PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Hogsbo W vs Uppsala W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Projected 67-83
Projected total 149.9
Scheduled
Position#10
Record1-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game60.3
Allowed / game86.2
Hogsbo W
Sweden
Vs
91%
■ HOGS 9%■ UPPS 91%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
2.3/10
🧊 Cold
4.2/10
Below normal
Uppsala W
Sweden
Position#7
Record3-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game71.0
SwedenBasketligan WRound 7· Gothia Arena
Women2026-27
Meetings · Hogsbo W v Uppsala W
21 Nov 2026
HOGS v UPPS
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
HOGS75
UPPS90
29 Mar 2025
HOGS99
UPPS68
11 Jan 2025
HOGS79
UPPS47
02 Mar 2024
HOGS82
UPPS85
25 Feb 2023
HOGS56
UPPS98
16 Oct 2021
HOGS65
UPPS60
24 Feb 2021
HOGS83
UPPS61
26 Oct 2019
HOGS107
UPPS66
12 Jan 2019
HOGS75
UPPS68
29 Mar 2017
HOGS75
UPPS78
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Hogsbo W host Uppsala W in the Basketligan W. Pythia makes Uppsala W the favourite at 91% and projects 67-83, about 150 points in all. Overtime chance: 2%. Hogsbo W are 1-5 this season (60.3 scored, 86.2 allowed a game), form LLLLW; Uppsala W are 3-3 this season (76.2 scored, 71.0 allowed a game), form WLWLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo W win
9.3%fair 10.73
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Uppsala W win
90.7%fair 1.10
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Brahe W
#11
W
106-76
106
76
+30
100avg 68
A07/03
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
66-71
66
71
-5
55avg 68
A21/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
97-101 OT
97
101
-4
78avg 68
H28/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
57-91
57
91
-34
no box
A30/03
Basketligan W
Onsala W
#2
L
50-94
50
94
-44
11avg 68
A03/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
67-78
67
78
-11
55avg 68
H10/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
64-76
64
76
-12
47avg 68
A18/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#8
L
66-94
66
94
-28
50avg 68
H24/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
43-108
43
108
-65
20avg 68
A30/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#12
W
72-67
72
67
+5
no box
H07/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
23-21
36-14
24-25
16-26
20-14
20-12
10-19
27-25
14-20
13-21
25-13
8-18
10-21
24-21
15-31
9-19
13-30
10-22
18-23
18-16
8-31
23-19
18-12
16-19
13-28
18-13
17-16
11-23
18-25
19-21
18-25
13-32
11-28
4-18
15-30
16-15
17-15
14-20
25-17
154.4Avg total
68.8Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)60.386.2146.5-25.817%
Season at home (3)68.379.7148.0-11.333%
Season away (3)52.392.7145.0-40.30%
Last 10 (10)68.885.6154.4-16.820%
Last 5 (5)62.484.6147.0-22.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)66.787.6154.3-20.929%
vs Similar (9)79.080.8159.8-1.844%
vs Weaker (14)86.466.8153.1+19.686%
This opponent (Uppsala W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Uppsala WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#1
L
66-71
66
71
-5
61avg 71
A20/03
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
75-53
75
53
+22
75avg 71
A21/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
81-85
81
85
-4
75avg 71
H28/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
75-85
75
85
-10
55avg 71
A30/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
74-77
74
77
-3
48avg 71
H03/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#11
W
68-60
68
60
+8
73avg 71
A11/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
L
89-92
89
92
-3
92avg 71
H17/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#9
W
89-59
89
59
+30
95avg 71
H24/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
A04/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
W
64-58
64
58
+6
no box
H07/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
16-16
11-17
15-26
19-16
22-10
17-12
17-15
19-20
25-22
19-23
18-20
19-24
18-15
17-27
21-19
29-18
16-18
18-27
11-14
22-12
8-20
22-15
16-13
31-23
20-20
19-19
19-30
23-17
18-19
26-13
22-10
24-21
17-12
13-25
19-22
13-14
6-17
20-6
25-21
147.4Avg total
75.4Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.271.0147.2+5.250%
Season at home (4)79.071.5150.5+7.550%
Season away (2)70.570.0140.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)75.472.0147.4+3.440%
Last 5 (5)76.669.8146.4+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)66.069.5135.5-3.525%
vs Similar (12)81.883.3165.1-1.642%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)79.759.0138.7+20.7100%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 143
Over 143
66.6%
Under 143
33.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 148
Over 148
54.4%
Under 148
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 153
Over 153
41.9%
Under 153
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Hogsbo W total 71.5
Over 71.5
33.5%
Under 71.5
66.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hogsbo W total 75.5
Over 75.5
20.7%
Under 75.5
79.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hogsbo W total 79.5
Over 79.5
11.6%
Under 79.5
88.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uppsala W total 68.5
Over 68.5
92.1%
Under 68.5
7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uppsala W total 72.5
Over 72.5
84.5%
Under 72.5
15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uppsala W total 76.5
Over 76.5
73.0%
Under 76.5
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Hogsbo W -3
HOGS -3
6.2%
UPPS +3
93.8%
Best 5 market prices
HOGS
No market prices yet.
