Alvark vs Tochigi Brex Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 May 2015

Tip-off: 06:00

Final 83-76

23-19 18-16 17-21 25-20

Position#4

Record39-14

FormWWWWW

Points / game86.3

Allowed / game72.7

Alvark 🏆

Tochigi Brex

Position#3

Record43-10

FormWWWWW

Points / game85.2

Allowed / game72.8

NBLRound 32

Other2014-15

Meetings · Alvark v Tochigi Brex

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Tochigi Brex winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alvark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

SeaHorses Mikawa

85-80

A04/04

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

92-86

A05/04

NBL

Hiroshima D.

101-76

101

+25

A11/04

NBL

Hiroshima D.

91-77

+14

A12/04

NBL

Trians

#13

111-74

111

+37

A18/04

NBL

Trians

#13

93-62

+31

A19/04

NBL

Kumamoto

#11

90-47

+43

H24/04

NBL

Kumamoto

#11

79-61

+18

H25/04

NBL

Sun Rockers

75-63

+12

A29/04

NBL

Brave Thunders

85-75

+10

A02/05

NBL

21-23

16-10

27-22

21-25

24-27

22-22

22-15

24-22

22-17

32-21

27-21

20-17

19-16

17-12

25-24

30-25

33-22

34-9

24-23

20-20

21-16

23-15

29-17

20-14

21-8

18-13

32-10

19-16

16-14

21-24

20-11

22-12

19-18

18-7

17-15

21-23

20-24

21-23

25-20

19-8

160.3Avg total

90.2Scored

70.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (53)	86.3	72.7	159.0	+13.7	74%
Season at home (26)	85.1	74.4	159.5	+10.7	65%
Season away (27)	87.5	71.0	158.5	+16.6	81%
Last 10 (10)	90.2	70.1	160.3	+20.1	100%
Last 5 (5)	84.4	61.6	146.0	+22.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (7)	83.4	78.1	161.6	+5.3	71%
vs Weaker (23)	90.7	68.6	159.3	+22.0	87%

This opponent (Tochigi Brex) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tochigi Brex Japan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trians

#13

100-57

100

+43

H28/03

NBL

Trians

#13

95-61

+34

H29/03

NBL

Kumamoto

#11

94-61

+33

A04/04

NBL

Kumamoto

#11

74-66

A05/04

NBL

Kobe

#10

114-91

114

+23

H10/04

NBL

Kobe

#10

102-80

102

+22

H11/04

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

84-81

H25/04

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

84-80

H26/04

NBL

Chiba

83-71

+12

H29/04

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

87-68

+19

A02/05

NBL

24-14

25-10

29-13

22-20

22-14

20-16

31-16

22-15

21-18

22-10

29-21

22-12

14-11

27-19

17-11

16-25

25-20

30-21

23-23

36-27

22-21

28-21

27-21

25-17

11-13

27-21

21-30

20-17

24-21

17-29

23-13

26-18

14-18

25-25

18-10

27-16

18-11

24-17

18-24

163.3Avg total

91.7Scored

71.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (53)	85.2	72.8	158.1	+12.4	81%
Season at home (27)	85.4	76.1	161.6	+9.3	74%
Season away (26)	85.0	69.4	154.4	+15.6	88%
Last 10 (10)	91.7	71.6	163.3	+20.1	100%
Last 5 (5)	88.0	76.0	164.0	+12.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (5)	78.0	85.2	163.2	-7.2	40%
vs Weaker (25)	88.0	69.6	157.6	+18.4	96%

This opponent (Alvark) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlvarkTochigi Brex

