/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A18/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H22/05
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H14/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
65-38
65
38
+27
A20/09
Basketligaen
84.3Avg total
43.6Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)47.041.688.5+5.466%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.740.685.3+4.160%-
Last 30 away (14)49.442.692.0+6.971%-
Last 10 (10)43.640.784.3+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)46.239.085.2+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.945.086.9-3.129%-
vs Similar (8)41.842.584.2-0.862%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)52.539.391.8+13.286%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Herlev Wolfpacktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Herlev Wolfpack: 61.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.516.5
54.1%
51.8%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.05.5
19.6%
31.7%16.5
🏀 Free throws19.512.0
61.5%
67.0%12.0
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Team FOG Naestvedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Team FOG Naestved: 97.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.025.5
55.4%
51.8%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.0
33.9%
31.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws25.016.0
64.0%
67.0%16.0
They take 75.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 30 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Herlev Wolfpack
LWLLLLLLLL
Team FOG Naestved
WWLLLLWLWW
#9
League position
#3
-18.4
Net rating
+19.2
83.8
Offensive rating
116.2
102.2
Defensive rating
97.0
42.3%
Effective FG%
53.6%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
28.5%
Turnover %
18.6%
35.4%
Off. rebound %
42.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
19.6%
3-point %
33.9%
52.3%
Assist %
64.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence83.8 · 116.2Defence102.2 · 97.0Shooting42.3% · 53.6%3-point %19.6% · 33.9%Ball care28.5% · 18.6%Off. rebounds35.4% · 42.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Herlev Wolfpack   ■ Team FOG Naestved
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Herlev Wolfpack wins
10
Team FOG Naestved wins
DateGameScore
02/04/23Herlev Wolfpack v Team FOG Naestved59-103
08/03/23Team FOG Naestved v Herlev Wolfpack101-79
15/01/23Team FOG Naestved v Herlev Wolfpack76-55
10/12/22Herlev Wolfpack v Team FOG Naestved71-73
02/10/22Team FOG Naestved v Herlev Wolfpack114-82
18/01/22Team FOG Naestved v Herlev Wolfpack88-74
29/09/21Herlev Wolfpack v Team FOG Naestved74-89
04/01/21Team FOG Naestved v Herlev Wolfpack84-64
11/10/20Herlev Wolfpack v Team FOG Naestved74-91
25/01/20Herlev Wolfpack v Team FOG Naestved68-87
Herlev Wolfpacklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/23AHorsens48-84
21/09/23HAmager75-68
20/04/23ABakken Bears71-111
15/04/23HRanders54-85
08/04/23ASvendborg83-106
02/04/23HTeam FOG Naestved59-103
29/03/23AHorsens59-86
19/03/23HBakken Bears58-92
15/03/23HHorsens83-90
08/03/23ATeam FOG Naestved79-101
Team FOG Naestvedlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/09/23ABears Academy96-82
14/09/23HVaerlose100-82
22/05/23HBakken Bears66-87
18/05/23ABakken Bears74-86
15/05/23HBakken Bears69-83
11/05/23ABakken Bears72-90
04/05/23ARanders83-81
01/05/23HRanders63-97
27/04/23ARanders97-94
24/04/23HRanders89-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game61.575.048.0
Allowed / game76.068.084.0
Point differential-14.5+7.0-36.0
Avg total137.5143.0132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Team FOG Naestved
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game98.0100.096.0
Allowed / game82.082.082.0
Point differential+16.0+18.0+14.0
Avg total180.0182.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved220100%98.082.0+16.0
2 Svendborg330100%82.069.7+12.3
3 Bakken Bears220100%93.583.5+10.0
4 Vaerlose32167%86.784.3+2.3
5 Horsens42250%86.578.5+8.0
6 Herlev Wolfpack21150%61.576.0-14.5
7 Randers31233%97.085.0+12.0
8 Bears Academy31233%79.087.0-8.0
9 Copenhagen41325%80.284.2-4.0
10 Amager3030%74.389.0-14.7
11 Holbaek-Stenhus1010%53.0104.0-51.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Herlev Wolfpack1011102051
Team FOG Naestved23232933108
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