Hiroshima D. vs Tochigi Brex Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 May 2015

Tip-off: 06:00

Final 74-80

17-25 19-20 21-14 17-21

Position#9

Record21-34

FormLLWWL

Points / game71.6

Allowed / game74.7

Hiroshima D.

Tochigi Brex 🏆

Position#3

Record44-11

FormWWWLW

Points / game84.9

Allowed / game73.1

NBLNBL - Quarter-finals

Other2014-15

Meetings · Hiroshima D. v Tochigi Brex

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hiroshima D. winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Tochigi Brex winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hiroshima D. Japan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brave Thunders

73-98

-25

H05/04

NBL

Alvark

76-101

101

-25

H11/04

NBL

Alvark

77-91

-14

H12/04

NBL

Sun Rockers

72-86

-14

H18/04

NBL

Sun Rockers

54-83

-29

H19/04

NBL

Chiba

71-74

-3

A25/04

NBL

Chiba

54-72

-18

A26/04

NBL

Kumamoto

#11

72-67

A02/05

NBL

Kumamoto

#11

61-55

A03/05

NBL

Tochigi Brex

76-79

-3

H09/05

NBL

17-24

16-27

17-24

23-23

17-22

21-32

21-27

17-20

16-19

12-17

24-25

25-30

14-17

23-20

16-24

19-25

14-29

11-21

13-17

16-16

19-21

16-11

12-17

24-25

13-19

18-19

15-21

8-13

19-16

9-14

19-12

25-25

15-12

11-10

19-18

16-15

22-20

16-17

22-24

16-18

149.2Avg total

68.6Scored

80.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (55)	71.6	74.7	146.3	-3.1	38%
Season at home (28)	73.6	75.6	149.3	-2.0	36%
Season away (27)	69.4	73.8	143.2	-4.3	41%
Last 10 (10)	68.6	80.6	149.2	-12.0	20%
Last 5 (5)	66.8	69.4	136.2	-2.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	70.4	85.4	155.8	-15.0	5%
vs Similar (4)	69.5	73.5	143.0	-4.0	25%
vs Weaker (5)	78.4	60.2	138.6	+18.2	100%

This opponent (Tochigi Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tochigi Brex Japan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kumamoto

#11

94-61

+33

A04/04

NBL

Kumamoto

#11

74-66

A05/04

NBL

Kobe

#10

114-91

114

+23

H10/04

NBL

Kobe

#10

102-80

102

+22

H11/04

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

84-81

H25/04

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

84-80

H26/04

NBL

Chiba

83-71

+12

H29/04

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

87-68

+19

A02/05

NBL

Alvark

76-83

-7

A03/05

NBL

Hiroshima D.

79-76

A09/05

NBL

21-18

22-10

29-21

22-12

14-11

27-19

17-11

16-25

25-20

30-21

23-23

36-27

22-21

28-21

27-21

25-17

11-13

27-21

21-30

20-17

24-21

17-29

23-13

26-18

14-18

25-25

18-10

27-16

18-11

24-17

18-24

19-23

16-18

21-17

20-25

20-22

17-16

24-22

18-16

163.4Avg total

87.7Scored

75.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (55)	84.9	73.1	158.0	+11.9	80%
Season at home (27)	85.4	76.1	161.6	+9.3	74%
Season away (28)	84.5	70.1	154.6	+14.3	86%
Last 10 (10)	87.7	75.7	163.4	+12.0	90%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	75.6	157.4	+6.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	76.8	83.8	160.5	-7.0	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	87.6	69.8	157.5	+17.8	96%

This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Hiroshima D.Tochigi Brex

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.8	18.9	35.7	-2.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.6	20.2	36.9	-3.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.0	17.8	34.8	-0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	19.9	36.5	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	17.6	35.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	16.9	20.8	37.6	-3.9	29%	-
vs Similar (4)	12.8	15.8	28.5	-3.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.0	13.6	33.6	+6.4	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	17.4	38.9	+4.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.9	17.9	40.8	+4.9	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.3	17.0	37.3	+3.3	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	18.3	40.2	+3.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.2	41.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	21.5	21.8	43.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.5	16.8	38.3	+4.7	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	18.8	36.9	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	19.6	38.6	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.3	18.1	35.4	-0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.3	18.8	34.1	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.0	14.2	28.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.5	20.3	38.8	-1.8	43%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.2	18.5	38.8	+1.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (5)	14.8	12.6	27.4	+2.2	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	17.2	36.7	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	17.3	38.1	+3.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	17.1	35.5	+1.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	16.8	37.5	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	16.8	34.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	17.8	20.5	38.2	-2.8	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	19.8	16.7	36.5	+3.2	69%	-

Hiroshima D.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brave Thunders

33-51

-18

H05/04

NBL

Alvark

38-54

-16

H11/04

NBL

Alvark

28-36

-8

H12/04

NBL

Sun Rockers

37-37

H18/04

NBL

Sun Rockers

25-50

-25

H19/04

NBL

Chiba

35-32

A25/04

NBL

Chiba

31-38

-7

A26/04

NBL

Kumamoto

#11

28-30

-2

A02/05

NBL

Kumamoto

#11

26-22

A03/05

NBL

Tochigi Brex

38-37

H09/05

NBL

70.6Avg total

31.9Scored

38.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.0	37.7	72.6	-2.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.7	39.8	75.5	-4.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.3	35.8	70.1	-1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.9	38.7	70.6	-6.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.6	31.8	63.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	35.4	41.0	76.4	-5.7	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	33.0	34.2	67.2	-1.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (5)	34.8	26.2	61.0	+8.6	80%	-

This opponent (Tochigi Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tochigi BrexLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kumamoto

#11

43-28

+15

A04/04

NBL

Kumamoto

#11

41-30

+11

A05/04

NBL

Kobe

#10

55-41

+14

H10/04

NBL

Kobe

#10

50-42

H11/04

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

36-30

H25/04

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

44-38

H26/04

NBL

Chiba

40-36

H29/04

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

45-27

+18

A02/05

NBL

Alvark

35-41

-6

A03/05

NBL

Hiroshima D.

