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Hogsbo W vs RIG Lulea W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 86-45
21-14 22-15 25-8 18-8
Position#3
Record5-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game73.7
Hogsbo W 🏆
Sweden
vs
RIG Lulea W
Sweden
Position#13
Record1-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game50.7
Allowed / game89.3
SwedenBasketligan W· Gothia Arena
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
RIG Lulea W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#1
L
63-89
63
89
-26
51avg 82
A27/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
86-91 OT
86
91
-5
72avg 82
A28/09
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
75-97
75
97
-22
58avg 82
H04/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
W
90-81
90
81
+9
88avg 82
A10/10
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
105-46
105
46
+59
105avg 82
A12/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
72-65
72
65
+7
64avg 82
A18/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
107-63
107
63
+44
113avg 82
H25/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
73-77
73
77
-4
63avg 82
A01/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
87avg 82
A08/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
61-53
61
53
+8
58avg 82
H22/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
15-25
15-22
15-24
18-15
14-25
26-12
20-26
9-19
28-28
23-22
15-28
24-23
21-12
26-26
19-20
18-3
33-17
31-14
23-12
16-21
15-13
16-11
25-20
36-22
21-14
26-17
24-10
18-18
20-26
16-14
19-19
36-20
17-26
21-15
11-29
13-8
9-11
17-18
22-16
156.9Avg total
81.7Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.873.7157.4+10.156%
Season at home (3)81.071.0152.0+10.067%
Season away (6)85.275.0160.2+10.250%
Last 10 (10)81.775.2156.9+6.550%
Last 5 (5)79.669.6149.2+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.884.2156.0-12.420%
vs Similar (10)79.073.1152.1+5.960%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)91.369.7161.0+21.587%
This opponent (RIG Lulea W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RIG Lulea WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Fryshuset Basket W
#4
W
95-73
95
73
+22
95avg 67
H12/04
Basketettan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
45-106
45
106
-61
28avg 67
H28/09
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
46-105
46
105
-59
29avg 67
H12/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
L
65-84
65
84
-19
48avg 67
A18/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
L
32-86
32
86
-54
24avg 67
A19/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
44-103
44
103
-59
31avg 67
A26/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
L
52-67
52
67
-15
46avg 67
H01/11
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
52-111
52
111
-59
48avg 67
H05/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
52-81
52
81
-29
48avg 67
A08/11
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
68-61
68
61
+7
58avg 67
H20/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
16-18
25-17
29-23
17-25
10-32
8-31
10-18
3-18
17-33
14-31
12-23
12-14
11-23
23-16
19-31
4-29
9-19
10-14
9-24
16-29
4-25
9-28
15-21
19-16
13-16
9-15
11-20
8-25
18-30
20-33
6-23
16-23
14-23
9-15
13-20
23-10
12-20
21-9
12-22
142.8Avg total
55.1Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)50.789.3140.0-38.711%
Season at home (5)52.690.0142.6-37.420%
Season away (4)48.288.5136.8-40.20%
Last 10 (10)55.187.7142.8-32.620%
Last 5 (5)53.684.6138.2-31.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)46.194.1140.3-48.00%
vs Similar (2)66.572.5139.0-6.050%
vs Weaker (21)85.651.0136.7+34.695%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -6.1-6.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -11.5-11.5Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -8.9-8.9
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -6.1-6.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -11.5-11.5Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -8.9-8.9
Hogsbo WRIG Lulea W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A27/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A28/09
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H04/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A10/10
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
51-20
51
20
+31
A12/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A18/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H25/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A01/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A08/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
22-19
22
19
+3
H22/11
Basketligan W
76.3Avg total
