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Hobart Chargers vs Keilor Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 25 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 95-88
22-27 22-33 21-19 30-9
Position#8
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#15
Record2-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game92.8
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Hobart Chargers v Keilor Thunder
25 Apr 2025
HOBA95
KEIL88
08 Jul 2023
HOBA97
KEIL89
29 Apr 2022
HOBA89
KEIL83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hobart Chargers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keilor Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hobart ChargersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#11
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A22/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
W
86-65
86
65
+21
H28/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
99-76
99
76
+23
H29/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
99-88
99
88
+11
H05/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
75-94
75
94
-19
A12/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
67-103
67
103
-36
A13/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A05/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A06/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
96-84
96
84
+12
H11/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
78-81
78
81
-3
H12/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
21-24
26-17
13-23
25-21
16-16
21-7
24-21
23-14
27-26
29-20
20-16
33-21
23-24
18-18
25-25
18-26
22-21
17-26
18-21
16-28
21-29
21-30
9-16
21-23
22-12
20-25
17-16
17-18
20-17
20-18
21-22
26-17
19-19
30-20
21-28
22-19
14-14
23-20
19-28
167.2Avg total
84.3Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.079.0162.0+4.075%
Season at home (2)87.082.5169.5+4.550%
Season away (2)79.075.5154.5+3.5100%
Last 10 (10)84.382.9167.2+1.460%
Last 5 (5)79.883.8163.6-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.287.6168.8-6.450%
vs Similar (9)81.881.1162.9+0.744%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)87.178.0165.1+9.191%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#6
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H29/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
112-93
112
93
+19
H05/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A07/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
67-98
67
98
-31
H11/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
68-104
68
104
-36
A13/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
97-82
97
82
+15
A29/03
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
76-100
76
100
-24
H30/03
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
71-87
71
87
-16
A05/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
103-111
103
111
-8
A11/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
W
87-84
87
84
+3
H13/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-12
14-27
8-23
24-13
29-19
31-11
27-28
25-35
18-20
12-17
17-24
25-22
12-27
15-24
20-25
20-22
23-23
16-25
12-28
17-28
26-11
21-24
16-24
34-23
15-28
19-24
20-27
22-21
22-29
12-19
15-17
22-22
24-22
26-31
25-30
28-28
23-19
14-18
31-22
19-25
174.2Avg total
82.5Scored
91.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.892.8179.6-6.040%
Season at home (2)81.592.0173.5-10.550%
Season away (3)90.393.3183.7-3.033%
Last 10 (10)82.591.7174.2-9.230%
Last 5 (5)86.892.8179.6-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)83.296.1179.4-12.929%
vs Similar (9)88.788.1176.8+0.667%
vs Weaker (7)88.089.7177.7-1.757%
This opponent (Hobart Chargers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -0.3-0.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -0.3-0.3
Hobart ChargersKeilor Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hobart ChargersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#11
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A22/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H28/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H29/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H05/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A12/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A13/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A05/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A06/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H11/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H12/04
NBL1 South
84.3Avg total
43.1Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.140.482.5+1.763%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.137.981.0+5.281%-
Last 30 away (14)40.943.384.2-2.443%-
Last 10 (10)43.141.284.3+1.970%-
Last 5 (5)39.639.278.8+0.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)42.644.587.1-1.950%-
vs Similar (9)40.336.476.8+3.967%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.139.983.0+3.273%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H29/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
60-30
60
30
+30
H05/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A07/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
27-51
27
51
-24
H11/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A13/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A29/03
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H30/03
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A05/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A11/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H13/04
NBL1 South
82.8Avg total
39.8Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.446.889.2-4.430%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.545.285.8-4.731%-
Last 30 away (17)43.848.191.9-4.229%-
Last 10 (10)39.843.082.8-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)40.445.085.4-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)40.949.790.6-8.821%-
vs Similar (9)43.746.189.8-2.433%-
vs Weaker (7)43.742.085.7+1.743%-
This opponent (Hobart Chargers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Hobart Chargers wins
1
Keilor Thunder wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25HBallarat78-81
11/04/25HKilsyth96-84
06/04/25ACasey Cavaliers78-75
05/04/25ASandringham Sabres80-76
13/07/24ASandringham Sabres67-103
12/07/24AFrankston75-94
05/07/24HBendigo Braves99-88
29/06/24HDiamond Valley99-76
28/06/24HKilsyth86-65
22/06/24AGeelong85-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/25HFrankston87-84
11/04/25ADandenong103-111
05/04/25ABendigo Braves71-87
30/03/25HMt Gambier76-100
29/03/25ADiamond Valley97-82
13/07/24AKnox68-104
11/07/24HEltham67-98
07/07/24ASandringham Sabres72-83
05/07/24HDiamond Valley112-93
29/06/24HDandenong72-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hobart Chargers
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game83.087.079.0
Allowed / game79.082.575.5
Point differential+4.0+4.5+3.5
Avg total162.0169.5154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keilor Thunder
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game86.881.590.3
Allowed / game92.892.093.3
Point differential-6.0-10.5-3.0
Avg total179.6173.5183.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox440100%99.078.2+20.8
2 Mt Gambier54180%93.271.8+21.4
3 Ballarat43175%89.084.8+4.2
4 Casey Cavaliers43175%84.280.2+4.0
5 Hobart Chargers43175%83.079.0+4.0
6 Waverley43175%94.292.2+2.0
7 Melbourne Tigers53260%84.074.8+9.2
8 Frankston53260%90.484.6+5.8
9 Ringwood42250%88.582.5+6.0
10 Kilsyth63350%82.582.2+0.3
11 NW Tasmania42250%87.890.8-3.0
12 Nunawading63350%83.888.0-4.2
13 Bendigo Braves42250%83.589.8-6.2
14 Keilor Thunder52340%86.892.8-6.0
15 Eltham41325%84.284.5-0.2
16 Geelong41325%83.291.8-8.5
17 Diamond Valley51420%79.494.6-15.2
18 Dandenong61517%88.395.8-7.5
19 Sandringham Sabres5050%73.293.2-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hobart Chargers2222213095
Keilor Thunder273319988
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