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	16.1	36.9	+4.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.4	13.8	34.2	+6.6	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.1	17.9	39.0	+3.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	18.5	40.1	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	16.0	35.4	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (7)	19.9	19.1	39.0	+0.7	57%	-
vs Weaker (23)	21.0	15.2	36.3	+5.8	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	16.9	38.5	+4.6	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	17.6	40.1	+5.0	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	16.2	36.6	+4.2	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	16.6	39.2	+6.0	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	17.8	41.8	+6.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (5)	21.6	18.8	40.4	+2.8	80%	-
vs Weaker (25)	21.6	16.6	38.1	+5.0	76%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	17.0	39.5	+5.5	80%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.8	18.3	41.2	+4.5	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.2	16.0	38.2	+6.2	76%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	15.6	37.8	+6.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	16.4	36.6	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (7)	19.7	17.0	36.7	+2.7	57%	-
vs Weaker (23)	23.3	17.0	40.3	+6.3	87%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	17.6	36.6	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.3	18.1	37.4	+1.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	17.1	35.8	+1.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	16.0	37.9	+5.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	16.8	35.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (5)	14.4	22.2	36.6	-7.8	0%	-
vs Weaker (25)	20.0	16.7	36.6	+3.3	68%	-

AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

SeaHorses Mikawa

37-33

A04/04

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

46-49

-3

A05/04

NBL

Hiroshima D.

54-38

+16

A11/04

NBL

Hiroshima D.

36-28

A12/04

NBL

Trians

#13

67-31

+36

A18/04

NBL

Trians

#13

44-31

+13

A19/04

NBL

Kumamoto

#11

39-21

+18

H24/04

NBL

Kumamoto

#11

37-38

-1

H25/04

NBL

Sun Rockers

37-25

+12

A29/04

NBL

Brave Thunders

41-47

-6

A02/05

NBL

77.9Avg total

43.8Scored

34.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.3	33.1	76.4	+10.1	77%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	43.2	32.1	75.3	+11.2	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	43.3	33.9	77.2	+9.4	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	34.1	77.9	+9.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	32.4	72.0	+7.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (7)	39.6	36.1	75.7	+3.4	71%	-
vs Weaker (23)	44.4	32.2	76.6	+12.2	78%	-

This opponent (Tochigi Brex) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tochigi BrexLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trians

#13

49-24

+25

H28/03

NBL

Trians

#13

42-30

+12

H29/03

NBL

Kumamoto

#11

43-28

+15

A04/04

NBL

Kumamoto

#11

41-30

+11

A05/04

NBL

Kobe

#10

55-41

+14

H10/04

NBL

Kobe

#10

50-42

H11/04

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

36-30

H25/04

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

44-38

H26/04

NBL

Chiba

40-36

H29/04

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

45-27

+18

A02/05

NBL

77.1Avg total

44.5Scored

32.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	34.5	75.1	+6.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.9	35.6	77.5	+6.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.1	33.3	72.4	+5.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.5	32.6	77.1	+11.9	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	34.6	77.6	+8.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (5)	36.0	41.0	77.0	-5.0	20%	-
vs Weaker (25)	41.5	33.2	74.8	+8.3	80%	-

This opponent (Alvark) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	18.4	41.5	+4.7	73%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.2	16.7	39.8	+6.5	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	23.0	19.7	42.7	+3.3	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.8	17.8	42.6	+7.0	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	14.6	39.2	+10.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (7)	18.9	19.1	38.0	-0.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (23)	24.3	18.2	42.5	+6.2	78%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.5	17.9	41.4	+5.6	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.8	20.1	42.9	+2.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.3	15.4	39.6	+8.9	100%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.9	19.7	44.6	+5.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	22.6	46.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (5)	21.8	20.8	42.6	+1.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (25)	23.8	17.3	41.2	+6.5	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	18.8	40.7	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.1	19.8	40.9	+1.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.5	18.0	40.5	+4.5	76%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	18.2	39.8	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	14.6	34.8	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.7	20.7	42.4	+1.0	57%	-
vs Weaker (23)	21.9	18.2	40.1	+3.7	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	19.8	42.0	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.8	21.3	44.1	+1.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.5	18.0	39.5	+3.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	19.3	41.6	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	18.8	39.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (5)	20.2	23.4	43.6	-3.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (25)	22.6	19.0	41.6	+3.6	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.9	37.2	82.1	+7.7	80%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	44.2	36.5	80.8	+7.7	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	45.5	37.7	83.2	+7.8	82%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.4	36.0	82.4	+10.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	29.2	74.0	+15.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (7)	40.6	39.9	80.4	+0.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (23)	46.3	36.4	82.7	+9.9	91%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.7	37.7	83.4	+8.0	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.6	41.4	87.1	+4.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.8	33.4	79.1	+12.4	93%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.2	39.0	86.2	+8.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	41.4	86.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (5)	42.0	44.2	86.2	-2.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (25)	46.4	36.4	82.8	+10.1	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Alvark wins

