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Hogsbo vs Huddinge Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 91-80
32-17 26-20 14-31 19-12
Position#1
Record3-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#5
Record5-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game77.3
SwedenSuperettan· Gothia Arena (Göteborg)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Hogsbo v Huddinge
28 Oct 2023
HOGS91
HUDD80
11 Feb 2023
HOGS99
HUDD84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Huddinge winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
RIG Mark
#9
L
79-86
79
86
-7
no box
A21/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#10
W
118-99
118
99
+19
no box
H25/03
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#11
W
110-79
110
79
+31
no box
A31/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#10
L
89-100
89
100
-11
no box
A06/04
Superettan
IK Eos
#10
W
94-90
94
90
+4
no box
H10/04
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
59avg 78
H23/09
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
L
73-89
73
89
-16
60avg 78
A30/09
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
74-53
74
53
+21
63avg 78
A01/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
95-88
95
88
+7
101avg 78
H13/10
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
103-75
103
75
+28
105avg 78
H21/10
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
19-21
22-22
13-27
26-25
36-30
28-18
28-26
27-16
19-25
26-17
38-21
17-27
17-29
27-23
28-21
27-18
19-28
27-21
21-23
22-18
29-23
11-20
14-20
19-27
17-18
23-27
14-17
11-13
18-15
19-11
26-14
23-25
31-21
19-22
22-20
30-16
23-17
21-18
29-24
175.1Avg total
91.1Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.277.2161.4+7.060%
Season at home (3)91.381.3172.7+10.067%
Season away (2)73.571.0144.5+2.550%
Last 10 (10)91.184.0175.1+7.160%
Last 5 (5)84.277.2161.4+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)100.090.0190.0+10.0100%
vs Similar (2)85.080.0165.0+5.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)93.082.4175.4+10.678%
This opponent (Huddinge) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HuddingeSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHuddinge
Date
Competition
Eskilstuna
#4
L
92-94 OT
92
94
-2
no box
A25/03
Superettan
RIG Mark
#9
L
73-86
73
86
-13
no box
A26/03
Superettan
Norrort
#6
W
64-62
64
62
+2
no box
H01/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
87-68
87
68
+19
76avg 76
A17/09
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
76-50
76
50
+26
77avg 76
H23/09
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
W
89-73
89
73
+16
81avg 76
H30/09
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
L
83-94
83
94
-11
74avg 76
A04/10
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
81-79
81
79
+2
54avg 76
H07/10
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
101-87
101
87
+14
94avg 76
H11/10
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
79avg 76
H18/10
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
19-23
25-18
18-15
14-14
18-23
20-21
21-28
20-19
8-17
21-16
15-10
10-12
23-23
30-14
24-19
22-16
19-9
15-9
20-16
27-19
18-17
27-23
17-14
21-19
21-27
25-20
16-28
18-16
14-17
23-20
26-26
18-17
24-20
26-18
33-32
20-21
18-22
32-20
15-27
161.4Avg total
83.1Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.077.3163.3+8.771%
Season at home (5)86.475.8162.2+10.680%
Season away (2)85.081.0166.0+4.050%
Last 10 (10)83.178.3161.4+4.860%
Last 5 (5)87.884.6172.4+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)76.185.4161.4-9.321%
vs Similar (12)85.284.5169.8+0.842%
vs Weaker (4)86.072.8158.8+13.2100%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
HogsboHuddinge
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
RIG Mark
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A21/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#10
W
62-55
62
55
+7
H25/03
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#11
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A31/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#10
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A06/04
Superettan
IK Eos
#10
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H10/04
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H23/09
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A30/09
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A01/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H13/10
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H21/10
Superettan
88.3Avg total
45.5Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.341.588.8+5.970%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.342.192.4+8.173%-
Last 30 away (15)44.440.885.2+3.667%-
