Tochigi Brex vs Hiroshima D. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Jan 2015

Tip-off: 06:00

Final 74-61

18-17 24-9 15-16 17-19

Position#3

Record19-9

FormLWLWL

Points / game82.4

Allowed / game74.8

Tochigi Brex 🏆

Hiroshima D.

Position#9

Record14-10

FormLLWWW

Points / game72.0

Allowed / game68.7

NBLRound 16

Other2014-15

Meetings · Tochigi Brex v Hiroshima D.

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tochigi Brex winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Hiroshima D. winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tochigi Brex Japan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tsukuba

#12

103-58

103

+45

H12/12

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

101-62

101

+39

H13/12

NBL

Hokkaido

67-56

+11

A19/12

NBL

Hokkaido

87-72

+15

A20/12

NBL

Brave Thunders

80-65

+15

H23/12

NBL

Alvark

76-99

-23

H27/12

NBL

Alvark

83-75

H28/12

NBL

Sun Rockers

90-99

-9

H21/01

NBL

Chiba

76-70

A24/01

NBL

Chiba

53-56

-3

A25/01

NBL

25-15

22-13

28-19

28-11

28-18

20-13

28-16

25-15

23-16

14-14

15-12

15-14

22-16

18-19

29-21

18-16

21-20

18-9

12-13

29-23

17-16

12-29

19-30

28-24

24-14

5-18

30-21

24-22

27-31

19-20

27-17

17-31

22-15

13-15

17-16

24-24

14-15

8-15

23-14

8-12

152.8Avg total

81.6Scored

71.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	82.4	74.8	157.1	+7.6	68%
Season at home (14)	82.6	78.2	160.8	+4.4	57%
Season away (14)	82.1	71.3	153.4	+10.9	79%
Last 10 (10)	81.6	71.2	152.8	+10.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	75.6	79.8	155.4	-4.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	77.0	77.5	154.5	-0.5	50%
vs Similar (16)	80.1	80.6	160.7	-0.6	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	85.4	66.9	152.3	+18.5	92%

This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Hiroshima D. Japan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

SeaHorses Mikawa

53-76

-23

A06/12

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

56-66

-10

A07/12

NBL

Trians

#13

76-61

+15

H13/12

NBL

Trians

#13

71-53

+18

H14/12

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

77-97

-20

H19/12

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

68-76

-8

H20/12

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

63-74

-11

H23/12

NBL

Kobe

#10

74-60

+14

H21/01

NBL

Kumamoto

#11

74-62

+12

A24/01

NBL

Kumamoto

#11

77-67

+10

A25/01

NBL

13-19

14-17

13-26

13-14

20-14

10-9

15-25

11-18

20-9

20-14

19-14

17-24

17-17

13-16

18-7

23-13

20-12

16-34

17-26

24-25

19-18

13-21

19-16

17-21

19-20

17-19

10-18

17-17

13-16

17-13

15-14

29-17

16-14

6-10

29-21

23-17

24-19

16-8

16-17

21-23

138.1Avg total

68.9Scored

69.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	72.0	68.7	140.7	+3.3	58%
Season at home (14)	75.2	69.5	144.7	+5.7	64%
Season away (10)	67.5	67.5	135.0	+0.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	68.9	69.2	138.1	-0.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	71.2	67.8	139.0	+3.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	68.1	78.0	146.1	-9.9	11%
vs Similar (5)	77.8	68.2	146.0	+9.6	80%
vs Weaker (10)	72.6	60.5	133.1	+12.1	90%

This opponent (Tochigi Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Tochigi BrexHiroshima D.

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	18.5	40.9	+3.8	77%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	18.6	40.1	+3.0	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.1	18.5	41.6	+4.6	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	17.6	39.9	+4.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.2	39.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.5	19.0	42.5	+4.5	100%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.4	20.3	41.7	+1.1	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	23.5	16.1	39.6	+7.4	92%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	18.4	15.9	34.3	+2.5	58%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	15.8	34.1	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (10)	18.4	16.1	34.5	+2.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	15.8	33.9	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	17.4	35.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	16.2	18.1	34.3	-1.9	44%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.6	14.0	36.6	+8.6	80%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.2	14.9	33.1	+3.3	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	16.2	33.2	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.9	17.0	33.9	-0.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.0	15.5	32.5	+1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.9	16.5	31.4	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	11.4	19.4	30.8	-8.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	15.6	17.2	32.8	-1.6	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	18.6	14.6	33.2	+4.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	16.1	16.4	32.5	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	17.9	35.9	+0.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (10)	13.3	14.4	27.7	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.2	16.1	30.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.8	14.2	28.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	15.3	19.3	34.7	-4.0	22%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.4	16.8	33.2	-0.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (10)	16.6	13.6	30.2	+3.0	70%	-

Tochigi BrexLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tsukuba

#12

47-28

+19

H12/12

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

48-31

+17

H13/12

NBL

Hokkaido

37-30

A19/12

NBL

Hokkaido

40-35

A20/12

NBL

Brave Thunders

39-29

+10

H23/12

NBL

Alvark

29-45

-16

H27/12

NBL

Alvark

29-32

-3

H28/12

NBL

Sun Rockers

46-51

-5

H21/01

NBL

Chiba

35-30

A24/01

NBL

Chiba

22-30

-8

A25/01

NBL

71.3Avg total

37.2Scored

34.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	34.7	74.1	+4.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.5	35.6	74.1	+2.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.1	34.0	74.1	+6.1	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	34.1	71.3	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.2	37.6	69.8	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	41.5	37.0	78.5	+4.5	100%	-
vs Similar (16)	37.0	37.5	74.5	-0.5	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	42.1	30.7	72.8	+11.4	92%	-

