Hogsbo vs Alvik Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Mar 2020

Tip-off: 12:00

Postponed

Position#3

Record18-5

FormWWLWW

Points / game91.0

Allowed / game82.4

Hogsbo

Alvik

Position#5

Record12-10

FormLWWWL

Points / game87.0

Allowed / game79.5

Superettan

Other2019-20

Meetings · Hogsbo v Alvik

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Alvik win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hogsbo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bankeryds

90-74

+16

H14/01

Superettan

Alvik

83-90

-7

A25/01

Superettan

Bankeryds

85-80

A29/01

Superettan

KFUM Fryshuset

89-83

A02/02

Superettan

Team4Q

82-73

H09/02

Superettan

Helsingborg

#10

104-83

104

+21

A15/02

Superettan

Norrort

133-125 OT

133

125

H22/02

Superettan

IK Eos

88-93

-5

A29/02

Superettan

Trelleborg

90-80

+10

A01/03

Superettan

Team4Q

104-90

104

+14

H08/03

Superettan

20-20

22-18

19-17

29-19

19-26

21-19

19-23

24-22

16-19

25-21

26-26

18-14

22-24

23-19

21-26

23-14

27-17

15-14

23-17

17-25

28-19

30-17

23-20

23-27

25-31

24-21

28-23

25-27

14-20

28-28

19-17

27-28

25-21

17-19

29-12

19-28

21-19

32-25

29-22

22-24

181.9Avg total

94.8Scored

87.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	91.0	82.4	173.4	+8.7	78%
Season at home (11)	92.7	82.4	175.1	+10.4	91%
Season away (12)	89.5	82.4	171.9	+7.1	67%
Last 10 (10)	94.8	87.1	181.9	+7.7	80%
Last 5 (5)	103.8	94.2	198.0	+9.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	79.0	90.2	169.2	-11.2	33%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	81.8	86.5	168.3	-4.7	33%
vs Weaker (18)	94.4	80.2	174.6	+14.2	94%

This opponent (Alvik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Alvik

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bankeryds

68-66

H05/01

Superettan

AIK Basket

93-81

+12

A12/01

Superettan

AIK Basket

78-73

H19/01

Superettan

Hogsbo

90-83

H25/01

Superettan

Norrort

85-88

-3

H29/01

Superettan

KFUM Fryshuset

102-103

102

103

-1

A09/02

Superettan

Team4Q

93-75

+18

H16/02

Superettan

Trelleborg

20-0

+20

H22/02

Superettan

Norrort

100-72

100

+28

A25/02

Superettan

IK Eos

94-99

-5

A07/03

Superettan

12-14

17-17

18-16

21-19

26-21

16-23

26-20

25-17

24-21

17-17

16-12

21-23

26-19

19-21

23-19

22-24

23-27

19-27

25-15

18-19

21-18

33-26

19-34

29-25

25-25

13-13

27-18

28-19

–

27-17

19-19

24-23

30-13

25-29

23-13

27-22

19-35

156.3Avg total

82.3Scored

74.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	87.0	79.5	166.4	+7.5	55%
Season at home (13)	80.9	75.4	156.3	+5.5	54%
Season away (9)	95.7	85.3	181.0	+10.3	56%
Last 10 (10)	82.3	74.0	156.3	+8.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	69.8	151.6	+12.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	63.3	91.3	154.7	-28.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	88.5	87.2	175.7	+1.3	25%
vs Weaker (15)	85.6	70.2	155.8	+15.4	93%

This opponent (Hogsbo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

HogsboAlvik

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.0	40.7	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	18.7	40.0	+2.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	21.6	43.3	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	22.0	44.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.5	23.0	39.5	-6.5	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	19.7	22.5	42.2	-2.8	17%	-
vs Weaker (18)	22.5	18.1	40.6	+4.4	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	23.4	22.0	45.4	+1.4	54%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	21.8	44.7	+1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	24.0	22.4	46.4	+1.6	67%	-
Last 10 (9)	23.2	21.2	44.4	+2.0	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	23.2	47.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	31.0	48.5	-13.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	24.2	22.7	46.9	+1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	23.5	20.2	43.7	+3.3	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.2	40.4	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	18.3	39.3	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	20.1	41.5	+1.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	20.1	43.8	+3.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	22.0	48.2	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.3	19.3	37.7	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	18.3	19.8	38.2	-1.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (18)	23.2	18.9	42.1	+4.3	72%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	21.9	19.6	41.5	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	19.0	39.4	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	23.8	20.4	44.2	+3.3	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.6	19.6	39.1	+0.0	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.0	22.5	37.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	21.8	20.7	42.4	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	22.9	18.3	41.2	+4.6	57%	-

HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bankeryds

42-38

H14/01

Superettan

Alvik

40-45

-5

A25/01

Superettan

Bankeryds

41-40

A29/01

Superettan

KFUM Fryshuset

45-43

A02/02

Superettan

Team4Q

42-31

+11

H09/02

Superettan

Helsingborg

#10

58-36

+22

A15/02

Superettan

Norrort

49-52

-3

H22/02

Superettan

IK Eos

42-48

-6

A29/02

Superettan

Trelleborg

42-40

A01/03

Superettan

Team4Q

53-44

H08/03

Superettan

87.1Avg total

45.4Scored

41.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	39.1	81.1	+2.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.3	37.0	79.3	+5.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.7	41.3	82.9	+0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.4	41.7	87.1	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.8	44.0	92.8	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	34.8	42.3	77.2	-7.5	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	38.0	42.3	80.3	-4.3	17%	-
vs Weaker (18)	45.7	37.0	82.7	+8.7	78%	-

This opponent (Alvik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AlvikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bankeryds

