Hermes vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Dec 2017

Tip-off: 16:05

Final 63-87

20-24 14-17 11-20 18-26

Position#9

Record4-3

FormLWWLW

Points / game71.6

Allowed / game77.1

Hermes

Zadar 🏆

Position#2

Record6-1

FormWLWWW

Points / game89.0

Allowed / game77.7

Premijer ligaRound 9

Other2017-18

Meetings · Hermes v Zadar

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hermes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Zadar winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hermes

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zagreb

69-100

100

-31

A09/04

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

79-90

-11

H19/04

Premijer liga

Zabok

#10

88-83

A23/04

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

59-70

-11

A07/10

Premijer liga

Jazine

#11

75-72

H14/10

Premijer liga

Split

67-94

-27

A22/10

Premijer liga

Cibona

92-83

A07/11

Premijer liga

Kastela

#13

79-73

A11/11

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

60-87

-27

H18/11

Premijer liga

Osijek

69-61

A02/12

Premijer liga

13-19

18-20

17-30

21-31

22-19

20-31

22-15

15-25

17-25

24-24

33-12

14-22

17-18

14-21

15-9

13-22

19-24

18-15

17-15

21-18

15-23

17-28

20-33

15-10

20-34

26-11

16-21

30-17

17-19

28-15

18-23

16-16

8-16

17-25

19-19

16-27

23-13

10-9

19-26

17-13

155.0Avg total

73.7Scored

81.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	71.6	77.1	148.7	-5.6	57%
Season at home (2)	67.5	79.5	147.0	-12.0	50%
Season away (5)	73.2	76.2	149.4	-3.0	60%
Last 10 (10)	73.7	81.3	155.0	-7.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	73.4	79.6	153.0	-6.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	73.8	90.2	164.0	-16.3	10%
vs Similar (8)	88.0	82.9	170.9	+5.1	75%
vs Weaker (2)	77.0	72.5	149.5	+4.5	100%

This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Zadar

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mornar Bar

70-80

-10

A27/10

ABA League

Skrljevo

99-78

+21

H29/10

Premijer liga

Igokea

#10

82-76

H03/11

ABA League

Jazine

#11

89-78

+11

A06/11

Premijer liga

Cibona

#11

80-78

A10/11

ABA League

Split

78-76

H13/11

Premijer liga

Crvena zvezda

76-88

-12

H20/11

ABA League

Cibona

76-66

+10

H30/11

Premijer liga

Mega Bemax

73-71

A04/12

ABA League

Petrol Olimpija

97-77

+20

H08/12

ABA League

21-17

12-18

17-21

20-24

24-24

27-22

18-17

30-15

22-20

18-22

18-15

24-19

23-26

16-17

25-20

25-15

19-19

16-21

20-14

25-24

24-19

25-20

11-17

18-20

23-19

22-23

9-29

22-17

20-19

22-21

8-13

26-13

24-21

21-14

11-19

17-17

29-20

22-10

18-23

28-24

158.8Avg total

82.0Scored

76.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	89.0	77.7	166.7	+11.3	86%
Season at home (4)	94.2	79.8	174.0	+14.5	100%
Season away (3)	82.0	75.0	157.0	+7.0	67%
Last 10 (10)	82.0	76.8	158.8	+5.2	80%
Last 5 (5)	80.0	75.6	155.6	+4.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	77.8	81.6	159.4	-3.8	40%
vs Similar (12)	78.7	81.6	160.2	-2.9	42%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	89.8	76.8	166.7	+13.0	100%

