Hermes vs Cibona Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Dec 2018

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 90-102

25-28 28-28 17-26 20-20

Position#10

Record6-3

FormWWWWW

Points / game90.4

Allowed / game89.0

Hermes

Cibona 🏆

Position#1

Record7-2

FormLLLWW

Points / game85.2

Allowed / game69.7

Premijer ligaRound 10

Other2018-19

Meetings · Hermes v Cibona

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hermes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Cibona winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hermes

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zabok

51-80

-29

A26/04

Premijer liga

Split

71-90

-19

H06/10

Premijer liga

Alkar

#11

82-96

-14

A13/10

Premijer liga

Zabok

99-78

+21

H20/10

Premijer liga

Cedevita

93-103

103

-10

H27/10

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

84-79

A03/11

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

88-86

H11/11

Premijer liga

Bosco

#12

103-92

103

+11

A17/11

Premijer liga

Zadar

95-79

+16

H23/11

Premijer liga

Gorica

99-98

A08/12

Premijer liga

21-23

6-18

11-16

13-23

26-16

12-24

11-26

22-24

18-22

25-27

19-33

20-14

29-21

28-23

23-15

19-19

30-22

15-36

20-18

28-27

20-18

21-22

23-14

20-25

12-28

24-17

22-19

30-22

33-27

19-18

20-22

31-25

20-24

24-25

25-18

26-12

25-24

24-29

25-23

25-22

174.6Avg total

86.5Scored

88.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	90.4	89.0	179.4	+1.4	67%
Season at home (5)	89.2	87.2	176.4	+2.0	60%
Season away (4)	92.0	91.2	183.2	+0.8	75%
Last 10 (10)	86.5	88.1	174.6	-1.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	93.8	86.8	180.6	+7.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	75.9	87.2	163.1	-11.3	28%
vs Similar (4)	78.8	76.2	155.0	+2.5	50%
vs Weaker (7)	85.6	83.0	168.6	+2.6	57%

This opponent (Cibona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Cibona

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gorica

76-83

-7

A02/11

Premijer liga

Mornar Bar

#10

84-73

+11

H04/11

ABA League

Partizan

67-86

-19

A10/11

ABA League

Zabok

74-73

A11/11

Premijer liga

Osijek

89-71

+18

H16/11

Premijer liga

Zadar

#11

66-97

-31

H19/11

ABA League

Mega Bemax

80-82

-2

A24/11

ABA League

Split

67-70

-3

A04/12

Premijer liga

Alkar

#11

100-55

100

+45

H06/12

Premijer liga

KK Krka Novo mesto

#12

100-90

100

+10

A10/12

ABA League

22-25

13-18

22-18

19-22

28-10

14-26

21-13

21-24

23-23

17-22

16-24

11-17

22-18

14-22

13-20

25-13

35-11

20-30

15-9

19-21

18-33

17-20

13-21

18-23

18-15

22-22

22-27

18-18

9-25

17-10

22-13

19-22

28-6

24-13

23-14

25-22

35-25

13-25

23-22

29-18

158.3Avg total

80.3Scored

78.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	85.2	69.7	154.9	+15.6	78%
Season at home (4)	89.2	67.0	156.2	+22.2	100%
Season away (5)	82.0	71.8	153.8	+10.2	60%
Last 10 (10)	80.3	78.0	158.3	+2.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	78.8	161.4	+3.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	77.4	82.9	160.3	-5.5	40%
vs Similar (6)	80.3	84.8	165.2	-4.5	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	87.6	70.5	158.1	+17.1	79%

This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

HermesCibona

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.2	41.2	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	20.4	40.4	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	22.2	42.1	-2.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	22.5	45.9	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	24.2	46.2	-2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	19.3	21.4	40.8	-2.1	39%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	43%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	20.8	42.8	+1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.8	20.5	44.3	+3.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.6	21.0	41.6	-0.4	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	19.1	42.9	+4.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.8	42.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.4	23.0	43.4	-2.6	20%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.7	20.3	41.0	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.6	19.4	43.1	+4.2	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	21.2	40.4	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	22.5	42.3	-2.7	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	19.6	38.2	-1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	23.9	43.7	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	22.2	44.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.7	23.4	42.1	-4.7	22%	-
vs Similar (4)	16.8	16.5	33.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.9	18.4	41.3	+4.4	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.3	38.8	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	21.1	41.5	-0.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.7	18.0	36.7	+0.7	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	20.8	37.9	-3.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.2	21.8	40.0	-3.7	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	19.8	17.9	37.7	+1.9	50%	-

HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zabok

27-41

-14

A26/04

Premijer liga

Split

38-40

-2

H06/10

Premijer liga

Alkar

#11

43-49

-6

A13/10

Premijer liga

Zabok

57-44

+13

H20/10

Premijer liga

Cedevita

45-58

-13

H27/10

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

41-40

A03/11

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

36-45

-9

H11/11

Premijer liga

Bosco

#12

52-45

A17/11

Premijer liga

Zadar

44-49

-5

H23/11

Premijer liga

Gorica

49-53

-4

A08/12

Premijer liga

89.6Avg total

43.2Scored

46.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	42.4	81.6	-3.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.9	42.9	82.8	-3.0	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.4	41.9	80.3	-3.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	46.4	89.6	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	46.4	90.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	38.0	44.8	82.8	-6.8	17%	-
vs Similar (4)	37.5	35.5	73.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	44.9	40.4	85.3	+4.4	57%	-

This opponent (Cibona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CibonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gorica