UPPS
No market prices yet.
Spread Hogsbo W 0
HOGS 0
9.3%
UPPS 0
90.7%
Best 5 market prices
HOGS
No market prices yet.
UPPS
No market prices yet.
Spread Hogsbo W +3
HOGS +3
12.9%
UPPS -3
87.1%
Best 5 market prices
HOGS
No market prices yet.
UPPS
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -8.6-8.6Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -8.6-8.6Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
Hogsbo WUppsala W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brahe W
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/03
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A21/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H28/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
18-39
18
39
-21
A30/03
Basketligan W
Onsala W
#2
L
22-49
22
49
-27
A03/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
26-47
26
47
-21
H10/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A18/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#8
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H24/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
24-60
24
60
-36
A30/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#12
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H07/11
Basketligan W
74.6Avg total
30.4Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.337.575.8+0.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.436.076.4+4.467%-
Last 30 away (15)36.338.975.2-2.753%-
Last 10 (10)30.444.274.6-13.820%-
Last 5 (5)28.246.474.6-18.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)30.946.977.7-16.014%-
vs Similar (9)38.436.975.3+1.656%-
vs Weaker (14)42.033.175.1+8.986%-
This opponent (Uppsala W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Uppsala WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#1
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A20/03
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A21/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H28/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A30/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H03/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#11
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A11/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H17/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#9
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H24/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A04/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
19-31
19
31
-12
H07/11
Basketligan W
73.5Avg total
38.9Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.634.775.3+6.067%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.434.876.1+6.676%-
Last 30 away (13)39.734.574.2+5.254%-
Last 10 (10)38.934.673.5+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)36.435.071.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.230.063.2+3.275%-
vs Similar (12)42.941.484.3+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.830.271.0+10.679%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 68.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.315.8
43.5%
46.8%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.77.2
26.0%
30.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.015.3
76.5%
71.1%15.3
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Uppsala Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Uppsala W: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.1
51.8%
46.8%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.3
30.2%
30.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws15.912.8
80.5%
71.1%12.8
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo W
WLLLLLLLLW
Uppsala W
WLWLWLLLWL
#10
League position
#7
-13.8
Net rating
+9.3
74.5
Offensive rating
89.0
88.3
Defensive rating
79.8
41.6%
Effective FG%
49.0%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
46.7%
20.4%
Turnover %
18.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.25
26.0%
3-point %
30.2%
63.9%
Assist %
67.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence74.5 · 89.0Defence88.3 · 79.8Shooting41.6% · 49.0%3-point %26.0% · 30.2%Ball care20.4% · 18.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Hogsbo W   ■ Uppsala W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Hogsbo W wins
6
Uppsala W wins
DateGameScore
28/02/26Hogsbo W v Uppsala W75-90
08/11/25Uppsala W v Hogsbo W90-85
31/03/25Uppsala W v Hogsbo W72-87
29/03/25Hogsbo W v Uppsala W99-68
11/01/25Hogsbo W v Uppsala W79-47
06/10/24Uppsala W v Hogsbo W40-86
02/03/24Hogsbo W v Uppsala W82-85
09/12/23Uppsala W v Hogsbo W79-59
25/02/23Hogsbo W v Uppsala W56-98
29/10/22Uppsala W v Hogsbo W98-78
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HBrahe W72-67
30/10/26ALulea W43-108
24/10/26HVisby W66-94
18/10/26ANorrkoping W64-76
10/10/26HAlvik W67-78
03/10/26AOnsala W50-94
30/03/26ASodertalje W57-91
28/03/26HSodertalje W97-101 OT
21/03/26AMalbas Malmo W66-71
07/03/26ABrahe W106-76
Uppsala Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HNorrkoping W64-58
04/11/26AAlvik W73-80
24/10/26HAIK Basket W89-59
17/10/26HOstersund W89-92
11/10/26ALund W68-60
03/10/26HSodertalje W74-77
30/03/26ANorrkoping W75-85
28/03/26HNorrkoping W81-85
21/03/26ARIG Lulea W75-53
20/03/26ALulea W66-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game60.368.352.3
Allowed / game86.279.792.7
Point differential-25.8-11.3-40.3
Avg total146.5148.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Uppsala W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game76.279.070.5
Allowed / game71.071.570.0
Point differential+5.2+7.5+0.5
Avg total147.2150.5140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W65183%97.556.2+41.3
2 Onsala W65183%88.264.0+24.2
3 Norrkoping W65183%76.563.5+13.0
4 Alvik W65183%80.269.2+11.0
5 Sodertalje W65183%73.066.5+6.5
6 Ostersund W64267%79.877.5+2.3
7 Uppsala W63350%76.271.0+5.2
8 Visby W62433%71.375.7-4.3
9 AIK Basket W61517%64.084.2-20.2
10 Hogsbo W61517%60.386.2-25.8
11 Lund W6060%59.578.3-18.8
12 Brahe W6060%57.591.8-34.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.