PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Dandenong vs Keilor Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 111-103
22-24 31-26 30-25 28-28
Position#14
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game95.3
vs
Position#15
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game89.7
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Dandenong v Keilor Thunder
11 Apr 2025
DAND111
KEIL103
11 May 2024
DAND97
KEIL101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dandenong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keilor Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DandenongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A29/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
72-86
72
86
-14
H30/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A06/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A12/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H14/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
W
98-91
98
91
+7
H20/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A27/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A29/03
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
L
100-105
100
105
-5
H30/03
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
72-94
72
94
-22
H05/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-26
27-14
23-8
13-24
20-19
15-23
21-28
16-16
20-14
17-26
13-25
15-13
22-26
16-25
22-10
18-22
25-20
26-18
13-23
17-14
28-34
26-11
22-31
22-15
23-22
17-17
12-23
26-29
16-23
24-26
17-16
23-22
28-19
19-29
29-23
24-34
30-25
7-18
21-31
14-20
166.1Avg total
79.9Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.095.3179.3-11.30%
Season at home (2)86.099.5185.5-13.50%
Season away (1)80.087.0167.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)79.986.2166.1-6.330%
Last 5 (5)85.693.6179.2-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)82.593.3175.7-10.827%
vs Similar ◀ (7)77.183.6160.7-6.429%
vs Weaker (12)90.280.8171.0+9.383%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#17
W
77-70
77
70
+7
A15/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
111-85
111
85
+26
A22/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H29/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
112-93
112
93
+19
H05/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A07/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
67-98
67
98
-31
H11/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
68-104
68
104
-36
A13/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
97-82
97
82
+15
A29/03
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
76-100
76
100
-24
H30/03
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
71-87
71
87
-16
A05/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
23-22
19-13
18-16
21-23
36-17
28-26
26-19
26-12
14-27
8-23
24-13
29-19
31-11
27-28
25-35
18-20
12-17
17-24
25-22
12-27
15-24
20-25
20-22
23-23
16-25
12-28
17-28
26-11
21-24
16-24
34-23
15-28
19-24
20-27
22-21
22-29
12-19
15-17
22-22
170.0Avg total
82.3Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.389.7171.0-8.333%
Season at home (1)76.0100.0176.0-24.00%
Season away (2)84.084.5168.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)82.387.7170.0-5.440%
Last 5 (5)75.894.2170.0-18.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)83.497.6181.1-14.221%
vs Similar ◀ (9)87.484.3171.8+3.178%
vs Weaker (7)88.089.7177.7-1.757%
This opponent (Dandenong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
DandenongKeilor Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DandenongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A29/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H30/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A06/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A12/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H14/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H20/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A27/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A29/03
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H30/03
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H05/04
NBL1 South
85.3Avg total
41.8Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.243.386.5-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.443.387.8+1.150%-
Last 30 away (14)41.743.385.0-1.636%-
Last 10 (10)41.843.585.3-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)43.644.888.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)43.247.290.4-4.018%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)36.741.778.4-5.029%-
vs Weaker (12)46.940.787.6+6.275%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#17
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A15/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A22/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H29/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
60-30
60
30
+30
H05/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A07/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
27-51
27
51
-24
H11/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A13/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A29/03
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H30/03
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A05/04
NBL1 South
82.9Avg total
40.8Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.246.789.9-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.846.087.8-4.238%-
Last 30 away (17)44.247.391.5-3.135%-
Last 10 (10)40.842.182.9-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.246.883.0-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)42.150.492.6-8.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)44.444.789.1-0.244%-
vs Weaker (7)43.742.085.7+1.743%-
This opponent (Dandenong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Dandenong wins
2
Keilor Thunder wins
Dandenonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25HEltham72-94
30/03/25HDiamond Valley100-105
29/03/25ACasey Cavaliers80-87
27/07/24ABallarat78-91
20/07/24HKnox98-91
14/07/24HNW Tasmania81-75
12/07/24ANunawading78-83
06/07/24AGeelong65-78
30/06/24HMt Gambier72-86
29/06/24AKeilor Thunder75-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25ABendigo Braves71-87
30/03/25HMt Gambier76-100
29/03/25ADiamond Valley97-82
13/07/24AKnox68-104
11/07/24HEltham67-98
07/07/24ASandringham Sabres72-83
05/07/24HDiamond Valley112-93
29/06/24HDandenong72-75
22/06/24ABendigo Braves111-85
15/06/24ARingwood77-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dandenong
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game84.086.080.0
Allowed / game95.399.587.0
Point differential-11.3-13.5-7.0
Avg total179.3185.5167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keilor Thunder
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game81.376.084.0
Allowed / game89.7100.084.5
Point differential-8.3-24.0-0.5
Avg total171.0176.0168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox330100%100.778.7+22.0
2 Hobart Chargers330100%84.778.3+6.3
3 Mt Gambier32167%96.071.7+24.3
4 Melbourne Tigers32167%85.072.0+13.0
5 Ringwood32167%91.381.3+10.0
6 Casey Cavaliers32167%81.079.3+1.7
7 Waverley32167%93.793.7+0.0
8 Eltham21150%83.077.0+6.0
9 Ballarat21150%90.586.5+4.0
10 Frankston21150%88.587.5+1.0
11 Kilsyth42250%81.282.0-0.8
12 NW Tasmania21150%89.092.5-3.5
13 Geelong21150%78.090.0-12.0
14 Nunawading31233%82.789.0-6.3
15 Keilor Thunder31233%81.389.7-8.3
16 Bendigo Braves31233%81.090.0-9.0
17 Diamond Valley41325%80.594.8-14.2
18 Dandenong3030%84.095.3-11.3
19 Sandringham Sabres3030%75.094.3-19.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dandenong22313028111
Keilor Thunder24262528103
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.