37-38

-1

A09/05

NBL

77.7Avg total

42.6Scored

35.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	34.6	75.7	+6.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.7	35.2	78.9	+8.5	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.8	34.1	72.8	+4.7	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	35.1	77.7	+7.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	36.0	76.2	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	39.2	42.2	81.5	-3.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	41.3	33.4	74.8	+7.9	77%	-

This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	19.4	36.4	-2.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.8	20.5	38.3	-2.7	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.2	18.5	34.8	-2.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	20.9	38.7	-3.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	18.4	35.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	15.5	21.6	37.1	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.8	15.0	33.8	+3.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.6	14.0	35.6	+7.6	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	17.5	40.9	+5.9	80%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	19.4	41.9	+3.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	24.1	15.9	39.9	+8.2	100%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	20.7	44.1	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	22.0	44.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	20.2	17.5	37.8	+2.8	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	23.8	17.5	41.3	+6.3	81%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	21.6	40.8	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	21.5	40.1	-2.9	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.7	21.7	41.4	-2.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	21.0	39.9	-2.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.2	37.0	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.8	21.5	40.2	-2.7	29%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.8	24.2	42.0	-6.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	19.6	41.3	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	21.1	43.4	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	18.3	39.5	+2.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	19.9	41.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	17.2	24.0	41.2	-6.8	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	22.4	18.9	41.3	+3.5	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.1	41.0	77.2	-4.9	20%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.4	42.0	78.4	-5.6	14%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.9	40.2	76.1	-4.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	41.9	78.6	-5.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	37.6	72.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	34.3	43.0	77.3	-8.8	5%	-
vs Similar (4)	36.5	39.2	75.8	-2.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (5)	43.6	34.0	77.6	+9.6	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.1	37.1	82.2	+8.0	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.9	40.4	85.4	+4.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	45.2	34.2	79.4	+11.1	88%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.1	40.6	85.7	+4.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	39.6	81.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	37.5	41.5	79.0	-4.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	46.3	36.4	82.7	+9.8	81%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Hiroshima D. wins

Tochigi Brex wins

Date	Game	Score
09/05/15	Hiroshima D. v Tochigi Brex	76-79
22/03/15	Hiroshima D. v Tochigi Brex	67-91
21/03/15	Hiroshima D. v Tochigi Brex	65-69
01/02/15	Tochigi Brex v Hiroshima D.	84-74
31/01/15	Tochigi Brex v Hiroshima D.	74-61

Hiroshima D.last 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/05/15	H	Tochigi Brex	76-79
03/05/15	A	Kumamoto	61-55
02/05/15	A	Kumamoto	72-67
26/04/15	A	Chiba	54-72
25/04/15	A	Chiba	71-74
19/04/15	H	Sun Rockers	54-83
18/04/15	H	Sun Rockers	72-86
12/04/15	H	Alvark	77-91
11/04/15	H	Alvark	76-101
05/04/15	H	Brave Thunders	73-98

Tochigi Brexlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/05/15	A	Hiroshima D.	79-76
03/05/15	A	Alvark	76-83
02/05/15	A	Tsukuba	87-68
29/04/15	H	Chiba	83-71
26/04/15	H	Diamond Dolphins	84-80
25/04/15	H	Diamond Dolphins	84-81
11/04/15	H	Kobe	102-80
10/04/15	H	Kobe	114-91
05/04/15	A	Kumamoto	74-66
04/04/15	A	Kumamoto	94-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hiroshima D.

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	38%
Home	LLLLL	36%
Away	WLLWW	41%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	55	28	27
Win %	38%	36%	41%
Points / game	71.6	73.6	69.4
Allowed / game	74.7	75.6	73.8
Point differential	-3.1	-2.0	-4.3
Avg total	146.3	149.3	143.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	32%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	36% (11)	17% (6)	60% (5)
Overtime %	4%	0%	7%

Tochigi Brex

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	80%
Home	WWWWW	74%
Away	WWWLW	86%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	55	27	28
Win %	80%	74%	86%
Points / game	84.9	85.4	84.5
Allowed / game	73.1	76.1	70.1
Point differential	+11.9	+9.3	+14.3
Avg total	158.0	161.6	154.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	62%	56%	68%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	86% (7)	100% (3)	75% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sun Rockers	56	47	9	84%	83.6	70.3	+13.3
2	SeaHorses Mikawa	55	44	11	80%	82.2	69.7	+12.5
3	Tochigi Brex	55	44	11	80%	84.9	73.1	+11.9
4	Alvark	55	41	14	75%	86.3	72.9	+13.5
5	Brave Thunders	55	38	17	69%	83.5	74.9	+8.6
6	Chiba	56	34	22	61%	75.0	71.5	+3.5
7	Diamond Dolphins	55	29	26	53%	79.3	76.8	+2.5
8	Hokkaido	54	22	32	41%	75.0	76.6	-1.6
9	Hiroshima D.	55	21	34	38%	71.6	74.7	-3.1
10	Kobe	54	18	36	33%	73.7	80.0	-6.3
11	Kumamoto	54	6	48	11%	68.7	84.4	-15.8
12	Tsukuba	54	6	48	11%	66.6	83.8	-17.1
13	Trians	54	6	48	11%	65.0	88.3	-23.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Hiroshima D.	17	19	21	17	74
Tochigi Brex	25	20	14	21	80

← all games of the day

Hiroshima D. vs Tochigi Brex Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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