35-43

-8

A02/11

Premijer liga

Mornar Bar

#10

42-36

H04/11

ABA League

Partizan

40-45

-5

A10/11

ABA League

Zabok

36-40

-4

A11/11

Premijer liga

Osijek

55-41

+14

H16/11

Premijer liga

Zadar

#11

35-53

-18

H19/11

ABA League

Mega Bemax

40-37

A24/11

ABA League

Split

26-35

-9

A04/12

Premijer liga

Alkar

#11

52-19

+33

H06/12

Premijer liga

KK Krka Novo mesto

#12

48-50

-2

A10/12

ABA League

80.8Avg total

40.9Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	40.1	81.6	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	44.2	41.6	85.8	+2.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.3	39.0	78.3	+0.3	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	39.9	80.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	38.8	79.0	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	40.2	42.8	83.0	-2.6	40%	-
vs Similar (6)	38.8	42.2	81.0	-3.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	43.4	37.4	80.8	+6.1	57%	-

This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.8	39.4	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	20.3	39.2	-1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	21.4	39.7	-3.0	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.4	40.3	-0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	19.2	42.2	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.5	20.8	39.3	-2.3	39%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.2	17.8	37.0	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.0	22.6	41.6	-3.6	29%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	16.6	37.3	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.2	14.8	36.0	+6.5	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.3	18.0	38.3	+2.3	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	18.1	37.1	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.3	19.7	40.0	+0.6	60%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.2	18.5	36.7	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.1	13.6	35.6	+8.5	93%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.9	40.9	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	21.6	43.0	-0.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	20.1	38.5	-1.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	21.3	44.7	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	21.2	47.6	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	19.4	21.6	41.0	-2.2	39%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.8	20.5	40.2	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.7	20.0	41.7	+1.7	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.0	39.9	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.9	19.5	39.4	+0.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.9	20.4	40.2	-0.5	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.6	42.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.9	20.4	37.3	-3.5	40%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.1	19.6	41.6	+2.5	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	41.7	80.3	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.2	41.9	82.2	-1.7	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.7	41.5	78.2	-4.8	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	41.7	85.0	+1.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.4	40.4	89.8	+9.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	37.9	42.4	80.3	-4.5	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	39.0	38.2	77.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	40.7	42.6	83.3	-1.9	29%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	36.6	77.2	+4.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.2	34.2	75.4	+6.9	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.2	38.4	78.5	+1.8	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	38.1	77.5	+1.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	40.0	82.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	37.2	40.1	77.3	-2.9	40%	-
vs Similar (6)	38.0	38.7	76.7	-0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	44.1	33.1	77.3	+11.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Cibonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cibona: 76.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀43%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.1	16.4	48.1%	53.3%	32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	8.9	34.4%	34.1%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	23.3	16.6	71.2%	74.0%	16.6

They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.1	18.5	54.3%	53.3%	37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.4	10.5	38.3%	34.1%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	21.9	16.1	73.5%	74.0%	16.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.7	18.3	51.4%	53.3%	36.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.1	8.6	34.3%	34.1%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	21.2	15.7	73.8%	74.0%	15.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	19.4	53.9%	53.3%	38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	9.7	37.7%	34.1%	29.2
🏀 Free throws	21.7	16.9	77.9%	74.0%	16.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Hermes wins

Cibona wins

Date	Game	Score
07/03/18	Hermes v Cibona	83-109
07/11/17	Cibona v Hermes	83-92
23/01/17	Hermes v Cibona	80-89
05/10/16	Cibona v Hermes	96-78

Hermeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/12/18	A	Gorica	99-98
23/11/18	H	Zadar	95-79
17/11/18	A	Bosco	103-92
11/11/18	H	GKK Sibenik	88-86
03/11/18	A	Skrljevo	84-79
27/10/18	H	Cedevita	93-103
20/10/18	H	Zabok	99-78
13/10/18	A	Alkar	82-96
06/10/18	H	Split	71-90
26/04/18	A	Zabok	51-80

Cibonalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/12/18	A	KK Krka Novo mesto	100-90
06/12/18	H	Alkar	100-55
04/12/18	A	Split	67-70
24/11/18	A	Mega Bemax	80-82
19/11/18	H	Zadar	66-97
16/11/18	H	Osijek	89-71
11/11/18	A	Zabok	74-73
10/11/18	A	Partizan	67-86
04/11/18	H	Mornar Bar	84-73
02/11/18	A	Gorica	76-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hermes

Premijer liga 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	67%
Home	LWLWW	60%
Away	LWWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	67%	60%	75%
Points / game	90.4	89.2	92.0
Allowed / game	89.0	87.2	91.2
Point differential	+1.4	+2.0	+0.8
Avg total	179.4	176.4	183.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	40%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (1)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Cibona

Premijer liga 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	78%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	WWLWL	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	78%	100%	60%
Points / game	85.2	89.2	82.0
Allowed / game	69.7	67.0	71.8
Point differential	+15.6	+22.2	+10.2
Avg total	154.9	156.2	153.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	56%	75%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Cibona	9	7	2	78%	85.2	69.7	+15.6
2	Cedevita	9	6	3	67%	81.7	75.8	+5.9
3	Zadar	9	6	3	67%	83.8	78.7	+5.1
4	Split	9	6	3	67%	78.9	75.4	+3.4
5	Hermes	9	6	3	67%	90.4	89.0	+1.4
6	Zabok	9	5	4	56%	77.4	76.7	+0.8
7	Osijek	9	4	5	44%	76.3	81.2	-4.9
8	Alkar	9	4	5	44%	78.2	86.3	-8.1
9	GKK Sibenik	9	3	6	33%	80.3	81.7	-1.3
10	Gorica	9	3	6	33%	82.2	83.7	-1.4
11	Skrljevo	9	3	6	33%	77.2	83.0	-5.8
12	Bosco	9	1	8	11%	79.7	90.3	-10.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Hermes	25	28	17	20	90
Cibona	28	28	26	20	102

← all games of the day

Hermes vs Cibona Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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