This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

HermesZadar

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	21.8	40.2	-3.4	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	21.6	40.2	-3.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.3	21.9	40.2	-3.6	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	21.0	38.1	-3.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	21.0	37.6	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.2	22.2	40.4	-4.0	20%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.1	20.9	40.0	-1.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.0	21.5	39.5	-3.5	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	20.8	42.5	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.7	21.6	45.3	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	20.1	39.7	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	20.4	43.3	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	19.6	43.6	+4.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.8	22.8	43.6	-2.0	40%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.8	20.7	40.4	-0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	23.8	20.2	44.0	+3.5	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	21.7	40.5	-2.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	22.0	40.9	-3.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.7	21.4	40.1	-2.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.9	39.1	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.6	37.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.1	23.8	41.9	-5.6	15%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.5	18.2	37.8	+1.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.0	15.0	38.0	+8.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.4	39.9	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	18.6	40.1	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	20.3	39.7	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	18.8	38.9	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	17.6	40.0	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.6	19.0	38.6	+0.6	40%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.2	20.0	39.2	-0.8	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.9	19.1	41.0	+2.8	69%	-

HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zagreb

31-39

-8

A09/04

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

42-50

-8

H19/04

Premijer liga

Zabok

#10

41-49

-8

A23/04

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

31-39

-8

A07/10

Premijer liga

Jazine

#11

37-39

-2

H14/10

Premijer liga

Split

32-51

-19

A22/10

Premijer liga

Cibona

46-45

A07/11

Premijer liga

Kastela

#13

45-34

+11

A11/11

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

25-41

-16

H18/11

Premijer liga

Osijek

33-22

+11

A02/12

Premijer liga

77.2Avg total

36.3Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	43.5	80.7	-6.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.5	43.6	81.1	-6.1	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.0	43.4	80.4	-6.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.3	40.9	77.2	-4.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	38.6	74.8	-2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	36.3	46.0	82.2	-9.7	15%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.6	39.1	77.8	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	41.0	36.5	77.5	+4.5	50%	-

This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mornar Bar

33-35

-2

A27/10

ABA League

Skrljevo

51-46

H29/10

Premijer liga

Igokea

#10

40-42

-2

H03/11

ABA League

Jazine

#11

39-43

-4

A06/11

Premijer liga

Cibona

#11

35-40

-5

A10/11

ABA League

Split

49-39

+10

H13/11

Premijer liga

Crvena zvezda

45-42

H20/11

ABA League

Cibona

42-40

H30/11

Premijer liga

Mega Bemax

45-35

+10

A04/12

ABA League

Petrol Olimpija

51-30

+21

H08/12

ABA League

82.2Avg total

43.0Scored

39.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	40.3	82.4	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.2	40.2	85.4	+5.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.0	40.3	79.3	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	39.2	82.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	37.2	83.6	+9.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	40.4	41.8	82.2	-1.4	60%	-
vs Similar (12)	38.9	40.7	79.6	-1.8	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	45.7	39.3	85.0	+6.4	77%	-

This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.8	40.4	-1.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	19.1	39.8	+1.5	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	22.2	40.9	-3.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.3	39.9	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	24.4	42.8	-6.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.1	22.6	40.7	-4.4	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.9	16.8	40.6	+7.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.5	19.0	36.5	-1.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.9	38.0	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	19.4	38.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.5	18.8	34.3	-3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	11.4	20.2	31.6	-8.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	15.6	22.0	37.6	-6.4	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.0	19.4	38.4	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.5	17.2	37.8	+3.3	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	21.8	42.2	-1.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.7	21.1	42.9	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	22.4	41.7	-3.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	20.1	37.9	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	16.6	35.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.4	21.6	41.0	-2.2	35%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.4	23.5	46.9	-0.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	17.0	35.5	+1.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	20.4	42.5	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.2	19.1	42.3	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	21.6	42.7	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	18.8	42.3	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.2	40.4	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.8	17.8	39.6	+4.0	80%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.8	21.5	42.2	-0.8	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	23.6	20.3	43.9	+3.3	54%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	42.6	82.6	-2.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.4	40.3	82.6	+2.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.0	44.6	82.6	-6.6	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	40.4	77.8	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	41.0	78.2	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	37.5	44.2	81.8	-6.7	15%	-
vs Similar (8)	47.2	40.2	87.5	+7.0	62%	-
vs Weaker (2)	36.0	36.0	72.0	+0.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	39.3	80.5	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.2	38.5	80.7	+3.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.3	40.0	80.3	+0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	37.6	76.6	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	38.4	72.0	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.4	39.8	77.2	-2.4	40%	-
vs Similar (12)	39.8	40.9	80.7	-1.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	44.2	37.5	81.7	+6.6	77%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 80.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.7	20.0	50.4%	53.3%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.1	7.6	30.3%	34.1%	22.8
🏀 Free throws	21.8	17.4	79.8%	74.0%	17.4

