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Hogsbo vs Malbas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 85-67
23-17 18-14 31-13 13-23
Position#1
Record7-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#12
Record4-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game76.2
SwedenSuperettan· Gothia Arena (Göteborg)
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Malbas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Huddinge
#5
L
73-89
73
89
-16
60avg 80
A30/09
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
74-53
74
53
+21
63avg 80
A01/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
95-88
95
88
+7
101avg 80
H13/10
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
103-75
103
75
+28
105avg 80
H21/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
91-80
91
80
+11
85avg 80
H28/10
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
82-99
82
99
-17
no box
A04/11
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
80-56
80
56
+24
72avg 80
A08/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
108-86
108
86
+22
99avg 80
H11/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
L
91-93
91
93
-2
no box
A18/11
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
102-80
102
80
+22
no box
A19/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
17-18
23-27
14-17
11-13
18-15
19-11
26-14
23-25
31-21
19-22
22-20
30-16
23-17
21-18
29-24
32-17
26-20
14-31
19-12
22-14
16-26
21-31
23-28
21-10
18-19
18-10
23-17
22-21
31-26
23-19
32-20
30-28
19-18
22-23
20-24
23-19
24-22
25-24
30-15
169.8Avg total
89.9Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)88.680.0168.6+8.664%
Season at home (5)94.682.0176.6+12.680%
Season away (6)83.778.3162.0+5.350%
Last 10 (10)89.979.9169.8+10.070%
Last 5 (5)92.682.8175.4+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)80.078.0158.0+2.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)91.683.1174.7+8.572%
This opponent (Malbas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalbasSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalbas
Date
Competition
RIG Mark
#16
W
70-64
70
64
+6
54avg 57
H01/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
L
79-81
79
81
-2
45avg 57
A07/10
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
75-62
75
62
+13
67avg 57
A08/10
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
74-64
74
64
+10
65avg 57
H15/10
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
L
82-93
82
93
-11
71avg 57
A21/10
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
84-88
84
88
-4
74avg 57
A22/10
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
67-89
67
89
-22
52avg 57
H29/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
L
60-81
60
81
-21
47avg 57
H05/11
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
62-75
62
75
-13
56avg 57
H19/11
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
75-70
75
70
+5
70avg 57
H22/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
11-18
14-14
25-16
16-18
17-14
20-23
26-26
19-11
25-18
11-16
20-17
15-17
13-16
16-9
30-22
12-15
22-28
28-32
20-18
25-19
17-29
16-18
26-22
12-25
17-17
19-27
19-20
25-26
10-17
15-25
10-13
25-17
17-25
13-12
7-21
14-21
21-11
24-19
16-19
149.5Avg total
72.8Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)72.476.2148.5-3.836%
Season at home (6)68.073.8141.8-5.850%
Season away (5)77.679.0156.6-1.420%
Last 10 (10)72.876.7149.5-3.940%
Last 5 (5)69.680.6150.2-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)66.689.5156.0-22.910%
vs Similar (6)79.785.2164.8-5.533%
vs Weaker (3)70.766.3137.0+4.367%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
HogsboMalbas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Huddinge
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A30/09
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A01/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H13/10
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H21/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H28/10
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A04/11
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A08/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H11/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A18/11
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A19/11
Superettan
84.8Avg total
45.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.942.088.9+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.842.393.1+8.573%-
Last 30 away (15)43.041.784.7+1.360%-
Last 10 (10)45.639.284.8+6.480%-
Last 5 (5)45.240.685.8+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)50.046.096.0+4.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)46.841.988.7+4.966%-
This opponent (Malbas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalbasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
RIG Mark
#16
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H01/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A07/10
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A08/10
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H15/10
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A21/10
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A22/10
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H29/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H05/11
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H19/11
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H22/11
Superettan
73.1Avg total
35.3Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.943.078.0-8.117%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.242.877.0-8.613%-
Last 30 away (15)35.743.378.9-7.620%-
Last 10 (10)35.337.873.1-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)36.641.478.0-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)34.244.678.8-10.414%-
vs Similar (6)40.242.282.3-2.033%-
vs Weaker (3)29.733.763.3-4.00%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 71.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.5
55.6%
50.1%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.2
31.3%
31.3%21.6
🏀 Free throws17.512.6
72.0%
66.9%12.6
They take 56.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Malbastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malbas: 70.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.821.6
49.3%
50.1%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.05.9
26.8%
31.3%17.7
🏀 Free throws17.09.9
58.2%
66.9%9.9
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo
WLWWLWWWWL
Malbas
WLLLLLWWLW
#1
League position
#12
+11.1
Net rating
-5.0
107.1
Offensive rating
93.5
96.0
Defensive rating
98.5
52.0%
Effective FG%
46.3%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
16.6%
Turnover %
19.8%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.3%
3-point %
26.8%
59.5%
Assist %
50.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 93.5Defence96.0 · 98.5Shooting52.0% · 46.3%3-point %31.3% · 26.8%Ball care16.6% · 19.8%Off. rebounds26.5% · 30.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Hogsbo   ■ Malbas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hogsbo wins
0
Malbas wins
No previous meetings.
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23AKFUM Fryshuset102-80
18/11/23ADjurgarden91-93
11/11/23HDjurgarden108-86
08/11/23ARIG Mark80-56
04/11/23AHelsingborg82-99
28/10/23HHuddinge91-80
21/10/23HNorrort103-75
13/10/23HWetterbygden Stars95-88
01/10/23ANorrort74-53
30/09/23AHuddinge73-89
Malbaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23HHelsingborg75-70
19/11/23HWetterbygden Stars62-75
05/11/23HHuddinge60-81
29/10/23HKFUM Fryshuset67-89
22/10/23AKFUM Fryshuset84-88
21/10/23ADjurgarden82-93
15/10/23HEskilstuna74-64
08/10/23ANorrort75-62
07/10/23AHuddinge79-81
01/10/23HRIG Mark70-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW64%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%80%50%
Points / game88.694.683.7
Allowed / game80.082.078.3
Point differential+8.6+12.6+5.3
Avg total168.6176.6162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Malbas
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW36%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%50%20%
Points / game72.468.077.6
Allowed / game76.273.879.0
Point differential-3.8-5.8-1.4
Avg total148.5141.8156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket12120100%89.778.0+11.7
2 Tureberg96367%79.173.3+5.8
3 Wetterbygden Stars149564%82.674.0+8.6
4 Huddinge149564%81.876.6+5.2
5 Hogsbo117464%88.680.0+8.6
6 Djurgarden148657%86.685.7+0.9
7 Helsingborg137654%87.378.5+8.8
8 KFUM Fryshuset158753%86.990.0-3.1
9 Ockelbo136746%71.374.0-2.7
10 IK Eos115645%79.880.1-0.3
11 Sloga Uppsala125742%77.185.7-8.6
12 Malbas114736%72.476.2-3.8
13 RIG Mark124833%70.875.7-4.8
14 Norrort1331023%71.677.2-5.5
15 Eskilstuna92722%73.187.1-14.0
16 KFUM Kalmar112918%70.381.5-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo2318311385
Malbas1714132367
← all games of the day
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