29-31

-2

H05/01

Superettan

AIK Basket

42-44

-2

A12/01

Superettan

AIK Basket

41-38

H19/01

Superettan

Hogsbo

45-40

H25/01

Superettan

Norrort

42-54

-12

H29/01

Superettan

KFUM Fryshuset

54-44

+10

A09/02

Superettan

Team4Q

38-38

H16/02

Superettan

Norrort

46-36

+10

A25/02

Superettan

IK Eos

48-42

A07/03

Superettan

83.6Avg total

42.8Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	45.2	41.6	86.9	+3.6	64%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.4	40.8	84.1	+2.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	47.8	42.8	90.6	+4.9	75%	-
Last 10 (9)	42.8	40.8	83.6	+2.0	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	42.8	88.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	32.5	53.5	86.0	-21.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	46.0	43.3	89.3	+2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (14)	46.4	38.5	84.9	+7.9	71%	-

This opponent (Hogsbo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	20.7	43.7	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	20.7	43.7	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.9	20.8	43.7	+2.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	20.3	43.9	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	18.8	44.4	+6.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.5	24.8	47.3	-2.3	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	19.0	21.2	40.2	-2.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (18)	24.4	19.2	43.7	+5.2	78%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.9	19.3	39.2	+0.6	61%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.7	18.0	36.7	+0.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.6	21.1	42.7	+0.5	67%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.8	19.9	42.7	+2.9	89%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	22.4	46.8	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	12.0	18.5	30.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.6	58%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.5	17.9	38.4	+2.6	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	22.5	44.9	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	21.3	43.2	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.9	23.8	46.7	-0.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	22.8	45.5	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	26.8	50.0	-3.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.7	23.0	44.7	-1.3	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	24.8	23.0	47.8	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.8	22.2	44.1	-0.4	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	21.6	19.9	41.5	+1.8	54%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.0	19.1	40.1	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	22.5	20.9	43.4	+1.6	58%	-
Last 10 (9)	23.7	21.6	45.2	+2.1	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	22.2	47.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	14.0	20.0	34.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.9	21.0	41.9	-0.1	42%	-
vs Weaker (14)	23.4	18.9	42.2	+4.5	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.4	43.3	88.6	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.0	41.9	86.9	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.7	44.6	90.3	+1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.3	43.1	89.4	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.8	45.6	94.4	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	44.2	47.8	92.0	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	43.8	44.2	88.0	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	46.3	41.4	87.7	+4.8	72%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	41.6	39.2	80.8	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.7	37.1	76.8	+2.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (12)	44.1	42.0	86.1	+2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	46.4	41.4	87.9	+5.0	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.2	44.6	93.8	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	26.0	38.5	64.5	-12.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	41.5	42.2	83.7	-0.7	42%	-
vs Weaker (14)	43.9	36.7	80.6	+7.1	79%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Hogsbo wins

Alvik wins

Date	Game	Score
25/01/20	Alvik v Hogsbo	90-83
05/10/19	Hogsbo v Alvik	80-71
03/03/19	Alvik v Hogsbo	102-68
27/12/18	Hogsbo v Alvik	66-91
28/10/18	Alvik v Hogsbo	97-73

Hogsbolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/03/20	H	Team4Q	104-90
01/03/20	A	Trelleborg	90-80
29/02/20	A	IK Eos	88-93
22/02/20	H	Norrort	133-125 OT
15/02/20	A	Helsingborg	104-83
09/02/20	H	Team4Q	82-73
02/02/20	A	KFUM Fryshuset	89-83
29/01/20	A	Bankeryds	85-80
25/01/20	A	Alvik	83-90
14/01/20	H	Bankeryds	90-74

Alviklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/03/20	A	IK Eos	94-99
25/02/20	A	Norrort	100-72
22/02/20	H	Trelleborg	20-0
16/02/20	H	Team4Q	93-75
09/02/20	A	KFUM Fryshuset	102-103
29/01/20	H	Norrort	85-88
25/01/20	H	Hogsbo	90-83
19/01/20	H	AIK Basket	78-73
12/01/20	A	AIK Basket	93-81
05/01/20	H	Bankeryds	68-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo

Superettan 2019-20

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	78%
Home	WWWWW	91%
Away	WWWLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	78%	91%	67%
Points / game	91.0	92.7	89.5
Allowed / game	82.4	82.4	82.4
Point differential	+8.7	+10.4	+7.1
Avg total	173.4	175.1	171.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	43%	45%	42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	9%	18%	0%

Alvik

Superettan 2019-20

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	55%
Home	WWLWW	54%
Away	WWLWL	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	13	9
Win %	55%	54%	56%
Points / game	87.0	80.9	95.7
Allowed / game	79.5	75.4	85.3
Point differential	+7.5	+5.5	+10.3
Avg total	166.4	156.3	181.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	31%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	27% (11)	29% (7)	25% (4)
Overtime %	5%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	KFUM Fryshuset	24	21	3	88%	96.1	87.0	+9.1
2	IK Eos	24	19	5	79%	95.5	89.8	+5.8
3	Hogsbo	23	18	5	78%	91.0	82.4	+8.7
4	Norrort	23	13	10	57%	87.8	84.2	+3.6
5	Alvik	22	12	10	55%	87.0	79.5	+7.5
6	AIK Basket	24	12	12	50%	76.6	76.0	+0.7
7	Team4Q	22	7	15	32%	84.2	91.4	-7.2
8	Bankeryds	23	6	17	26%	81.9	90.1	-8.2
9	Trelleborg	24	6	18	25%	74.8	80.8	-6.0
10	Helsingborg	25	3	22	12%	83.0	96.0	-13.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

Hogsbo vs Alvik Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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