This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Hiroshima D.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

SeaHorses Mikawa

27-36

-9

A06/12

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

30-23

A07/12

NBL

Trians

#13

40-23

+17

H13/12

NBL

Trians

#13

30-33

-3

H14/12

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

36-46

-10

H19/12

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

32-39

-7

H20/12

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

36-39

-3

H23/12

NBL

Kobe

#10

30-29

H21/01

NBL

Kumamoto

#11

22-24

-2

A24/01

NBL

Kumamoto

#11

40-27

+13

A25/01

NBL

64.2Avg total

32.3Scored

31.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	34.5	32.3	66.8	+2.1	54%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.4	33.6	70.1	+2.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (10)	31.7	30.5	62.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.3	31.9	64.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.0	31.6	63.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	31.6	37.4	69.0	-5.9	11%	-
vs Similar (5)	39.0	30.8	69.8	+8.2	100%	-
vs Weaker (10)	34.8	28.5	63.3	+6.3	70%	-

This opponent (Tochigi Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.6	40.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.7	21.1	42.9	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	18.3	39.1	+2.4	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	17.9	40.7	+4.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	19.6	42.8	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.0	18.0	33.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.2	20.8	41.9	+0.4	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	22.2	18.4	40.7	+3.8	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	18.2	17.2	35.4	+1.0	54%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.7	16.2	33.9	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (10)	18.9	18.5	37.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	18.4	35.5	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.2	35.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	18.0	20.7	38.7	-2.7	44%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.0	17.4	37.4	+2.6	60%	-
vs Weaker (10)	17.5	13.9	31.4	+3.6	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.6	42.0	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	21.5	43.9	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.7	19.8	40.4	+0.9	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.2	40.8	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	22.6	42.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.5	22.5	43.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.9	22.4	44.2	-0.5	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	21.1	17.8	38.9	+3.2	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	19.3	19.2	38.5	+0.2	46%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	19.6	40.7	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (10)	16.9	18.5	35.4	-1.6	30%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	18.9	38.4	+0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.0	40.4	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	18.6	19.9	38.4	-1.3	22%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.3	18.1	38.4	+2.2	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	40.2	82.9	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.1	42.6	86.7	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.4	38.1	79.5	+3.4	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.4	37.1	81.5	+7.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	42.2	85.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	35.5	40.5	76.0	-5.0	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	43.1	43.1	86.2	-0.1	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	43.3	36.2	79.6	+7.1	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	37.5	36.3	73.9	+1.2	46%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.8	35.9	74.6	+2.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (10)	35.8	37.0	72.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	37.3	73.9	-0.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	36.2	75.4	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	36.6	40.6	77.1	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	38.8	37.4	76.2	+1.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (10)	37.8	32.0	69.8	+5.8	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Tochigi Brex wins

Hiroshima D. wins

No previous meetings.

Tochigi Brexlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/01/15	A	Chiba	53-56
24/01/15	A	Chiba	76-70
21/01/15	H	Sun Rockers	90-99
28/12/14	H	Alvark	83-75
27/12/14	H	Alvark	76-99
23/12/14	H	Brave Thunders	80-65
20/12/14	A	Hokkaido	87-72
19/12/14	A	Hokkaido	67-56
13/12/14	H	Tsukuba	101-62
12/12/14	H	Tsukuba	103-58

Hiroshima D.last 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/01/15	A	Kumamoto	77-67
24/01/15	A	Kumamoto	74-62
21/01/15	H	Kobe	74-60
23/12/14	H	SeaHorses Mikawa	63-74
20/12/14	H	Diamond Dolphins	68-76
19/12/14	H	Diamond Dolphins	77-97
14/12/14	H	Trians	71-53
13/12/14	H	Trians	76-61
07/12/14	A	SeaHorses Mikawa	56-66
06/12/14	A	SeaHorses Mikawa	53-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tochigi Brex

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	68%
Home	WWLWL	57%
Away	WWWWL	79%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	68%	57%	79%
Points / game	82.4	82.6	82.1
Allowed / game	74.8	78.2	71.3
Point differential	+7.6	+4.4	+10.9
Avg total	157.1	160.8	153.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	54%	43%	64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Hiroshima D.

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	58%
Home	WLLLW	64%
Away	LLLWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	14	10
Win %	58%	64%	50%
Points / game	72.0	75.2	67.5
Allowed / game	68.7	69.5	67.5
Point differential	+3.3	+5.7	+0.0
Avg total	140.7	144.7	135.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	57%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	50% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	SeaHorses Mikawa	24	22	2	92%	85.9	66.9	+19.0
2	Sun Rockers	28	23	5	82%	82.5	71.9	+10.5
3	Diamond Dolphins	25	19	6	76%	83.9	74.2	+9.7
4	Brave Thunders	27	19	8	70%	81.1	73.6	+7.6
5	Tochigi Brex	28	19	9	68%	82.4	74.8	+7.6
6	Hiroshima D.	24	14	10	58%	72.0	68.7	+3.3
7	Alvark	25	14	11	56%	82.3	75.8	+6.6
8	Chiba	28	15	13	54%	73.3	72.4	+0.9
9	Kobe	26	11	15	42%	74.6	76.8	-2.2
10	Hokkaido	29	6	23	21%	72.4	79.1	-6.7
11	Trians	24	4	20	17%	65.0	82.1	-17.1
12	Kumamoto	25	3	22	12%	67.2	83.1	-16.0
13	Tsukuba	29	2	27	7%	63.4	84.8	-21.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Tochigi Brex	18	24	15	17	74
Hiroshima D.	17	9	16	19	61

← all games of the day

Tochigi Brex vs Hiroshima D. Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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