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Helsingborg vs Hogsbo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 99-82
14-22 26-16 31-21 28-23
Position#6
Record6-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game73.0
Helsingborg 🏆
Sweden
vs
Hogsbo
Sweden
Position#1
Record4-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game77.7
SwedenSuperettan· Gustav Adolfs hallen (Helsingborg)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Helsingborg v Hogsbo
12 Apr 2024
HELS87
HOGS76
04 Nov 2023
HELS99
HOGS82
06 Nov 2022
HELS82
HOGS90
23 Oct 2021
HELS88
HOGS99
15 Feb 2020
HELS83
HOGS104
12 Oct 2019
HELS80
HOGS88
27 Jan 2019
HELS108
HOGS90
02 Dec 2018
HELS106
HOGS57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Helsingborg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HelsingborgSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHelsingborg
Date
Competition
Eskilstuna
#4
L
70-100
70
100
-30
no box
A26/04
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#4
W
87-74
87
74
+13
no box
H29/04
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
90-65
90
65
+25
68avg 72
H23/09
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
78-71
78
71
+7
74avg 72
A30/09
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
79-82
79
82
-3
73avg 72
A01/10
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
107-75
107
75
+32
100avg 72
A07/10
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
70-69
70
69
+1
52avg 72
H14/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
84-77
84
77
+7
72avg 72
A18/10
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
79-83
79
83
-4
68avg 72
H22/10
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
128-62
128
62
+66
no box
H28/10
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-31
14-18
17-24
17-27
34-23
17-18
22-14
14-19
22-15
20-16
26-14
22-20
19-18
17-22
14-19
28-12
28-21
27-16
15-25
9-20
26-14
29-21
23-21
29-19
10-23
21-9
20-17
19-20
28-18
22-15
14-27
20-17
24-17
7-29
24-11
24-26
36-9
31-14
36-12
25-27
163.0Avg total
87.2Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.473.0162.4+16.475%
Season at home (4)91.869.8161.5+22.075%
Season away (4)87.076.2163.2+10.875%
Last 10 (10)87.275.8163.0+11.470%
Last 5 (5)93.673.2166.8+20.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (3)78.781.7160.3-3.00%
vs Weaker (27)89.475.7165.2+13.778%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
IK Eos
#10
W
118-99
118
99
+19
no box
H25/03
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#11
W
110-79
110
79
+31
no box
A31/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#10
L
89-100
89
100
-11
no box
A06/04
Superettan
IK Eos
#10
W
94-90
94
90
+4
no box
H10/04
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
59avg 79
H23/09
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
L
73-89
73
89
-16
60avg 79
A30/09
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
74-53
74
53
+21
63avg 79
A01/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
95-88
95
88
+7
101avg 79
H13/10
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
103-75
103
75
+28
105avg 79
H21/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
91-80
91
80
+11
85avg 79
H28/10
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
36-30
28-18
28-26
27-16
19-25
26-17
38-21
17-27
17-29
27-23
28-21
27-18
19-28
27-21
21-23
22-18
29-23
11-20
14-20
19-27
17-18
23-27
14-17
11-13
18-15
19-11
26-14
23-25
31-21
19-22
22-20
30-16
23-17
21-18
29-24
32-17
26-20
14-31
19-12
175.7Avg total
92.3Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.377.7163.0+7.767%
Season at home (4)91.281.0172.2+10.275%
Season away (2)73.571.0144.5+2.550%
Last 10 (10)92.383.4175.7+8.970%
Last 5 (5)87.277.0164.2+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)100.090.0190.0+10.0100%
vs Similar (2)85.080.0165.0+5.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)92.782.1174.9+10.678%
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.0+6.0Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +4.1+4.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.0+6.0Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +4.1+4.1
HelsingborgHogsbo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HelsingborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eskilstuna
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A26/04
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#4
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H29/04
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H23/09
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A30/09
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A01/10
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A07/10
Superettan
Norrort
#15
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H14/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A18/10
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H22/10
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
67-23
67
23
+44
H28/10
Superettan
82.1Avg total