39.9Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.636.878.4+4.960%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.536.879.3+5.869%-
Last 30 away (17)40.936.877.7+4.253%-
Last 10 (10)39.936.476.3+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.235.876.0+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.840.675.4-5.820%-
vs Similar (10)37.937.975.8+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)46.434.781.1+11.780%-
This opponent (RIG Lulea W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RIG Lulea WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fryshuset Basket W
#4
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H12/04
Basketettan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
27-57
27
57
-30
H28/09
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
20-51
20
51
-31
H12/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A18/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
L
13-48
13
48
-35
A19/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
20-54
20
54
-34
A26/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H01/11
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
26-55
26
55
-29
H05/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A08/11
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H20/11
Basketligan W
71.0Avg total
26.7Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.030.366.3+5.769%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.230.068.2+8.273%-
Last 30 away (14)33.630.664.2+3.164%-
Last 10 (10)26.744.371.0-17.620%-
Last 5 (5)28.643.472.0-14.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)24.049.073.0-25.00%-
vs Similar (2)29.033.562.5-4.550%-
vs Weaker (20)40.923.464.3+17.595%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.717.8
43.7%
46.4%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.3
36.9%
31.2%30.9
🏀 Free throws18.913.8
73.0%
72.5%13.8
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
RIG Lulea Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

RIG Lulea W: 56.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.014.0
35.9%
46.4%28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.35.4
31.2%
31.2%16.2
🏀 Free throws19.311.8
61.1%
72.5%11.8
They take 56.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo W
WLLWWWWLLL
RIG Lulea W
WLLLLLLLLW
#3
League position
#13
+7.0
Net rating
-39.2
101.5
Offensive rating
69.5
94.6
Defensive rating
108.8
48.5%
Effective FG%
39.3%
45.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
21.5%
Turnover %
33.9%
34.9%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.9%
3-point %
31.2%
62.3%
Assist %
66.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 69.5Defence94.6 · 108.8Shooting48.5% · 39.3%3-point %36.9% · 31.2%Ball care21.5% · 33.9%Off. rebounds34.9% · 29.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Hogsbo W   ■ RIG Lulea W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hogsbo W wins
0
RIG Lulea W wins
DateGameScore
12/10/25RIG Lulea W v Hogsbo W46-105
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25HSodertalje W61-53
08/11/25AUppsala W85-90
01/11/25AAIK Basket W73-77
25/10/25HOstersund W107-63
18/10/25AOstersund W72-65
12/10/25ARIG Lulea W105-46
10/10/25ALulea W90-81
04/10/25HAIK Basket W75-97
28/09/25ASodertalje W86-91 OT
27/04/25ALulea W63-89
RIG Lulea Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/25HVisby W68-61
08/11/25ASodertalje W52-81
05/11/25HLulea W52-111
01/11/25HAlvik W52-67
26/10/25ANorrkoping W44-103
19/10/25AAlvik W32-86
18/10/25AVisby W65-84
12/10/25HHogsbo W46-105
28/09/25HNorrkoping W45-106
12/04/25HFryshuset Basket W95-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %56%67%50%
Points / game83.881.085.2
Allowed / game73.771.075.0
Point differential+10.1+10.0+10.2
Avg total157.4152.0160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %11%0%17%
RIG Lulea W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW11%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %11%20%0%
Points / game50.752.648.2
Allowed / game89.390.088.5
Point differential-38.7-37.4-40.2
Avg total140.0142.6136.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uppsala W10100100%85.471.6+13.8
2 Lulea W98189%91.064.8+26.2
3 Norrkoping W96367%81.168.9+12.2
4 AIK Basket W96367%81.974.8+7.1
5 Hogsbo W95456%83.873.7+10.1
6 Malbas Malmo W95456%75.478.7-3.2
7 Ostersund W84450%78.075.4+2.6
8 Sodertalje W94544%74.670.6+4.0
9 Alvik W73443%69.169.7-0.6
10 Brahe W93633%69.174.2-5.1
11 Lund W81712%70.577.4-6.9
12 Visby W91811%61.985.7-23.8
13 RIG Lulea W91811%50.789.3-38.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo W2122251886
RIG Lulea W14158845
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