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Hogsbo W vs AIK Basket W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 75-97
9-19 28-28 23-22 15-28
Position#3
Record0-1
FormWLLLL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game91.0
Hogsbo W
Sweden
vs
AIK Basket W 🏆
Sweden
Position#5
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game52.0
SwedenBasketligan W· Gothia Arena
Women2025-26
Meetings · Hogsbo W v AIK Basket W
20 Dec 2026
HOGS v AIK
upcoming
04 Oct 2025
HOGS75
AIK 97
15 Mar 2025
HOGS101
AIK 82
27 Jan 2024
HOGS87
AIK 64
01 Apr 2017
HOGS70
AIK 75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AIK Basket W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Uppsala W
#6
W
99-68
99
68
+31
107avg 83
H29/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
87-72
87
72
+15
90avg 83
A31/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
81-64
81
64
+17
76avg 83
A06/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
87-69
87
69
+18
90avg 83
H08/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
63-76
63
76
-13
50avg 83
A11/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
70-64
70
64
+6
72avg 83
H14/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
67-88
67
88
-21
49avg 83
A22/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
73-86
73
86
-13
66avg 83
H25/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
63-89
63
89
-26
51avg 83
A27/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
86-91 OT
86
91
-5
72avg 83
A28/09
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
25-18
25-26
30-9
18-17
23-19
20-21
26-15
19-18
19-14
23-20
20-12
18-12
24-21
23-14
22-22
18-25
17-22
11-17
17-12
10-17
17-22
27-17
16-8
15-21
20-22
12-27
20-18
18-25
13-27
16-23
26-11
18-18
15-25
15-22
15-24
18-15
14-25
26-12
20-26
154.3Avg total
77.6Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)86.091.0177.0-5.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)86.091.0177.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)77.676.7154.3+0.950%
Last 5 (5)71.883.6155.4-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)66.087.4153.4-21.40%
vs Similar (7)76.978.0154.9-1.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)94.566.9161.4+27.6100%
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#2
L
58-88
58
88
-30
49avg 67
H12/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
66-80
66
80
-14
54avg 67
A15/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
L
68-82
68
82
-14
65avg 67
H26/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
69-64
69
64
+5
57avg 67
H01/03
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
W
86-76
86
76
+10
77avg 67
H08/03
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
82-101
82
101
-19
69avg 67
A15/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
L
59-70
59
70
-11
52avg 67
A22/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
58-83
58
83
-25
46avg 67
A28/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
66-80
66
80
-14
53avg 67
H30/03
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
94-52
94
52
+42
87avg 67
A28/09
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-26
11-15
14-18
18-29
5-21
16-17
24-22
21-20
21-15
18-23
13-18
16-26
23-12
16-21
15-13
15-18
23-16
20-19
21-24
22-17
18-29
22-19
21-30
21-23
11-19
22-9
17-29
9-13
18-25
13-14
13-25
14-19
19-26
12-21
20-20
15-13
20-11
20-14
32-17
22-10
148.2Avg total
70.6Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)94.052.0146.0+42.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)94.052.0146.0+42.0100%
Last 10 (10)70.677.6148.2-7.030%
Last 5 (5)71.877.2149.0-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)66.886.6153.4-19.86%
vs Similar (5)74.074.0148.0+0.020%
vs Weaker (9)83.273.9157.1+9.378%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: -1.5-1.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: -1.5-1.5
Hogsbo WAIK Basket W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uppsala W
#6
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H29/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A31/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A06/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H08/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A11/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H14/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A22/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
31-52
31
52
-21
H25/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A27/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A28/09
Basketligan W
75.6Avg total
35.8Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.336.378.6+6.067%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.337.580.8+5.871%-
Last 30 away (16)41.535.276.8+6.262%-
Last 10 (10)35.839.875.6-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)31.643.475.0-11.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.442.273.6-10.80%-
vs Similar (7)36.639.976.4-3.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)47.633.380.9+14.394%-
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#2
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H12/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A15/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H26/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H01/03
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H08/03
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A15/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A22/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A28/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H30/03
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
40-25
40
25
+15
A28/09
Basketligan W
71.5Avg total
34.3Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.539.976.3-3.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.739.876.5-3.140%-
Last 30 away (15)36.239.976.1-3.727%-
Last 10 (10)34.337.271.5-2.950%-
Last 5 (5)35.037.472.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)34.844.579.3-9.76%-
vs Similar (5)37.836.874.6+1.060%-
vs Weaker (9)38.733.372.0+5.367%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.020.3
48.3%
46.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.9
32.9%
31.2%23.7
🏀 Free throws16.012.1
75.6%
72.5%12.1
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AIK Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket W: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.516.9
39.8%
46.4%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.7
31.9%
31.2%20.1
🏀 Free throws21.416.4
76.6%
72.5%16.4
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo W
LLLLWLWWWW
AIK Basket W
WLLLLWWLLL
#3
League position
#5
+0.6
Net rating
-8.5
96.9
Offensive rating
91.9
96.3
Defensive rating
100.4
48.7%
Effective FG%
42.4%
45.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
18.6%
Turnover %
20.6%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.9%
3-point %
31.9%
64.9%
Assist %
64.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.9 · 91.9Defence96.3 · 100.4Shooting48.7% · 42.4%3-point %32.9% · 31.9%Ball care18.6% · 20.6%Off. rebounds23.2% · 30.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Hogsbo W   ■ AIK Basket W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Hogsbo W wins
2
AIK Basket W wins
DateGameScore
15/03/25Hogsbo W v AIK Basket W101-82
14/12/24AIK Basket W v Hogsbo W74-79
27/01/24Hogsbo W v AIK Basket W87-64
21/10/23AIK Basket W v Hogsbo W64-69
01/04/17Hogsbo W v AIK Basket W70-75
25/03/17AIK Basket W v Hogsbo W71-49
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/25ASodertalje W86-91 OT
27/04/25ALulea W63-89
25/04/25HLulea W73-86
22/04/25ALulea W67-88
14/04/25HNorrkoping W70-64
11/04/25ANorrkoping W63-76
08/04/25HNorrkoping W87-69
06/04/25ANorrkoping W81-64
31/03/25AUppsala W87-72
29/03/25HUppsala W99-68
AIK Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/25ABrahe W94-52
30/03/25HNorrkoping W66-80
28/03/25ANorrkoping W58-83
22/03/25AUppsala W59-70
15/03/25AHogsbo W82-101
08/03/25HMarkSjuharad W86-76
01/03/25HSodertalje W69-64
26/02/25HUppsala W68-82
15/02/25ALund W66-80
12/02/25HNorrkoping W58-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game86.0-86.0
Allowed / game91.0-91.0
Point differential-5.0--5.0
Avg total177.0-177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %100%-100%
AIK Basket W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game94.0-94.0
Allowed / game52.0-52.0
Point differential+42.0-+42.0
Avg total146.0-146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket W110100%94.052.0+42.0
2 Lulea W110100%90.063.0+27.0
3 Uppsala W220100%89.076.5+12.5
4 Sodertalje W110100%91.086.0+5.0
5 Norrkoping W21150%84.567.5+17.0
6 Hogsbo W1010%86.091.0-5.0
7 Malbas Malmo W1010%78.090.0-12.0
8 Lund W1010%75.088.0-13.0
9 Brahe W1010%52.094.0-42.0
10 RIG Lulea W1010%45.0106.0-61.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo W928231575
AIK Basket W1928222897
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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