Tochigi Brex wins

Date	Game	Score
28/12/14	Tochigi Brex v Alvark	83-75
27/12/14	Tochigi Brex v Alvark	76-99
08/11/14	Alvark v Tochigi Brex	76-91
07/11/14	Alvark v Tochigi Brex	70-85
05/05/14	Alvark v Tochigi Brex	74-59
04/05/14	Alvark v Tochigi Brex	81-95
03/05/14	Alvark v Tochigi Brex	105-86
05/04/14	Alvark v Tochigi Brex	80-79
04/04/14	Alvark v Tochigi Brex	89-74
03/11/13	Tochigi Brex v Alvark	86-85

Alvarklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/05/15	A	Brave Thunders	85-75
29/04/15	A	Sun Rockers	75-63
25/04/15	H	Kumamoto	79-61
24/04/15	H	Kumamoto	90-47
19/04/15	A	Trians	93-62
18/04/15	A	Trians	111-74
12/04/15	A	Hiroshima D.	91-77
11/04/15	A	Hiroshima D.	101-76
05/04/15	A	SeaHorses Mikawa	92-86
04/04/15	A	SeaHorses Mikawa	85-80

Tochigi Brexlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/05/15	A	Tsukuba	87-68
29/04/15	H	Chiba	83-71
26/04/15	H	Diamond Dolphins	84-80
25/04/15	H	Diamond Dolphins	84-81
11/04/15	H	Kobe	102-80
10/04/15	H	Kobe	114-91
05/04/15	A	Kumamoto	74-66
04/04/15	A	Kumamoto	94-61
29/03/15	H	Trians	95-61
28/03/15	H	Trians	100-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	74%
Home	WWWWW	65%
Away	WWWWW	81%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	53	26	27
Win %	74%	65%	81%
Points / game	86.3	85.1	87.5
Allowed / game	72.7	74.4	71.0
Point differential	+13.7	+10.7	+16.6
Avg total	159.0	159.5	158.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	60%	50%	70%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	50% (4)	33% (3)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

Tochigi Brex

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	81%
Home	WWWWW	74%
Away	WWWWW	88%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	53	27	26
Win %	81%	74%	88%
Points / game	85.2	85.4	85.0
Allowed / game	72.8	76.1	69.4
Point differential	+12.4	+9.3	+15.6
Avg total	158.1	161.6	154.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	64%	56%	73%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	83% (6)	100% (3)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sun Rockers	53	44	9	83%	83.6	70.7	+12.9
2	Tochigi Brex	53	43	10	81%	85.2	72.8	+12.4
3	SeaHorses Mikawa	53	42	11	79%	82.0	70.2	+11.8
4	Alvark	53	39	14	74%	86.3	72.7	+13.7
5	Brave Thunders	53	38	15	72%	84.4	74.3	+10.1
6	Chiba	53	33	20	62%	75.3	71.5	+3.8
7	Diamond Dolphins	53	29	24	55%	79.7	76.4	+3.4
8	Hokkaido	54	22	32	41%	75.0	76.6	-1.6
9	Hiroshima D.	53	20	33	38%	71.7	75.0	-3.3
10	Kobe	54	18	36	33%	73.7	80.0	-6.3
11	Kumamoto	53	6	47	11%	68.9	84.9	-15.9
12	Tsukuba	53	6	47	11%	66.8	83.8	-17.0
13	Trians	54	6	48	11%	65.0	88.3	-23.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Alvark	23	18	17	25	83
Tochigi Brex	19	16	21	20	76

← all games of the day

Alvark vs Tochigi Brex Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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