They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.1	20.0	52.5%	53.3%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.9	9.1	36.5%	34.1%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	20.3	15.4	75.9%	74.0%	15.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.8	21.5	51.5%	53.3%	43.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.3	7.0	32.9%	34.1%	21.0
🏀 Free throws	20.7	15.2	73.3%	74.0%	15.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	20.7	54.5%	53.3%	41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.9	9.6	38.5%	34.1%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	18.6	13.9	74.8%	74.0%	13.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Hermes wins

Zadar wins

Date	Game	Score
04/03/17	Hermes v Zadar	73-96
10/11/16	Zadar v Hermes	92-76

Hermeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/12/17	A	Osijek	69-61
18/11/17	H	GKK Sibenik	60-87
11/11/17	A	Kastela	79-73
07/11/17	A	Cibona	92-83
22/10/17	A	Split	67-94
14/10/17	H	Jazine	75-72
07/10/17	A	Skrljevo	59-70
23/04/17	A	Zabok	88-83
19/04/17	H	Jolly Sibenik	79-90
09/04/17	A	Zagreb	69-100

Zadarlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/12/17	H	Petrol Olimpija	97-77
04/12/17	A	Mega Bemax	73-71
30/11/17	H	Cibona	76-66
20/11/17	H	Crvena zvezda	76-88
13/11/17	H	Split	78-76
10/11/17	A	Cibona	80-78
06/11/17	A	Jazine	89-78
03/11/17	H	Igokea	82-76
29/10/17	H	Skrljevo	99-78
27/10/17	A	Mornar Bar	70-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hermes

Premijer liga 2017-18

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	57%
Home	WL	50%
Away	LLWWW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	2	5
Win %	57%	50%	60%
Points / game	71.6	67.5	73.2
Allowed / game	77.1	79.5	76.2
Point differential	-5.6	-12.0	-3.0
Avg total	148.7	147.0	149.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Zadar

Premijer liga 2017-18

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	86%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	LWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	86%	100%	67%
Points / game	89.0	94.2	82.0
Allowed / game	77.7	79.8	75.0
Point differential	+11.3	+14.5	+7.0
Avg total	166.7	174.0	157.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	71%	75%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Cedevita	8	8	0	100%	95.0	68.4	+26.6
2	GKK Sibenik	8	8	0	100%	79.9	66.2	+13.6
3	Zadar	7	6	1	86%	89.0	77.7	+11.3
4	Skrljevo	9	6	3	67%	86.9	79.3	+7.6
5	Cibona	8	5	3	62%	81.9	72.5	+9.4
6	Hermes	7	4	3	57%	71.6	77.1	-5.6
7	Split	8	4	4	50%	82.4	76.9	+5.5
8	Zabok	8	4	4	50%	79.2	76.1	+3.1
9	Zagreb	9	3	6	33%	83.0	99.4	-16.4
10	Osijek	8	2	6	25%	71.8	79.2	-7.5
11	Alkar	8	2	6	25%	68.1	81.0	-12.9
12	Jazine	8	0	8	0%	67.2	79.1	-11.9
13	Kastela	8	0	8	0%	70.0	91.0	-21.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Hermes	20	14	11	18	63
Zadar	24	17	20	26	87

← all games of the day

Hermes vs Zadar Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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