Last 10 (10)45.542.888.3+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)44.638.683.2+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.044.097.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar (2)46.542.088.5+4.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)47.241.388.5+5.967%-
This opponent (Huddinge) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HuddingeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eskilstuna
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A25/03
Superettan
RIG Mark
#9
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A26/03
Superettan
Norrort
#6
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H01/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A17/09
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H23/09
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H30/09
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A04/10
Superettan
Malbas
#12
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H07/10
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H11/10
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H18/10
Superettan
74.5Avg total
37.0Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.442.882.1-3.437%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.541.178.6-3.635%-
Last 30 away (13)41.844.986.8-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)37.037.574.5-0.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.078.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.346.383.6-9.029%-
vs Similar (12)41.142.283.3-1.233%-
vs Weaker (4)41.532.073.5+9.575%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.022.0
57.9%
50.1%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.67.6
27.5%
31.3%22.8
🏀 Free throws24.016.6
69.2%
66.9%16.6
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Huddingetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Huddinge: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀66%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 66% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.628.0
55.4%
50.1%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.05.0
26.3%
31.3%15.0
🏀 Free throws21.414.0
65.3%
66.9%14.0
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/7 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo
WWWLLWLWWL
Huddinge
LWWLWWWWLL
#1
League position
#5
+9.2
Net rating
+13.4
103.9
Offensive rating
106.2
94.7
Defensive rating
92.8
50.9%
Effective FG%
51.0%
46.0%
Opp. effective FG%
43.9%
18.1%
Turnover %
16.6%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.31
27.5%
3-point %
26.3%
60.8%
Assist %
55.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 106.2Defence94.7 · 92.8Shooting50.9% · 51.0%3-point %27.5% · 26.3%Ball care18.1% · 16.6%Off. rebounds25.5% · 32.5%Free throws0.37 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Hogsbo   ■ Huddinge
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hogsbo wins
1
Huddinge wins
DateGameScore
30/09/23Huddinge v Hogsbo89-73
11/02/23Hogsbo v Huddinge99-84
22/10/22Huddinge v Hogsbo74-103
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23HNorrort103-75
13/10/23HWetterbygden Stars95-88
01/10/23ANorrort74-53
30/09/23AHuddinge73-89
23/09/23HAIK Basket76-81
10/04/23HIK Eos94-90
06/04/23AIK Eos89-100
31/03/23AWetterbygden Stars110-79
25/03/23HIK Eos118-99
21/03/23ARIG Mark79-86
Huddingelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/23HAIK Basket85-90
11/10/23HKFUM Fryshuset101-87
07/10/23HMalbas81-79
04/10/23ADjurgarden83-94
30/09/23HHogsbo89-73
23/09/23HKFUM Kalmar76-50
17/09/23ASloga Uppsala87-68
01/04/23HNorrort64-62
26/03/23ARIG Mark73-86
25/03/23AEskilstuna92-94 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game84.291.373.5
Allowed / game77.281.371.0
Point differential+7.0+10.0+2.5
Avg total161.4172.7144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Huddinge
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL71%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %71%80%50%
Points / game86.086.485.0
Allowed / game77.375.881.0
Point differential+8.7+10.6+4.0
Avg total163.3162.2166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket880100%83.274.5+8.8
2 Tureberg54180%72.063.8+8.2
3 Helsingborg75271%83.974.6+9.3
4 Huddinge75271%86.077.3+8.7
5 IK Eos64267%82.274.3+7.8
6 Djurgarden85362%87.283.4+3.9
7 KFUM Fryshuset85362%85.085.4-0.4
8 Hogsbo53260%84.277.2+7.0
9 Wetterbygden Stars94544%77.775.1+2.6
10 Malbas73443%76.074.7+1.3
11 Ockelbo83538%68.871.9-3.1
12 Sloga Uppsala72529%72.081.4-9.4
13 Norrort82625%68.675.8-7.1
14 Eskilstuna51420%69.084.0-15.0
15 RIG Mark71614%68.075.1-7.1
16 KFUM Kalmar71614%64.179.3-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo3226141991
Huddinge1720311280
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