45.4Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.437.782.1+6.770%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.238.284.4+7.981%-
Last 30 away (14)42.437.179.5+5.257%-
Last 10 (10)45.436.782.1+8.760%-
Last 5 (5)46.833.880.6+13.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (3)44.044.388.3-0.333%-
vs Weaker (27)44.437.081.4+7.474%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IK Eos
#10
W
62-55
62
55
+7
H25/03
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#11
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A31/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#10
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A06/04
Superettan
IK Eos
#10
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H10/04
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H23/09
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A30/09
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A01/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H13/10
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H21/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H28/10
Superettan
89.7Avg total
46.9Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.741.589.2+6.270%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.841.892.6+8.975%-
Last 30 away (14)44.241.285.4+3.064%-
Last 10 (10)46.942.889.7+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)46.037.883.8+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.044.097.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar (2)46.542.088.5+4.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)47.641.489.0+6.267%-
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Helsingborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Helsingborg: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.1 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.6
53.1%
50.1%37.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.911.3
34.3%
31.3%33.9
🏀 Free throws16.011.7
73.2%
66.9%11.7
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.723.0
59.5%
50.1%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.87.2
26.7%
31.3%21.5
🏀 Free throws24.017.2
71.5%
66.9%17.2
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/6 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Helsingborg
WLWWWLWWWL
Hogsbo
WWWWLLWLWW
#6
League position
#1
+11.3
Net rating
+10.4
104.0
Offensive rating
105.3
92.7
Defensive rating
94.9
52.3%
Effective FG%
51.5%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
46.3%
19.8%
Turnover %
17.8%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.3%
3-point %
26.7%
59.3%
Assist %
59.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 105.3Defence92.7 · 94.9Shooting52.3% · 51.5%3-point %34.3% · 26.7%Ball care19.8% · 17.8%Off. rebounds29.0% · 25.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Helsingborg   ■ Hogsbo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Helsingborg wins
7
Hogsbo wins
DateGameScore
20/01/23Hogsbo v Helsingborg80-78
06/11/22Helsingborg v Hogsbo82-90
04/12/21Hogsbo v Helsingborg89-69
23/10/21Helsingborg v Hogsbo88-99
15/02/20Helsingborg v Hogsbo83-104
22/12/19Hogsbo v Helsingborg104-84
12/10/19Helsingborg v Hogsbo80-88
27/01/19Helsingborg v Hogsbo108-90
02/12/18Helsingborg v Hogsbo106-57
06/10/18Hogsbo v Helsingborg88-119
Helsingborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23HSloga Uppsala128-62
22/10/23HAIK Basket79-83
18/10/23AIK Eos84-77
14/10/23HNorrort70-69
07/10/23AKFUM Kalmar107-75
01/10/23AKFUM Fryshuset79-82
30/09/23ADjurgarden78-71
23/09/23HEskilstuna90-65
29/04/23HEskilstuna87-74
26/04/23AEskilstuna70-100
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23HHuddinge91-80
21/10/23HNorrort103-75
13/10/23HWetterbygden Stars95-88
01/10/23ANorrort74-53
30/09/23AHuddinge73-89
23/09/23HAIK Basket76-81
10/04/23HIK Eos94-90
06/04/23AIK Eos89-100
31/03/23AWetterbygden Stars110-79
25/03/23HIK Eos118-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Helsingborg
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game89.491.887.0
Allowed / game73.069.876.2
Point differential+16.4+22.0+10.8
Avg total162.4161.5163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hogsbo
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game85.391.273.5
Allowed / game77.781.071.0
Point differential+7.7+10.2+2.5
Avg total163.0172.2144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket990100%83.373.8+9.6
2 Tureberg65183%75.067.5+7.5
3 Helsingborg86275%89.473.0+16.4
4 KFUM Fryshuset107370%86.983.7+3.2
5 Hogsbo64267%85.377.7+7.7
6 IK Eos74357%82.978.0+4.9
7 Huddinge95456%81.877.9+3.9
8 Djurgarden95456%87.184.1+3.0
9 Wetterbygden Stars105550%79.975.7+4.2
10 Ockelbo104640%71.975.3-3.4
11 Malbas83538%74.976.5-1.6
12 Eskilstuna62433%71.382.8-11.5
13 RIG Mark82625%68.172.5-4.4
14 Sloga Uppsala82625%70.887.2-16.5
15 Norrort102820%69.477.3-7.9
16 KFUM Kalmar81712%65.980.4-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Helsingborg1426312899
Hogsbo2216212382
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